UPS stock: buy or sell?

UPS stock price: $111.32 -3.38% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

4

United Parcel Service closed today at $111.32 and plummed a godawful -3.38%.

United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, specialized transportation, logistics, and financial services.

Should I buy UPS stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, United Parcel Service stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is United Parcel Service stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for UPS stock in the last month.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for UPS stock, with 7 positive ratings.
Is UPS a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-31Credit Suisse Groupn/aNeutral
2019-7-29Stifel NicolausBuyHold
2019-7-26Berenberg Bankn/aBuy
2019-7-25UBS Groupn/aBuy
2019-7-25Raymond Jamesn/aStrong-Buy
2019-7-25Loop Capitaln/aBuy
2019-7-25JPMorgan Chase & Co.n/aNeutral
2019-7-25Credit Suisse Groupn/aNeutral
2019-7-25Bank of AmericaNeutralBuy
2019-7-10Goldman Sachs Groupn/aBuy
2019-5-31UBS Groupn/aBuy
2019-4-26Raymond JamesStrong-BuyStrong-Buy
2019-4-1Berenberg BankHoldBuy
2019-3-6Credit Suisse Groupn/aNeutral
2019-3-25Berenberg Bankn/aHold

UPS stock analysis

Daily outlook

United Parcel Service ended today at $111.32 and plummed a godawful -3.38%.

Shares of United Parcel Service plummed a godawful -3.38% and closed at $111.32. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on Jul 23rd, UPS climbed $8.19 (7.94%). On July, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 8.71%.

UPS stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

United Parcel Service shares dropped -3.45% this week, ending at $111.32. Late July UPS boosted an amazing 14.32% in just one week.

United Parcel Service stock is drawing an uptrend with rising tops and bottoms. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top, UPS might consolidate in a flat-base, waiting to break out over or down under . Late July UPS price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides. Since mid June when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, UPS price gained $13.92 per share (14.29%).

UPS stock chart (weekly)

UPS stock price history

UPS IPO was on November 10th, 1999 at $39.95 per share1. Since then, UPS stock surged a 178.60%, with an average of 9.40% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in UPS stock in 1999, it would worth $1,786.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

UPS stock historical price chart

UPS stock reached 52-week highs on September at $120.79, and all-time highs 2018-01-18 with a price of 127.79.

UPS stock price target is $122.90

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' UPS stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we found 11 price forecasts for UPS stock:
UPS stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-7-31Credit Suisse GroupSet Price Targetn/a$119.00-
2019-7-29Stifel NicolausDowngradesn/a$118.00-
2019-7-25UBS GroupRaises Targetn/a$128.00-
2019-7-25Raymond JamesRaises Target$130.00$135.003.8%
2019-7-25Loop CapitalRaises Targetn/a$140.00-
2019-7-25JPMorgan Chase & Co.Set Price Targetn/a$114.00-
2019-7-25Credit Suisse GroupRaises Target$113.00$119.005.3%
2019-5-31UBS GroupLowers Target$118.00$110.00-6.8%
2019-4-26Raymond JamesLowers Target$135.00$130.00-3.7%
2019-3-6Credit Suisse GroupSet Price Targetn/a$114.00-
2019-3-25Berenberg BankReiteratesn/a$125.00-
(in average)$124.00$122.90-1.0%
The price forecast for United Parcel Service stock is $122.90, moving in a range between $140.00 and $110.00. In average, analysts' outlook on UPS price target is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since April, when United Parcel Service posted its last earnings report, it remained stable an ugly -0.95%. As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will update this report.
UPS earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.58n/a
2017-Q32017-10-261.451.450.0%
2017-Q42018-02-011.661.670.6%
2018-Q12018-04-261.541.550.6%
2018-Q22018-07-251.921.941.0%
2018-Q32018-10-241.821.820.0%
2018-Q42019-01-311.911.941.6%
2019-Q12019-04-251.46n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, United Parcel Service annual turnover rose a more than good 7.92% to $71,861.00 M dollars from $66,585.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nevertheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) remained constant a -0.70% to 6.67%.

To have an up to date picture of the financial situation of United Parcel Service, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual United Parcel Service TTM sales up to March 2019 were $71,908.00 and income was $4,557.00 M dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review United Parcel Service business evolution since December 2018: Annual revenues up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained steady a tight 0.07%. Regarding profit margin, United Parcel Service stayed constant -0.33% to 6.67%

UPS annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$55,490 M-$4,370 M7.9%-
2014$58,232 M4.94%$3,032 M5.2%-30.62%
2015$58,363 M0.22%$4,844 M8.3%59.76%
2016$60,906 M4.36%$3,431 M5.6%-29.17%
2017$66,585 M9.32%$4,905 M7.4%42.96%
2018$71,861 M7.92%$4,791 M6.7%-2.32%
TTM $71,908 M0.07%$4,557 M6.3%-4.88%

Quarterly financial results

United Parcel Service posted $17,160.00 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -13.54% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,111.00 million with a profit margin of 6.47%. Profit margin gained a 4.19% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 2.28%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, United Parcel Service sales marked a neutral move and stayed constant a 0.27%.
UPS quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$15,740 M-$1,380 M8.8%-
2017-Q3$15,980 M1.52%$1,260 M7.9%-8.70%
2017-Q4$18,262 M14.28%$1,101 M6.0%-12.62%
2018-Q1$17,113 M-6.29%$1,345 M7.9%22.16%
2018-Q2$17,456 M2.00%$1,485 M8.5%10.41%
2018-Q3$17,444 M-0.07%$1,508 M8.6%1.55%
2018-Q4$19,848 M13.78%$453 M2.3%-69.96%
2019-Q1$17,160 M-13.54%$1,111 M6.5%145.25%

United Parcel Service ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.

United Parcel Service shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.01% of all shares.

In case of United Parcel Service stock, 69.88% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for UPS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

UPSAIRTATSGCHRWEXPD
Market cap$77.6 B$50.6 M$1.2 B$11.4 B$12.1 B
Total shares697.5 M3.0 M59.4 M136.6 M172.0 M
Float shares697.8 M1.2 M57.1 M134.8 M169.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)69.9%29.5%92.0%89.3%98.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%42.0%2.6%0.5%0.6%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

UPS summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$114.33
Close$111.32
Day range$110.51 - $114.60
Previous close$115.22
Session gain-3.38%
Average true range$2.49
50d mov avg$108.01
100d mov avg$105.35
200d mov avg$104.30
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lt06a

United Parcel Service performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. We selected Air T, Air Transport Services, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Expeditors International of Washington and FedEx as the bechmarking frame for United Parcel Service stock.
Stock3m6m12m
UPSUnited Parcel Ser...17.13%3.60%-6.07%
AIRTAir T-10.15%-13.86%-23.17%
ATSGAir Transport Ser...-6.74%-19.68%-3.44%
CHRWC.H. Robinson Wor...5.67%-7.87%-11.28%
EXPDExpeditors Intern...-1.32%-6.67%-3.44%
FDXFedEx-0.76%-11.74%-34.61%

United Parcel Service competitors

One check before trading any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for United Parcel Service. We selected 5 companies as United Parcel Service competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest UPS stock news