UNP stock: buy or sell?

UNP stock price: $160.02 -3.64% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

2

Union Pacific shares plunged -3.64% to $160.02 today.

Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates railroads in the United States.

Should I buy UNP stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Union Pacific stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean UNP will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Union Pacific stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for UNP stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for UNP stock, with 8 positive ratings.
Is UNP a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-8Morgan Stanleyn/aUnderweight
2019-7-26Atlantic SecuritiesNeutralOverweight
2019-7-19Loop Capitaln/an/a
2019-7-19Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-7-18Cowenn/aBuy
2019-7-17Cascend SecuritiesBuyHold
2019-7-10Goldman Sachs Groupn/aBuy
2019-6-17Sanford C. BernsteinOutperformMarket Perform
2019-6-13BarclaysOverweightEqual Weight
2019-6-12Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-4-4CitigroupBuyBuy
2019-4-22Raymond JamesStrong-BuyStrong-Buy
2019-4-22Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-3-19Loop CapitalBuyHold
2019-1-8Seaport Global SecuritiesNeutralBuy

UNP stock analysis

Daily outlook

Union Pacific shares plunged -3.64% to $160.02 today.

Shares of Union Pacific ended today at $160.02 and plunged a horrible -3.64%. In this session, Union Pacific stock crossed down the SMA200d line. If you are using SMA200d line as stop loss trigger, double check your position in this stock. On Aug 1st, UNP hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $180.30 recorded on July/31. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

UNP stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Union Pacific slipped a horrible -3.75% this week. This was the fifth red week in a row, sliding in full a -8.78%.

Not so far away is the last all-time high Union Pacific marked late July. This week, Union Pacific stock undercut the significant level of the 40-weeks moving average. Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.

UNP stock chart (weekly)

UNP stock price history

UNP IPO was on January 2nd, 1980 at $0.02 per share1. Since then, UNP stock grew a 800,000.00%, with an average of 20,512.80% per year. If you had invested right after UNP's IPO a $1,000 in UNP stock in 1980, it would worth $8,000,000.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

UNP stock historical price chart

UNP stock reached all-time highs on Aug/1 with a price of $180.54.

UNP stock price target is $185.40

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' UNP stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We detected 10 price predictions for UNP stock released in the last 30 days:
UNP stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-7-8Morgan StanleyLowers Target$134.00$128.00-4.5%
2019-7-19Loop CapitalRaises Targetn/a$191.00-
2019-7-19Deutsche BankRaises Target$197.00$206.004.6%
2019-7-18CowenReiteratesn/a$184.00-
2019-6-13BarclaysDowngrades$190.00$170.00-10.5%
2019-6-12Deutsche BankLowers Target$200.00$197.00-1.5%
2019-4-4CitigroupRaises Target$180.00$195.008.3%
2019-4-22Raymond JamesRaises Target$192.00$201.004.7%
2019-4-22Deutsche BankSet Price Targetn/a$200.00-
2019-3-19Loop CapitalDowngrades$193.00$182.00-5.7%
(in average)$183.70$185.401.0%
Moving in a range from $206.00 and $128.00, the price target for Union Pacific stock is $185.40. In average, analysts' outlook on UNP price forecast is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After publishing its last earnings report on April, Union Pacific fell a tragic -8.98%. As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this report.
UNP earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.44n/a
2017-Q32017-10-261.491.50.7%
2017-Q42018-01-251.541.53-0.6%
2018-Q12018-04-261.651.681.8%
2018-Q22018-07-191.941.982.1%
2018-Q32018-10-252.092.152.9%
2018-Q42019-01-242.062.122.9%
2019-Q12019-04-242.01n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a pretty good increase of 7.50% to $22,832.00 million dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nevertheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plummed a -24.30% to 26.13%.

To have an up to date view of the financial situation of Union Pacific, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Union Pacific TTM sales up to March 2019 were $22,741.00 and earnings were $6,047.00 M dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Union Pacific business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, stayed steady a neutral -0.40%. In the same way, profit margin (net income/revenues) remained stable at 26.13%.

UNP annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$21,960 M-$4,390 M20.0%-
2014$23,988 M9.23%$5,180 M21.6%18.00%
2015$21,813 M-9.07%$4,772 M21.9%-7.88%
2016$19,941 M-8.58%$4,233 M21.2%-11.30%
2017$21,240 M6.51%$10,712 M50.4%153.06%
2018$22,832 M7.50%$5,966 M26.1%-44.31%
TTM $22,741 M-0.40%$6,047 M26.6%1.36%

Quarterly financial results

Union Pacific reported $5,384.00 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -6.48% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $1,391.00 million with a profit margin of 25.84%. Profit margin depreciated a -1.16% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 26.99%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Union Pacific sales marked a lame loss and decreased a -1.66%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Union Pacific posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
UNP quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$5,250 M-$1,170 M22.3%-
2017-Q3$5,410 M3.05%$1,190 M22.0%1.71%
2017-Q4$5,450 M0.74%$7,278 M133.5%511.60%
2018-Q1$5,475 M0.46%$1,310 M23.9%-82.00%
2018-Q2$5,672 M3.60%$1,509 M26.6%15.19%
2018-Q3$5,928 M4.51%$1,593 M26.9%5.57%
2018-Q4$5,757 M-2.88%$1,554 M27.0%-2.45%
2019-Q1$5,384 M-6.48%$1,391 M25.8%-10.49%

Union Pacific ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a company, it's worth to overview its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Union Pacific, 0.33% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for UNP stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Union Pacific:

UNPCNICPCSXGWR
Market cap$123.3 B$66.8 B$34.8 B$53.5 B$6.3 B
Total shares770.3 M727.3 M144.9 M809.2 M56.5 M
Float shares703.1 M616.5 M128.7 M796.9 M55.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)81.3%0.0%75.4%78.7%98.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.3%3.0%0.0%0.2%1.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

UNP summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$165.11
Close$160.02
Day range$159.05 - $165.46
Previous close$166.07
Session gain-3.64%
Average true range$3.99
50d mov avg$169.73
100d mov avg$170.73
200d mov avg$162.29
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

Union Pacific performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Union Pacific against Canadian National Railway, Canadian Pacific Railway, CSX, Genesee & Wyoming, and Norfolk Souther in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
UNPUnion Pacific-6.57%-4.92%8.85%
CNICanadian National...0.98%8.40%6.89%
CPCanadian Pacific ...7.94%16.34%19.39%
CSX -11.41%-9.19%-10.28%
GWRGenesee & Wyoming17.12%31.71%25.58%
KSU2.26%11.34%9.77%
NSCNorfolk Souther-12.34%-4.30%1.32%

Union Pacific competitors

We picked a few stocks to conform a list of Union Pacific competitors to watch if you are interested in investing in UNP:

Latest UNP stock news