Trinseo stock: buy or sell?

TSE stock price: $43.97 2.04% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

2

Shares of Trinseo jumped an excellent 2.04% and closed at $43.97.

Trinseo S.A., a materials company, manufactures and markets synthetic rubber, latex binders, and plastic products in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific.

Should I buy Trinseo stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Trinseo stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean TSE will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Trinseo stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we collected 9 ratings published for TSE stock in the last 30 days.

Is TSE a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-14Morgan Stanleyn/aEqual Weight
2019-8-13CitigroupBuyNeutral
2019-7-17Goldman Sachs GroupNeutralSell
2019-7-17Goldman Sachs GroupNeutralSell
2019-7-1Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-4-3Deutsche BankBuyBuy
2019-2-14Alembic Global Advisorsn/aBuy
2019-1-23Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-1-23Alembic Global Advisorsn/aBuy

Trinseo stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Trinseo closed today at $43.97 and jumped an excellent 2.04%.

Trinseo closed today at $43.97 and jumped an excellent 2.04%. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on September/11, TSE climbed $1.60 (3.78%). TSE is retaking the upward trend marking a new rising bottom heading to break out over $45.25.

TSE stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting an outstanding 17.46% in a week last week, Trinseo closed this week at $43.97 and slightly fell an unpleasant -0.70%. By mid August TSE plunged a bloodcurdling -6.12% in just one week.

Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up last week, TSE climbed $7.42 (20.30%).

TSE stock chart (weekly)

Trinseo stock price history

Trinseo IPO was on June 12th, 2014 at $19.06 per share1. Since then, TSE stock grew a 130.70%, with a yearly average of 26.10%. If you had invested right after TSE's IPO a $1,000 in Trinseo stock in 2014, it would worth $1,307.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Trinseo stock historical price chart

TSE stock reached 52-week highs on October at $79.57, and all-time highs 2018-01-29 with a price of 81.78.

Trinseo stock price target is $53.40

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. We found 7 price forecasts for Trinseo stock released in the last month:
TSE stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-8-14Morgan StanleyLowers Target$49.00$32.00-34.7%
2019-8-13CitigroupDowngrades$48.00$32.00-33.3%
2019-7-1Deutsche BankReiterates$55.00$50.00-9.1%
2019-4-3Deutsche BankLowers Target$58.00$55.00-5.2%
2019-2-14Alembic Global AdvisorsSet Price Targetn/a$75.00-
2019-1-23Deutsche BankLowers Targetn/a$55.00-
2019-1-23Alembic Global AdvisorsSet Price Targetn/a$75.00-
(in average)$52.50$53.402.0%
The price forecast for Trinseo stock is $53.40, moving in a range between $75.00 and $32.00.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since last February, when Trinseo posted its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
TSE earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/an/an/a
2017-Q2-n/an/an/a
2017-Q32017-11-032.212.18-1.4%
2017-Q42018-02-192.062.143.9%
2018-Q12018-05-022.552.768.2%
2018-Q22018-08-022.182.410.1%
2018-Q32018-11-081.81.831.7%
2018-Q42019-02-130.230.230.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Trinseo annual turnover gained a beatiful 3.93% to $4,622.80 million dollars from $4,448.10 marked in 2017. On the other hand, its profit margin (compared to sales) depreciated to 6.33%, that is $292.50 million.

TSE annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$5,310 M-$-22.22 M-0.4%-
2014$5,128 M-3.43%$-67.33 M-1.3%203.02%
2015$3,972 M-22.54%$134 M3.4%-298.49%
2016$3,717 M-6.43%$318 M8.6%138.17%
2017$4,448 M19.68%$328 M7.4%3.14%
2018$4,623 M3.93%$293 M6.3%-10.90%

Quarterly financial results

Trinseo reported $1,065.00 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -11.23% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-0.80 million with a profit margin of -0.08%. Profit margin fell a -6.30% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 6.23%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Trinseo sales marked a lame decrease and declined a -3.34%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Trinseo posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
TSE quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$1,100 M-$117 M10.7%-
2017-Q2$1,150 M4.55%$60 M5.2%-48.71%
2017-Q3$1,097 M-4.65%$33 M3.0%-44.79%
2017-Q4$1,102 M0.48%$118 M10.7%254.06%
2018-Q1$1,122 M1.80%$120 M10.7%2.30%
2018-Q2$1,237 M10.25%$98 M7.9%-18.29%
2018-Q3$1,200 M-2.98%$75 M6.2%-24.01%
2018-Q4$1,065 M-11.23%$-1 M-0.1%-101.07%

Trinseo ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Trinseo shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.57% of all shares.

Bearish positions for TSE stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Trinseo:

TSECEKRAOMNWLK
Market cap$1.8 B$15.2 B$1.0 B$451.2 M$8.3 B
Total shares40.2 M123.7 M31.7 M44.9 M128.3 M
Float shares39.9 M122.9 M31.0 M44.4 M34.9 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)97.5%105.7%99.2%101.3%28.6%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.6%0.6%2.3%3.2%72.1%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Trinseo summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$43.13
Close$43.97
Day range$42.91 - $44.09
Previous close$43.09
Session gain2.04%
Average true range$1.94
50d mov avg$36.20
100d mov avg$38.20
200d mov avg$42.47
Daily patternlb02a
Weekly pattern

Trinseo performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. We compared Trinseo against Celanese, Kraton, OMNOVA Solutions and Westlake Chemical in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
TSETrinseo8.76%1.78%-41.44%
CECelanese16.77%26.48%7.99%
KRAKraton18.18%8.42%-33.47%
OMNOMNOVA Solutions79.32%33.78%-1.85%
WLKWestlake Chemical-1.60%-0.63%-23.06%

Trinseo competitors

We selected a few stocks to conform a list of Trinseo competitors to review if you are interested in investing in TSE: