ZTO stock: buy or sell?

ZTO stock price: $19.54 -2.20% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

4

ZTO Express (Cayman) shares dropped -2.20% to $19.54 today.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in China.

Should I buy ZTO stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, ZTO Express (Cayman) stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks post stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we found 1 rating published for ZTO stock in the last 30 days.

Is ZTO a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-4-23UBS GroupNeutralBuy

ZTO stock analysis

Daily outlook

ZTO Express (Cayman) closed today at $19.54 and dropped a rough -2.20%.

ZTO Express (Cayman) shares dropped -2.20% to $19.54 today. On June ZTO price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. From a daily perspective, ZTO is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($18.71, on Aug 14th) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($20.38, on Monday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top ZTO might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $20.38 or down under $18.71. Since April when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, ZTO price slipped $-0.06 per share (-0.31%).

ZTO stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Shares of ZTO Express (Cayman) closed this week at $19.54 and inched a slightly good 0.83%.

Since mid April when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, ZTO price gained $0.02 per share (0.10%). Late March ZTO price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.

ZTO stock chart (weekly)

ZTO stock price history

ZTO IPO was on October 27th, 2016 at $17.92 per share1. Since then, ZTO stock surged a 9.00%, with a yearly average of 4.50%. If you had invested right after ZTO's IPO a $1,000 in ZTO stock in 2016, it would worth $90.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

ZTO stock historical price chart

ZTO stock reached 52-week highs on March at $21.07, and all-time highs 2018-07-16 with a price of 22.36.

ZTO stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we have not detected any price forecast for ZTO Express (Cayman) stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

ZTO Express (Cayman) presented slightly fine results for 2018-Q4 on March. ZTO Express (Cayman) appreciated Earnings per Share (EPS) by 4.30%, beating experts of $0.23. ZTO Express (Cayman) posted $0.24.
ZTO earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/an/an/a
2017-Q2-n/an/an/a
2017-Q3-n/an/an/a
2017-Q42018-03-050.280.27-3.6%
2018-Q12018-05-090.120.120.0%
2018-Q22018-08-080.220.220.0%
2018-Q32018-11-140.180.211.1%
2018-Q42019-03-120.230.244.3%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, ZTO Express (Cayman) annual turnover rocketed an outstanding 34.80% to $17,604.50 million USD from $13,060.10 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nonetheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) stayed stable a 0.70% to 24.90%.

ZTO annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2014$3,904 M-$406 M10.4%-
2015$6,086 M55.92%$1,332 M21.9%227.68%
2016$9,789 M60.83%$2,054 M21.0%54.22%
2017$13,060 M33.42%$3,160 M24.2%53.84%
2018$17,605 M34.80%$4,383 M24.9%38.72%

Quarterly financial results

ZTO Express (Cayman) posted $5,627.53 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a 32.89% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,275.54 million with a profit margin of 22.67%. Profit margin decreased a -2.36% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 25.02%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, ZTO Express (Cayman) sales marked an extraordinary gain and boosted a 29.94%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, ZTO Express (Cayman) posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
ZTO quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$380 M-$73 M19.3%-
2017-Q3$472 M24.29%$108 M22.8%47.21%
2017-Q4$4,331 M816.81%$1,222 M28.2%1,034.32%
2018-Q1$3,544 M-18.16%$557 M15.7%-54.45%
2018-Q2$4,198 M18.44%$1,491 M35.5%167.81%
2018-Q3$4,235 M0.87%$1,060 M25.0%-28.93%
2018-Q4$5,628 M32.89%$1,276 M22.7%20.37%

ZTO Express (Cayman) ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

ZTO Express (Cayman) shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.29% of all shares.

In case of ZTO Express (Cayman) stock, 33.13% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ZTO stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

ZTOPKOH
Market cap$15.4 B$354.7 M
Total shares787.9 M12.6 M
Float shares375.5 M8.3 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)33.1%54.6%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.3%31.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%

ZTO summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$19.78
Close$19.54
Day range$19.44 - $19.99
Previous close$19.98
Session gain-2.20%
Average true range$0.51
50d mov avg$19.40
100d mov avg$19.10
200d mov avg$18.22
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern

ZTO Express (Cayman) performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We chose Array as the bechmarking frame for ZTO Express (Cayman) stock.
Stock3m6m12m
ZTOZTO Express (Caym...8.86%0.98%1.45%
PKOHPark-Ohio-17.75%-15.50%-31.94%

ZTO Express (Cayman) competitors

Choosing a list of competitors for ZTO Express (Cayman) it's a hard job. We selected just one public company that in our opinion is related to and can be considered ZTO Express (Cayman) competitor: