Exxon Mobil stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
May 20th, 2019
3
Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada\u002FSouth America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and Australia\u002FOceania.
Should I buy Exxon Mobil stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Following a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.Currently, Exxon Mobil stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Exxon Mobil stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday.
At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for XOM stock in the last 30 days.| Date | Analyst / Broker | Previous rating | Current rating |
| 2019-5-16 | Morgan Stanley | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-5-13 | HSBC | Buy | Hold |
| 2019-4-8 | Tudor Pickering | Hold | Hold |
| 2019-4-3 | Wells Fargo & Co | Market Perform | Market Perform |
| 2019-4-26 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-4-26 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-4-26 | Goldman Sachs Group | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-4-26 | Goldman Sachs Group | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-4-25 | Royal Bank of Canada | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-4-1 | Morgan Stanley | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-3-8 | Cowen | Outperform | Market Perform |
| 2019-3-7 | Royal Bank of Canada | n/a | Outperform |
| 2019-3-7 | Credit Suisse Group | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-2-6 | Argus | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-2-4 | Barclays | n/a | Sell |
Exxon Mobil stock analysis
Daily outlook
Exxon Mobil shares stayed stable -0.01% to $75.90 today.
Shares of Exxon Mobil closed today at $75.90 and stayed constant a tight -0.01%. Since May 2nd when XOM stock price broke down the SMA200d line, it slid $-1.88 per share (-2.42%).
Weekly outlook
Shares of Exxon Mobil ended this week at $75.90 and remained stable a tight -0.01%. For 5 weeks in a row, price slid and lost a -5.39%.
If you observe the weekly chart, price is in a simple uptrend, tested $74.91 level and now climbing back aiming its last top at $82.54. Since this week when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, XOM price slipped $-0.01 per share (-0.01%). Since late April, when XOM stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-3.68 per share (-4.62%). Trading stocks that are below the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average mark is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support.
Exxon Mobil stock price history
Exxon Mobil stock historical price chart
XOM stock reached 52-week highs on September at $84.56, and all-time highs 2014-07-29 with a price of 87.24.
Exxon Mobil stock price target is $85.10
How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' XOM stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we found 12 price predictions for XOM stock:| Date | Analyst / Broker | Action | Previous target | Current target | Diff |
| 2019-5-16 | Morgan Stanley | Lowers Target | $86.00 | $85.00 | -1.2% |
| 2019-4-8 | Tudor Pickering | Initiates | n/a | $82.49 | - |
| 2019-4-3 | Wells Fargo & Co | Raises Target | $76.00 | $80.00 | 5.3% |
| 2019-4-26 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Set Price Target | n/a | $87.00 | - |
| 2019-4-26 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Reiterates | n/a | $87.00 | - |
| 2019-4-26 | Goldman Sachs Group | Set Price Target | n/a | $82.00 | - |
| 2019-4-26 | Goldman Sachs Group | Reiterates | n/a | $82.00 | - |
| 2019-4-25 | Royal Bank of Canada | Set Price Target | n/a | $100.00 | - |
| 2019-3-8 | Cowen | Downgrades | $100.00 | $75.00 | -25% |
| 2019-3-7 | Royal Bank of Canada | Raises Target | n/a | $100.00 | - |
| 2019-3-7 | Credit Suisse Group | Set Price Target | n/a | $79.00 | - |
| 2019-2-4 | Barclays | Set Price Target | n/a | $82.00 | - |
| (in average) | $87.30 | $85.10 | -3.0% |
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
After presenting its last earnings report on April/25, Exxon Mobil decreased an awful -6.63%. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.78 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-10-27 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 8.1% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-02-02 | 1.04 | 0.88 | -15.4% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-04-27 | 1.14 | 1.09 | -4.4% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-07-27 | 1.26 | 0.92 | -27.0% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-11-02 | 1.21 | 1.46 | 20.7% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-02-01 | 1.08 | 1.51 | 39.8% |
