VSTO stock: buy or sell?

VSTO stock price: $9.34 -1.68% At close on November 15th, 2019

Updated on:
November 15th, 2019

2

Shares of Vista Outdoor dropped a rough -1.68% and closed at $9.34. On Nov/8 VSTO boosted a dazzling 6.41%.

Vista Outdoor Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets consumer products for outdoor sports and recreation markets worldwide.

Should I buy VSTO stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Vista Outdoor stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean VSTO will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Vista Outdoor stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 7 ratings published for VSTO stock in the last month.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for VSTO stock, with 4 positive ratings.
Is VSTO a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-30Cowenn/aHold
2019-9-3Cowenn/aHold
2019-7-9Lake Street CapitalBuyBuy
2019-7-8B. Rileyn/aBuy
2019-6-20B. Rileyn/aBuy
2019-2-8Roth Capitaln/aNeutral
2019-2-28B. RileyBuyBuy

VSTO stock analysis

Daily outlook

Vista Outdoor dropped a rough -1.68% and closed at $9.34.

Vista Outdoor shares dropped -1.68% to $9.34 yesterday. Since November/7 when VSTO stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $2.44 (35.36%). From a daily perspective, VSTO is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($6.48, on October/29) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($10.10, on Monday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top VSTO might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $10.10 or down under $6.48. Since SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up yesterday, VSTO price slid a -1.68%.

VSTO stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting an exceptional 31.02% in a week last week, Vista Outdoor closed this week at $9.34 and slipped a rough -3.41%. Late September VSTO plummed a hair-raising -8.87% in just one week. This week broke a green streak of 4 weeks.

If you observe the weekly chart, price finally broke over the resistance at $6.80 and continued climbing. Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up last week, VSTO climbed $2.67 (40.03%). Since this week when SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up, VSTO price slipped $-0.33 per share (-3.41%).

VSTO stock chart (weekly)

VSTO stock price history

VSTO IPO was on February 6th, 2015 at $38.00 per share1. Since then, VSTO stock lost a -75.40%, with a yearly average of -18.90%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

VSTO stock historical price chart

VSTO stock reached 52-week highs at $14.04, and all-time highs 2016-03-04 with a price of 53.91.

VSTO stock price target is $10.00

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. We have 6 price forecasts for VSTO stock released in the last 30 days:
VSTO stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-30CowenReiteratesn/a$5.00-
2019-9-3CowenReiteratesn/a$5.00-
2019-7-9Lake Street CapitalInitiatesn/a$11.00-
2019-7-8B. RileySet Price Targetn/a$13.00-
2019-6-20B. RileySet Price Targetn/a$13.00-
2019-2-28B. RileyInitiatesn/a$13.00-
(in average)$0.00$10.000.0%
Moving in a range from $13.00 and $5.00, the price forecast for Vista Outdoor stock is $10.00. In average, analysts' outlook on VSTO price forecast is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Vista Outdoor presented amazing results for 2018-Q4 on February. Vista Outdoor skyrocketed Earnings per Share (EPS) by 80.00%, beating analysts of $0.05. Vista Outdoor posted $0.09.
VSTO earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.01n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.29n/a
2017-Q32017-11-090.270.3425.9%
2017-Q42018-02-080.070.1385.7%
2018-Q12018-05-01-0.14-0.22n/a
2018-Q22018-08-09-0.08n/an/a
2018-Q32018-11-01n/a0.05n/a
2018-Q42019-02-070.050.0980.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a terrible loss of -9.36% to $2,308.46 M USD. However, its earnings margin (compared to revenues) escalated to -2.61%, that is $-60.23 million.

Vista Outdoor presents anual results in March, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Vista Outdoor TTM sales up to December 2018 were $2,114.42 and income $-615.73 M dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Vista Outdoor business evolution since March 2018: Annual turnover up to December, compared to lastest yearly report, fell a godawful -8.41%. In the same way, profit margin (net income/sales) collapsed at -2.61%.

VSTO annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,200 M-$65 M5.4%-
2014$1,870 M55.83%$133 M7.1%106.00%
2015$2,083 M11.41%$80 M3.8%-40.32%
2016$2,271 M8.99%$147 M6.5%84.89%
2017$2,547 M12.16%$-274.45 M-10.8%-286.66%
2018$2,308 M-9.36%$-60.23 M-2.6%-78.05%
TTM $2,114 M-8.41%$-615.73 M-29.1%922.26%

Quarterly financial results

Vista Outdoor posted $467.77 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -14.42% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-514.64 million with a profit margin of -110.02%. Profit margin plummed a -104.02% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -6.00%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Vista Outdoor sales marked a dreadful drop down and collapsed a -19.52%.
VSTO quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$579 M-$0.86 M0.1%-
2017-Q2$569 M-1.73%$16.65 M2.9%1,842.82%
2017-Q3$587 M3.26%$-114.71 M-19.5%-788.92%
2017-Q4$581 M-1.04%$53.74 M9.2%-146.85%
2018-Q1$571 M-1.72%$-15.92 M-2.8%-129.63%
2018-Q2$529 M-7.42%$-52.35 M-9.9%228.78%
2018-Q3$547 M3.36%$-32.82 M-6.0%-37.31%
2018-Q4$468 M-14.42%$-514.64 M-110.0%1,468.17%

Vista Outdoor ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Vista Outdoor shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 1.09% of all shares.

Bearish positions for VSTO stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

VSTOBCCENTAELYPOOL
Market cap$539.4 M$4.8 B$1.3 B$1.9 B$8.3 B
Total shares57.8 M81.6 M44.0 M94.1 M40.0 M
Float shares57.4 M76.7 M51.6 M83.5 M38.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)98.2%96.2%92.2%94.0%99.2%
  - Insider holdings (%)1.1%1.2%5.5%6.6%3.4%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

VSTO summary

Friday, November 15th, 2019
Open$9.55
Close$9.34
Day range$9.24 - $9.58
Previous close$9.50
Session gain-1.68%
Average true range$0.49
50d mov avg$6.82
100d mov avg$6.79
200d mov avg$7.74
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern lb01c

Vista Outdoor performance

To better understand Vista Outdoor performance you must compare its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. In the following table, we compare Vista Outdoor to Brunswick, Central Garden & Pet, Callaway Golf and Pool:
Stock3m6m12m
VSTOVista Outdoor105.73%2.86%-29.83%
BCBrunswick34.88%27.04%13.03%
CENTACentral Garden & ...41.13%9.58%4.33%
ELYCallaway Golf18.01%30.77%-2.48%
POOLPool6.63%13.12%35.69%

Vista Outdoor competitors

One check before trading any stock is to have a look a list of its competitors, in this case for Vista Outdoor. We picked 4 companies as Vista Outdoor competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.