Oracle stock: buy or sell?

ORCL stock price: $53.84 0.47% At close on August 19th, 2019

Updated on:
August 19th, 2019

3

Oracle shares gained 0.47% to $53.84 today. With Monday, it's been 3 climbing days in a row, soaring $1.52 or 2.82%.

Oracle Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, sells, hosts, and supports application, platform, and infrastructure technologies for information technology (IT) environments worldwide.

Should I buy Oracle stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Oracle stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Oracle stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we collected 15 ratings published for ORCL stock in the last 30 days.

Is ORCL a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-6-20Wells Fargo & Con/aOutperform
2019-6-20Wedbushn/aNeutral
2019-6-20Raymond Jamesn/aOutperform
2019-6-20KeyCorpn/aHold
2019-6-20Jefferies Financial Groupn/aBuy
2019-6-20Goldman Sachs Groupn/aBuy
2019-6-20BMO Capital MarketsMarket PerformNeutral
2019-6-20Barclaysn/aEqual Weight
2019-6-18MacquarieOutperformNeutral
2019-6-18JPMorgan Chase & Co.n/aNeutral
2019-6-14UBS Groupn/aNeutral
2019-6-14UBS Groupn/aNeutral
2019-5-21Morgan Stanleyn/aEqual Weight
2019-3-29Exane BNP Paribasn/aNeutral
2019-3-29BNP ParibasNeutralNeutral

Oracle stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Oracle closed today at $53.84 and gained a slightly good 0.47%.

Shares of Oracle gained a slightly good 0.47% and closed at $53.84. Since last Aug/5 when ORCL stock price broke down the SMA100d line, it slid $-2.00 per share (-3.58%). On July 10th, ORCL hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $59.43 recorded on Jul 8th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

ORCL stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Oracle ended this week at $53.84 and stayed stable a slightly good 0.47%.

Price pattern shows an uptrend with two rising tops and bottoms, and now trading upwards to the $60.26 resistance. Not so far away is the last price record Oracle marked early July. Since early January when ORCL stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $7.71 (16.71%). Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up early October, ORCL price climbed $5.30 per share (10.92%).

ORCL stock chart (weekly)

Oracle stock price history

Oracle IPO was on March 12th, 1986 at $0.06 per share1. Since then, ORCL stock surged a 89,633.30%, with a yearly average of 2,716.20%. If you had invested $1,000 in Oracle stock in 1986, it would worth $896,333.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Oracle stock historical price chart

ORCL stock reached all-time highs on Jul/10 with a price of $60.26.

Oracle stock price target is $57.20

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' ORCL stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We found 13 price forecasts for ORCL stock published in the last month:
ORCL stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-6-20Wells Fargo & CoReiterates$60.00$65.008.3%
2019-6-20WedbushReiteratesn/a$55.00-
2019-6-20Raymond JamesReiterates$57.00$61.007%
2019-6-20Jefferies Financial GroupReiterates$61.00$66.008.2%
2019-6-20Goldman Sachs GroupSet Price Targetn/a$58.00-
2019-6-20BMO Capital MarketsReiterates$53.00$59.0011.3%
2019-6-20BarclaysReiterates$55.00$59.007.3%
2019-6-18JPMorgan Chase & Co.Set Price Targetn/a$53.00-
2019-6-14UBS GroupSet Price Targetn/a$54.00-
2019-6-14UBS GroupReiteratesn/a$54.00-
2019-5-21Morgan StanleyRaises Target$54.00$59.009.3%
2019-3-29Exane BNP ParibasInitiatesn/a$50.00-
2019-3-29BNP ParibasInitiatesn/a$50.00-
(in average)$56.70$57.201.0%
The price target for Oracle stock is $57.20, moving in a range between $66.00 and $50.00. In average, analysts' outlook on ORCL price forecast is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since last March, when Oracle posted its last earnings report, it . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will update this report.
ORCL earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.79n/a
2017-Q3-n/a0.54n/a
2017-Q42018-03-190.720.8315.3%
2018-Q12018-03-190.660.7513.6%
2018-Q22018-06-190.870.914.6%
2018-Q32018-09-170.610.621.6%
2018-Q42018-12-170.70.745.7%
2019-Q12019-03-140.760.782.6%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Oracle annual turnover jumped a fine 5.57% to $39,831.00 million dollars from $37,728.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrary, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plunged a -15.14% to 9.60%.

Oracle fiscal year ends in May, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Oracle TTM sales up to February 2019 were $39,831.00 and income $10,857.00 million USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Oracle business evolution since May 2018: Annual turnover up to February, compared to lastest yearly report, remained constant a neutral 0.00%. Regarding profit margin, Oracle climbed 17.65% to 9.60%

ORCL annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$37,180 M-$10,930 M29.4%-
2014$38,280 M2.96%$10,960 M28.6%0.27%
2015$38,226 M-0.14%$9,938 M26.0%-9.32%
2016$37,047 M-3.08%$8,901 M24.0%-10.43%
2017$37,728 M1.84%$9,335 M24.7%4.88%
2018$39,831 M5.57%$3,825 M9.6%-59.03%
TTM $39,831 M0.00%$10,857 M27.3%183.84%

Quarterly financial results

Oracle reported $9,614.00 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a 0.54% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $2,745.00 M with a profit margin of 28.55%. Profit margin stepped up a 4.15% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 24.40%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Oracle sales marked an unpleasant loss and decreased a -1.61%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Oracle posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
ORCL quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$10,890 M-$3,230 M29.7%-
2017-Q3$9,190 M-15.61%$2,210 M24.0%-31.58%
2017-Q4$9,621 M4.69%$2,233 M23.2%1.04%
2018-Q1$9,771 M1.56%$-4,024 M-41.2%-280.21%
2018-Q2$11,462 M17.31%$3,514 M30.7%-187.33%
2018-Q3$9,193 M-19.80%$2,265 M24.6%-35.54%
2018-Q4$9,562 M4.01%$2,333 M24.4%3.00%
2019-Q1$9,614 M0.54%$2,745 M28.6%17.66%

Oracle ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a stock, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Oracle, 33.39% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of Oracle stock, 58.60% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ORCL stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

ORCLADBECRMCTXSINTU
Market cap$184.1 B$140.3 B$111.5 B$12.2 B$71.1 B
Total shares3,420.0 M488.0 M774.8 M131.7 M259.2 M
Float shares2,190.0 M483.6 M744.4 M130.0 M249.4 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)58.6%88.9%84.8%103.2%90.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)33.4%0.3%4.6%1.0%4.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Oracle summary

Monday, August 19th, 2019
Open$54.22
Close$53.84
Day range$53.77 - $54.22
Previous close$53.59
Session gain0.47%
Average true range$1.32
50d mov avg$56.12
100d mov avg$54.85
200d mov avg$51.96
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lb02a

Oracle performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For Oracle, the comparison is made against Adobe, Salesforce.com, Citrix Systems, Intuit, Microsoft, QUALCOMM, and Symantec.
Stock3m6m12m
ORCLOracle2.44%3.46%11.12%
ADBEAdobe2.72%10.79%16.99%
CRMSalesforce.com-6.91%-9.53%-0.78%
CTXSCitrix Systems-3.15%-12.58%-15.75%
INTUIntuit6.69%9.67%27.61%
MSFTMicrosoft6.65%27.21%28.52%
QCOMQUALCOMM-9.26%43.91%15.51%
SAP-6.14%12.00%0.34%
SYMCSymantec18.98%1.95%22.07%

Oracle competitors

One check before investing in any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Oracle. We selected 8 companies as Oracle competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest Oracle stock news