VSTO stock: buy or sell?

VSTO stock price: $8.41 -8.19% At close on February 25th, 2020

Updated on:
February 25th, 2020

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Shares of Vista Outdoor plunged a hair-raising -8.19% and closed at $8.41. With Tuesday it's been 3 sliding days in a row, loosing $-0.99 (-10.53%).

Vista Outdoor Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets consumer products for outdoor sports and recreation markets worldwide.

Should I buy VSTO stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Vista Outdoor stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Vista Outdoor stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for VSTO stock for the last month.

VSTO stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Vista Outdoor plunged a hair-raising -8.19% and closed at $8.41.

Shares of Vista Outdoor closed today at $8.41 and plunged a hair-raising -8.19%. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on February/13, VSTO price slid a -12.49%. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on February 3rd, VSTO climbed $0.98 (13.19%). From a daily perspective, VSTO is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($6.93, on January 28th) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($10.27, on Feb 11th) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top VSTO might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $10.27 or down under $6.93.

VSTO stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Vista Outdoor ended this week at $8.41 and plunged a bloodcurdling -10.34%. Early February VSTO boosted an exceptional 22.93% in just one week.

Vista Outdoor stock is drawing an uptrend with rising tops and bottoms. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top, VSTO might consolidate in a flat-base, waiting to break out over or down under . Early February, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 13.19%. Since early February when VSTO stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $0.98 (13.19%).

VSTO stock chart (weekly)

VSTO stock price history

VSTO IPO was on February 6th, 2015 at $38.00 per share1. Since then, VSTO stock declined a -77.90%, with a yearly average of -15.60%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

VSTO stock historical price chart

VSTO stock reached 52-week highs on May at $10.42, and all-time highs 2016-03-04 with a price of 53.91.

VSTO stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we have not detected any price prediction for Vista Outdoor stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Vista Outdoor reported exceptional results for 2018-Q4 . Vista Outdoor boosted Earnings per Share (EPS) by 80.00%, beating analysts consensus of $0.05. Vista Outdoor posted $0.09.
VSTO earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.01n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.29n/a
2017-Q32017-11-090.270.3425.9%
2017-Q42018-02-080.070.1385.7%
2018-Q12018-05-01-0.14-0.22n/a
2018-Q22018-08-09-0.08n/an/a
2018-Q32018-11-01n/a0.05n/a
2018-Q42019-02-070.050.0980.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a godawful loss of -9.36% to $2,308.46 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, instead, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) escalated a 8.17% to -2.61%.

To have an updated view of the financial situation of Vista Outdoor, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2018-Q4 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Vista Outdoor TTM sales up to December 2018 were $2,114.42 and earnings were $-615.73 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Vista Outdoor business evolution since March 2018: Annual turnover up to December, compared to lastest yearly report, dropped a shocking -8.41%. Regarding profit margin, Vista Outdoor collapsed -26.51% to -2.61%

VSTO annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,200 M-$65 M5.4%-
2014$1,870 M55.83%$133 M7.1%106.00%
2015$2,083 M11.41%$80 M3.8%-40.32%
2016$2,271 M8.99%$147 M6.5%84.89%
2017$2,547 M12.16%$-274.45 M-10.8%-286.66%
2018$2,308 M-9.36%$-60.23 M-2.6%-78.05%
TTM $2,114 M-8.41%$-615.73 M-29.1%922.26%

Quarterly financial results

Vista Outdoor reported $467.77 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -14.42% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-514.64 M with a profit margin of -110.02%. Profit margin plunged a -104.02% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -6.00%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Vista Outdoor sales marked a dreadful slide and plummed a -19.52%.
VSTO quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$579 M-$0.86 M0.1%-
2017-Q2$569 M-1.73%$16.65 M2.9%1,842.82%
2017-Q3$587 M3.26%$-114.71 M-19.5%-788.92%
2017-Q4$581 M-1.04%$53.74 M9.2%-146.85%
2018-Q1$571 M-1.72%$-15.92 M-2.8%-129.63%
2018-Q2$529 M-7.42%$-52.35 M-9.9%228.78%
2018-Q3$547 M3.36%$-32.82 M-6.0%-37.31%
2018-Q4$468 M-14.42%$-514.64 M-110.0%1,468.17%

Vista Outdoor ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Vista Outdoor shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 1.47% of all shares.

Bearish positions for VSTO stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Vista Outdoor:

VSTO
Market cap$486.8 M
Total shares57.9 M
Float shares52.1 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)96.8%
  - Insider holdings (%)1.5%
Shares in short selling0.0%

VSTO summary

Tuesday, February 25th, 2020
Open$9.11
Close$8.41
Day range$8.40 - $9.11
Previous close$9.16
Session gain-8.19%
Average true range$0.61
50d mov avg$7.93
100d mov avg$7.72
200d mov avg$7.50
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern lt06a

Vista Outdoor performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare Vista Outdoor performance to :
Stock3m6m12m
VSTOVista Outdoor1.57%50.45%-11.47%

Vista Outdoor competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Vista Outdoor competitor. This doesn't mean Vista Outdoor does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.