NSEC stock: buy or sell?

NSEC stock price: $14.27 23.02% At close on May 14th, 2019

Updated on:
May 14th, 2019

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National Security shares rocketed 23.02% to $14.27 on May/14. May/14 was the 4th green session in a row, marking 24.47%.

The National Security Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides property, casualty, life, accident, and health insurance products and services in the United States.

Should I buy NSEC stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, National Security stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean NSEC will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is National Security stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for NSEC stock for the last 30 days.

NSEC stock analysis

Daily outlook

National Security shares rocketed 23.02% to $14.27 on May 14th.

National Security shares rocketed 23.02% to $14.27 on May 14th. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on September, NSEC fell $-0.88 per share (-5.81%). Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on June, NSEC price slid a -11.37%.

NSEC stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

National Security broke up the SMA line of 200d, closing at $14.27.

NSEC stock chart (weekly)

NSEC stock price history

NSEC IPO was on March 18th, 1980 at $0.56 per share1. Since then, NSEC stock surged a 2,448.20%, with a yearly average of 62.80%. If you had invested $1,000 in NSEC stock in 1980, it would worth $24,482.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

NSEC stock historical price chart

NSEC stock reached 52-week highs at $19.15, and all-time highs 2005-05-13 with a price of 24.62.

NSEC stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. You should not follow the analysts' NSEC stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price target for National Security stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since last February, when National Security presented its last earnings report, it climbed an exceptional 19.92%. As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
NSEC earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a-0.13n/a
2017-Q2-n/a-0.4n/a
2017-Q32017-11-13n/an/an/a
2017-Q42018-02-28n/a0.57n/a
2018-Q12018-05-14n/a0.19n/a
2018-Q22018-08-13n/a0.18n/a
2018-Q32018-11-13n/a0.36n/a
2018-Q42019-02-28n/a-0.42n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, National Security annual revenues depreciated a disappointing -1.19% to $64.86 million USD from $65.64 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, slightly better, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) gained a 3.03% to 1.20%.

NSEC annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$61 M-$5.66 M9.3%-
2014$64 M5.15%$7.62 M11.8%34.56%
2015$64 M-0.40%$4.70 M7.3%-38.33%
2016$67 M4.44%$3.06 M4.6%-34.79%
2017$66 M-1.87%$-1.20 M-1.8%-139.28%
2018$65 M-1.19%$0.78 M1.2%-164.75%

Quarterly financial results

National Security posted $15.71 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -7.93% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-1.06 million with a profit margin of -6.72%. Profit margin plunged a -12.04% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.31%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, National Security sales marked a bad drop down and slightly fell a -3.30%.
NSEC quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$16 M-$-0.32 M-1.9%-
2017-Q2$16 M1.23%$-1.00 M-6.1%216.14%
2017-Q3$17 M0.92%$-0.56 M-3.3%-44.24%
2017-Q4$16 M-2.30%$0.67 M4.1%-220.11%
2018-Q1$16 M-2.29%$0.47 M3.0%-29.60%
2018-Q2$16 M2.06%$0.46 M2.8%-2.97%
2018-Q3$17 M5.33%$0.91 M5.3%98.47%
2018-Q4$16 M-7.93%$-1.06 M-6.7%-216.43%

National Security ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For National Security, 52.18% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of National Security stock, 5.11% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for NSEC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to National Security:

NSECAAMEAIZALLHCI
Market cap$36.1 M$45.5 M$6.1 B$32.3 B$349.3 M
Total shares2.5 M20.2 M61.5 M333.1 M8.5 M
Float shares1.2 M5.6 M60.8 M331.7 M6.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)5.1%5.2%86.1%81.3%66.6%
  - Insider holdings (%)52.2%80.5%1.0%0.4%24.4%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

NSEC summary

Tuesday, May 14th, 2019
Open$11.55
Close$14.27
Day range$11.55 - $14.27
Previous close$11.60
Session gain23.02%
Average true range$0.55
50d mov avg$13.07
100d mov avg$14.44
200d mov avg$14.28
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

National Security performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. In the following table, we compare National Security to Atlantic American, Assurant, Allstate, HCI, Heritage Insurance, Hilltop, MetLife, United Insurance and UNIVERSAL INSURANCE:
Stock3m6m12m
NSECNational Security19.92%-13.93%-10.81%
AAMEAtlantic American-20.14%-22.60%-15.67%
AIZAssurant1.33%3.00%5.10%
ALLAllstate3.00%11.61%3.56%
HCI -12.83%-22.52%0.86%
HRTGHeritage Insuranc...2.48%-4.79%-12.02%
HTHHilltop3.38%7.89%-12.12%
METMetLife8.57%14.54%4.79%
UIHCUnited Insurance-17.02%-28.50%-33.88%
UVEUNIVERSAL INSURAN...-28.97%-34.50%-19.12%

National Security competitors

We selected a few stocks to conform a list of National Security competitors to watch if you are interested in investing in NSEC: