Qualys stock: buy or sell?

QLYS stock price: $78.07 -1.05% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

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Qualys shares depreciated -1.05% to $78.07 today. With Friday it's been 3 sliding days in a row, loosing $-2.96 (-3.69%).

Qualys, Inc. provides cloud-based security and compliance solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers Qualys Cloud Apps, which includes Asset Inventory, CMDB Sync, Vulnerability Management, Continuous Monitoring, Cloud Agent, Threat Protection, Security Configuration Assessment, Indication of Compromise, Policy Compliance, PCI Compliance, Security Assessment Questionnaire, File Integrity Monitoring, Web Application Scanning, and Web Application Firewall.

Should I buy Qualys stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Qualys stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean QLYS will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Qualys stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks post stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we detected 13 ratings published for QLYS stock in the last month.

Is QLYS a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-15Robert W. Bairdn/aHold
2019-8-1Stifel Nicolausn/aHold
2019-7-15FBN Securitiesn/aOutperform
2019-6-28NomuraBuyBuy
2019-5-2Royal Bank of Canadan/aSector Perform
2019-5-2Morgan Stanleyn/aHold
2019-3-18Summit InsightsBuyHold
2019-3-11JMP Securitiesn/aBuy
2019-2-22Berenberg BankBuyHold
2019-2-13Robert W. Bairdn/aHold
2019-2-13JPMorgan Chase & Co.NeutralUnderweight
2019-2-13BTIG ResearchBuyNeutral
2019-1-4JMP SecuritiesMarket PerformOutperform

Qualys stock analysis

Daily outlook

Qualys shares depreciated -1.05% to $78.07 today.

Qualys shares depreciated -1.05% to $78.07 today. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on Aug 23rd, QLYS fell $-5.85 per share (-6.97%). From a daily outlook perspective, QLYS is drawing an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top on September/12 at $83.02, price slid and bounced up back from $78.13. Breaking down under $78.13 would cancel the current uptrend and it might slide further to test lower supports. Note that $83.02 might act as a resistance line. Trading the long side, we should wait to a new breakout over $83.02 to find the next buy point. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on May, QLYS price slid a -10.54%.

QLYS stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Qualys shares declined -2.31% this week, ending at $78.07. Late July QLYS collapsed a spooky -10.10% in just one week.

Since SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up late April, QLYS price slid a -11.41%.

QLYS stock chart (weekly)

Qualys stock price history

Qualys IPO was on September 28th, 2012 at $12.00 per share1. Since then, QLYS stock surged a 550.60%, with an average of 91.80% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in Qualys stock in 2012, it would worth $5,506.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Qualys stock historical price chart

QLYS stock reached 52-week highs on February at $97.12, and all-time highs 2018-07-24 with a price of 98.3.

Qualys stock price target is $92.30

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we found 7 price forecasts for QLYS stock:
QLYS stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-15Robert W. BairdReiteratesn/a$100.00-
2019-8-1Stifel NicolausLowers Target$100.00$90.00-10%
2019-6-28NomuraInitiates$108.00$108.000%
2019-5-2Royal Bank of CanadaRaises Targetn/a$90.00-
2019-5-2Morgan StanleySet Price Targetn/a$91.00-
2019-3-11JMP SecuritiesReiteratesn/a$85.00-
2019-2-13JPMorgan Chase & Co.Downgrades$90.00$82.00-8.9%
(in average)$99.30$92.30-7.0%
Moving in a range from $108.00 and $82.00, the price target for QLYS stock is $92.30. In average, analysts' outlook on QLYS price forecast is negative, downsizing the target by a -7.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Qualys presented its financial report, posting a dazzling growth for the Earnings per Share (EPS). Analyst expected $0.25 per share, but Qualys posted $0.39.
QLYS earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.18n/a
2017-Q32017-10-310.220.3140.9%
2017-Q42018-02-120.280.3214.3%
2018-Q12018-05-010.240.22-8.3%
2018-Q22018-07-310.230.2821.7%
2018-Q32018-10-300.220.3768.2%
2018-Q42019-02-120.250.3956.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Qualys annual sales skyrocketed an extraordinary 20.82% to $278.89 M USD from $230.83 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) inched a 3.03% to 20.55%.

QLYS annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$108 M-$1.62 M1.5%-
2014$134 M23.73%$30 M22.6%1,766.91%
2015$164 M22.99%$16 M9.7%-47.54%
2016$198 M20.48%$19 M9.7%21.17%
2017$231 M16.62%$40 M17.5%110.36%
2018$279 M20.82%$57 M20.5%41.70%

Quarterly financial results

Qualys posted $74.20 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 3.55% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $14.40 million with a profit margin of 19.41%. Profit margin collapsed a -13.34% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 32.75%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Qualys sales marked an astounding increase and boosted a 17.94%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Qualys posted 6 negative quarters in a row.
QLYS quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$55 M-$7 M13.0%-
2017-Q3$59 M7.58%$8 M14.2%17.39%
2017-Q4$63 M5.76%$3 M4.5%-66.21%
2018-Q1$65 M3.12%$9 M14.1%220.10%
2018-Q2$68 M5.05%$10 M15.1%12.59%
2018-Q3$72 M5.14%$23 M32.8%128.01%
2018-Q4$74 M3.55%$14 M19.4%-38.64%
2019-Q1$75 M1.54%$13 M17.6%-7.88%

Qualys ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Qualys, 14.62% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for QLYS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

QLYSFEYEHPQIBMINTC
Market cap$3.1 B$3.0 B$27.3 B$125.7 B$224.7 B
Total shares39.2 M214.8 M1,480.0 M885.9 M4,430.0 M
Float shares33.6 M205.9 M1,480.0 M884.5 M4,430.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)87.2%75.8%83.9%57.5%68.8%
  - Insider holdings (%)14.6%2.5%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Qualys summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$79.26
Close$78.07
Day range$77.56 - $79.65
Previous close$78.90
Session gain-1.05%
Average true range$2.37
50d mov avg$83.58
100d mov avg$85.62
200d mov avg$83.73
Daily patternlb03a
Weekly pattern lb06a

Qualys performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For Qualys, the comparison is made against FireEye, HP, International Business Machines, Intel, Microsoft, Proofpoint and Symantec.
Stock3m6m12m
QLYSQualys-10.53%-5.45%-10.06%
FEYEFireEye-4.11%-15.96%-16.71%
HPQHP-10.03%-2.89%-26.15%
IBMInternational Bus...3.13%4.16%-1.67%
INTCIntel7.59%-3.54%11.50%
MSFTMicrosoft2.14%19.97%23.96%
PFPTProofpoint12.79%6.34%21.74%
SYMCSymantec14.59%4.87%15.47%

Qualys competitors

One check before investing in any stock is to have a look a list of its competitors, in this case for Qualys. We picked 7 companies as Qualys competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.