WLFC stock: buy or sell?

WLFC stock price: $56.90 -1.04% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

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After reaching all time highs on September/13, Willis Lease Finance depreciated -1.04% today to $56.90. On Monday WLFC collapsed a dreadful -25.87%.

Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, leases commercial aircraft engines and other aircraft-related equipment to air carriers, manufacturers, and overhaul\u002Frepair facilities worldwide.

Should I buy WLFC stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Following a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Willis Lease Finance stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Willis Lease Finance stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for WLFC stock for the last month.

WLFC stock analysis

Daily outlook

Willis Lease Finance depreciated -1.04% today to $56.90 after marking all time highs on September/13.

After reaching all time highs on Sep/13, Willis Lease Finance depreciated -1.04% to $56.90. On September/13, WLFC hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on September 12th tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

WLFC stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting an outstanding 17.03% in a week last week, Willis Lease Finance closed this week at $56.90 and plummed a frightening -23.11%.

Willis Lease Finance stock is currently testing an important support close to , as it is the price at what the stock bounced up last time. A clear breakdown under level would indicate a break in the current uptrend. Not so far away is the last price record Willis Lease Finance marked last week, but since then it dropped a 23.58%. Late December 2018 WLFC price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.

WLFC stock chart (weekly)

WLFC stock price history

WLFC stock went public on September 18th, 1996 with a price of $8.751. Since then, WLFC stock surged a 550.30%, with an average of 23.90% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in WLFC stock in 1996, it would worth $5,503.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

WLFC stock historical price chart

WLFC stock reached all-time highs on Sep/13 with a price of $74.46.

WLFC stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price prediction for Willis Lease Finance stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After presenting its last earnings report on March, Willis Lease Finance . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
WLFC earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a2.44n/a
2017-Q2-n/a1.14n/a
2017-Q3-n/a1.52n/a
2017-Q42018-03-13n/a-0.28n/a
2018-Q12018-05-07n/a1n/a
2018-Q22018-08-06n/a1.26n/a
2018-Q32018-11-05n/a1.47n/a
2018-Q42019-03-13n/a2.91n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw an extraordinary gain of 26.75% to $348.35 M dollars. In contrary, its income margin (compared to sales) plummed to 12.41%, that is $43.23 million.

WLFC annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$153 M-$16 M10.2%-
2014$174 M14.11%$7.25 M4.2%-53.63%
2015$200 M14.53%$7.36 M3.7%1.50%
2016$207 M3.84%$14 M6.8%91.26%
2017$275 M32.60%$62 M22.6%341.81%
2018$348 M26.75%$43 M12.4%-30.45%

Quarterly financial results

Willis Lease Finance reported $132.18 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a 69.51% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $18.11 million with a profit margin of 13.70%. Profit margin appreciated a 1.30% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 12.41%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Willis Lease Finance sales marked a dazzling increase and skyrocketed a 109.18%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Willis Lease Finance posted 4 positive quarters in a row.
WLFC quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$77 M-$8 M10.6%-
2017-Q2$64 M-16.42%$6 M9.3%-26.68%
2017-Q3$66 M2.40%$5 M8.0%-11.65%
2017-Q4$63 M-4.06%$43 M67.6%707.05%
2018-Q1$64 M1.12%$7 M11.1%-83.42%
2018-Q2$74 M16.29%$8 M11.2%18.03%
2018-Q3$78 M4.94%$10 M12.4%15.73%
2018-Q4$132 M69.51%$18 M13.7%87.24%

Willis Lease Finance ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Willis Lease Finance, 55.52% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of Willis Lease Finance stock, 39.77% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for WLFC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

WLFCACYAERALAYR
Market cap$332.9 M$9.9 M$7.5 B$4.8 B$1.7 B
Total shares5.9 M1.6 M136.6 M111.7 M75.0 M
Float shares2.2 M1.2 M130.4 M104.1 M51.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)39.8%18.6%99.0%0.1%60.7%
  - Insider holdings (%)55.5%21.2%12.2%28.5%30.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

WLFC summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$57.54
Close$56.90
Day range$56.90 - $58.00
Previous close$57.50
Session gain-1.04%
Average true range$3.18
50d mov avg$61.20
100d mov avg$57.79
200d mov avg$48.89
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lt06b

Willis Lease Finance performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. In the following table, we compare Willis Lease Finance to AeroCentury, Aercap, Air Lease, Aircastle, CAI International, Fly Leasing, GATX and General Electric:
Stock3m6m12m
WLFCWillis Lease Fina...1.88%42.57%62.57%
ACYAeroCentury-14.50%-47.31%-62.86%
AERAercap9.58%22.76%-4.24%
ALAir Lease6.30%31.44%-6.22%
AYRAircastle11.85%18.37%14.61%
CAICAI International-6.16%2.93%-13.75%
FLYFly Leasing24.93%57.60%47.59%
GATX 0.97%8.98%-7.11%
GEGeneral Electric-10.42%-5.92%-19.57%

Willis Lease Finance competitors

We chose a few stocks to conform a list of Willis Lease Finance competitors to review if you are interested in investing in WLFC: