ULH stock: buy or sell?

ULH stock price: $20.12 1.26% At close on August 22nd, 2019

Updated on:
August 22nd, 2019

0

Universal Logistics inched a fine 1.26% and closed at $20.12.

Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. provides transportation and logistics solutions in the United States, Mexico, Canada, and Colombia.

Should I buy ULH stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. That's why is so important to choose your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Just 1 of our buy setups matches with Universal Logistics stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MAYes

Is Universal Logistics stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks post stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we collected 2 ratings published for ULH stock in the last 30 days.

Is ULH a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-2Stifel NicolausHoldBuy
2019-1-15Citigroupn/aNeutral

ULH stock analysis

Daily outlook

Universal Logistics inched a fine 1.26% and closed at $20.12.

Shares of Universal Logistics closed today at $20.12 and inched a fine 1.26%. Yesterday, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 2.13%.

ULH stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After sliding for 4 weeks, this week Universal Logistics appreciated a slightly good 0.55%, closing at $20.12. This week broke a streak of 4 declining weeks. Early July ULH plunged a hair-raising -6.06% in just one week.

If you observe the weekly chart, price is in a simple uptrend, tested $18.78 level and now climbing back aiming its last top at $22.90. Since early August when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, ULH price slipped $-0.50 per share (-2.42%). Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down late July, ULH fell $-1.43 per share (-6.64%). Stocks below the 200 days moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Far behind is the all-time high Universal Logistics recorded late August 2018 and since then the price is -45.33% below that top.

ULH stock chart (weekly)

ULH stock price history

ULH IPO was on February 11th, 2005 at $15.13 per share1. Since then, ULH stock surged a 33.00%, with an average of 2.40% per year. If you had invested right after ULH's IPO a $1,000 in ULH stock in 2005, it would worth $330.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

ULH stock historical price chart

ULH stock reached all-time highs on August with a price of $36.80.

ULH stock price target is $26.00

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we found 2 price targets for Universal Logistics stock:
ULH stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-8-2Stifel NicolausUpgrades$31.00$30.00-3.2%
2019-1-15CitigroupLowers Targetn/a$22.00-
(in average)$31.00$26.00-16.0%
Moving in a range from $30.00 and $22.00, the price prediction for ULH stock is $26.00. In average, analysts' outlook on ULH price forecast is negative, downsizing the target by a -16.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since last February, when Universal Logistics posted its last earnings report, it . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this report.
ULH earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.1n/a
2017-Q32017-10-250.22n/an/a
2017-Q42018-02-22n/a0.22n/a
2018-Q12018-04-26n/a0.37n/a
2018-Q22018-07-260.330.6287.9%
2018-Q32018-10-250.520.531.9%
2018-Q42019-02-21n/a0.55n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw an outstanding gain of 20.14% to $1,461.71 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, instead, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) inched a 1.26% to 3.57%.

ULH annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,030 M-$51 M4.9%-
2014$1,192 M15.68%$45 M3.8%-10.28%
2015$1,129 M-5.27%$40 M3.5%-11.83%
2016$1,073 M-4.96%$24 M2.3%-39.39%
2017$1,217 M13.42%$28 M2.3%16.12%
2018$1,462 M20.14%$52 M3.6%85.34%

Quarterly financial results

Universal Logistics posted $386.38 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 3.23% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $9.02 million with a profit margin of 2.33%. Profit margin slightly fell a -1.69% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 4.02%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Universal Logistics sales marked an amazing growth and skyrocketed a 23.04%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Universal Logistics posted 6 negative quarters in a row.
ULH quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$305 M-$3 M0.9%-
2017-Q3$313 M2.56%$-3 M-1.1%-220.80%
2017-Q4$314 M0.33%$24 M7.8%-837.19%
2018-Q1$335 M6.72%$10 M3.1%-57.24%
2018-Q2$366 M9.19%$18 M4.8%69.34%
2018-Q3$374 M2.29%$15 M4.0%-14.79%
2018-Q4$386 M3.23%$9 M2.3%-40.09%
2019-Q1$377 M-2.32%$17 M4.6%91.76%

Universal Logistics ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Universal Logistics shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 71.04% of all shares.

In case of Universal Logistics stock, 28.08% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ULH stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Universal Logistics:

ULHCOOCVTIHTLDKNX
Market cap$580.3 M$16.3 B$236.5 M$1.6 B$5.9 B
Total shares28.8 M49.5 M16.0 M82.0 M173.1 M
Float shares8.5 M49.1 M12.5 M45.1 M123.9 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)28.1%103.4%75.9%61.0%90.5%
  - Insider holdings (%)71.0%0.7%36.8%48.9%9.7%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

ULH summary

Thursday, August 22nd, 2019
Open$20.00
Close$20.12
Day range$19.66 - $20.56
Previous close$19.87
Session gain1.26%
Average true range$0.70
50d mov avg$20.96
100d mov avg$21.11
200d mov avg$21.04
Daily patternlt03a
Weekly pattern lb01a

Universal Logistics performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For Universal Logistics, the comparison is made against The Cooper Companies, Covenant Transportation, Heartland Express, Knight Transportation, Marten Transport, P.A.M. Transportation Services, STAAR Surgical, USA Truck and Werner Enterprises.
Stock3m6m12m
ULHUniversal Logisti...0.90%-8.96%-43.58%
COOThe Cooper Compan...13.27%12.74%26.89%
CVTICovenant Transpor...-10.55%-40.10%-48.61%
HTLDHeartland Express5.82%-3.61%-0.15%
KNXKnight Transporta...13.66%1.67%4.48%
MRTNMarten Transport4.38%0.92%-9.51%
PTSIP.A.M. Transporta...-7.62%0.39%-17.87%
STAASTAAR Surgical26.85%-14.10%-30.09%
USAKUSA Truck-36.28%-56.95%-62.38%
WERNWerner Enterprise...8.91%2.94%-1.54%

Universal Logistics competitors

We chose a few stocks to conform a list of Universal Logistics competitors to review if you are interested in investing in ULH: