TAL stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
April 6th, 2020
3
TAL Education Group, through its subsidiaries, provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China.
Should I buy TAL stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.None of our preferred buy setups matches with TAL Education stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is TAL Education stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.
Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for TAL stock for the last month.TAL stock analysis
Daily outlook
TAL Education closed today at $53.76 and skyrocketed a dazzling 6.14%.
TAL Education skyrocketed a dazzling 6.14% and closed at $53.76. TAL is soaring again after a 12.41% correction from its last top on March 25th at $57.21. Today TAL price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On February, TAL hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on February tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.
Weekly outlook
After sliding a scary -5.51% in a week last week, TAL Education closed this week at $53.76 and rocketed a dazzling 6.14%.
TAL Education stock just marked a top under its last top. Athought it's not something to really worring right now, investors in TAL should be alerted as this could be a warning for future complications. It's important TAL stock price keeps the level, and maybe bounce up from there forming a double bottom pattern. Not so far away is the last all-time high TAL Education marked by mid February. Late September 2019 TAL price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides. By mid October 2019, SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up triggering a rise of 41.92%.
TAL stock price history
TAL IPO was on October 20th, 2010 at $2.19 per share1. Since then, TAL stock surged a 2,354.80%, with an average of 261.60% per year. If you had invested right after TAL's IPO a $1,000 in TAL stock in 2010, it would worth $23,548.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
TAL stock historical price chart
TAL stock reached all-time highs on February with a price of $59.76.
TAL stock price target
Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we have not found any price target for TAL Education stock by any trusted analyst.Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
Since April, when TAL Education posted its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.16 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-10-26 | 0.11 | 0.1 | -9.1% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-01-25 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 16.7% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-04-26 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 100.0% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-07-26 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 37.5% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-10-25 | 0.1 | 0.13 | 30.0% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-01-24 | 0.06 | 0.21 | 250.0% |
| 2019-Q1 | 2019-04-24 | 0.11 | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q3 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2018, last anual sales report draw an amazing gain of 49.44% to $2,562.98 M USD. Instead, its earnings margin (compared to revenues) stepped up to 14.33%, that is $367.24 million.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $226 M | - | $33 M14.8% | - |
| 2014 | $314 M | 39.09% | $61 M19.3% | 81.46% |
| 2015 | $434 M | 38.09% | $67 M15.5% | 10.67% |
| 2016 | $620 M | 42.86% | $103 M16.6% | 53.19% |
| 2017 | $1,043 M | 68.26% | $117 M11.2% | 13.61% |
| 2018 | $1,715 M | 64.42% | $198 M11.6% | 69.78% |
| 2019 | $2,563 M | 49.44% | $367 M14.3% | 85.06% |
Quarterly financial results
TAL Education posted $726.56 M in sales for 2019-Q1, a 23.99% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $99.61 million with a profit margin of 13.71%. Profit margin fell a -7.42% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 21.13%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, TAL Education sales marked an extraordinary growth and rocketed a 44.13%.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | $323 M | - | $29 M8.9% | - |
| 2017-Q3 | $456 M | 41.13% | $59 M13.0% | 105.86% |
| 2017-Q4 | $433 M | -4.93% | $41 M9.4% | -31.60% |
| 2018-Q1 | $504 M | 16.35% | $70 M13.8% | 71.02% |
| 2018-Q2 | $551 M | 9.23% | $67 M12.1% | -3.94% |
| 2018-Q3 | $700 M | 27.08% | $77 M11.0% | 15.25% |
| 2018-Q4 | $586 M | -16.26% | $124 M21.1% | 60.84% |
| 2019-Q1 | $727 M | 23.99% | $100 M13.7% | -19.56% |
TAL Education ownership
When you are planning to buy a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.TAL Education shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 46.44% of all shares.
In case of TAL Education stock, 16.78% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for TAL stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:
| TAL | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $31.8 B |
| Total shares | 591.8 M |
| Float shares | 385.1 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 16.8% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 46.4% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% |
TAL summary
| Monday, April 6th, 2020 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $52.31 |
| Close | $53.76 |
| Day range | $51.36 - $53.96 |
| Previous close | $50.65 |
| Session gain | 6.14% |
| Average true range | $3.34 |
| 50d mov avg | $54.17 |
| 100d mov avg | $50.91 |
| 200d mov avg | $43.72 |
| Daily pattern | lb01a |
| Weekly pattern | lt01a |
TAL Education performance
Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We compared TAL Education against in the following table:| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| TALTAL Education | -0.26% | 41.92% | 44.75% |
TAL Education competitors
Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as TAL Education competitor. This doesn't mean TAL Education does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.Latest TAL stock news
- Seeking AlphaNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Is Nailing ItJanuary 25, 2019
- Seeking AlphaTAL Education: Market Panicked, Let's Be GreedySeptember 4, 2018
- InvestorPlaceShort Seller Report Highlights Red Flags for Tal Education Group (ADR) StockJune 15, 2018
- Seeking AlphaNew Oriental Education: A Bet On Chinese EducationMay 25, 2018