UAL stock: buy or sell?

UAL stock price: $23.42 -8.69% At close on April 2nd, 2020

Updated on:
April 2nd, 2020

2

United Continental shares collapsed -8.69% to $23.42 today. On Mar 25th UAL rocketed an astounding 9.84%.

United Continental Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.

Should I buy UAL stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with United Continental stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean UAL will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is United Continental stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for UAL stock for the last 30 days.

UAL stock analysis

Daily outlook

United Continental shares collapsed -8.69% to $23.42 today.

Shares of United Continental collapsed a spooky -8.69% and closed at $23.42. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on January, UAL fell $-66.28 per share (-73.89%).

UAL stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting a super good 25.40% in a week last week, United Continental closed this week at $23.42 and plunged a spooky -28.68%.

Since late January, when UAL stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-66.28 per share (-73.89%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average line is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support.

UAL stock chart (weekly)

UAL stock price history

UAL IPO was on February 6th, 2006 at $32.56 per share1. Since then, UAL stock declined a -28.10%, with a yearly average of -2.00%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

UAL stock historical price chart

UAL stock reached 52-week highs on July at $96.03, and all-time highs 2018-12-03 with a price of 97.85.

UAL stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we have not detected any price target for United Continental stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report on April, United Continental . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this report.
UAL earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a2.75n/a
2017-Q32017-10-182.162.222.8%
2017-Q42018-01-231.341.44.5%
2018-Q12018-04-170.490.52.0%
2018-Q22018-07-173.073.235.2%
2018-Q32018-10-163.093.06-1.0%
2018-Q42019-01-151.862.4129.6%
2019-Q12019-04-151.02n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a great growth of 9.31% to $41,303.00 M dollars. Nevertheless, its earnings margin (compared to revenues) remained stable to 5.15%, that is $2,129.00 million.

United Continental fiscal year ends in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, United Continental TTM sales up to March 2019 were $41,860.00 and earnings $2,274.00 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review United Continental business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, inched a tiny 1.35%. In line, profit margin (net income/sales) stayed steady at 5.15%.

UAL annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$38,280 M-$569 M1.5%-
2014$38,901 M1.62%$1,132 M2.9%98.95%
2015$37,864 M-2.67%$7,340 M19.4%548.41%
2016$36,556 M-3.45%$2,263 M6.2%-69.17%
2017$37,784 M3.36%$2,144 M5.7%-5.26%
2018$41,303 M9.31%$2,129 M5.2%-0.70%
TTM $41,860 M1.35%$2,274 M5.4%6.81%

Quarterly financial results

United Continental posted $9,589.00 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -8.60% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $292.00 M with a profit margin of 3.05%. Profit margin decreased a -1.36% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 4.40%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, United Continental sales marked a pretty good increase and rose a 6.17%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, United Continental posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
UAL quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$10,000 M-$818 M8.2%-
2017-Q3$9,880 M-1.20%$637 M6.4%-22.13%
2017-Q4$9,403 M-4.83%$566 M6.0%-11.15%
2018-Q1$9,032 M-3.95%$147 M1.6%-74.03%
2018-Q2$10,777 M19.32%$684 M6.3%365.31%
2018-Q3$11,003 M2.10%$836 M7.6%22.22%
2018-Q4$10,491 M-4.65%$462 M4.4%-44.74%
2019-Q1$9,589 M-8.60%$292 M3.0%-36.80%

United Continental ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For United Continental, 0.42% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for UAL stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to United Continental:

UAL
Market cap$5.8 B
Total shares248.0 M
Float shares232.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)101.2%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.4%
Shares in short selling0.0%

UAL summary

Thursday, April 2nd, 2020
Open$25.24
Close$23.42
Day range$23.00 - $26.08
Previous close$25.65
Session gain-8.69%
Average true range$6.54
50d mov avg$58.45
100d mov avg$73.97
200d mov avg$81.21
Daily patternlt03a
Weekly pattern lb06a

United Continental performance

To better understand United Continental performance you must compare its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We compared United Continental against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
UALUnited Continenta...-73.36%-72.21%-72.42%

United Continental competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as United Continental competitor. This doesn't mean United Continental does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.

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