POPE stock: buy or sell?

POPE stock price: $91.00 -2.15% At close on December 6th, 2019

Updated on:
December 6th, 2019

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Pope Resources dropped -2.15% today to $91.00 after marking all time highs on Monday. On Tuesday POPE climbed an amazing 5.02%.

Pope Resources, A Delaware Limited Partnership manages timber resources in the United States. It operates through three segments: Fee Timber, Timberland Investment Management, and Real Estate.

Should I buy POPE stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. That's why is so important to choose your own trading plan that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Pope Resources stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Pope Resources stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks post stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for POPE stock for the last month.

POPE stock analysis

Daily outlook

After several days of continuous rises in past weeks, Pope Resources dropped -2.15% to $91.00.

After several days of continuous rises in past weeks, Pope Resources dropped -2.15% to $91.00. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on September, POPE price climbed $20.13 per share (28.40%). Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on June, POPE climbed $26.12 (40.26%). From a daily perspective, POPE is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($77.23, on Nov 8th) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($98.72, on Monday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top POPE might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $98.72 or down under $77.23. On Monday, POPE hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $91.37 recorded on November 26th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

POPE stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Shares of Pope Resources ended this week at $91.00 after topping to a new all time high ($98.72) and raised a decent 1.72%. Counting this, it's been 5 green weeks in a row, gaining $16.11 or 21.34%. By mid November POPE boosted a great 5.21% in just one week.

Price pattern shows an uptrend with two rising tops and bottoms, and now finally trading above the $86.01 resistance. Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up by mid July, POPE price climbed $23.72 per share (35.26%). Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up early June, POPE climbed $26.12 (40.26%).

POPE stock chart (weekly)

POPE stock price history

POPE IPO was on February 6th, 1986 at $0.00 per share1. Since then, POPE stock grew a inf%, with an average of inf% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in POPE stock in 1986, it would worth $inf today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

POPE stock historical price chart

POPE stock reached all-time highs on Monday with a price of $98.72.

POPE stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we have not detected any price target for Pope Resources stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report on March, Pope Resources . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will update this report.
POPE earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a-1.12n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.03n/a
2017-Q32017-11-03n/an/an/a
2017-Q42018-02-28n/a2.92n/a
2018-Q12018-05-07n/a1.31n/a
2018-Q22018-08-07n/a0.71n/a
2018-Q32018-11-07n/a0.6n/a
2018-Q42019-03-04n/a0.21n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a good increase of 3.74% to $103.55 M dollars. In contrary, its profit margin (compared to revenues) collapsed to 6.59%, that is $6.82 million.

POPE annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$71 M-$13 M18.3%-
2014$87 M23.74%$25 M28.4%91.89%
2015$78 M-10.79%$22 M28.0%-11.86%
2016$80 M3.08%$9.92 M12.3%-54.67%
2017$100 M24.11%$18 M17.9%80.33%
2018$104 M3.74%$6.82 M6.6%-61.87%

Quarterly financial results

Pope Resources reported $22.65 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -19.14% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-1.74 million with a profit margin of -7.69%. Profit margin plummed a -17.13% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 9.44%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Pope Resources sales marked a spooky drop down and plunged a -52.61%.
POPE quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$17 M-$3.35 M19.3%-
2017-Q2$16 M-8.41%$0.13 M0.8%-96.03%
2017-Q3$19 M18.33%$1.66 M8.8%1,146.62%
2017-Q4$48 M154.13%$12.71 M26.6%666.28%
2018-Q1$25 M-47.71%$5.72 M22.9%-54.99%
2018-Q2$28 M11.71%$0.20 M0.7%-96.52%
2018-Q3$28 M0.34%$2.64 M9.4%1,228.64%
2018-Q4$23 M-19.14%$-1.74 M-7.7%-165.85%

Pope Resources ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Pope Resources, 33.19% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of Pope Resources stock, 13.00% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for POPE stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

POPERYNUFPI
Market cap$395.9 M$4.0 B$3.0 B
Total shares4.4 M129.3 M61.4 M
Float shares2.9 M128.2 M60.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)13.0%87.9%82.8%
  - Insider holdings (%)33.2%0.5%2.8%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%

POPE summary

Friday, December 6th, 2019
Open$91.51
Close$91.00
Day range$90.51 - $91.61
Previous close$93.00
Session gain-2.15%
Average true range$4.47
50d mov avg$75.74
100d mov avg$70.87
200d mov avg$68.32
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern lb02c

Pope Resources performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We compared Pope Resources against Rayonier and Universal Forest Products in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
POPE33.33%40.26%38.26%
RYNRayonier16.65%6.14%5.67%
UFPIUniversal Forest ...29.74%37.29%82.16%

Pope Resources competitors

Creating a list of competitors for Pope Resources it's not an easy task. We selected 2 public companies that are related to and can be considered as competitors of Pope Resources: