MFA stock: buy or sell?
February 25th, 2020
MFA Financial, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage assets, including non-agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), agency MBS, residential whole loans, credit risk transfer securities, and mortgage servicing rights related assets.
Should I buy MFA stock?Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
Currently, MFA Financial stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is MFA Financial stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for MFA stock for the last month.
MFA stock analysis
After marking all time highs on Thursday, MFA Financial dropped -2.19% today to $7.58.
After several days of continuous rises in past weeks, MFA Financial dropped -2.19% to $7.58. On Thursday, MFA hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on January/24 tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers. In this session, MFA Financial stock crossed down the SMA100d line. If you are using SMA100d line as stop loss trigger, double check your position in this stock.
MFA Financial eased a shocking -4.05% this week.
MFA Financial shares slid under the support what triggered further losses. Possible next supports for MFA stock are and 7. Not so far away is the last price record MFA Financial marked last week. Since early April 2019 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, MFA price gained $0.87 per share (12.97%). This week, MFA Financial stock crossed down the significant level of the 20-weeks moving average.
MFA stock price history
MFA IPO was on April 13th, 1998 at $0.78 per share1. Since then, MFA stock grew a 871.80%, with a yearly average of 41.50%. If you had invested right after MFA's IPO a $1,000 in MFA stock in 1998, it would worth $8,718.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
MFA stock historical price chart
MFA stock reached all-time highs on Thursday with a price of $8.09.
MFA stock price targetPredicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we have not found any price target for MFA Financial stock by any trusted analyst.
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareMFA Financial let down analysts when it reported an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.13 when the market consensus was $0.17.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw an awful drop down of -6.49% to $347.88 M dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, instead, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) stayed constant a 0.10% to 86.76%.
|2013||$509 M||-||$298 M58.5%||-|
|2014||$359 M||-29.51%||$314 M87.4%||5.32%|
|2015||$355 M||-0.98%||$313 M88.2%||-0.09%|
|2016||$358 M||0.85%||$313 M87.3%||-0.18%|
|2017||$372 M||3.84%||$322 M86.7%||3.11%|
|2018||$348 M||-6.49%||$302 M86.8%||-6.39%|
Quarterly financial resultsMFA Financial reported $72.73 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -25.90% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $60.88 M with a profit margin of 83.70%. Profit margin slipped a -5.07% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 88.77%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, MFA Financial sales marked a scary loss and collapsed a -38.04%.
|2017-Q1||$142 M||-||$78 M54.6%||-|
|2017-Q2||$143 M||0.38%||$79 M55.6%||2.38%|
|2017-Q3||$85 M||-40.52%||$64 M75.1%||-19.72%|
|2017-Q4||$117 M||38.18%||$101 M85.7%||57.66%|
|2018-Q1||$94 M||-19.95%||$83 M88.7%||-17.10%|
|2018-Q2||$83 M||-11.66%||$70 M84.8%||-15.59%|
|2018-Q3||$98 M||18.24%||$87 M88.8%||23.78%|
|2018-Q4||$73 M||-25.90%||$61 M83.7%||-30.13%|
MFA Financial ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.
MFA Financial shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.59% of all shares.
In case of MFA Financial stock, 79.87% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for MFA stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to MFA Financial:
|Market cap||$3.4 B|
|Total shares||452.4 M|
|Float shares||449.4 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||79.9%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.6%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Tuesday, February 25th, 2020|
|Day range||$7.53 - $7.78|
|Average true range||$0.11|
|50d mov avg||$7.77|
|100d mov avg||$7.58|
|200d mov avg||$7.21|
MFA Financial performancePerformance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare MFA Financial performance to :