NLY stock: buy or sell?

NLY stock price: $10.42 0.87% At close on February 14th, 2020

Updated on:
February 14th, 2020

5

After topping to all time highs on Feb 14th, Annaly Capital Management grew 0.87% on Feb/14 to $10.42. Counting Feb/14, it's been 4 climbing sessions in a row, gaining $0.45 or 4.51%.

Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, invests in and finances residential and commercial assets.

Should I buy NLY stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Following a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, 2 buy setups work for Annaly Capital Management stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is Annaly Capital Management stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for NLY stock for the last 30 days.

NLY stock analysis

Daily outlook

After topping to all time highs on Feb/14, Annaly Capital Management grew 0.87% to $10.42.

Annaly Capital Management grew 0.87% on Feb/14 and set a new all time high at $10.44. On Jan 16th, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 8.32%. Since last November when NLY stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $1.68 (19.22%). NLY shows a strong short term uptrend with several rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last bottom on Tuesday, NLY climbed unceasignly breaking out to new all time highs.

NLY stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Annaly Capital Management shares soared 4.41% this week and marked a new all time high at $10.44. With this, it's been 3 green weeks in a row, gaining $0.76 or 7.84%.

Early January, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 10.50%. Since late October 2019 when NLY stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $1.86 (21.73%).

NLY stock chart (weekly)

NLY stock price history

NLY IPO was on October 8th, 1997 at $1.00 per share1. Since then, NLY stock surged a 942.00%, with an average of 42.80% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in NLY stock in 1997, it would worth $9,420.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

NLY stock historical price chart

NLY stock reached all-time highs on Feb/14 with a price of $10.44.

NLY stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' NLY stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price forecast for Annaly Capital Management stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Annaly Capital Management presented slightly fine results for 2018-Q4 . Annaly Capital Management inched Earnings per Share (EPS) by 3.60%, beating experts of $0.28. Annaly Capital Management posted $0.29.
NLY earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a-0.01n/a
2017-Q32017-11-010.30.30.0%
2017-Q42018-02-140.30.313.3%
2018-Q12018-05-020.30.30.0%
2018-Q22018-08-010.290.33.4%
2018-Q32018-10-310.30.30.0%
2018-Q42019-02-130.280.293.6%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Annaly Capital Management annual sales collapsed a bloodcurdling -78.60% to $385.14 M USD from $1,800.12 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, similarly, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plummed a -73.07% to 14.13%.

NLY annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$2,380 M-$3,730 M156.7%-
2014$-627.62 M-126.37%$-842.08 M134.2%-122.58%
2015$687 M-209.46%$467 M67.9%-155.40%
2016$1,609 M134.20%$1,434 M89.1%207.31%
2017$1,800 M11.88%$1,570 M87.2%9.47%
2018$385 M-78.60%$54 M14.1%-96.53%

Quarterly financial results

Annaly Capital Management posted $-2,173.26 M in sales for 2018-Q4, a -530.61% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-2,254.89 M with a profit margin of 103.76%. Profit margin climbed a 27.36% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 76.40%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Annaly Capital Management sales marked a spooky loss and plunged a -367.98%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Annaly Capital Management posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
NLY quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$456 M-$15 M3.2%-
2017-Q3$426 M-6.72%$368 M86.3%2,414.00%
2017-Q4$811 M90.51%$747 M92.1%103.22%
2018-Q1$1,391 M71.49%$1,328 M95.5%77.77%
2018-Q2$663 M-52.33%$596 M89.9%-55.12%
2018-Q3$505 M-23.87%$386 M76.4%-35.30%
2018-Q4$-2,173 M-530.61%$-2,255 M103.8%-684.81%
2019-Q1$-757 M-65.16%$-849 M112.1%-62.34%

Annaly Capital Management ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

Annaly Capital Management shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.32% of all shares.

In case of Annaly Capital Management stock, 55.34% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for NLY stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Annaly Capital Management:

NLY
Market cap$14.9 B
Total shares1,430.0 M
Float shares1,420.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)55.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.3%
Shares in short selling0.0%

NLY summary

Friday, February 14th, 2020
Open$10.33
Close$10.42
Day range$10.29 - $10.44
Previous close$10.33
Session gain0.87%
Average true range$0.13
50d mov avg$9.57
100d mov avg$9.13
200d mov avg$8.84
Daily patternlb03c
Weekly pattern lb11c

Annaly Capital Management performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. In the following table, we compare Annaly Capital Management to :
Stock3m6m12m
NLYAnnaly Capital Ma...17.34%22.88%14.25%

Annaly Capital Management competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Annaly Capital Management competitor. This doesn't mean Annaly Capital Management does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.