TMHC stock: buy or sell?
February 14th, 2020
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation operates as a public homebuilder in the United States. The company designs, builds, and sells single-family detached and attached homes; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities.
Should I buy TMHC stock?Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
Currently, Taylor Morrison Home stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Taylor Morrison Home stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday.Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for TMHC stock for the last month.
TMHC stock analysis
Taylor Morrison Home shares stepped up 1.13% to $27.78 on February/14.
Taylor Morrison Home closed on Feb/14 at $27.78 and stepped up a beatiful 1.13%. Since last Jan/6 when TMHC stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $5.69 (25.76%). From a daily perspective, TMHC is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($25.55, on January 31st) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($27.62, on February 6th) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top TMHC might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $27.62 or down under $25.55.
Taylor Morrison Home skyrocketed an outstanding 6.03% this week.
TMHC marked an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top late October 2019 at $28.00, price slid and bounced up back from $21.43. Breaking down under $21.43 would cancel the current uptrend and it might test lower supports. Note that $28.00 might act as a resistance line. Since early January when TMHC stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $5.69 (25.76%). Late April 2019, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 47.45%.
TMHC stock price history
TMHC stock went public on April 10th, 2013 with a price of $23.351. Since then, TMHC stock surged a 19.00%, with an average of 3.20% per year. If you had invested right after TMHC's IPO a $1,000 in TMHC stock in 2013, it would worth $190.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
TMHC stock historical price chart
TMHC stock reached 52-week highs on October at $28.00, and all-time highs 2018-01-11 with a price of 28.42.
TMHC stock price targetNobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' TMHC stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we have not detected any price forecast for Taylor Morrison Home stock by any trusted analyst.
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share, Taylor Morrison Home presented its financial report, posting an amazing climb for the Earnings per Share (EPS). Experts were expecting $0.46 per share, but Taylor Morrison Home posted $0.86.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a very good increase of 8.81% to $4,227.39 million dollars. Nevertheless, its earnings margin (compared to revenues) stepped up to 4.88%, that is $206.36 million.
|2013||$1,920 M||-||$30 M1.6%||-|
|2014||$2,708 M||41.06%||$71 M2.6%||138.79%|
|2015||$2,977 M||9.91%||$61 M2.1%||-14.58%|
|2016||$3,550 M||19.26%||$53 M1.5%||-13.81%|
|2017||$3,885 M||9.44%||$91 M2.3%||73.37%|
|2018||$4,227 M||8.81%||$206 M4.9%||126.23%|
Quarterly financial resultsTaylor Morrison Home reported $1,457.85 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 40.67% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $9.92 million with a profit margin of 0.68%. Profit margin fell a -8.35% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 9.03%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Taylor Morrison Home sales marked an extraordinary growth and climbed a 12.17%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Taylor Morrison Home posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$908 M||-||$27 M3.0%||-|
|2017-Q3||$908 M||-0.05%||$33 M3.6%||19.99%|
|2017-Q4||$1,300 M||43.13%||$22 M1.7%||-31.77%|
|2018-Q1||$752 M||-42.11%||$45 M6.0%||100.32%|
|2018-Q2||$981 M||30.37%||$59 M6.0%||30.59%|
|2018-Q3||$1,036 M||5.66%||$94 M9.0%||59.46%|
|2018-Q4||$1,458 M||40.67%||$10 M0.7%||-89.40%|
|2019-Q1||$925 M||-36.54%||$51 M5.5%||415.54%|
Taylor Morrison Home ownershipWhen you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.
Taylor Morrison Home shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 1.55% of all shares.
Bearish positions for TMHC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
|Market cap||$2.9 B|
|Total shares||105.8 M|
|Float shares||97.1 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||108.8%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||1.6%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Friday, February 14th, 2020|
|Day range||$27.23 - $27.88|
|Average true range||$0.81|
|50d mov avg||$24.15|
|100d mov avg||$24.48|
|200d mov avg||$23.16|
Taylor Morrison Home performanceTo better understand Taylor Morrison Home performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We compared Taylor Morrison Home against in the following table:
|TMHCTaylor Morrison H...||21.84%||23.63%||53.40%|