Qualys stock: buy or sell?
September 20th, 2019
Qualys, Inc. provides cloud-based security and compliance solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers Qualys Cloud Apps, which includes Asset Inventory, CMDB Sync, Vulnerability Management, Continuous Monitoring, Cloud Agent, Threat Protection, Security Configuration Assessment, Indication of Compromise, Policy Compliance, PCI Compliance, Security Assessment Questionnaire, File Integrity Monitoring, Web Application Scanning, and Web Application Firewall.
Should I buy Qualys stock?You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
Currently, Qualys stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Qualys stock a buy?
Financial institutions and banks post stock ratings everyday.At Stocks2.com, we detected 13 ratings published for QLYS stock in the last month.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-9-15||Robert W. Baird||n/a||Hold|
|2019-5-2||Royal Bank of Canada||n/a||Sector Perform|
|2019-2-13||Robert W. Baird||n/a||Hold|
|2019-2-13||JPMorgan Chase & Co.||Neutral||Underweight|
|2019-1-4||JMP Securities||Market Perform||Outperform|
Qualys stock analysis
Qualys shares depreciated -1.05% to $78.07 today.
Qualys shares depreciated -1.05% to $78.07 today. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on Aug 23rd, QLYS fell $-5.85 per share (-6.97%). From a daily outlook perspective, QLYS is drawing an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top on September/12 at $83.02, price slid and bounced up back from $78.13. Breaking down under $78.13 would cancel the current uptrend and it might slide further to test lower supports. Note that $83.02 might act as a resistance line. Trading the long side, we should wait to a new breakout over $83.02 to find the next buy point. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on May, QLYS price slid a -10.54%.
Qualys shares declined -2.31% this week, ending at $78.07. Late July QLYS collapsed a spooky -10.10% in just one week.
Since SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up late April, QLYS price slid a -11.41%.
Qualys stock price history
Qualys IPO was on September 28th, 2012 at $12.00 per share1. Since then, QLYS stock surged a 550.60%, with an average of 91.80% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in Qualys stock in 2012, it would worth $5,506.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
Qualys stock historical price chart
QLYS stock reached 52-week highs on February at $97.12, and all-time highs 2018-07-24 with a price of 98.3.
Qualys stock price target is $92.30Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we found 7 price forecasts for QLYS stock:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-9-15||Robert W. Baird||Reiterates||n/a||$100.00||-|
|2019-8-1||Stifel Nicolaus||Lowers Target||$100.00||$90.00||-10%|
|2019-5-2||Royal Bank of Canada||Raises Target||n/a||$90.00||-|
|2019-5-2||Morgan Stanley||Set Price Target||n/a||$91.00||-|
|2019-2-13||JPMorgan Chase & Co.||Downgrades||$90.00||$82.00||-8.9%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareOn February, Qualys presented its financial report, posting a dazzling growth for the Earnings per Share (EPS). Analyst expected $0.25 per share, but Qualys posted $0.39.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsIn 2018, Qualys annual sales skyrocketed an extraordinary 20.82% to $278.89 M USD from $230.83 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) inched a 3.03% to 20.55%.
|2013||$108 M||-||$1.62 M1.5%||-|
|2014||$134 M||23.73%||$30 M22.6%||1,766.91%|
|2015||$164 M||22.99%||$16 M9.7%||-47.54%|
|2016||$198 M||20.48%||$19 M9.7%||21.17%|
|2017||$231 M||16.62%||$40 M17.5%||110.36%|
|2018||$279 M||20.82%||$57 M20.5%||41.70%|
Quarterly financial resultsQualys posted $74.20 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 3.55% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $14.40 million with a profit margin of 19.41%. Profit margin collapsed a -13.34% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 32.75%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Qualys sales marked an astounding increase and boosted a 17.94%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Qualys posted 6 negative quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$55 M||-||$7 M13.0%||-|
|2017-Q3||$59 M||7.58%||$8 M14.2%||17.39%|
|2017-Q4||$63 M||5.76%||$3 M4.5%||-66.21%|
|2018-Q1||$65 M||3.12%||$9 M14.1%||220.10%|
|2018-Q2||$68 M||5.05%||$10 M15.1%||12.59%|
|2018-Q3||$72 M||5.14%||$23 M32.8%||128.01%|
|2018-Q4||$74 M||3.55%||$14 M19.4%||-38.64%|
|2019-Q1||$75 M||1.54%||$13 M17.6%||-7.88%|
Qualys ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Qualys, 14.62% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
Bearish positions for QLYS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
|Market cap||$3.1 B||$3.0 B||$27.3 B||$125.7 B||$224.7 B|
|Total shares||39.2 M||214.8 M||1,480.0 M||885.9 M||4,430.0 M|
|Float shares||33.6 M||205.9 M||1,480.0 M||884.5 M||4,430.0 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||87.2%||75.8%||83.9%||57.5%||68.8%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||14.6%||2.5%||0.2%||0.1%||0.1%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Friday, September 20th, 2019|
|Day range||$77.56 - $79.65|
|Average true range||$2.37|
|50d mov avg||$83.58|
|100d mov avg||$85.62|
|200d mov avg||$83.73|
Qualys performanceStocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For Qualys, the comparison is made against FireEye, HP, International Business Machines, Intel, Microsoft, Proofpoint and Symantec.