Vipshop stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
August 22nd, 2019
3
Vipshop Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as an online discount retailer for various brands in the People's Republic of China.
Should I buy Vipshop stock?
You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. That's why is so important to choose your own trading plan that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.None of our preferred buy setups matches with Vipshop stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Vipshop stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday.
At Stocks2.com, we detected 14 ratings published for VIPS stock in the last 30 days.| Date | Analyst / Broker | Previous rating | Current rating |
| 2019-8-5 | Jefferies Financial Group | n/a | Hold |
| 2019-8-16 | Daiwa Capital Markets | Neutral | Buy |
| 2019-8-15 | Jefferies Financial Group | Hold | Buy |
| 2019-8-15 | Credit Suisse Group | Neutral | Outperform |
| 2019-8-15 | CICC Research | Neutral | Outperform |
| 2019-7-17 | Credit Suisse Group | Neutral | Neutral |
| 2019-5-23 | Credit Suisse Group | Underperform | Neutral |
| 2019-4-5 | KeyCorp | Overweight | Overweight |
| 2019-4-30 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Neutral | Overweight |
| 2019-4-22 | UBS Group | Neutral | Sell |
| 2019-2-22 | Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral |
| 2019-2-22 | Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral |
| 2019-2-21 | Credit Suisse Group | Neutral | Underperform |
| 2019-2-19 | Bank of America | Buy | Neutral |
Vipshop stock analysis
Daily outlook
Vipshop plunged a scary -5.20% and closed at $8.02.
Shares of Vipshop plunged a scary -5.20% and closed at $8.02. Since last Aug/15 when VIPS stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $1.76 (28.12%). Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on April, VIPS price slid a -0.99%.
Weekly outlook
After boosting an outstanding 17.95% in a week last week, Vipshop closed this week at $8.02 and stepped up a slightly fine 1.39%. Early August VIPS plunged a scary -10.94% in just one week.
Last week VIPS price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides. Since mid April when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, VIPS price slipped $-0.36 per share (-4.30%).
Vipshop stock price history
Vipshop IPO was on March 23rd, 2012 at $0.60 per share1. Since then, VIPS stock grew a 1,236.70%, with a yearly average of 176.70%. If you had invested right after VIPS's IPO a $1,000 in Vipshop stock in 2012, it would worth $12,367.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
Vipshop stock historical price chart
VIPS stock reached 52-week highs on May at $9.26, and all-time highs 2015-04-27 with a price of 30.72.
Vipshop stock price target is $8.50
How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. We have 4 price targets for VIPS stock posted in the last 30 days:| Date | Analyst / Broker | Action | Previous target | Current target | Diff |
| 2019-4-5 | KeyCorp | Raises Target | $10.00 | $11.00 | 10% |
| 2019-4-30 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Upgrades | $6.50 | $11.00 | 69.2% |
| 2019-2-22 | Macquarie | Reiterates | $7.00 | $5.90 | -15.7% |
| 2019-2-22 | Macquarie | Downgrades | $7.00 | $5.90 | -15.7% |
| (in average) | $7.60 | $8.50 | 12.0% |
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
Vipshop presented beatiful results for 2018-Q4 on February. Vipshop gained Earnings per Share (EPS) by 6.30%, beating experts consensus of $0.16. Vipshop posted $0.17.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | - | n/a | 4.41 | n/a |
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 3.33 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-11-20 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.0% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-02-12 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 26.7% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-05-14 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.0% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-08-13 | 0.11 | 0.08 | -27.3% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-11-14 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.0% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-02-20 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 6.3% |
