Stage Stores stock: buy or sell?

SSI stock price: $3.55 21.99% At close on January 17th, 2020

Updated on:
January 17th, 2020

2

Stage Stores shares skyrocketed 21.99% to $3.55 yesterday. On Wednesday SSI plunged a bloodcurdling -9.82%.

Stage Stores, Inc. operates specialty department stores primarily in small and mid-sized towns and communities in the United States.

Should I buy Stage Stores stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Stage Stores stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Stage Stores stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for SSI stock for the last 30 days.

Stage Stores stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Stage Stores closed yesterday at $3.55 and skyrocketed an outstanding 21.99%.

Stage Stores shares skyrocketed 21.99% to $3.55 yesterday. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on October, SSI price climbed $1.38 per share (63.59%). Since last September when SSI stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $2.65 (294.44%).

SSI stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Stage Stores shares plunged -51.50% this week, ending at $3.55. Late December 2019 SSI rocketed a super good 17.76% in just one week.

Stage Stores stock is trading in the range of its last top and last bottom. Loosing would mean breaking the current uptrend. Breakdowns under last bottom are selling point signals for some trading strategies. By mid October 2019, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 49.79%. Since mid September 2019 when SSI stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $2.72 (327.71%).

SSI stock chart (weekly)

Stage Stores stock price history

Stage Stores stock went public on August 30th, 2001 with a price of $2.401. Since then, SSI stock grew a 47.90%, with a yearly average of 2.70%. If you had invested right after SSI's IPO a $1,000 in Stage Stores stock in 2001, it would worth $479.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Stage Stores stock historical price chart

SSI stock reached 52-week highs on January/7 at $9.50, and all-time highs 2013-04-25 with a price of 19.19.

Stage Stores stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. You should not follow the analysts' SSI stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we have not found any price prediction for Stage Stores stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Stage Stores disappointed analysts on March when it reported an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.25 when the market consensus was $0.73.
SSI earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a-0.7n/a
2017-Q3-n/a-0.92n/a
2017-Q42018-03-08n/an/an/a
2018-Q12018-03-08n/a0.45n/a
2018-Q22018-05-24n/a-1.14n/a
2018-Q32018-08-23n/a-0.6n/a
2018-Q42018-11-20n/a-0.65n/a
2019-Q12019-03-070.730.25-65.8%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2018, last anual revenues report draw a fine growth of 3.09% to $1,641.48 million USD. When comparing 2019 vs 2018, in contrary, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) depreciated a -3.00% to -5.34%.

SSI annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2014$1,630 M-$16 M1.0%-
2014$1,640 M0.61%$37 M2.3%127.61%
2015$1,639 M-0.09%$31 M1.9%-17.40%
2015$1,600 M-2.35%$3.73 M0.2%-87.91%
2016$1,604 M0.28%$3.78 M0.2%1.34%
2016$1,440 M-10.25%$-37.90 M-2.6%-1,102.65%
2017$1,443 M0.19%$-37.90 M-2.6%-0.01%
2017$1,590 M10.21%$-37.32 M-2.3%-1.52%
2018$1,592 M0.14%$-37.32 M-2.3%0.01%
2019$1,641 M3.09%$-87.71 M-5.3%135.01%

Quarterly financial results

Stage Stores posted $537.72 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a 49.19% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-7.76 million with a profit margin of -1.44%. Profit margin jumped a 7.26% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -8.70%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Stage Stores sales marked a nice gain and escalated a 5.52%.
SSI quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$309 M-$-18.99 M-6.2%-
2017-Q3$377 M22.19%$-6.31 M-1.7%-66.77%
2017-Q4$357 M-5.26%$-17.72 M-5.0%180.86%
2018-Q1$510 M42.64%$5.64 M1.1%-131.85%
2018-Q2$360 M-29.40%$-31.68 M-8.8%-661.27%
2018-Q3$384 M6.63%$-16.92 M-4.4%-46.58%
2018-Q4$360 M-6.04%$-31.35 M-8.7%85.28%
2019-Q1$538 M49.19%$-7.76 M-1.4%-75.25%

Stage Stores ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a stock, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Stage Stores shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 16.62% of all shares.

In case of Stage Stores stock, 41.90% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for SSI stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

SSIAEOANFCTRNDDS
Market cap$102.6 M$2.5 B$1.1 B$261.3 M$1.5 B
Total shares28.9 M167.0 M62.8 M11.7 M20.7 M
Float shares17.9 M150.6 M62.0 M10.1 M9.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)41.9%95.3%108.3%93.1%112.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)16.6%6.9%1.3%8.7%18.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Stage Stores summary

Friday, January 17th, 2020
Open$2.92
Close$3.55
Day range$2.92 - $3.74
Previous close$2.91
Session gain21.99%
Average true range$0.97
50d mov avg$5.32
100d mov avg$3.48
200d mov avg$2.18
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lt06a

Stage Stores performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We compared Stage Stores against American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie & Fitch, Citi Trends, Dillard's, J.C. Penney, Nordstrom, Ross Stores, Stein Mart and TJX Companies in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
SSIStage Stores65.89%379.73%303.41%
AEOAmerican Eagle Ou...-1.87%-17.79%-26.43%
ANFAbercrombie & Fit...13.10%-1.88%-10.15%
CTRNCiti Trends22.50%45.65%10.82%
DDSDillard's8.69%-9.39%11.57%
JCPJ.C. Penney-15.00%-5.56%-35.61%
JWNNordstrom17.82%38.86%-11.42%
ROSTRoss Stores3.34%10.89%27.80%
SMRTStein Mart-15.85%-19.77%-42.98%
TJXTJX Companies4.26%15.67%29.64%

Stage Stores competitors

We picked a few stocks to conform a list of Stage Stores competitors to examine if you are interested in investing in SSI: