UPS stock: buy or sell?

UPS stock price: $102.94 -3.32% At close on February 21st, 2020

Updated on:
February 21st, 2020

3

Shares of United Parcel Service closed on Feb 21st at $102.94 and slipped a horrible -3.32%.

United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, specialized transportation, logistics, and financial services.

Should I buy UPS stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to define your own trading strategy that fits your character as inversor. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with United Parcel Service stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is United Parcel Service stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for UPS stock for the last month.

UPS stock analysis

Daily outlook

United Parcel Service closed on February 21st at $102.94 and slipped a horrible -3.32%.

United Parcel Service shares slipped -3.32% to $102.94 on February/21. Since last January 30th when UPS stock price broke down the SMA200d line, it slid $-12.82 per share (-11.07%).

UPS stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Shares of United Parcel Service ended this week at $102.94 and dropped a fateful -2.84%. Late January UPS collapsed a frightening -12.69% in just one week.

Since late January, when UPS stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-13.72 per share (-11.76%). Trading stocks that are below the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average line is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support. Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up by mid June 2019, UPS price climbed $6.29 per share (6.51%).

UPS stock chart (weekly)

UPS stock price history

UPS IPO was on November 10th, 1999 at $39.64 per share1. Since then, UPS stock surged a 159.70%, with an average of 8.00% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in UPS stock in 1999, it would worth $1,597.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

UPS stock historical price chart

UPS stock reached 52-week highs on November at $124.34, and all-time highs 2018-01-18 with a price of 126.8.

UPS stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. You should not follow the analysts' UPS stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price target for United Parcel Service stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report on April, United Parcel Service . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will update this report.
UPS earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.58n/a
2017-Q32017-10-261.451.450.0%
2017-Q42018-02-011.661.670.6%
2018-Q12018-04-261.541.550.6%
2018-Q22018-07-251.921.941.0%
2018-Q32018-10-241.821.820.0%
2018-Q42019-01-311.911.941.6%
2019-Q12019-04-251.46n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a remarkable growth of 7.92% to $71,861.00 M dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, by contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) remained stable a -0.70% to 6.67%.

United Parcel Service fiscal year ends in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, United Parcel Service TTM sales up to March 2019 were $71,908.00 and income $4,557.00 million USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem United Parcel Service business evolution since December 2018: Annual turnover up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, stayed stable a tight 0.07%. In line, profit margin (net income/sales) stayed constant at 6.67%.

UPS annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$55,490 M-$4,370 M7.9%-
2014$58,232 M4.94%$3,032 M5.2%-30.62%
2015$58,363 M0.22%$4,844 M8.3%59.76%
2016$60,906 M4.36%$3,431 M5.6%-29.17%
2017$66,585 M9.32%$4,905 M7.4%42.96%
2018$71,861 M7.92%$4,791 M6.7%-2.32%
TTM $71,908 M0.07%$4,557 M6.3%-4.88%

Quarterly financial results

United Parcel Service reported $17,160.00 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -13.54% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $1,111.00 million with a profit margin of 6.47%. Profit margin gained a 4.19% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 2.28%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, United Parcel Service sales marked a neutral move and stayed steady a 0.27%.
UPS quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$15,740 M-$1,380 M8.8%-
2017-Q3$15,980 M1.52%$1,260 M7.9%-8.70%
2017-Q4$18,262 M14.28%$1,101 M6.0%-12.62%
2018-Q1$17,113 M-6.29%$1,345 M7.9%22.16%
2018-Q2$17,456 M2.00%$1,485 M8.5%10.41%
2018-Q3$17,444 M-0.07%$1,508 M8.6%1.55%
2018-Q4$19,848 M13.78%$453 M2.3%-69.96%
2019-Q1$17,160 M-13.54%$1,111 M6.5%145.25%

United Parcel Service ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

United Parcel Service shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.03% of all shares.

Bearish positions for UPS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

UPS
Market cap$72.1 B
Total shares700.8 M
Float shares701.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)319.2%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

UPS summary

Friday, February 21st, 2020
Open$105.62
Close$102.94
Day range$102.75 - $105.73
Previous close$106.48
Session gain-3.32%
Average true range$2.21
50d mov avg$113.43
100d mov avg$115.64
200d mov avg$111.41
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

United Parcel Service performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For United Parcel Service, the benchmark is made against .
Stock3m6m12m
UPSUnited Parcel Ser...-13.73%-6.77%-3.45%

United Parcel Service competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as United Parcel Service competitor. This doesn't mean United Parcel Service does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.

    Latest UPS stock news