Zumiez stock: buy or sell?

ZUMZ stock price: $30.65 -2.26% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

3

Zumiez shares dropped -2.26% to $30.65 today. Friday was the fourth red session in a row, sliding in full a -6.21%.

Zumiez Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women. Its hardgoods include skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and other equipment.

Should I buy Zumiez stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Zumiez stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean ZUMZ will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Zumiez stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 6 ratings published for ZUMZ stock in the last month.

Is ZUMZ a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-6DA Davidsonn/aNeutral
2019-9-6B. Rileyn/aBuy
2019-9-3Pivotal Researchn/aHold
2019-8-29Robert W. Bairdn/aNeutral
2019-3-11Pivotal ResearchBuyHold
2019-1-10Pivotal Researchn/aBuy

Zumiez stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Zumiez ended today at $30.65 and dropped a rough -2.26%.

On Sep/9, ZUMZ hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $32.70 recorded . New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences. Zumiez ended today at $30.65 and dropped a rough -2.26%. On Aug 16th ZUMZ price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. ZUMZ shows a short term strength with several rising tops and rising bottoms. In the very short term, on Sep/18 it marked a new bottom at $31.09 that should act a support if Zumiez starts a trading flat base in the range of $31.09 - $33.47 If Zumiez breakouts over $33.47 with average or higher volume, this would be a clear signal that the uptrend resumes. On May, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 37.88%.

ZUMZ stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting a wonderful 5.07% in a week last week, Zumiez closed this week at $30.65 and plunged a frightening -5.26%.

Not so far away is the last price record Zumiez marked last week. Zumiez stock is trading in the range of its last top and last bottom. Loosing would mean breaking the current uptrend. Breakdowns under last bottom are selling point signals for some trading strategies. Since late August when ZUMZ stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $7.13 (30.31%). Since early May when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, ZUMZ price gained $3.71 per share (13.77%).

ZUMZ stock chart (weekly)

Zumiez stock price history

Zumiez stock went public on November 2nd, 2017 with a price of $17.501. Since then, ZUMZ stock grew a 75.10%, with an average of 75.10% per year. If you had invested right after ZUMZ's IPO a $1,000 in Zumiez stock in 2017, it would worth $751.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Zumiez stock historical price chart

ZUMZ stock reached all-time highs on September/9 with a price of $33.47.

Zumiez stock price target is $28.00

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. We detected 6 price targets for Zumiez stock posted in the last 30 days:
ZUMZ stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-6DA DavidsonRaises Targetn/a$28.00-
2019-9-6B. RileyRaises Target$28.00$32.0014.3%
2019-9-3Pivotal ResearchRaises Target$22.00$26.0018.2%
2019-8-29Robert W. BairdRaises Target$24.00$28.0016.7%
2019-3-11Pivotal ResearchDowngrades$28.00$26.00-7.1%
2019-1-10Pivotal ResearchReiteratesn/a$28.00-
(in average)$25.50$28.0010.0%
The price forecast for Zumiez stock is $28.00, moving in a range between $32.00 and $26.00. In average, analysts' outlook on ZUMZ price forecast is positive, increasing the target by a 10.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On March, Zumiez presented its financial report, posting a good gain for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Experts were expecting $1.11 per share, but Zumiez posted $1.18.
ZUMZ earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a-0.18n/a
2017-Q3-n/a-0.02n/a
2017-Q42018-03-150.90.82-8.9%
2018-Q12018-03-150.90.82-8.9%
2018-Q22018-06-07-0.12-0.1n/a
2018-Q32018-09-060.130.1730.8%
2018-Q42018-12-060.480.5514.6%
2019-Q12019-03-141.111.186.3%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2019, Zumiez annual revenues soared a decent 5.52% to $978.62 M USD from $927.40 marked in 2018. Likewise, its profit margin (compared to sales) appreciated to 4.62%, that is $45.21 million.

ZUMZ annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2014$724 M-$46 M6.3%-
2014$812 M12.04%$43 M5.3%-6.01%
2015$812 M0.00%$43 M5.3%0.00%
2015$804 M-0.91%$29 M3.6%-33.34%
2016$804 M0.00%$29 M3.6%-0.02%
2016$836 M3.99%$26 M3.1%-10.02%
2017$836 M0.00%$26 M3.1%0.02%
2017$927 M10.90%$27 M2.9%3.46%
2018$927 M0.00%$27 M2.9%0.01%
2019$979 M5.52%$45 M4.6%68.66%

Quarterly financial results

Zumiez posted $304.57 M in sales for 2019-Q1, a 22.42% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $29.61 M with a profit margin of 9.72%. Profit margin stepped up a 4.17% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.56%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Zumiez sales marked an ugly decrease and declined a -1.19%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Zumiez posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
ZUMZ quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$181 M-$-4 M-2.5%-
2017-Q3$192 M6.12%$-1 M-0.3%-86.34%
2017-Q4$246 M27.83%$12 M4.9%-2,060.86%
2018-Q1$308 M25.43%$20 M6.5%67.23%
2018-Q2$206 M-33.08%$-3 M-1.3%-113.08%
2018-Q3$219 M6.15%$4 M2.0%-267.89%
2018-Q4$249 M13.62%$14 M5.6%215.81%
2019-Q1$305 M22.42%$30 M9.7%114.22%

Zumiez ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Zumiez, 22.58% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for ZUMZ stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Zumiez:

ZUMZAEOANFBKEDXLG
Market cap$788.9 M$2.9 B$1.0 B$977.0 M$70.9 M
Total shares25.7 M172.2 M63.2 M49.2 M50.0 M
Float shares20.5 M152.6 M62.4 M28.0 M20.4 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)81.3%94.6%115.6%76.1%67.7%
  - Insider holdings (%)22.6%5.9%1.1%41.7%15.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Zumiez summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$31.30
Close$30.65
Day range$30.65 - $31.89
Previous close$31.36
Session gain-2.26%
Average true range$1.42
50d mov avg$26.08
100d mov avg$24.76
200d mov avg$24.08
Daily patternlb03a
Weekly pattern lt06a

Zumiez performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For Zumiez, the comparison is made against American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie & Fitch, Buckle, Destination XL, Express, Francesca's, Tailored Brands, Tilly's and Urban Outfitters.
Stock3m6m12m
ZUMZZumiez17.21%36.16%9.07%
AEOAmerican Eagle Ou...-7.41%-15.68%-28.21%
ANFAbercrombie & Fit...0.06%-33.46%-18.08%
BKEBuckle15.21%15.95%-7.85%
DXLGDestination XL-16.47%-45.17%-45.38%
EXPRExpress-5.04%-32.82%-75.80%
FRANFrancesca's194.44%81.86%-67.96%
TLRDTailored Brands-18.88%-40.71%-80.99%
TLYSTilly's22.44%-9.73%-43.00%
URBNUrban Outfitters2.89%-13.29%-40.55%

Zumiez competitors

One check before investing in any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Zumiez. We picked 9 companies as Zumiez competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.