ZTO stock: buy or sell?
November 19th, 2019
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in China.
Should I buy ZTO stock?Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Following a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
None of our preferred buy setups matches with ZTO Express (Cayman) stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.At Stocks2.com, we found 1 rating published for ZTO stock in the last month.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
ZTO stock analysis
ZTO Express (Cayman) collapsed -6.24% to $21.03 after reaching all time highs yesterday.
After reaching all time highs yesterday, ZTO Express (Cayman) collapsed -6.24% to $21.03. Yesterday, ZTO hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $22.69 recorded on November 8th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences. On August ZTO price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On July, SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up triggering a rise of 5.26%.
ZTO Express (Cayman) closed this week at $21.03 after marking a new all time high ($23.12) even it couldn't close with gains and plummed a frightening -5.99%. Late October ZTO boosted an outstanding 5.83% in just one week.
By mid April, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 7.74%. Since late March when ZTO stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $3.58 (20.52%).
ZTO stock price history
ZTO stock went public on October 27th, 2016 with a price of $17.921. Since then, ZTO stock grew a 17.40%, with an average of 5.80% per year. If you had invested right after ZTO's IPO a $1,000 in ZTO stock in 2016, it would worth $174.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
ZTO stock historical price chart
ZTO stock reached all-time highs yesterday with a price of $23.12.
ZTO stock price targetPredicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we have not found any price forecast for ZTO Express (Cayman) stock by any trusted analyst.
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareOn March, ZTO Express (Cayman) reported its latest financial data, posting a slightly good gain for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Analyst expected $0.23 per share, but ZTO Express (Cayman) posted $0.24.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a dazzling growth of 34.80% to $17,604.50 M USD. Nonetheless, its income margin (compared to revenues) stayed constant to 24.90%, that is $4,383.02 million.
|2014||$3,904 M||-||$406 M10.4%||-|
|2015||$6,086 M||55.92%||$1,332 M21.9%||227.68%|
|2016||$9,789 M||60.83%||$2,054 M21.0%||54.22%|
|2017||$13,060 M||33.42%||$3,160 M24.2%||53.84%|
|2018||$17,605 M||34.80%||$4,383 M24.9%||38.72%|
Quarterly financial resultsZTO Express (Cayman) reported $5,627.53 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 32.89% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,275.54 million with a profit margin of 22.67%. Profit margin declined a -2.36% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 25.02%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, ZTO Express (Cayman) sales marked a super good gain and boosted a 29.94%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, ZTO Express (Cayman) posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
|2017-Q1||$380 M||-||$73 M19.3%||-|
|2017-Q3||$472 M||24.29%||$108 M22.8%||47.21%|
|2017-Q4||$4,331 M||816.81%||$1,222 M28.2%||1,034.32%|
|2018-Q1||$3,544 M||-18.16%||$557 M15.7%||-54.45%|
|2018-Q2||$4,198 M||18.44%||$1,491 M35.5%||167.81%|
|2018-Q3||$4,235 M||0.87%||$1,060 M25.0%||-28.93%|
|2018-Q4||$5,628 M||32.89%||$1,276 M22.7%||20.37%|
ZTO Express (Cayman) ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For ZTO Express (Cayman), 0.29% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of ZTO Express (Cayman) stock, 33.13% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ZTO stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to ZTO Express (Cayman):
|Market cap||$16.4 B||$401.9 M|
|Total shares||782.1 M||12.5 M|
|Float shares||369.7 M||8.4 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||33.1%||54.6%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.3%||31.0%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%|
|Tuesday, November 19th, 2019|
|Day range||$20.82 - $22.60|
|Average true range||$0.54|
|50d mov avg||$21.43|
|100d mov avg||$20.61|
|200d mov avg||$19.71|
ZTO Express (Cayman) performanceTo measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. We compared ZTO Express (Cayman) against Array in the following table:
|ZTOZTO Express (Caym...||7.63%||17.16%||29.34%|