TMUS stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
September 20th, 2019
5
T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands.
Should I buy TMUS stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.Currently, T-Mobile US stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is T-Mobile US stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.
At Stocks2.com, we collected 15 ratings published for TMUS stock in the last 30 days. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for TMUS stock, with 11 positive ratings.| Date | Analyst / Broker | Previous rating | Current rating |
| 2019-8-6 | Raymond James | n/a | Strong-Buy |
| 2019-8-5 | Royal Bank of Canada | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-8-27 | Oppenheimer | Outperform | Market Perform |
| 2019-7-29 | William Blair | n/a | Outperform |
| 2019-7-29 | Wells Fargo & Co | Outperform | Positive |
| 2019-7-29 | UBS Group | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-7-29 | Nomura | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-7-29 | Barclays | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-6-3 | HSBC | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-4-26 | KeyCorp | Overweight | Overweight |
| 2019-3-8 | HSBC | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-3-8 | HSBC | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-2-7 | Royal Bank of Canada | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-2-19 | Argus | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-1-8 | UBS Group | n/a | Buy |
TMUS stock analysis
Daily outlook
T-Mobile US declined a bad -0.51% and closed at $80.59.
T-Mobile US closed today at $80.59 and declined a bad -0.51%. From a daily perspective, TMUS is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($78.74, on Monday) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($81.15, yesterday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top TMUS might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $81.15 or down under $78.74. On June TMUS price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On July, TMUS hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on July tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.
Weekly outlook
T-Mobile US shares inched 1.50% this week, ending at $80.59. With this, it's been 4 green weeks in a row, gaining $4.11 or 5.29%. Late July TMUS plunged a scary -8.39% in just one week.
Price pattern shows an uptrend with two rising tops and bottoms, and now trading upwards to the $85.22 resistance. Not so far away is the last all-time high T-Mobile US marked late July. Late December 2018 TMUS price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides. Since SMA10d and SMA20w crossed up by mid February, TMUS price climbed $8.54 per share (11.85%).
TMUS stock price history
TMUS IPO was on April 19th, 2007 at $40.82 per share1. Since then, TMUS stock grew a 97.40%, with a yearly average of 8.10%. If you had invested right after TMUS's IPO a $1,000 in TMUS stock in 2007, it would worth $974.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
TMUS stock historical price chart
TMUS stock reached all-time highs on July with a price of $85.22.
TMUS stock price target is $87.70
How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we found 11 price forecasts for TMUS stock:| Date | Analyst / Broker | Action | Previous target | Current target | Diff |
| 2019-8-6 | Raymond James | Raises Target | $86.00 | $94.00 | 9.3% |
| 2019-8-5 | Royal Bank of Canada | Set Price Target | n/a | $87.00 | - |
| 2019-7-29 | Wells Fargo & Co | Reiterates | $82.00 | $98.00 | 19.5% |
| 2019-7-29 | UBS Group | Set Price Target | n/a | $96.00 | - |
| 2019-7-29 | Nomura | Raises Target | $76.00 | $88.00 | 15.8% |
| 2019-7-29 | Barclays | Set Price Target | n/a | $93.00 | - |
| 2019-6-3 | HSBC | Set Price Target | n/a | $85.00 | - |
| 2019-4-26 | KeyCorp | Raises Target | $76.00 | $88.00 | 15.8% |
| 2019-3-8 | HSBC | Set Price Target | n/a | $80.00 | - |
| 2019-3-8 | HSBC | Reiterates | n/a | $80.00 | - |
| 2019-2-7 | Royal Bank of Canada | Set Price Target | n/a | $76.00 | - |
| (in average) | $80.00 | $87.70 | 10.0% |
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
T-Mobile US presented good results for 2018-Q4 on February. T-Mobile US appreciated Earnings per Share (EPS) by 8.70%, beating analysts of $0.69. T-Mobile US posted $0.75.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-10-23 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 37.0% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-02-08 | 0.37 | 0.61 | 64.9% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-05-01 | 0.72 | 0.78 | 8.3% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-08-01 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 7.0% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-10-30 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 9.4% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-02-07 | 0.69 | 0.75 | 8.7% |
| 2019-Q1 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q3 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a pretty good increase of 6.66% to $43,310.00 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, on the other hand, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) decreased a -4.50% to 6.67%.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $24,420 M | - | $35 M0.1% | - |
| 2014 | $29,564 M | 21.06% | $247 M0.8% | 605.71% |
| 2015 | $32,053 M | 8.42% | $733 M2.3% | 196.76% |
| 2016 | $37,242 M | 16.19% | $1,460 M3.9% | 99.18% |
| 2017 | $40,604 M | 9.03% | $4,536 M11.2% | 210.68% |
| 2018 | $43,310 M | 6.66% | $2,888 M6.7% | -36.33% |
Quarterly financial results
T-Mobile US posted $11,445.00 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 5.59% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $640.00 M with a profit margin of 5.59%. Profit margin slightly fell a -1.74% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 7.33%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, T-Mobile US sales marked a more than good growth and escalated a 6.38%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, T-Mobile US posted 3 negative quarters in a row.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | $10,210 M | - | $581 M5.7% | - |
| 2017-Q3 | $10,019 M | -1.87% | $550 M5.5% | -5.34% |
| 2017-Q4 | $10,759 M | 7.39% | $2,707 M25.2% | 392.18% |
| 2018-Q1 | $10,455 M | -2.83% | $671 M6.4% | -75.21% |
| 2018-Q2 | $10,571 M | 1.11% | $782 M7.4% | 16.54% |
| 2018-Q3 | $10,839 M | 2.54% | $795 M7.3% | 1.66% |
| 2018-Q4 | $11,445 M | 5.59% | $640 M5.6% | -19.50% |
| 2019-Q1 | $11,080 M | -3.19% | $908 M8.2% | 41.88% |
T-Mobile US ownership
When you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.T-Mobile US shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 63.67% of all shares.
In case of T-Mobile US stock, 35.22% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for TMUS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
| TMUS | AMX | SHEN | SPOK | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $68.9 B | $49.8 B | $1.6 B | $230.6 M | $271.6 B |
| Total shares | 854.5 M | 3,300.0 M | 49.9 M | 19.2 M | 7,310.0 M |
| Float shares | 312.1 M | 1,520.0 M | 47.0 M | 16.2 M | 7,300.0 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 35.2% | 11.3% | 50.5% | 87.0% | 55.4% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 63.7% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
TMUS summary
| Friday, September 20th, 2019 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $80.56 |
| Close | $80.59 |
| Day range | $79.08 - $80.85 |
| Previous close | $81.00 |
| Session gain | -0.51% |
| Average true range | $1.17 |
| 50d mov avg | $78.62 |
| 100d mov avg | $77.02 |
| 200d mov avg | $73.25 |
| Daily pattern | lt06a |
| Weekly pattern | lb02a |
T-Mobile US performance
Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared T-Mobile US against America Movil, S.A.B. de, Shenandoah Telecommunications, Spok, AT&T, Telephone and Data Systems, United States Cellular, Verizon Communications and Boingo Wireless in the following table:| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| TMUST-Mobile US | 6.46% | 12.09% | 16.68% |
| AMXAmerica Movil, S.... | 0.67% | 3.28% | -6.33% |
| SHENShenandoah Teleco... | -19.23% | -27.53% | -14.23% |
| SPOKSpok | -16.15% | -9.03% | -14.84% |
| TAT&T | 16.20% | 23.30% | 17.01% |
| TDSTelephone and Dat... | -19.61% | -16.48% | -13.09% |
| USMUnited States Cel... | -23.11% | -20.45% | -16.31% |
| VZVerizon Communica... | 5.44% | 2.97% | 15.52% |
| WIFIBoingo Wireless | -34.63% | -41.46% | -60.24% |
T-Mobile US competitors
One check before investing in any stock is to have a look a list of its competitors, in this case for T-Mobile US. We selected 8 companies as T-Mobile US competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.- America Movil, S.A.B. de (AMX)
- Shenandoah Telecommunications (SHEN)
- Spok (SPOK)
- AT&T (T)
- Telephone and Data Systems (TDS)
- United States Cellular (USM)
- Verizon Communications (VZ)
- Boingo Wireless (WIFI)
Latest TMUS stock news
- InvestorPlaceT-Mobile US (TMUS) Stock Edges Higher on Q2 Earnings BeatAugust 2, 2018