| 2019-Q1 | 2019-04-25 | 0.93 | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q3 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw an extraordinary increase of 17.78% to $279,332.00 M USD. In contrary, its profit margin (compared to revenues) stayed constant to 7.46%, that is $20,840.00 million. To have an up to date view of the financial situation of Exxon Mobil, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Exxon Mobil TTM sales up to March 2019 were $277,521.00 and income was $18,540.00 million dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Exxon Mobil business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained stable a lame -0.65%. Similarly, profit margin (net income/revenues) stayed stable at 7.46%.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $390,250 M | - | $32,580 M8.3% | - |
| 2014 | $394,105 M | 0.99% | $32,520 M8.3% | -0.18% |
| 2015 | $259,488 M | -34.16% | $16,150 M6.2% | -50.34% |
| 2016 | $218,608 M | -15.75% | $7,840 M3.6% | -51.46% |
| 2017 | $237,162 M | 8.49% | $19,710 M8.3% | 151.40% |
| 2018 | $279,332 M | 17.78% | $20,840 M7.5% | 5.73% |
| TTM | $277,521 M | -0.65% | $18,540 M6.7% | -11.04% |
Quarterly financial results
Exxon Mobil reported $63,625.00 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a -6.78% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $2,350.00 M with a profit margin of 3.69%. Profit margin eased a -5.10% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 8.79%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Exxon Mobil sales marked a disappointing drop down and depreciated a -2.77%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Exxon Mobil posted 2 positive quarters in a row.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | $55,240 M | - | $3,350 M6.1% | - |
| 2017-Q3 | $64,415 M | 16.61% | $3,970 M6.2% | 18.51% |
| 2017-Q4 | $65,312 M | 1.39% | $8,380 M12.8% | 111.08% |
| 2018-Q1 | $65,436 M | 0.19% | $4,650 M7.1% | -44.51% |
| 2018-Q2 | $71,456 M | 9.20% | $3,950 M5.5% | -15.05% |
| 2018-Q3 | $74,187 M | 3.82% | $6,240 M8.4% | 57.97% |
| 2018-Q4 | $68,253 M | -8.00% | $6,000 M8.8% | -3.85% |
| 2019-Q1 | $63,625 M | -6.78% | $2,350 M3.7% | -60.83% |
Exxon Mobil ownership
When you are planning to buy shares of a company, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Exxon Mobil, 0.09% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of Exxon Mobil stock, 55.56% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for XOM stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
| XOM | BP | COP | CVX | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $321.1 B | $852.4 B | $70.6 B | $229.6 B | $119.8 B |
| Total shares | 4,230.0 M | 20,010.0 M | 1,130.0 M | 1,900.0 M | 3,640.0 M |
| Float shares | 4,220.0 M | 3,330.0 M | 1,130.0 M | 1,900.0 M | 1,270.0 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 55.6% | 11.3% | 75.1% | 67.5% | 1.7% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Exxon Mobil summary
| Monday, May 20th, 2019 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $76.05 |
| Close | $75.90 |
| Day range | $75.67 - $76.36 |
| Previous close | $75.91 |
| Session gain | -0.01% |
| Average true range | $1.11 |
| 50d mov avg | $79.14 |
| 100d mov avg | $76.07 |
| 200d mov avg | $76.88 |
| Daily pattern | lt02a |
| Weekly pattern | lb01a |
Exxon Mobil performance
Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Exxon Mobil against BP p.l.c, , Chevron, ENI S.p.A, Hess, HollyFrontier, Honeywell International, Occidental Petroleum, and Total in the following table:| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| XOMExxon Mobil | -2.10% | 2.82% | 0.65% |
| BPBP p.l.c | 1.82% | 9.96% | 1.74% |
| COP | -10.30% | -1.19% | -2.91% |
| CVXChevron | 2.21% | 8.50% | 2.83% |
| EENI S.p.A | -3.88% | -3.55% | -10.98% |
| HESHess | 14.58% | 14.92% | 3.33% |
| HFCHollyFrontier | -20.88% | -23.17% | -38.97% |
| HONHoneywell Interna... | 10.06% | 18.32% | 18.65% |
| OXYOccidental Petrol... | -17.90% | -21.57% | -32.26% |
| PSX | -12.32% | -3.27% | -24.38% |
| TOTTotal | -2.23% | 4.29% | -2.78% |
Exxon Mobil competitors
We chose a few stocks to conform a list of Exxon Mobil competitors to watch if you are interested in investing in XOM:- BP p.l.c (BP)
- (COP)
- Chevron (CVX)
- ENI S.p.A (E)
- Hess (HES)
- HollyFrontier (HFC)
- Honeywell International (HON)
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
- (PSX)
- Total (TOT)
Latest Exxon Mobil stock news
- Seeking AlphaExxon Mobil: Short-Term Bumps For Long-Term SuccessApril 30, 2019
- InvestorPlaceChemicals Growth, Investments Helping to Boost Exxon Mobil StockApril 30, 2019
- InvestorPlaceExxon Mobil Stock Is Still Worth ItApril 30, 2019
- Seeking AlphaExxon Mobil: Strong BuyApril 29, 2019
- Seeking AlphaExxon Mobil: The Stabroek Baker's DozenApril 22, 2019