VRSK stock: buy or sell?

VRSK stock price: $154.61 -2.18% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

5

Verisk Analytics fell -2.18% today to $154.61 after topping to all time highs on Aug 21st.

Verisk Analytics, Inc. provides data analytics solutions for customers in the insurance, energy, and financial markets in the United States and internationally.

Should I buy VRSK stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to define your own trading strategy that matches with your character as inversor. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, 2 buy setups match with Verisk Analytics stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is Verisk Analytics stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we collected 8 ratings published for VRSK stock in the last month.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bearish for VRSK stock, with 4 negative ratings.
Is VRSK a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-31Bank of American/aNeutral
2019-5-2UBS GroupSellSell
2019-5-2SunTrust Banksn/aHold
2019-5-2Morgan Stanleyn/aHold
2019-4-9UBS GroupSellSell
2019-4-23Deutsche Bankn/aHold
2019-3-12UBS GroupSellSell
2019-1-8UBS GroupSellSell

VRSK stock analysis

Daily outlook

After climbing to all-time highs several times in past weeks, Verisk Analytics fell -2.18% to $154.61.

Verisk Analytics fell -2.18% today to $154.61 after topping to all time highs on Aug/21. From a daily perspective, VRSK is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($152.70, on Aug 14th) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($159.72, on August 21st) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top VRSK might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $159.72 or down under $152.70. On Aug 21st, VRSK hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $158.64 recorded on Monday. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

VRSK stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Even closing lower ($154.61, -1.45%), Verisk Analytics peaked new all time high at $159.72. After 4 weeks soaring, this week declined a -1.45%.

VRSK shows a strong mid-term uptrend with several rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last bottom early August, VRSK climbed unceasignly breaking out to new all time highs. Since mid January when VRSK stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $43.01 (38.54%). Late February, SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up triggering a rise of 24.11%.

VRSK stock chart (weekly)

VRSK stock price history

VRSK stock went public on October 7th, 2009 with a price of $26.901. Since then, VRSK stock surged a 474.80%, with an average of 52.80% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in VRSK stock in 2009, it would worth $4,748.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

VRSK stock historical price chart

VRSK stock reached all-time highs on Aug/21 with a price of $159.72.

VRSK stock price target is $126.30

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we found 8 price targets for VRSK stock:
VRSK stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-7-31Bank of AmericaRaises Target$146.00$155.006.2%
2019-5-2UBS GroupRaises Target$111.00$119.007.2%
2019-5-2SunTrust BanksRaises Targetn/a$150.00-
2019-5-2Morgan StanleySet Price Targetn/a$132.00-
2019-4-9UBS GroupRaises Target$106.00$111.004.7%
2019-4-23Deutsche BankSet Price Targetn/a$137.00-
2019-3-12UBS GroupRaises Target$100.00$106.006%
2019-1-8UBS GroupLowers Target$104.00$100.00-3.8%
(in average)$113.40$126.3011.0%
The price prediction for Verisk Analytics stock is $126.30, moving in a range between $155.00 and $100.00. In average, analysts' outlook on VRSK price forecast is positive, increasing the target by a 11.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Verisk Analytics reported its latest financial data, aligned with analysts' consensus and posted a $1.04 Earnings per Share. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
VRSK earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.72n/a
2017-Q32017-10-310.780.847.7%
2017-Q42018-02-200.780.813.8%
2018-Q12018-05-010.930.941.1%
2018-Q22018-07-311.011.065.0%
2018-Q32018-10-301.071.080.9%
2018-Q42019-02-191.061.04-1.9%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a great increase of 11.65% to $2,395.10 M USD. Instead, its profit margin (compared to sales) stayed constant to 25.00%, that is $598.70 million.

VRSK annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,600 M-$342 M21.4%-
2014$1,747 M9.17%$400 M22.9%16.87%
2015$2,068 M18.39%$508 M24.5%26.88%
2016$1,995 M-3.52%$591 M29.6%16.47%
2017$2,145 M7.52%$555 M25.9%-6.11%
2018$2,395 M11.65%$599 M25.0%7.85%

Quarterly financial results

Verisk Analytics reported $613.90 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 2.54% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $146.20 M with a profit margin of 23.81%. Profit margin depreciated a -3.91% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 27.73%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Verisk Analytics sales marked an excellent growth and rose a 7.65%.
VRSK quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$523 M-$121 M23.1%-
2017-Q3$549 M4.95%$121 M22.0%-0.25%
2017-Q4$570 M3.86%$205 M35.9%69.51%
2018-Q1$581 M1.91%$133 M22.9%-35.00%
2018-Q2$601 M3.46%$154 M25.5%15.41%
2018-Q3$599 M-0.43%$166 M27.7%8.14%
2018-Q4$614 M2.54%$146 M23.8%-11.93%
2019-Q1$625 M1.81%$134 M21.5%-8.07%

Verisk Analytics ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.

Verisk Analytics shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 5.81% of all shares.

Bearish positions for VRSK stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

VRSKCLGXFICO
Market cap$25.3 B$3.9 B$10.2 B
Total shares163.7 M80.1 M29.0 M
Float shares161.7 M79.2 M28.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)94.6%92.4%85.9%
  - Insider holdings (%)5.8%1.4%2.3%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%

VRSK summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$157.58
Close$154.61
Day range$153.91 - $158.50
Previous close$158.05
Session gain-2.18%
Average true range$2.69
50d mov avg$151.05
100d mov avg$145.60
200d mov avg$132.71
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern lb03c

Verisk Analytics performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. We chose CoreLogic and Fair Isaac as the bechmarking frame for Verisk Analytics stock.
Stock3m6m12m
VRSKVerisk Analytics8.90%24.11%31.57%
CLGXCoreLogic17.77%19.08%-4.84%
FICOFair Isaac19.21%41.78%56.59%

Verisk Analytics competitors

Choosing a list of competitors for Verisk Analytics it's not an easy task. We selected 2 public companies that are related to and can be considered as competitors of Verisk Analytics: