UPS stock: buy or sell?

UPS stock price: $92.95 2.83% At close on April 2nd, 2020

Updated on:
April 2nd, 2020

2

Shares of United Parcel Service soared a remarkable 2.83% and closed at $92.95. On March/26 UPS rocketed an extraordinary 5.29%.

United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, specialized transportation, logistics, and financial services.

Should I buy UPS stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, United Parcel Service stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is United Parcel Service stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for UPS stock for the last month.

UPS stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of United Parcel Service closed today at $92.95 and soared a remarkable 2.83%.

Shares of United Parcel Service soared a remarkable 2.83% and closed at $92.95. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on January, UPS fell $-21.67 per share (-18.91%).

UPS stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Shares of United Parcel Service closed this week at $92.95 and plummed a horrible -4.69%. Late February UPS plunged a hair-raising -12.64% in just one week.

Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down late January, UPS fell $-22.57 per share (-19.54%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average line is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support.

UPS stock chart (weekly)

UPS stock price history

UPS IPO was on November 10th, 1999 at $39.25 per share1. Since then, UPS stock surged a 136.80%, with a yearly average of 6.80%. If you had invested right after UPS's IPO a $1,000 in UPS stock in 1999, it would worth $1,368.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

UPS stock historical price chart

UPS stock reached 52-week highs on November at $123.12, and all-time highs 2018-01-18 with a price of 125.56.

UPS stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. You should not follow the analysts' UPS stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price target for United Parcel Service stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After publishing its last earnings report on April, United Parcel Service . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
UPS earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.58n/a
2017-Q32017-10-261.451.450.0%
2017-Q42018-02-011.661.670.6%
2018-Q12018-04-261.541.550.6%
2018-Q22018-07-251.921.941.0%
2018-Q32018-10-241.821.820.0%
2018-Q42019-01-311.911.941.6%
2019-Q12019-04-251.46n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, United Parcel Service annual revenues escalated a very good 7.92% to $71,861.00 M USD from $66,585.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, however, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) remained stable a -0.70% to 6.67%.

To have an updated view of the financial situation of United Parcel Service, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual United Parcel Service TTM sales up to March 2019 were $71,908.00 and earnings were $4,557.00 M dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem United Parcel Service business evolution since December 2018: Annual turnover up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained stable a neutral 0.07%. In the same way, profit margin (net income/sales) stayed stable at 6.67%.

UPS annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$55,490 M-$4,370 M7.9%-
2014$58,232 M4.94%$3,032 M5.2%-30.62%
2015$58,363 M0.22%$4,844 M8.3%59.76%
2016$60,906 M4.36%$3,431 M5.6%-29.17%
2017$66,585 M9.32%$4,905 M7.4%42.96%
2018$71,861 M7.92%$4,791 M6.7%-2.32%
TTM $71,908 M0.07%$4,557 M6.3%-4.88%

Quarterly financial results

United Parcel Service reported $17,160.00 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a -13.54% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,111.00 M with a profit margin of 6.47%. Profit margin stepped up a 4.19% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 2.28%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, United Parcel Service sales marked a tight movement and stayed constant a 0.27%.
UPS quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$15,740 M-$1,380 M8.8%-
2017-Q3$15,980 M1.52%$1,260 M7.9%-8.70%
2017-Q4$18,262 M14.28%$1,101 M6.0%-12.62%
2018-Q1$17,113 M-6.29%$1,345 M7.9%22.16%
2018-Q2$17,456 M2.00%$1,485 M8.5%10.41%
2018-Q3$17,444 M-0.07%$1,508 M8.6%1.55%
2018-Q4$19,848 M13.78%$453 M2.3%-69.96%
2019-Q1$17,160 M-13.54%$1,111 M6.5%145.25%

United Parcel Service ownership

When you are planning to invest in a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

United Parcel Service shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.01% of all shares.

In case of United Parcel Service stock, 71.21% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for UPS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

UPS
Market cap$65.3 B
Total shares702.5 M
Float shares702.2 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)71.2%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

UPS summary

Thursday, April 2nd, 2020
Open$89.76
Close$92.95
Day range$88.38 - $93.55
Previous close$90.39
Session gain2.83%
Average true range$6.53
50d mov avg$98.92
100d mov avg$108.21
200d mov avg$109.94
Daily patternlt01a
Weekly pattern lt03a

United Parcel Service performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We chose as the bechmarking frame for United Parcel Service stock.
Stock3m6m12m
UPSUnited Parcel Ser...-19.57%-19.48%-15.75%

United Parcel Service competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as United Parcel Service competitor. This doesn't mean United Parcel Service does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.

    Latest UPS stock news