MFA stock: buy or sell?

MFA stock price: $7.30 0.00% At close on August 19th, 2019

Updated on:
August 19th, 2019

4

MFA Financial stayed stable 0.00% to $7.30 after reaching all time highs on Aug/9. Counting Monday, it's been 3 green days in a row, gaining $0.18 or 2.46%.

MFA Financial, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage assets, including non-agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), agency MBS, residential whole loans, credit risk transfer securities, and mortgage servicing rights related assets.

Should I buy MFA stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best moment to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, MFA Financial stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is MFA Financial stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for MFA stock for the last month.

MFA stock analysis

Daily outlook

MFA Financial stayed steady 0.00% to $7.30 after marking all time highs on August 9th.

MFA Financial stayed constant 0.00% to $7.30 after reaching all time highs on August 9th. Since April when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, MFA price gained $0.16 per share (2.24%). In the last 4 days when MFA stock price broke up the SMA100d line, it gained $0.18 (2.53%). On Aug 9th, MFA hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $7.45 recorded on August 8th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

MFA stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

MFA Financial closed this week at $7.30 and remained steady a tight 0.00%.

MFA Financial stock is drawing an uptrend with rising tops and bottoms. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top, MFA might consolidate in a flat-base, waiting to break out over or down under . Not so far away is the last price record MFA Financial marked early August. Since early April when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, MFA price gained $0.23 per share (3.25%). Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up early January, MFA climbed $0.81 (12.48%).

MFA stock chart (weekly)

MFA stock price history

MFA IPO was on April 13th, 1998 at $0.81 per share1. Since then, MFA stock surged a 801.20%, with a yearly average of 38.20%. If you had invested $1,000 in MFA stock in 1998, it would worth $8,012.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

MFA stock historical price chart

MFA stock reached all-time highs on Aug/9 with a price of $7.47.

MFA stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we have not detected any price prediction for MFA Financial stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

MFA Financial disappointed experts on February when it reported an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.13 when the market consensus was $0.17.
MFA earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.2n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.2n/a
2017-Q32017-11-020.180.15-16.7%
2017-Q42018-02-150.20.2420.0%
2018-Q12018-05-080.180.211.1%
2018-Q22018-08-020.20.17-15.0%
2018-Q32018-11-060.180.195.6%
2018-Q42019-02-210.170.13-23.5%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a fateful loss of -6.49% to $347.88 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, on the other hand, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) stayed steady a 0.10% to 86.76%.

MFA annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$509 M-$298 M58.5%-
2014$359 M-29.51%$314 M87.4%5.32%
2015$355 M-0.98%$313 M88.2%-0.09%
2016$358 M0.85%$313 M87.3%-0.18%
2017$372 M3.84%$322 M86.7%3.11%
2018$348 M-6.49%$302 M86.8%-6.39%

Quarterly financial results

MFA Financial reported $72.73 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -25.90% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $60.88 million with a profit margin of 83.70%. Profit margin slipped a -5.07% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 88.77%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, MFA Financial sales marked a hair-raising correction and plummed a -38.04%.
MFA quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$142 M-$78 M54.6%-
2017-Q2$143 M0.38%$79 M55.6%2.38%
2017-Q3$85 M-40.52%$64 M75.1%-19.72%
2017-Q4$117 M38.18%$101 M85.7%57.66%
2018-Q1$94 M-19.95%$83 M88.7%-17.10%
2018-Q2$83 M-11.66%$70 M84.8%-15.59%
2018-Q3$98 M18.24%$87 M88.8%23.78%
2018-Q4$73 M-25.90%$61 M83.7%-30.13%

MFA Financial ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

MFA Financial shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.53% of all shares.

Bearish positions for MFA stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to MFA Financial:

MFAAGNCANHCMODX
Market cap$3.3 B$6.4 B$347.6 M$685.5 M$840.0 M
Total shares450.6 M391.3 M98.8 M85.6 M56.0 M
Float shares447.2 M544.9 M90.1 M84.0 M23.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)83.5%70.1%54.1%0.7%46.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.5%0.4%1.9%89.3%3.3%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

MFA summary

Monday, August 19th, 2019
Open$7.35
Close$7.30
Day range$7.27 - $7.39
Previous close$7.30
Session gain0.00%
Average true range$0.15
50d mov avg$7.16
100d mov avg$7.14
200d mov avg$6.91
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lt06a

MFA Financial performance

To better understand MFA Financial performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We chose AGNC Investment, Anworth Mortgage Asset, Capstead Mortgage, Dynex Capital and INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL as the bechmarking frame for MFA Financial stock.
Stock3m6m12m
MFAMFA Financial2.24%5.34%6.57%
AGNCAGNC Investment-1.39%-2.22%-4.78%
ANHAnworth Mortgage ...-12.00%-15.59%-17.76%
CMOCapstead Mortgage-3.38%3.62%0.38%
DXDynex Capital-11.97%-15.01%-17.67%
IVRINVESCO MORTGAGE ...1.09%4.92%12.62%

MFA Financial competitors

We chose a few stocks to conform a list of MFA Financial competitors to check if you are interested in investing in MFA: