UNP stock: buy or sell?

UNP stock price: $181.72 -0.92% At close on February 21st, 2020

Updated on:
February 21st, 2020

4

Shares of Union Pacific closed on February/21 at $181.72 and slightly fell an ugly -0.92%.

Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates railroads in the United States.

Should I buy UNP stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. That's why is so important to choose your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Union Pacific stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean UNP will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Union Pacific stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for UNP stock for the last 30 days.

UNP stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Union Pacific slightly fell an ugly -0.92% and closed at $181.72.

Union Pacific ended on Feb 21st at $181.72 and slightly fell an ugly -0.92%. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on January, UNP price climbed $2.29 per share (1.28%). Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on November, UNP climbed $17.16 (10.43%). On January/24, UNP hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $187.68 recorded on Jan 23rd. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

UNP stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Union Pacific shares depreciated -1.24% this week, ending at $181.72.

Union Pacific stock is trading in the range of its last top and last bottom. Loosing would mean breaking the current uptrend. Breakdowns under last bottom are selling point signals for some trading strategies. Not so far away is the last all-time high Union Pacific marked late January. Since late December 2019 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, UNP price gained $0.31 per share (0.17%). Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up late October 2019, UNP climbed $21.10 (13.14%).

UNP stock chart (weekly)

UNP stock price history

UNP stock went public on January 2nd, 1980 with a price of $0.021. Since then, UNP stock surged a 908,500.00%, with a yearly average of 22,712.50%. If you had invested right after UNP's IPO a $1,000 in UNP stock in 1980, it would worth $9,085,000.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

UNP stock historical price chart

UNP stock reached all-time highs on January/24 with a price of $188.96.

UNP stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we have not found any price prediction for Union Pacific stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report on April, Union Pacific . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
UNP earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.44n/a
2017-Q32017-10-261.491.50.7%
2017-Q42018-01-251.541.53-0.6%
2018-Q12018-04-261.651.681.8%
2018-Q22018-07-191.941.982.1%
2018-Q32018-10-252.092.152.9%
2018-Q42019-01-242.062.122.9%
2019-Q12019-04-242.01n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw an excellent growth of 7.50% to $22,832.00 million USD. On the other hand, its profit margin (compared to revenues) plummed to 26.13%, that is $5,966.00 million.

Union Pacific presents anual results in December, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Union Pacific TTM sales up to March 2019 were $22,741.00 and income $6,047.00 M dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Union Pacific business evolution since December 2018: Annual revenues up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained stable a tight -0.40%. In line, profit margin (net income/revenues) stayed constant at 26.13%.

UNP annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$21,960 M-$4,390 M20.0%-
2014$23,988 M9.23%$5,180 M21.6%18.00%
2015$21,813 M-9.07%$4,772 M21.9%-7.88%
2016$19,941 M-8.58%$4,233 M21.2%-11.30%
2017$21,240 M6.51%$10,712 M50.4%153.06%
2018$22,832 M7.50%$5,966 M26.1%-44.31%
TTM $22,741 M-0.40%$6,047 M26.6%1.36%

Quarterly financial results

Union Pacific reported $5,384.00 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -6.48% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $1,391.00 M with a profit margin of 25.84%. Profit margin declined a -1.16% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 26.99%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Union Pacific sales marked a disappointing decrease and decreased a -1.66%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Union Pacific posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
UNP quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$5,250 M-$1,170 M22.3%-
2017-Q3$5,410 M3.05%$1,190 M22.0%1.71%
2017-Q4$5,450 M0.74%$7,278 M133.5%511.60%
2018-Q1$5,475 M0.46%$1,310 M23.9%-82.00%
2018-Q2$5,672 M3.60%$1,509 M26.6%15.19%
2018-Q3$5,928 M4.51%$1,593 M26.9%5.57%
2018-Q4$5,757 M-2.88%$1,554 M27.0%-2.45%
2019-Q1$5,384 M-6.48%$1,391 M25.8%-10.49%

Union Pacific ownership

When you are planning to invest in a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Union Pacific, 0.13% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for UNP stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

UNP
Market cap$125.4 B
Total shares690.3 M
Float shares687.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)82.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.1%
Shares in short selling0.0%

UNP summary

Friday, February 21st, 2020
Open$182.12
Close$181.72
Day range$180.78 - $182.83
Previous close$183.40
Session gain-0.92%
Average true range$2.93
50d mov avg$181.05
100d mov avg$174.58
200d mov avg$170.90
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lt06a

Union Pacific performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. We chose as the bechmarking frame for Union Pacific stock.
Stock3m6m12m
UNPUnion Pacific3.85%14.92%9.23%

Union Pacific competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Union Pacific competitor. This doesn't mean Union Pacific does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.

    Latest UNP stock news