UNFI stock: buy or sell?

UNFI stock price: $8.41 -10.44% At close on March 27th, 2020

Updated on:
March 27th, 2020

1

United Natural Foods collapsed a dreadful -10.44% and closed at $8.41. On Mar 20th UNFI climbed an exceptional 6.86%.

United Natural Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes natural, organic, and specialty foods and non-food products in the United States and Canada.

Should I buy UNFI stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with United Natural Foods stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean UNFI will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is United Natural Foods stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for UNFI stock for the last 30 days.

UNFI stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of United Natural Foods closed yesterday at $8.41 and collapsed a dreadful -10.44%.

United Natural Foods shares collapsed -10.44% to $8.41 yesterday. In this session, United Natural Foods stock crossed down the SMA200d line. If you are using SMA200d line as stop loss trigger, double check your position in this stock. From a daily perspective, UNFI is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($5.06, on Mar/12) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($12.93, on Mar 18th) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top UNFI might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $12.93 or down under $5.06.

UNFI stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting an outstanding 49.02% in a week last week, United Natural Foods closed this week at $8.41 and collapsed a frightening -25.04%.

UNFI stock chart (weekly)

UNFI stock price history

UNFI IPO was on November 1st, 1996 at $6.75 per share1. Since then, UNFI stock grew a 24.60%, with a yearly average of 1.10%. If you had invested $1,000 in UNFI stock in 1996, it would worth $246.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

UNFI stock historical price chart

UNFI stock reached 52-week highs on April at $13.92, and all-time highs 2015-03-02 with a price of 83.91.

UNFI stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we have not detected any price target for United Natural Foods stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

United Natural Foods reported astounding results for 2019-Q1 . United Natural Foods rocketed Earnings per Share (EPS) by 91.30%, beating analysts estimates of $0.23. United Natural Foods posted $0.44.
UNFI earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.77n/a
2017-Q3-n/a0.8n/a
2017-Q42018-03-080.550.7129.1%
2018-Q12018-03-080.530.7134.0%
2018-Q22018-06-060.931.0411.8%
2018-Q32018-09-200.850.76-10.6%
2018-Q42018-12-060.740.55-25.7%
2019-Q12019-03-050.230.4491.3%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, United Natural Foods annual sales rocketed an impressive 10.27% to $10,226.70 M dollars from $9,274.47 marked in 2017. By contrast, its profit margin (compared to sales) stayed constant to 1.62%, that is $165.67 million.

United Natural Foods fiscal year ends in July, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, United Natural Foods TTM sales up to January 2019 were $14,258.50 and earnings $-276.34 million dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem United Natural Foods business evolution since July 2018: Annual sales up to January, compared to lastest yearly report, skyrocketed an exceptional 39.42%. Regarding profit margin, United Natural Foods decreased -3.56% to 1.62%

UNFI annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$6,060 M-$108 M1.8%-
2014$6,790 M12.05%$125 M1.8%16.35%
2014$6,790 M0.00%$125 M1.8%0.00%
2015$8,180 M20.47%$139 M1.7%10.56%
2015$8,185 M0.06%$139 M1.7%0.00%
2016$8,470 M3.48%$126 M1.5%-9.34%
2016$8,470 M0.00%$126 M1.5%0.00%
2017$9,270 M9.44%$130 M1.4%3.49%
2017$9,274 M0.05%$130 M1.4%0.00%
2018$10,227 M10.27%$166 M1.6%27.29%
TTM $14,259 M39.42%$-276.34 M-1.9%-266.80%

Quarterly financial results

United Natural Foods reported $6,149.21 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 114.40% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-341.73 million with a profit margin of -5.56%. Profit margin decreased a -4.88% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -0.67%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, United Natural Foods sales marked an extraordinary increase and climbed a 143.24%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, United Natural Foods posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
UNFI quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$2,370 M-$36.59 M1.5%-
2017-Q3$2,340 M-1.27%$38.87 M1.7%6.23%
2017-Q4$2,458 M5.02%$30.51 M1.2%-21.52%
2018-Q1$2,528 M2.87%$50.49 M2.0%65.50%
2018-Q2$2,649 M4.78%$51.89 M2.0%2.78%
2018-Q3$2,592 M-2.14%$32.79 M1.3%-36.81%
2018-Q4$2,868 M10.64%$-19.29 M-0.7%-158.84%
2019-Q1$6,149 M114.40%$-341.73 M-5.6%1,671.15%

United Natural Foods ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For United Natural Foods, 1.34% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for UNFI stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

UNFI
Market cap$450.9 M
Total shares53.6 M
Float shares48.6 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)85.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)1.3%
Shares in short selling0.0%

UNFI summary

Friday, March 27th, 2020
Open$9.36
Close$8.41
Day range$8.28 - $9.36
Previous close$9.39
Session gain-10.44%
Average true range$1.99
50d mov avg$7.66
100d mov avg$8.10
200d mov avg$8.57
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern

United Natural Foods performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. In the following table, we compare United Natural Foods to :
Stock3m6m12m
UNFIUnited Natural Fo...0.36%-26.36%-36.38%

United Natural Foods competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as United Natural Foods competitor. This doesn't mean United Natural Foods does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.