| 2019-Q1 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
In 2018, Vipshop annual turnover climbed an outstanding 15.93% to $84,523.90 million USD from $72,912.30 marked in 2017. In contrast, its earnings margin (compared to sales) remained steady to 2.52%, that is $2,128.79 million.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $1,700 M | - | $52 M3.1% | - |
| 2014 | $3,772 M | 121.89% | $137 M3.6% | 162.04% |
| 2015 | $40,203 M | 965.79% | $1,590 M4.0% | 1,058.61% |
| 2016 | $56,591 M | 40.76% | $2,037 M3.6% | 28.13% |
| 2017 | $72,912 M | 28.84% | $1,950 M2.7% | -4.28% |
| 2018 | $84,524 M | 15.93% | $2,129 M2.5% | 9.19% |
Quarterly financial results
Vipshop reported $26,083.40 M in sales for 2018-Q4, a 46.28% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $688.67 million with a profit margin of 2.64%. Profit margin inched a 1.36% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 1.28%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Vipshop sales marked an amazing increase and boosted a 603.07%.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | $2,320 M | - | $80 M3.5% | - |
| 2017-Q2 | $2,550 M | 9.91% | $56 M2.2% | -29.79% |
| 2017-Q3 | $2,301 M | -9.75% | $51 M2.2% | -9.80% |
| 2017-Q4 | $3,710 M | 61.20% | $104 M2.8% | 103.72% |
| 2018-Q1 | $19,871 M | 435.61% | $530 M2.7% | 411.79% |
| 2018-Q2 | $20,738 M | 4.37% | $682 M3.3% | 28.68% |
| 2018-Q3 | $17,832 M | -14.02% | $229 M1.3% | -66.44% |
| 2018-Q4 | $26,083 M | 46.28% | $689 M2.6% | 201.06% |
Vipshop ownership
When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Vipshop, 6.35% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of Vipshop stock, 55.87% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for VIPS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
| VIPS | AMZN | EBAY | EXPR | GPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $5.3 B | $897.3 B | $34.9 B | $159.0 M | $6.7 B |
| Total shares | 661.9 M | 492.1 M | 871.5 M | 75.3 M | 379.0 M |
| Float shares | 414.2 M | 436.0 M | 790.0 M | 60.5 M | 213.9 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 55.9% | 57.1% | 88.0% | 128.0% | 60.1% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 6.3% | 16.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 35.9% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Vipshop summary
| Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $8.45 |
| Close | $8.02 |
| Day range | $7.94 - $8.50 |
| Previous close | $8.46 |
| Session gain | -5.20% |
| Average true range | $0.50 |
| 50d mov avg | $7.77 |
| 100d mov avg | $7.91 |
| 200d mov avg | $7.19 |
| Daily pattern | |
| Weekly pattern | lb06a |
Vipshop performance
Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare Vipshop performance to Amazon.com, eBay, Express, Gap, JD.com, Jumei International, LightInTheBox and Ralph Lauren:| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| VIPSVipshop | 4.84% | 20.78% | 16.57% |
| AMZNAmazon.com | 0.01% | 11.77% | -4.30% |
| EBAYeBay | 11.14% | 7.50% | 16.72% |
| EXPRExpress | -41.06% | -59.50% | -79.73% |
| GPSGap | -16.19% | -26.68% | -37.68% |
| JDJD.com | 12.04% | 13.64% | -6.08% |
| JMEIJumei Internation... | -14.78% | -26.04% | 19.51% |
| LITBLightInTheBox | -3.97% | 104.23% | -13.69% |
| RLRalph Lauren | -19.09% | -30.12% | -34.32% |
Vipshop competitors
We picked a few stocks to conform a list of Vipshop competitors to review if you are interested in investing in VIPS:- Amazon.com (AMZN)
- eBay (EBAY)
- Express (EXPR)
- Gap (GPS)
- JD.com (JD)
- Jumei International (JMEI)
- LightInTheBox (LITB)
- Ralph Lauren (RL)
Latest Vipshop stock news
- InvestorPlaceWhy Vipshop Holdings Stock Is Tanking TodayAugust 14, 2018
- InvestorPlaceIs Vipshop Holdings an Ecommerce Also-Ran or the Real Deal?July 5, 2018
- Seeking AlphaVipshop Holdings: Trade War Headwinds And Margin CompressionJuly 3, 2018
- Seeking AlphaVipshop: Was The Selloff An Overreaction Or Was It Justified?June 1, 2018