UNP stock: buy or sell?
August 23rd, 2019
Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates railroads in the United States.
Should I buy UNP stock?Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
Currently, Union Pacific stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Union Pacific stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday.At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for UNP stock in the last 30 days. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for UNP stock, with 8 positive ratings.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-7-10||Goldman Sachs Group||n/a||Buy|
|2019-6-17||Sanford C. Bernstein||Outperform||Market Perform|
|2019-1-8||Seaport Global Securities||Neutral||Buy|
UNP stock analysis
Union Pacific shares plunged -3.64% to $160.02 today.
Shares of Union Pacific ended today at $160.02 and plunged a horrible -3.64%. In this session, Union Pacific stock crossed down the SMA200d line. If you are using SMA200d line as stop loss trigger, double check your position in this stock. On Aug 1st, UNP hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $180.30 recorded on July/31. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.
Union Pacific slipped a horrible -3.75% this week. This was the fifth red week in a row, sliding in full a -8.78%.
Not so far away is the last all-time high Union Pacific marked late July. This week, Union Pacific stock undercut the significant level of the 40-weeks moving average. Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.
UNP stock price history
UNP IPO was on January 2nd, 1980 at $0.02 per share1. Since then, UNP stock grew a 800,000.00%, with an average of 20,512.80% per year. If you had invested right after UNP's IPO a $1,000 in UNP stock in 1980, it would worth $8,000,000.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
UNP stock historical price chart
UNP stock reached all-time highs on Aug/1 with a price of $180.54.
UNP stock price target is $185.40How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' UNP stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We detected 10 price predictions for UNP stock released in the last 30 days:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-7-8||Morgan Stanley||Lowers Target||$134.00||$128.00||-4.5%|
|2019-7-19||Loop Capital||Raises Target||n/a||$191.00||-|
|2019-7-19||Deutsche Bank||Raises Target||$197.00||$206.00||4.6%|
|2019-6-12||Deutsche Bank||Lowers Target||$200.00||$197.00||-1.5%|
|2019-4-22||Raymond James||Raises Target||$192.00||$201.00||4.7%|
|2019-4-22||Deutsche Bank||Set Price Target||n/a||$200.00||-|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareAfter publishing its last earnings report on April, Union Pacific fell a tragic -8.98%. As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this report.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a pretty good increase of 7.50% to $22,832.00 million dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nevertheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plummed a -24.30% to 26.13%. To have an up to date view of the financial situation of Union Pacific, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Union Pacific TTM sales up to March 2019 were $22,741.00 and earnings were $6,047.00 M dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Union Pacific business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, stayed steady a neutral -0.40%. In the same way, profit margin (net income/revenues) remained stable at 26.13%.
|2013||$21,960 M||-||$4,390 M20.0%||-|
|2014||$23,988 M||9.23%||$5,180 M21.6%||18.00%|
|2015||$21,813 M||-9.07%||$4,772 M21.9%||-7.88%|
|2016||$19,941 M||-8.58%||$4,233 M21.2%||-11.30%|
|2017||$21,240 M||6.51%||$10,712 M50.4%||153.06%|
|2018||$22,832 M||7.50%||$5,966 M26.1%||-44.31%|
|TTM||$22,741 M||-0.40%||$6,047 M26.6%||1.36%|
Quarterly financial resultsUnion Pacific reported $5,384.00 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -6.48% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,391.00 million with a profit margin of 25.84%. Profit margin depreciated a -1.16% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 26.99%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Union Pacific sales marked a lame loss and decreased a -1.66%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Union Pacific posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$5,250 M||-||$1,170 M22.3%||-|
|2017-Q3||$5,410 M||3.05%||$1,190 M22.0%||1.71%|
|2017-Q4||$5,450 M||0.74%||$7,278 M133.5%||511.60%|
|2018-Q1||$5,475 M||0.46%||$1,310 M23.9%||-82.00%|
|2018-Q2||$5,672 M||3.60%||$1,509 M26.6%||15.19%|
|2018-Q3||$5,928 M||4.51%||$1,593 M26.9%||5.57%|
|2018-Q4||$5,757 M||-2.88%||$1,554 M27.0%||-2.45%|
|2019-Q1||$5,384 M||-6.48%||$1,391 M25.8%||-10.49%|
Union Pacific ownershipWhen you are planning to buy shares of a company, it's worth to overview its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Union Pacific, 0.33% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
Bearish positions for UNP stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Union Pacific:
|Market cap||$123.3 B||$66.8 B||$34.8 B||$53.5 B||$6.3 B|
|Total shares||770.3 M||727.3 M||144.9 M||809.2 M||56.5 M|
|Float shares||703.1 M||616.5 M||128.7 M||796.9 M||55.5 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||81.3%||0.0%||75.4%||78.7%||98.0%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.3%||3.0%||0.0%||0.2%||1.9%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Friday, August 23rd, 2019|
|Day range||$159.05 - $165.46|
|Average true range||$3.99|
|50d mov avg||$169.73|
|100d mov avg||$170.73|
|200d mov avg||$162.29|
Union Pacific performanceStocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Union Pacific against Canadian National Railway, Canadian Pacific Railway, CSX, Genesee & Wyoming, and Norfolk Souther in the following table:
|CPCanadian Pacific ...||7.94%||16.34%||19.39%|
|GWRGenesee & Wyoming||17.12%||31.71%||25.58%|
Union Pacific competitorsWe picked a few stocks to conform a list of Union Pacific competitors to watch if you are interested in investing in UNP:
- Canadian National Railway (CNI)
- Canadian Pacific Railway (CP)
- CSX (CSX)
- Genesee & Wyoming (GWR)
- Norfolk Souther (NSC)
Latest UNP stock news
- InvestorPlaceUnion Pacific Earnings: UNP Stock Chugs Higher on Q2 BeatJuly 18, 2019
- Seeking AlphaUnion Pacific: Reliably OvervaluedJune 14, 2019
- Seeking AlphaUnion Pacific: High Quality And Fair ValuationMay 20, 2019
- InvestorPlaceUNP News: Why Union Pacific Stock Is Surging TodayJanuary 8, 2019
- Seeking AlphaUnion Pacific Could Produce Compelling Total Returns For The Foreseeable FutureOctober 29, 2018