UNP stock: buy or sell?
November 19th, 2019
Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates railroads in the United States.
Should I buy UNP stock?Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to choose your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
Currently, Union Pacific stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Union Pacific stock a buy?
Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday.At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for UNP stock in the last 30 days. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for UNP stock, with 8 positive ratings.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-9-5||Bank of America||n/a||Neutral|
|2019-7-10||Goldman Sachs Group||n/a||Buy|
|2019-6-17||Sanford C. Bernstein||Outperform||Market Perform|
UNP stock analysis
Shares of Union Pacific closed today at $177.15 and appreciated a slightly fine 0.51%.
Union Pacific shares appreciated 0.51% to $177.15 today. On Nov/1 UNP price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On Nov/7, UNP hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $179.48 recorded on November/5. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.
Union Pacific shares stepped up 0.50% this week, ending at $177.15. For 5 weeks in a row, price soared and marked a profit of 9.70%. Late October UNP skyrocketed a dazzling 6.28% in just one week.
Not so far away is the last all-time high Union Pacific marked early November. Since late October when UNP stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $15.65 (9.69%).
UNP stock price history
UNP stock went public on January 2nd, 1980 with a price of $0.021. Since then, UNP stock grew a 885,650.00%, with a yearly average of 22,709.00%. If you had invested right after UNP's IPO a $1,000 in UNP stock in 1980, it would worth $8,856,500.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
UNP stock historical price chart
UNP stock reached all-time highs on Nov 7th with a price of $180.00.
UNP stock price target is $186.40How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we found 11 price forecasts for Union Pacific stock:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-9-5||Bank of America||Reiterates||$179.00||$185.00||3.4%|
|2019-9-17||UBS Group||Lowers Target||$201.00||$193.00||-4%|
|2019-7-8||Morgan Stanley||Lowers Target||$134.00||$128.00||-4.5%|
|2019-7-19||Loop Capital||Raises Target||n/a||$191.00||-|
|2019-7-19||Deutsche Bank||Raises Target||$197.00||$206.00||4.6%|
|2019-6-12||Deutsche Bank||Lowers Target||$200.00||$197.00||-1.5%|
|2019-4-22||Raymond James||Raises Target||$192.00||$201.00||4.7%|
|2019-4-22||Deutsche Bank||Set Price Target||n/a||$200.00||-|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareAfter posting its last earnings report on April, Union Pacific . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this report.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a shining increase of 7.50% to $22,832.00 M USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, however, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plummed a -24.30% to 26.13%. Union Pacific fiscal year ends in December, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Union Pacific TTM sales up to March 2019 were $22,741.00 and earnings $6,047.00 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Union Pacific business evolution since December 2018: Annual turnover up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained stable a tight -0.40%. In line, profit margin (net income/sales) stayed steady at 26.13%.
|2013||$21,960 M||-||$4,390 M20.0%||-|
|2014||$23,988 M||9.23%||$5,180 M21.6%||18.00%|
|2015||$21,813 M||-9.07%||$4,772 M21.9%||-7.88%|
|2016||$19,941 M||-8.58%||$4,233 M21.2%||-11.30%|
|2017||$21,240 M||6.51%||$10,712 M50.4%||153.06%|
|2018||$22,832 M||7.50%||$5,966 M26.1%||-44.31%|
|TTM||$22,741 M||-0.40%||$6,047 M26.6%||1.36%|
Quarterly financial resultsUnion Pacific reported $5,384.00 M in sales for 2019-Q1, a -6.48% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,391.00 M with a profit margin of 25.84%. Profit margin slightly fell a -1.16% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 26.99%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Union Pacific sales marked a lame loss and decreased a -1.66%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Union Pacific posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$5,250 M||-||$1,170 M22.3%||-|
|2017-Q3||$5,410 M||3.05%||$1,190 M22.0%||1.71%|
|2017-Q4||$5,450 M||0.74%||$7,278 M133.5%||511.60%|
|2018-Q1||$5,475 M||0.46%||$1,310 M23.9%||-82.00%|
|2018-Q2||$5,672 M||3.60%||$1,509 M26.6%||15.19%|
|2018-Q3||$5,928 M||4.51%||$1,593 M26.9%||5.57%|
|2018-Q4||$5,757 M||-2.88%||$1,554 M27.0%||-2.45%|
|2019-Q1||$5,384 M||-6.48%||$1,391 M25.8%||-10.49%|
Union Pacific ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in a stock, it's worth to overview its ownership structure.
Union Pacific shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.33% of all shares.
Bearish positions for UNP stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Union Pacific:
|Market cap||$123.0 B||$67.0 B||$33.5 B||$55.2 B||$6.4 B|
|Total shares||694.2 M||715.3 M||137.2 M||777.6 M||57.0 M|
|Float shares||692.9 M||612.7 M||126.6 M||781.2 M||55.2 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||81.3%||0.0%||75.4%||78.7%||98.0%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.3%||3.0%||0.0%||0.2%||1.9%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Tuesday, November 19th, 2019|
|Day range||$175.43 - $177.29|
|Average true range||$3.03|
|50d mov avg||$166.95|
|100d mov avg||$167.39|
|200d mov avg||$167.44|
Union Pacific performanceTo measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. In the following table, we compare Union Pacific performance to Canadian National Railway, Canadian Pacific Railway, CSX, Genesee & Wyoming, and Norfolk Souther:
|CPCanadian Pacific ...||4.57%||9.70%||21.65%|
|GWRGenesee & Wyoming||0.70%||17.88%||40.64%|
Union Pacific competitorsOne check before investing in any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Union Pacific. We picked 6 companies as Union Pacific competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.
- Canadian National Railway (CNI)
- Canadian Pacific Railway (CP)
- CSX (CSX)
- Genesee & Wyoming (GWR)
- Norfolk Souther (NSC)
Latest UNP stock news
- InvestorPlaceUnion Pacific Earnings: UNP Stock Chugs Higher on Q2 BeatJuly 18, 2019
- Seeking AlphaUnion Pacific: Reliably OvervaluedJune 14, 2019
- Seeking AlphaUnion Pacific: High Quality And Fair ValuationMay 20, 2019
- InvestorPlaceUNP News: Why Union Pacific Stock Is Surging TodayJanuary 8, 2019
- Seeking AlphaUnion Pacific Could Produce Compelling Total Returns For The Foreseeable FutureOctober 29, 2018