NSEC stock: buy or sell?

NSEC stock price: $11.14 -7.17% At close on July 12th, 2019

Updated on:
July 12th, 2019

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National Security collapsed a chilling -7.17% and closed at $11.14. On May NSEC climbed an exceptional 13.88%. With Friday it's been 4 sliding days in a row, loosing $-1.76 (-15.84%).

The National Security Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides property, casualty, life, accident, and health insurance products and services in the United States.

Should I buy NSEC stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, National Security stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is National Security stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for NSEC stock for the last 30 days.

NSEC stock analysis

Daily outlook

National Security shares collapsed -7.17% to $11.14 on Friday.

National Security collapsed a chilling -7.17% and closed at $11.14. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on May, NSEC fell $-3.13 per share (-21.93%). When SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, NSEC price slipped $-4.96 per share (-30.81%).

NSEC stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Shares of National Security plunged a frightening -7.17% this week. Late May NSEC climbed a super good 13.74% in just one week. This was the third red week in a row, sliding in full a -15.66%.

Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down late May, NSEC fell $-3.13 per share (-21.93%). Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.

NSEC stock chart (weekly)

NSEC stock price history

NSEC stock went public on March 18th, 1980 with a price of $0.721. Since then, NSEC stock surged a 1,447.20%, with a yearly average of 37.10%. If you had invested $1,000 in NSEC stock in 1980, it would worth $14,472.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

NSEC stock historical price chart

NSEC stock reached 52-week highs at $18.81, and all-time highs 2005-05-13 with a price of 24.62.

NSEC stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price forecast for National Security stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report on February, National Security slightly fell a fateful -6.39%. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
NSEC earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a-0.13n/a
2017-Q2-n/a-0.4n/a
2017-Q32017-11-13n/an/an/a
2017-Q42018-02-28n/a0.57n/a
2018-Q12018-05-14n/a0.19n/a
2018-Q22018-08-13n/a0.18n/a
2018-Q32018-11-13n/a0.36n/a
2018-Q42019-02-28n/a-0.42n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, National Security annual revenues declined a lame -1.19% to $64.86 million USD from $65.64 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, however, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) gained a 3.03% to 1.20%.

NSEC annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$61 M-$5.66 M9.3%-
2014$64 M5.15%$7.62 M11.8%34.56%
2015$64 M-0.40%$4.70 M7.3%-38.33%
2016$67 M4.44%$3.06 M4.6%-34.79%
2017$66 M-1.87%$-1.20 M-1.8%-139.28%
2018$65 M-1.19%$0.78 M1.2%-164.75%

Quarterly financial results

National Security reported $15.71 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -7.93% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-1.06 M with a profit margin of -6.72%. Profit margin plummed a -12.04% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.31%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, National Security sales marked a bad slide and decreased a -3.30%.
NSEC quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$16 M-$-0.32 M-1.9%-
2017-Q2$16 M1.23%$-1.00 M-6.1%216.14%
2017-Q3$17 M0.92%$-0.56 M-3.3%-44.24%
2017-Q4$16 M-2.30%$0.67 M4.1%-220.11%
2018-Q1$16 M-2.29%$0.47 M3.0%-29.60%
2018-Q2$16 M2.06%$0.46 M2.8%-2.97%
2018-Q3$17 M5.33%$0.91 M5.3%98.47%
2018-Q4$16 M-7.93%$-1.06 M-6.7%-216.43%

National Security ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

National Security shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 52.18% of all shares.

In case of National Security stock, 5.11% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for NSEC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to National Security:

NSECAAMEAIZALLHCI
Market cap$28.2 M$46.1 M$6.9 B$34.8 B$349.2 M
Total shares2.5 M20.1 M61.5 M333.1 M8.5 M
Float shares1.2 M5.6 M60.8 M331.8 M6.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)5.1%5.2%86.1%81.3%66.6%
  - Insider holdings (%)52.2%80.5%1.0%0.4%24.4%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

NSEC summary

Friday, July 12th, 2019
Open$11.24
Close$11.14
Day range$11.14 - $11.86
Previous close$12.00
Session gain-7.17%
Average true range$1.01
50d mov avg$12.67
100d mov avg$14.22
200d mov avg$14.21
Daily patternlt02a
Weekly pattern lt11a

National Security performance

To better understand National Security performance you must compare its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. For National Security, the benchmark is made against Atlantic American, Assurant, Allstate, HCI, Heritage Insurance, Hilltop, MetLife, United Insurance and UNIVERSAL INSURANCE.
Stock3m6m12m
NSECNational Security-6.78%-23.23%-29.76%
AAMEAtlantic American-9.49%-2.97%-14.55%
AIZAssurant21.10%17.85%6.92%
ALLAllstate8.48%23.09%14.03%
HCI -1.58%-14.88%0.54%
HRTGHeritage Insuranc...12.80%10.01%-3.08%
HTHHilltop6.64%8.53%-1.84%
METMetLife13.10%14.16%20.45%
UIHCUnited Insurance-14.22%-13.32%-30.15%
UVEUNIVERSAL INSURAN...-3.05%-23.86%-21.34%

National Security competitors

We selected a few stocks to conform a list of National Security competitors to review if you are interested in investing in NSEC: