TMHC stock: buy or sell?

TMHC stock price: $27.78 1.13% At close on February 14th, 2020

Updated on:
February 14th, 2020

5

Taylor Morrison Home shares stepped up 1.13% to $27.78 on February/14.

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation operates as a public homebuilder in the United States. The company designs, builds, and sells single-family detached and attached homes; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities.

Should I buy TMHC stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Taylor Morrison Home stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean TMHC will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Taylor Morrison Home stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for TMHC stock for the last month.

TMHC stock analysis

Daily outlook

Taylor Morrison Home shares stepped up 1.13% to $27.78 on February/14.

Taylor Morrison Home closed on Feb/14 at $27.78 and stepped up a beatiful 1.13%. Since last Jan/6 when TMHC stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $5.69 (25.76%). From a daily perspective, TMHC is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($25.55, on January 31st) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($27.62, on February 6th) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top TMHC might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $27.62 or down under $25.55.

TMHC stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Taylor Morrison Home skyrocketed an outstanding 6.03% this week.

TMHC marked an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top late October 2019 at $28.00, price slid and bounced up back from $21.43. Breaking down under $21.43 would cancel the current uptrend and it might test lower supports. Note that $28.00 might act as a resistance line. Since early January when TMHC stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $5.69 (25.76%). Late April 2019, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 47.45%.

TMHC stock chart (weekly)

TMHC stock price history

TMHC stock went public on April 10th, 2013 with a price of $23.351. Since then, TMHC stock surged a 19.00%, with an average of 3.20% per year. If you had invested right after TMHC's IPO a $1,000 in TMHC stock in 2013, it would worth $190.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

TMHC stock historical price chart

TMHC stock reached 52-week highs on October at $28.00, and all-time highs 2018-01-11 with a price of 28.42.

TMHC stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' TMHC stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we have not detected any price forecast for Taylor Morrison Home stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

, Taylor Morrison Home presented its financial report, posting an amazing climb for the Earnings per Share (EPS). Experts were expecting $0.46 per share, but Taylor Morrison Home posted $0.86.
TMHC earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.3n/a
2017-Q32017-11-010.430.454.7%
2017-Q42018-02-070.70.7710.0%
2018-Q12018-05-020.370.4110.8%
2018-Q22018-08-010.480.528.3%
2018-Q32018-10-310.630.8331.7%
2018-Q42019-02-130.460.8687.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a very good increase of 8.81% to $4,227.39 million dollars. Nevertheless, its earnings margin (compared to revenues) stepped up to 4.88%, that is $206.36 million.

TMHC annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,920 M-$30 M1.6%-
2014$2,708 M41.06%$71 M2.6%138.79%
2015$2,977 M9.91%$61 M2.1%-14.58%
2016$3,550 M19.26%$53 M1.5%-13.81%
2017$3,885 M9.44%$91 M2.3%73.37%
2018$4,227 M8.81%$206 M4.9%126.23%

Quarterly financial results

Taylor Morrison Home reported $1,457.85 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 40.67% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $9.92 million with a profit margin of 0.68%. Profit margin fell a -8.35% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 9.03%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Taylor Morrison Home sales marked an extraordinary growth and climbed a 12.17%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Taylor Morrison Home posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
TMHC quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$908 M-$27 M3.0%-
2017-Q3$908 M-0.05%$33 M3.6%19.99%
2017-Q4$1,300 M43.13%$22 M1.7%-31.77%
2018-Q1$752 M-42.11%$45 M6.0%100.32%
2018-Q2$981 M30.37%$59 M6.0%30.59%
2018-Q3$1,036 M5.66%$94 M9.0%59.46%
2018-Q4$1,458 M40.67%$10 M0.7%-89.40%
2019-Q1$925 M-36.54%$51 M5.5%415.54%

Taylor Morrison Home ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.

Taylor Morrison Home shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 1.55% of all shares.

Bearish positions for TMHC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

TMHC
Market cap$2.9 B
Total shares105.8 M
Float shares97.1 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)108.8%
  - Insider holdings (%)1.6%
Shares in short selling0.0%

TMHC summary

Friday, February 14th, 2020
Open$27.50
Close$27.78
Day range$27.23 - $27.88
Previous close$27.47
Session gain1.13%
Average true range$0.81
50d mov avg$24.15
100d mov avg$24.48
200d mov avg$23.16
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern lb03a

Taylor Morrison Home performance

To better understand Taylor Morrison Home performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We compared Taylor Morrison Home against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
TMHCTaylor Morrison H...21.84%23.63%53.40%

Taylor Morrison Home competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Taylor Morrison Home competitor. This doesn't mean Taylor Morrison Home does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.