ZTO stock: buy or sell?

ZTO stock price: $27.35 3.91% At close on April 2nd, 2020

Updated on:
April 2nd, 2020

4

ZTO Express (Cayman) climbed an impressive 3.91% and closed at $27.35.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in China.

Should I buy ZTO stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. That's why is so important to define your own trading strategy that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, ZTO Express (Cayman) stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for ZTO stock for the last month.

ZTO stock analysis

Daily outlook

ZTO Express (Cayman) shares climbed 3.91% to $27.35 today.

ZTO Express (Cayman) ended today at $27.35 and climbed an impressive 3.91%. On February ZTO price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On March 11th, ZTO hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on Mar/10 tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

ZTO stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

ZTO Express (Cayman) shares climbed 7.21% this week, ending at $27.35. Late February ZTO collapsed a chilling -5.37% in just one week.

Observing the weekly chart, ZTO marked an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top early March at $28.06, price slid and bounced up back from $23.00. Breaking down under $23.00 would cancel the current uptrend and it might test lower supports. Note that $28.06 might act as a resistance line. Not so far away is the last price record ZTO Express (Cayman) marked early March. Since price and SMA20w lines crossed up early February, ZTO climbed $5.63 (25.92%). Since late July 2019 when SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up, ZTO price gained $7.65 per share (38.83%).

ZTO stock chart (weekly)

ZTO stock price history

ZTO stock went public on October 27th, 2016 with a price of $17.921. Since then, ZTO stock surged a 52.60%, with an average of 17.50% per year. If you had invested right after ZTO's IPO a $1,000 in ZTO stock in 2016, it would worth $526.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

ZTO stock historical price chart

ZTO stock reached all-time highs on March 11th with a price of $28.06.

ZTO stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' ZTO stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we have not detected any price forecast for ZTO Express (Cayman) stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

, ZTO Express (Cayman) reported its latest financial data, posting a tiny gain for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Analyst were expecting $0.23 per share, but ZTO Express (Cayman) posted $0.24.
ZTO earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/an/an/a
2017-Q2-n/an/an/a
2017-Q3-n/an/an/a
2017-Q42018-03-050.280.27-3.6%
2018-Q12018-05-090.120.120.0%
2018-Q22018-08-080.220.220.0%
2018-Q32018-11-140.180.211.1%
2018-Q42019-03-120.230.244.3%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw an exceptional growth of 34.80% to $17,604.50 M dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, instead, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) stayed constant a 0.70% to 24.90%.

ZTO annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2014$3,904 M-$406 M10.4%-
2015$6,086 M55.92%$1,332 M21.9%227.68%
2016$9,789 M60.83%$2,054 M21.0%54.22%
2017$13,060 M33.42%$3,160 M24.2%53.84%
2018$17,605 M34.80%$4,383 M24.9%38.72%

Quarterly financial results

ZTO Express (Cayman) reported $5,627.53 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a 32.89% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,275.54 M with a profit margin of 22.67%. Profit margin decreased a -2.36% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 25.02%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, ZTO Express (Cayman) sales marked a super good increase and boosted a 29.94%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, ZTO Express (Cayman) posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
ZTO quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$380 M-$73 M19.3%-
2017-Q3$472 M24.29%$108 M22.8%47.21%
2017-Q4$4,331 M816.81%$1,222 M28.2%1,034.32%
2018-Q1$3,544 M-18.16%$557 M15.7%-54.45%
2018-Q2$4,198 M18.44%$1,491 M35.5%167.81%
2018-Q3$4,235 M0.87%$1,060 M25.0%-28.93%
2018-Q4$5,628 M32.89%$1,276 M22.7%20.37%

ZTO Express (Cayman) ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

ZTO Express (Cayman) shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.59% of all shares.

In case of ZTO Express (Cayman) stock, 37.60% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ZTO stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to ZTO Express (Cayman):

ZTO
Market cap$21.4 B
Total shares782.0 M
Float shares359.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)37.6%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.6%
Shares in short selling0.0%

ZTO summary

Thursday, April 2nd, 2020
Open$26.01
Close$27.35
Day range$25.86 - $27.44
Previous close$26.32
Session gain3.91%
Average true range$1.56
50d mov avg$24.55
100d mov avg$23.43
200d mov avg$21.89
Daily patternlb11c
Weekly pattern lb03a

ZTO Express (Cayman) performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We compared ZTO Express (Cayman) against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
ZTOZTO Express (Caym...17.38%32.00%44.71%

ZTO Express (Cayman) competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as ZTO Express (Cayman) competitor. This doesn't mean ZTO Express (Cayman) does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.