UPS stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
April 2nd, 2020
2
United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, specialized transportation, logistics, and financial services.
Should I buy UPS stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.Currently, United Parcel Service stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is United Parcel Service stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.
Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for UPS stock for the last month.UPS stock analysis
Daily outlook
Shares of United Parcel Service closed today at $92.95 and soared a remarkable 2.83%.
Shares of United Parcel Service soared a remarkable 2.83% and closed at $92.95. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on January, UPS fell $-21.67 per share (-18.91%).
Weekly outlook
Shares of United Parcel Service closed this week at $92.95 and plummed a horrible -4.69%. Late February UPS plunged a hair-raising -12.64% in just one week.
Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down late January, UPS fell $-22.57 per share (-19.54%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average line is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support.
UPS stock price history
UPS IPO was on November 10th, 1999 at $39.25 per share1. Since then, UPS stock surged a 136.80%, with a yearly average of 6.80%. If you had invested right after UPS's IPO a $1,000 in UPS stock in 1999, it would worth $1,368.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
UPS stock historical price chart
UPS stock reached 52-week highs on November at $123.12, and all-time highs 2018-01-18 with a price of 125.56.
UPS stock price target
Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. You should not follow the analysts' UPS stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price target for United Parcel Service stock by any trusted analyst.Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
After publishing its last earnings report on April, United Parcel Service . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 1.58 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-10-26 | 1.45 | 1.45 | 0.0% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-02-01 | 1.66 | 1.67 | 0.6% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-04-26 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 0.6% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-07-25 | 1.92 | 1.94 | 1.0% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-10-24 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 0.0% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-01-31 | 1.91 | 1.94 | 1.6% |
| 2019-Q1 | 2019-04-25 | 1.46 | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q3 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
In 2018, United Parcel Service annual revenues escalated a very good 7.92% to $71,861.00 M USD from $66,585.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, however, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) remained stable a -0.70% to 6.67%. To have an updated view of the financial situation of United Parcel Service, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual United Parcel Service TTM sales up to March 2019 were $71,908.00 and earnings were $4,557.00 M dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem United Parcel Service business evolution since December 2018: Annual turnover up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained stable a neutral 0.07%. In the same way, profit margin (net income/sales) stayed stable at 6.67%.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $55,490 M | - | $4,370 M7.9% | - |
| 2014 | $58,232 M | 4.94% | $3,032 M5.2% | -30.62% |
| 2015 | $58,363 M | 0.22% | $4,844 M8.3% | 59.76% |
| 2016 | $60,906 M | 4.36% | $3,431 M5.6% | -29.17% |
| 2017 | $66,585 M | 9.32% | $4,905 M7.4% | 42.96% |
| 2018 | $71,861 M | 7.92% | $4,791 M6.7% | -2.32% |
| TTM | $71,908 M | 0.07% | $4,557 M6.3% | -4.88% |
Quarterly financial results
United Parcel Service reported $17,160.00 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a -13.54% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,111.00 M with a profit margin of 6.47%. Profit margin stepped up a 4.19% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 2.28%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, United Parcel Service sales marked a tight movement and stayed constant a 0.27%.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | $15,740 M | - | $1,380 M8.8% | - |
| 2017-Q3 | $15,980 M | 1.52% | $1,260 M7.9% | -8.70% |
| 2017-Q4 | $18,262 M | 14.28% | $1,101 M6.0% | -12.62% |
| 2018-Q1 | $17,113 M | -6.29% | $1,345 M7.9% | 22.16% |
| 2018-Q2 | $17,456 M | 2.00% | $1,485 M8.5% | 10.41% |
| 2018-Q3 | $17,444 M | -0.07% | $1,508 M8.6% | 1.55% |
| 2018-Q4 | $19,848 M | 13.78% | $453 M2.3% | -69.96% |
| 2019-Q1 | $17,160 M | -13.54% | $1,111 M6.5% | 145.25% |
United Parcel Service ownership
When you are planning to invest in a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.United Parcel Service shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.01% of all shares.
In case of United Parcel Service stock, 71.21% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for UPS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
| UPS | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $65.3 B |
| Total shares | 702.5 M |
| Float shares | 702.2 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 71.2% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 0.0% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% |
UPS summary
| Thursday, April 2nd, 2020 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $89.76 |
| Close | $92.95 |
| Day range | $88.38 - $93.55 |
| Previous close | $90.39 |
| Session gain | 2.83% |
| Average true range | $6.53 |
| 50d mov avg | $98.92 |
| 100d mov avg | $108.21 |
| 200d mov avg | $109.94 |
| Daily pattern | lt01a |
| Weekly pattern | lt03a |
United Parcel Service performance
Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We chose as the bechmarking frame for United Parcel Service stock.| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPSUnited Parcel Ser... | -19.57% | -19.48% | -15.75% |
United Parcel Service competitors
Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as United Parcel Service competitor. This doesn't mean United Parcel Service does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.Latest UPS stock news
- InvestorPlaceUnited Parcel Service Earnings: UPS Stock Soars on Strong ProfitJuly 24, 2019
- InvestorPlaceUnited Parcel Service Earnings: UPS Stock Falls on Q1 MissesApril 25, 2019
- Seeking AlphaWe See An Opportunity In United Parcel ServiceDecember 7, 2018