Oracle stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
August 19th, 2019
3
Oracle Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, sells, hosts, and supports application, platform, and infrastructure technologies for information technology (IT) environments worldwide.
Should I buy Oracle stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.None of our preferred buy setups matches with Oracle stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Oracle stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday.
At Stocks2.com, we collected 15 ratings published for ORCL stock in the last 30 days.| Date | Analyst / Broker | Previous rating | Current rating |
| 2019-6-20 | Wells Fargo & Co | n/a | Outperform |
| 2019-6-20 | Wedbush | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-6-20 | Raymond James | n/a | Outperform |
| 2019-6-20 | KeyCorp | n/a | Hold |
| 2019-6-20 | Jefferies Financial Group | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-6-20 | Goldman Sachs Group | n/a | Buy |
| 2019-6-20 | BMO Capital Markets | Market Perform | Neutral |
| 2019-6-20 | Barclays | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-6-18 | Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral |
| 2019-6-18 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-6-14 | UBS Group | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-6-14 | UBS Group | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-5-21 | Morgan Stanley | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-3-29 | Exane BNP Paribas | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-3-29 | BNP Paribas | Neutral | Neutral |
Oracle stock analysis
Daily outlook
Shares of Oracle closed today at $53.84 and gained a slightly good 0.47%.
Shares of Oracle gained a slightly good 0.47% and closed at $53.84. Since last Aug/5 when ORCL stock price broke down the SMA100d line, it slid $-2.00 per share (-3.58%). On July 10th, ORCL hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $59.43 recorded on Jul 8th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.
Weekly outlook
Oracle ended this week at $53.84 and stayed stable a slightly good 0.47%.
Price pattern shows an uptrend with two rising tops and bottoms, and now trading upwards to the $60.26 resistance. Not so far away is the last price record Oracle marked early July. Since early January when ORCL stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $7.71 (16.71%). Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up early October, ORCL price climbed $5.30 per share (10.92%).
Oracle stock price history
Oracle IPO was on March 12th, 1986 at $0.06 per share1. Since then, ORCL stock surged a 89,633.30%, with a yearly average of 2,716.20%. If you had invested $1,000 in Oracle stock in 1986, it would worth $896,333.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
Oracle stock historical price chart
ORCL stock reached all-time highs on Jul/10 with a price of $60.26.
Oracle stock price target is $57.20
Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' ORCL stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We found 13 price forecasts for ORCL stock published in the last month:| Date | Analyst / Broker | Action | Previous target | Current target | Diff |
| 2019-6-20 | Wells Fargo & Co | Reiterates | $60.00 | $65.00 | 8.3% |
| 2019-6-20 | Wedbush | Reiterates | n/a | $55.00 | - |
| 2019-6-20 | Raymond James | Reiterates | $57.00 | $61.00 | 7% |
| 2019-6-20 | Jefferies Financial Group | Reiterates | $61.00 | $66.00 | 8.2% |
| 2019-6-20 | Goldman Sachs Group | Set Price Target | n/a | $58.00 | - |
| 2019-6-20 | BMO Capital Markets | Reiterates | $53.00 | $59.00 | 11.3% |
| 2019-6-20 | Barclays | Reiterates | $55.00 | $59.00 | 7.3% |
| 2019-6-18 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Set Price Target | n/a | $53.00 | - |
| 2019-6-14 | UBS Group | Set Price Target | n/a | $54.00 | - |
| 2019-6-14 | UBS Group | Reiterates | n/a | $54.00 | - |
| 2019-5-21 | Morgan Stanley | Raises Target | $54.00 | $59.00 | 9.3% |
| 2019-3-29 | Exane BNP Paribas | Initiates | n/a | $50.00 | - |
| 2019-3-29 | BNP Paribas | Initiates | n/a | $50.00 | - |
| (in average) | $56.70 | $57.20 | 1.0% |
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
Since last March, when Oracle posted its last earnings report, it . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will update this report.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.79 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | - | n/a | 0.54 | n/a |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-03-19 | 0.72 | 0.83 | 15.3% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-03-19 | 0.66 | 0.75 | 13.6% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-06-19 | 0.87 | 0.91 | 4.6% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-09-17 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 1.6% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2018-12-17 | 0.7 | 0.74 | 5.7% |
| 2019-Q1 | 2019-03-14 | 0.76 | 0.78 | 2.6% |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q3 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
In 2018, Oracle annual turnover jumped a fine 5.57% to $39,831.00 million dollars from $37,728.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrary, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plunged a -15.14% to 9.60%. Oracle fiscal year ends in May, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Oracle TTM sales up to February 2019 were $39,831.00 and income $10,857.00 million USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Oracle business evolution since May 2018: Annual turnover up to February, compared to lastest yearly report, remained constant a neutral 0.00%. Regarding profit margin, Oracle climbed 17.65% to 9.60%| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $37,180 M | - | $10,930 M29.4% | - |
| 2014 | $38,280 M | 2.96% | $10,960 M28.6% | 0.27% |
| 2015 | $38,226 M | -0.14% | $9,938 M26.0% | -9.32% |
| 2016 | $37,047 M | -3.08% | $8,901 M24.0% | -10.43% |
| 2017 | $37,728 M | 1.84% | $9,335 M24.7% | 4.88% |
| 2018 | $39,831 M | 5.57% | $3,825 M9.6% | -59.03% |
| TTM | $39,831 M | 0.00% | $10,857 M27.3% | 183.84% |
Quarterly financial results
Oracle reported $9,614.00 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a 0.54% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $2,745.00 M with a profit margin of 28.55%. Profit margin stepped up a 4.15% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 24.40%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Oracle sales marked an unpleasant loss and decreased a -1.61%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Oracle posted 2 positive quarters in a row.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | $10,890 M | - | $3,230 M29.7% | - |
| 2017-Q3 | $9,190 M | -15.61% | $2,210 M24.0% | -31.58% |
| 2017-Q4 | $9,621 M | 4.69% | $2,233 M23.2% | 1.04% |
| 2018-Q1 | $9,771 M | 1.56% | $-4,024 M-41.2% | -280.21% |
| 2018-Q2 | $11,462 M | 17.31% | $3,514 M30.7% | -187.33% |
| 2018-Q3 | $9,193 M | -19.80% | $2,265 M24.6% | -35.54% |
| 2018-Q4 | $9,562 M | 4.01% | $2,333 M24.4% | 3.00% |
| 2019-Q1 | $9,614 M | 0.54% | $2,745 M28.6% | 17.66% |
Oracle ownership
When you are planning to invest in shares of a stock, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Oracle, 33.39% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of Oracle stock, 58.60% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ORCL stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:
| ORCL | ADBE | CRM | CTXS | INTU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $184.1 B | $140.3 B | $111.5 B | $12.2 B | $71.1 B |
| Total shares | 3,420.0 M | 488.0 M | 774.8 M | 131.7 M | 259.2 M |
| Float shares | 2,190.0 M | 483.6 M | 744.4 M | 130.0 M | 249.4 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 58.6% | 88.9% | 84.8% | 103.2% | 90.0% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 33.4% | 0.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 4.0% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Oracle summary
| Monday, August 19th, 2019 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $54.22 |
| Close | $53.84 |
| Day range | $53.77 - $54.22 |
| Previous close | $53.59 |
| Session gain | 0.47% |
| Average true range | $1.32 |
| 50d mov avg | $56.12 |
| 100d mov avg | $54.85 |
| 200d mov avg | $51.96 |
| Daily pattern | |
| Weekly pattern | lb02a |
Oracle performance
Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For Oracle, the comparison is made against Adobe, Salesforce.com, Citrix Systems, Intuit, Microsoft, QUALCOMM, and Symantec.| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORCLOracle | 2.44% | 3.46% | 11.12% |
| ADBEAdobe | 2.72% | 10.79% | 16.99% |
| CRMSalesforce.com | -6.91% | -9.53% | -0.78% |
| CTXSCitrix Systems | -3.15% | -12.58% | -15.75% |
| INTUIntuit | 6.69% | 9.67% | 27.61% |
| MSFTMicrosoft | 6.65% | 27.21% | 28.52% |
| QCOMQUALCOMM | -9.26% | 43.91% | 15.51% |
| SAP | -6.14% | 12.00% | 0.34% |
| SYMCSymantec | 18.98% | 1.95% | 22.07% |
Oracle competitors
One check before investing in any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Oracle. We selected 8 companies as Oracle competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.- Adobe (ADBE)
- Salesforce.com (CRM)
- Citrix Systems (CTXS)
- Intuit (INTU)
- Microsoft (MSFT)
- QUALCOMM (QCOM)
- (SAP)
- Symantec (SYMC)
Latest Oracle stock news
- Seeking AlphaOracle: Q4 Vindicated Our Stance, Expecting 50% ReturnsJune 27, 2019
- Seeking AlphaOracle: Revenue Acceleration Should Drive OutperformanceJune 26, 2019
- Seeking AlphaOracle's Massive Buybacks Will Push The Stock HigherJune 24, 2019
- Investors.comS&P 500 Hits Record High; Oracle Soars, Oil Jumps 5% On Iran StrifeJune 20, 2019
- Investors.comDow Jones Futures: Stock Market Rally Races Toward Record Highs; Oracle JumpsJune 20, 2019