UPS stock: buy or sell?
November 19th, 2019
United Parcel Service, Inc. provides letter and package delivery, specialized transportation, logistics, and financial services.
Should I buy UPS stock?Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
None of our preferred buy setups matches with United Parcel Service stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is United Parcel Service stock a buy?
Financial institutions and banks post stock ratings everyday.At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for UPS stock in the last 30 days. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for UPS stock, with 9 positive ratings.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-9-9||Bank of America||n/a||Buy|
|2019-8-26||Daiwa Capital Markets||Neutral||Outperform|
|2019-7-31||Credit Suisse Group||n/a||Neutral|
|2019-7-25||JPMorgan Chase & Co.||n/a||Neutral|
|2019-7-25||Credit Suisse Group||n/a||Neutral|
|2019-7-25||Bank of America||Neutral||Buy|
|2019-7-10||Goldman Sachs Group||n/a||Buy|
UPS stock analysis
Shares of United Parcel Service ended today at $120.53 and slipped a rough -1.82%.
United Parcel Service shares slipped -1.82% to $120.53 today. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on July, UPS climbed $18.19 (17.77%). On August, SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up triggering a rise of 5.83%.
United Parcel Service ended this week at $120.53 and eased a fatal -2.59%.
Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up late July, UPS climbed $18.88 (18.57%). Since mid June when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, UPS price gained $23.88 per share (24.71%).
UPS stock price history
UPS IPO was on November 10th, 1999 at $39.64 per share1. Since then, UPS stock surged a 204.10%, with a yearly average of 10.20%. If you had invested right after UPS's IPO a $1,000 in UPS stock in 1999, it would worth $2,041.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
UPS stock historical price chart
UPS stock reached 52-week highs on Nov/8 at $124.34, and all-time highs 2018-01-18 with a price of 126.8.
UPS stock price target is $124.80Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' UPS stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We detected 10 price predictions for United Parcel Service stock published in the last 30 days:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-9-9||Bank of America||Reiterates||$130.00||$135.00||3.8%|
|2019-7-31||Credit Suisse Group||Set Price Target||n/a||$119.00||-|
|2019-7-25||UBS Group||Raises Target||n/a||$128.00||-|
|2019-7-25||Raymond James||Raises Target||$130.00||$135.00||3.8%|
|2019-7-25||Loop Capital||Raises Target||n/a||$140.00||-|
|2019-7-25||JPMorgan Chase & Co.||Set Price Target||n/a||$114.00||-|
|2019-7-25||Credit Suisse Group||Raises Target||$113.00||$119.00||5.3%|
|2019-5-31||UBS Group||Lowers Target||$118.00||$110.00||-6.8%|
|2019-4-26||Raymond James||Lowers Target||$135.00||$130.00||-3.7%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareSince April, when United Parcel Service presented its last earnings report, it . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a remarkable growth of 7.92% to $71,861.00 million dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, instead, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) stayed steady a -0.70% to 6.67%. United Parcel Service presents anual results in December, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, United Parcel Service TTM sales up to March 2019 were $71,908.00 and income $4,557.00 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem United Parcel Service business evolution since December 2018: Annual revenues up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained stable a tight 0.07%. In the same way, profit margin (net income/sales) stayed constant at 6.67%.
|2013||$55,490 M||-||$4,370 M7.9%||-|
|2014||$58,232 M||4.94%||$3,032 M5.2%||-30.62%|
|2015||$58,363 M||0.22%||$4,844 M8.3%||59.76%|
|2016||$60,906 M||4.36%||$3,431 M5.6%||-29.17%|
|2017||$66,585 M||9.32%||$4,905 M7.4%||42.96%|
|2018||$71,861 M||7.92%||$4,791 M6.7%||-2.32%|
|TTM||$71,908 M||0.07%||$4,557 M6.3%||-4.88%|
Quarterly financial resultsUnited Parcel Service reported $17,160.00 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -13.54% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,111.00 M with a profit margin of 6.47%. Profit margin inched a 4.19% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 2.28%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, United Parcel Service sales marked a neutral move and remained steady a 0.27%.
|2017-Q2||$15,740 M||-||$1,380 M8.8%||-|
|2017-Q3||$15,980 M||1.52%||$1,260 M7.9%||-8.70%|
|2017-Q4||$18,262 M||14.28%||$1,101 M6.0%||-12.62%|
|2018-Q1||$17,113 M||-6.29%||$1,345 M7.9%||22.16%|
|2018-Q2||$17,456 M||2.00%||$1,485 M8.5%||10.41%|
|2018-Q3||$17,444 M||-0.07%||$1,508 M8.6%||1.55%|
|2018-Q4||$19,848 M||13.78%||$453 M2.3%||-69.96%|
|2019-Q1||$17,160 M||-13.54%||$1,111 M6.5%||145.25%|
United Parcel Service ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in a stock, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For United Parcel Service, 0.01% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of United Parcel Service stock, 69.88% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for UPS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to United Parcel Service:
|Market cap||$84.5 B||$60.4 M||$1.4 B||$10.2 B||$12.9 B|
|Total shares||700.8 M||3.0 M||59.4 M||135.3 M||170.3 M|
|Float shares||700.4 M||1.2 M||57.1 M||134.7 M||169.2 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||69.9%||29.5%||92.0%||89.3%||98.3%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.0%||42.0%||2.6%||0.5%||0.6%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Tuesday, November 19th, 2019|
|Day range||$120.23 - $123.54|
|Average true range||$2.10|
|50d mov avg||$118.12|
|100d mov avg||$114.63|
|200d mov avg||$109.12|
United Parcel Service performanceStocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. In the following table, we compare United Parcel Service to Air T, Air Transport Services, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Expeditors International of Washington and FedEx:
|UPSUnited Parcel Ser...||9.16%||27.80%||14.78%|
|ATSGAir Transport Ser...||20.51%||9.10%||29.50%|
|CHRWC.H. Robinson Wor...||-7.99%||-4.51%||-13.70%|
United Parcel Service competitorsOne check before trading any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for United Parcel Service. We selected 5 companies as United Parcel Service competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.
- Air T (AIRT)
- Air Transport Services (ATSG)
- C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)
- Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)
- FedEx (FDX)
Latest UPS stock news
- InvestorPlaceUnited Parcel Service Earnings: UPS Stock Soars on Strong ProfitJuly 24, 2019
- InvestorPlaceUnited Parcel Service Earnings: UPS Stock Falls on Q1 MissesApril 25, 2019
- Seeking AlphaWe See An Opportunity In United Parcel ServiceDecember 7, 2018