Oracle stock: buy or sell?

ORCL stock price: $54.17 0.95% At close on May 21st, 2019

Updated on:
May 21st, 2019

4

Oracle grew a slightly fine 0.95% and closed at $54.17.

Oracle Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, sells, hosts, and supports application, platform, and infrastructure technologies for information technology (IT) environments worldwide.

Should I buy Oracle stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Oracle stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean ORCL will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Oracle stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for ORCL stock in the last 30 days.

Is ORCL a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-3-29Exane BNP Paribasn/aNeutral
2019-3-29BNP ParibasNeutralNeutral
2019-3-19DZ Bankn/aSell
2019-3-18Credit Suisse Groupn/aBuy
2019-3-15Wedbushn/aNeutral
2019-3-15WedbushNeutralNeutral
2019-3-15UBS Groupn/aNeutral
2019-3-15Royal Bank of Canadan/aSector Perform
2019-3-15Raymond JamesOutperformOutperform
2019-3-15Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Groupn/aOverweight
2019-3-15BMO Capital MarketsOutperformMarket Perform
2019-3-13JPMorgan Chase & Co.n/aNeutral
2019-3-11NomuraBuyReduce
2019-3-11NomuraBuySell
2019-3-11Credit Suisse Groupn/aBuy

Oracle stock analysis

Daily outlook

Oracle shares grew 0.95% to $54.17 today.

Oracle closed today at $54.17 and grew a slightly fine 0.95%. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on January, ORCL climbed $7.85 (16.95%). On February, SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up triggering a rise of 3.67%. On Apr/24, ORCL hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on April 23rd tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

ORCL stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Oracle slightly fell a bad -0.61% this week. This was the 4th red week in a row, sliding in full a -2.27%.

ORCL shows a long term strength with several rising tops and rising bottoms. It left a new bottom at $53.08 early May. Previous top ($55.53) will play as a resistance in possible new gains. Not so far away is the last price record Oracle marked late April. Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up early January, ORCL climbed $7.85 (16.95%). Since mid October 2018 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, ORCL price gained $7.38 per share (15.77%).

ORCL stock chart (weekly)

Oracle stock price history

Oracle stock went public on March 12th, 1986 with a price of $0.061. Since then, ORCL stock surged a 90,183.30%, with an average of 2,732.80% per year. If you had invested right after ORCL's IPO a $1,000 in Oracle stock in 1986, it would worth $901,833.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Oracle stock historical price chart

ORCL stock reached all-time highs on Apr/24 with a price of $55.53.

Oracle stock price target is $52.70

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. We detected 14 price predictions for ORCL stock published in the last 30 days:
ORCL stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-3-29Exane BNP ParibasInitiatesn/a$50.00-
2019-3-29BNP ParibasInitiatesn/a$50.00-
2019-3-18Credit Suisse GroupSet Price Targetn/a$60.00-
2019-3-15WedbushReiterates$49.00$52.006.1%
2019-3-15WedbushRaises Target$49.00$52.006.1%
2019-3-15UBS GroupRaises Targetn/a$54.00-
2019-3-15Royal Bank of CanadaRaises Targetn/a$57.00-
2019-3-15Raymond JamesRaises Target$54.00$57.005.6%
2019-3-15Mitsubishi UFJ Financial GroupRaises Target$55.00$56.001.8%
2019-3-15BMO Capital MarketsDowngradesn/a$53.00-
2019-3-13JPMorgan Chase & Co.Set Price Targetn/a$53.00-
2019-3-11NomuraReiterates$53.00$42.00-20.8%
2019-3-11NomuraDowngrades$53.00$42.00-20.8%
2019-3-11Credit Suisse GroupSet Price Targetn/a$60.00-
(in average)$52.20$52.701.0%
Moving in a range from $60.00 and $42.00, the price forecast for ORCL stock is $52.70. In average, analysts' outlook on ORCL price forecast is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since last March, when Oracle published its last earnings report, it raised a slightly good 2.58%. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
ORCL earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.79n/a
2017-Q3-n/a0.54n/a
2017-Q42018-03-190.720.8315.3%
2018-Q12018-03-190.660.7513.6%
2018-Q22018-06-190.870.914.6%
2018-Q32018-09-170.610.621.6%
2018-Q42018-12-170.70.745.7%
2019-Q12019-03-140.760.782.6%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Oracle annual turnover jumped a nice 5.57% to $39,831.00 million dollars from $37,728.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nonetheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) collapsed a -15.14% to 9.60%.

Oracle fiscal year ends in May, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Oracle TTM sales up to February 2019 were $39,831.00 and income $10,857.00 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Oracle business evolution since May 2018: Annual sales up to February, compared to lastest yearly report, remained steady a tight 0.00%. Regarding profit margin, Oracle boosted 17.65% to 9.60%

ORCL annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$37,180 M-$10,930 M29.4%-
2014$38,280 M2.96%$10,960 M28.6%0.27%
2015$38,226 M-0.14%$9,938 M26.0%-9.32%
2016$37,047 M-3.08%$8,901 M24.0%-10.43%
2017$37,728 M1.84%$9,335 M24.7%4.88%
2018$39,831 M5.57%$3,825 M9.6%-59.03%
TTM $39,831 M0.00%$10,857 M27.3%183.84%

Quarterly financial results

Oracle posted $9,614.00 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 0.54% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $2,745.00 million with a profit margin of 28.55%. Profit margin appreciated a 4.15% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 24.40%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Oracle sales marked a lame decrease and slightly fell a -1.61%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Oracle posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
ORCL quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$10,890 M-$3,230 M29.7%-
2017-Q3$9,190 M-15.61%$2,210 M24.0%-31.58%
2017-Q4$9,621 M4.69%$2,233 M23.2%1.04%
2018-Q1$9,771 M1.56%$-4,024 M-41.2%-280.21%
2018-Q2$11,462 M17.31%$3,514 M30.7%-187.33%
2018-Q3$9,193 M-19.80%$2,265 M24.6%-35.54%
2018-Q4$9,562 M4.01%$2,333 M24.4%3.00%
2019-Q1$9,614 M0.54%$2,745 M28.6%17.66%

Oracle ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Oracle, 33.39% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of Oracle stock, 58.60% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ORCL stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Oracle:

ORCLADBECRMCTXSINTU
Market cap$185.3 B$134.4 B$120.8 B$12.6 B$63.8 B
Total shares3,420.0 M488.0 M774.8 M132.1 M259.1 M
Float shares2,270.0 M486.4 M735.8 M130.8 M249.1 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)58.6%88.9%84.8%103.2%90.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)33.4%0.3%4.6%1.0%4.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Oracle summary

Tuesday, May 21st, 2019
Open$54.21
Close$54.17
Day range$54.03 - $54.27
Previous close$53.66
Session gain0.95%
Average true range$0.94
50d mov avg$53.97
100d mov avg$51.84
200d mov avg$49.90
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lb03a

Oracle performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare Oracle performance to Adobe, Salesforce.com, Citrix Systems, Intuit, Microsoft, QUALCOMM, Red Hat, and Symantec:
Stock3m6m12m
ORCLOracle3.67%12.18%17.15%
ADBEAdobe6.39%22.12%13.09%
CRMSalesforce.com-3.32%27.80%21.87%
CTXSCitrix Systems-9.31%-10.29%-10.18%
INTUIntuit-1.76%25.40%25.88%
MSFTMicrosoft14.16%23.44%30.41%
QCOMQUALCOMM45.92%41.81%33.25%
RHTRed Hat1.80%6.27%12.74%
SAP18.75%27.37%12.80%
SYMCSymantec-11.56%-7.30%-3.47%

Oracle competitors

One check before investing in any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Oracle. We chose 9 companies as Oracle competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest Oracle stock news