STOR stock: buy or sell?

STOR stock price: $37.89 -0.34% At close on January 17th, 2020

Updated on:
January 17th, 2020

4

STORE Capital declined an unpleasant -0.34% and closed at $37.89.

STORE Capital Corporation is an internally managed net-lease real estate investment trust, or REIT, that is the leader in the acquisition, investment and management of Single Tenant Operational Real Estate, which is its target market and the inspiration for its name.

Should I buy STOR stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, STORE Capital stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is STORE Capital stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we detected 5 ratings published for STOR stock in the last month.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for STOR stock, with 5 positive ratings.
Is STOR a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-17Morgan Stanleyn/aOverweight
2019-8-5BMO Capital Marketsn/aBuy
2019-8-27Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-7-11Morgan Stanleyn/aOverweight
2019-5-6Raymond Jamesn/aOutperform

STOR stock analysis

Daily outlook

STORE Capital ended yesterday at $37.89 and declined an unpleasant -0.34%.

STORE Capital shares declined -0.34% to $37.89 yesterday. For the last 3 days when STOR stock price broke up the SMA100d line, it gained $0.46 (1.23%). On November, STOR hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on November tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

STOR stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

STORE Capital shares soared 2.68% this week, ending at $37.89. With this, it's been 3 climbing weeks in a row, soaring a 3.18%. Early December STOR plummed a bloodcurdling -5.66% in just one week.

Observing the weekly chart, STOR marked an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top late November 2019 at $40.57, price slid and bounced up back from $35.84. Breaking down under $35.84 would cancel the current uptrend and it might test lower supports. Note that $40.57 might act as a resistance line. Not so far away is the last all-time high STORE Capital marked late November 2019. Since price and SMA20w lines crossed up this week, STOR climbed $0.99 (2.68%).

STOR stock chart (weekly)

STOR stock price history

STOR stock went public on November 18th, 2014 with a price of $15.601. Since then, STOR stock surged a 142.90%, with an average of 28.60% per year. If you had invested right after STOR's IPO a $1,000 in STOR stock in 2014, it would worth $1,429.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

STOR stock historical price chart

STOR stock reached all-time highs on November with a price of $40.57.

STOR stock price target is $37.20

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' STOR stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We detected 5 price forecasts for STORE Capital stock posted in the last 30 days:
STOR stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-17Morgan StanleyRaises Target$36.00$39.008.3%
2019-8-5BMO Capital MarketsReiteratesn/a$35.00-
2019-8-27Deutsche BankInitiatesn/a$40.00-
2019-7-11Morgan StanleyRaises Target$35.00$36.002.9%
2019-5-6Raymond JamesReiterates$34.00$36.005.9%
(in average)$35.00$37.206.0%
The price target for STORE Capital stock is $37.20, moving in a range between $40.00 and $35.00. In average, analysts' outlook on STOR price target is positive, upgrading the target by a 6.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

STORE Capital reported nice results for 2018-Q4 on February. STORE Capital appreciated Earnings per Share (EPS) by 9.10%, beating analysts of $0.44. STORE Capital posted $0.48.
STOR earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.2n/a
2017-Q32017-11-020.190.15-21.1%
2017-Q42018-02-220.410.434.9%
2018-Q12018-05-030.430.442.3%
2018-Q22018-08-020.440.452.3%
2018-Q32018-11-010.440.476.8%
2018-Q42019-02-210.440.489.1%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw an outstanding gain of 19.41% to $540.76 M dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nevertheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) inched a 4.34% to 40.12%.

STOR annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$109 M-$22 M20.3%-
2014$190 M75.38%$48 M25.3%118.61%
2015$285 M49.53%$84 M29.4%74.02%
2016$376 M32.16%$123 M32.8%47.22%
2017$453 M20.33%$162 M35.8%31.39%
2018$541 M19.41%$217 M40.1%33.90%

Quarterly financial results

STORE Capital posted $146.70 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 7.08% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $56.58 million with a profit margin of 38.57%. Profit margin stepped up a 3.37% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 35.20%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, STORE Capital sales marked a dazzling increase and rocketed a 22.13%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, STORE Capital posted 5 negative quarters in a row.
STOR quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$114 M-$35 M30.8%-
2017-Q3$111 M-3.26%$29 M25.9%-18.85%
2017-Q4$120 M8.67%$41 M34.1%43.48%
2018-Q1$126 M4.76%$50 M39.7%21.83%
2018-Q2$131 M4.26%$62 M47.4%24.50%
2018-Q3$137 M4.42%$48 M35.2%-22.47%
2018-Q4$147 M7.08%$57 M38.6%17.33%
2019-Q1$157 M6.77%$46 M29.1%-19.49%

STORE Capital ownership

When you are planning to invest in a stock, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.

STORE Capital shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.89% of all shares.

Bearish positions for STOR stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

STORNTPO
Market cap$8.9 B$332.1 M$24.9 B
Total shares234.8 M38.4 M325.9 M
Float shares213.8 M23.6 M325.1 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)93.0%21.4%76.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.9%43.8%0.2%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%

STOR summary

Friday, January 17th, 2020
Open$38.02
Close$37.89
Day range$37.88 - $38.19
Previous close$38.02
Session gain-0.34%
Average true range$0.64
50d mov avg$38.20
100d mov avg$37.80
200d mov avg$35.60
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lb03a

STORE Capital performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. In the following table, we compare STORE Capital performance to Nam Tai Property and Realty Income:
Stock3m6m12m
STORSTORE Capital0.93%14.89%31.20%
NTPNam Tai Property-4.11%-14.88%-2.15%
ORealty Income-3.07%13.09%22.61%

STORE Capital competitors

Choosing a list of competitors for STORE Capital it's a hard job. We selected 2 public companies that are related to and can be considered as competitors of STORE Capital: