UNP stock: buy or sell?

UNP stock price: $177.15 0.51% At close on November 19th, 2019

Updated on:
November 19th, 2019

5

Shares of Union Pacific appreciated a slightly fine 0.51% and closed at $177.15.

Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates railroads in the United States.

Should I buy UNP stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to choose your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Union Pacific stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Union Pacific stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for UNP stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for UNP stock, with 8 positive ratings.
Is UNP a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-5Bank of American/aNeutral
2019-9-17UBS Groupn/aBuy
2019-7-8Morgan Stanleyn/aUnderweight
2019-7-26Atlantic SecuritiesNeutralOverweight
2019-7-19Loop Capitaln/an/a
2019-7-19Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-7-18Cowenn/aBuy
2019-7-17Cascend SecuritiesBuyHold
2019-7-10Goldman Sachs Groupn/aBuy
2019-6-17Sanford C. BernsteinOutperformMarket Perform
2019-6-13BarclaysOverweightEqual Weight
2019-6-12Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-4-4CitigroupBuyBuy
2019-4-22Raymond JamesStrong-BuyStrong-Buy
2019-4-22Deutsche Bankn/aBuy

UNP stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Union Pacific closed today at $177.15 and appreciated a slightly fine 0.51%.

Union Pacific shares appreciated 0.51% to $177.15 today. On Nov/1 UNP price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On Nov/7, UNP hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $179.48 recorded on November/5. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

UNP stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Union Pacific shares stepped up 0.50% this week, ending at $177.15. For 5 weeks in a row, price soared and marked a profit of 9.70%. Late October UNP skyrocketed a dazzling 6.28% in just one week.

Not so far away is the last all-time high Union Pacific marked early November. Since late October when UNP stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $15.65 (9.69%).

UNP stock chart (weekly)

UNP stock price history

UNP stock went public on January 2nd, 1980 with a price of $0.021. Since then, UNP stock grew a 885,650.00%, with a yearly average of 22,709.00%. If you had invested right after UNP's IPO a $1,000 in UNP stock in 1980, it would worth $8,856,500.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

UNP stock historical price chart

UNP stock reached all-time highs on Nov 7th with a price of $180.00.

UNP stock price target is $186.40

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we found 11 price forecasts for Union Pacific stock:
UNP stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-5Bank of AmericaReiterates$179.00$185.003.4%
2019-9-17UBS GroupLowers Target$201.00$193.00-4%
2019-7-8Morgan StanleyLowers Target$134.00$128.00-4.5%
2019-7-19Loop CapitalRaises Targetn/a$191.00-
2019-7-19Deutsche BankRaises Target$197.00$206.004.6%
2019-7-18CowenReiteratesn/a$184.00-
2019-6-13BarclaysDowngrades$190.00$170.00-10.5%
2019-6-12Deutsche BankLowers Target$200.00$197.00-1.5%
2019-4-4CitigroupRaises Target$180.00$195.008.3%
2019-4-22Raymond JamesRaises Target$192.00$201.004.7%
2019-4-22Deutsche BankSet Price Targetn/a$200.00-
(in average)$184.10$186.401.0%
The price target for Union Pacific stock is $186.40, moving in a range between $206.00 and $128.00. In average, analysts' outlook on UNP price target is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report on April, Union Pacific . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this report.
UNP earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.44n/a
2017-Q32017-10-261.491.50.7%
2017-Q42018-01-251.541.53-0.6%
2018-Q12018-04-261.651.681.8%
2018-Q22018-07-191.941.982.1%
2018-Q32018-10-252.092.152.9%
2018-Q42019-01-242.062.122.9%
2019-Q12019-04-242.01n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a shining increase of 7.50% to $22,832.00 M USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, however, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plummed a -24.30% to 26.13%.

Union Pacific fiscal year ends in December, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Union Pacific TTM sales up to March 2019 were $22,741.00 and earnings $6,047.00 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Union Pacific business evolution since December 2018: Annual turnover up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained stable a tight -0.40%. In line, profit margin (net income/sales) stayed steady at 26.13%.

UNP annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$21,960 M-$4,390 M20.0%-
2014$23,988 M9.23%$5,180 M21.6%18.00%
2015$21,813 M-9.07%$4,772 M21.9%-7.88%
2016$19,941 M-8.58%$4,233 M21.2%-11.30%
2017$21,240 M6.51%$10,712 M50.4%153.06%
2018$22,832 M7.50%$5,966 M26.1%-44.31%
TTM $22,741 M-0.40%$6,047 M26.6%1.36%

Quarterly financial results

Union Pacific reported $5,384.00 M in sales for 2019-Q1, a -6.48% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,391.00 M with a profit margin of 25.84%. Profit margin slightly fell a -1.16% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 26.99%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Union Pacific sales marked a lame loss and decreased a -1.66%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Union Pacific posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
UNP quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$5,250 M-$1,170 M22.3%-
2017-Q3$5,410 M3.05%$1,190 M22.0%1.71%
2017-Q4$5,450 M0.74%$7,278 M133.5%511.60%
2018-Q1$5,475 M0.46%$1,310 M23.9%-82.00%
2018-Q2$5,672 M3.60%$1,509 M26.6%15.19%
2018-Q3$5,928 M4.51%$1,593 M26.9%5.57%
2018-Q4$5,757 M-2.88%$1,554 M27.0%-2.45%
2019-Q1$5,384 M-6.48%$1,391 M25.8%-10.49%

Union Pacific ownership

When you are planning to invest in a stock, it's worth to overview its ownership structure.

Union Pacific shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.33% of all shares.

Bearish positions for UNP stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Union Pacific:

UNPCNICPCSXGWR
Market cap$123.0 B$67.0 B$33.5 B$55.2 B$6.4 B
Total shares694.2 M715.3 M137.2 M777.6 M57.0 M
Float shares692.9 M612.7 M126.6 M781.2 M55.2 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)81.3%0.0%75.4%78.7%98.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.3%3.0%0.0%0.2%1.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

UNP summary

Tuesday, November 19th, 2019
Open$176.07
Close$177.15
Day range$175.43 - $177.29
Previous close$176.25
Session gain0.51%
Average true range$3.03
50d mov avg$166.95
100d mov avg$167.39
200d mov avg$167.44
Daily patternlt01a
Weekly pattern

Union Pacific performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. In the following table, we compare Union Pacific performance to Canadian National Railway, Canadian Pacific Railway, CSX, Genesee & Wyoming, and Norfolk Souther:
Stock3m6m12m
UNPUnion Pacific11.42%4.07%26.14%
CNICanadian National...4.74%3.53%14.06%
CPCanadian Pacific ...4.57%9.70%21.65%
CSX 10.31%-4.52%3.14%
GWRGenesee & Wyoming0.70%17.88%40.64%
KSU29.78%28.72%59.53%
NSCNorfolk Souther14.78%-2.00%20.28%

Union Pacific competitors

One check before investing in any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Union Pacific. We picked 6 companies as Union Pacific competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest UNP stock news