KOS stock: buy or sell?

KOS stock price: $6.35 1.44% At close on August 19th, 2019

Updated on:
August 19th, 2019

3

Kosmos Energy shares inched 1.44% to $6.35 today.

Kosmos Energy Ltd. explores for and produces oil and gas in Africa and South America. Its asset portfolio includes production and other development projects in offshore Ghana and Equatorial Guinea; and exploration potential in offshore Mauritania and Senegal, as well as exploration licenses in offshore Cote d'Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, Morocco, Sao Tome and Principe, and Suriname.

Should I buy KOS stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Kosmos Energy stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean KOS will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Kosmos Energy stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we detected 4 ratings published for KOS stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for KOS stock, with 4 positive ratings.
Is KOS a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-4-5Barclaysn/aBuy
2019-4-5Barclaysn/aBuy
2019-3-6Barclaysn/aBuy
2019-1-4Sanford C. BernsteinMarket PerformOutperform

KOS stock analysis

Daily outlook

Kosmos Energy shares inched 1.44% to $6.35 today.

Kosmos Energy inched a good 1.44% and closed at $6.35. In the last 13 days when KOS stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $0.62 (10.82%). Since July when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, KOS price gained $0.08 per share (1.28%). From a daily perspective, KOS is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($5.52, on August 5th) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($6.65, on Aug 8th) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top KOS might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $6.65 or down under $5.52.

KOS stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Kosmos Energy closed this week at $6.35 and gained a beatiful 1.44%. Early August KOS boosted an exceptional 9.18% in just one week. Counting this, it's been 3 green weeks in a row, gaining $0.71 or 12.57%.

Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up early August, KOS climbed $0.71 (12.59%). Since mid June when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, KOS price gained $0.56 per share (9.67%).

KOS stock chart (weekly)

KOS stock price history

KOS IPO was on May 11th, 2011 at $19.22 per share1. Since then, KOS stock lost a -67.00%, with a yearly average of -8.40%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

KOS stock historical price chart

KOS stock reached 52-week highs on October at $9.61, and all-time highs 2011-05-11 with a price of 19.41.

KOS stock price target is $9.80

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we found 3 price forecasts for Kosmos Energy stock:
KOS stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-4-5BarclaysSet Price Targetn/a$10.00-
2019-4-5BarclaysReiteratesn/a$9.50-
2019-3-6BarclaysReiteratesn/a$10.00-
(in average)$0.00$9.800.0%
Moving in a range from $10.00 and $9.50, the price forecast for Kosmos Energy stock is $9.80. In average, analysts' outlook on KOS price target is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Kosmos Energy let down analysts on February when it published an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $-0.09 when the analysts' forecast was $0.05.
KOS earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a-0.07n/a
2017-Q2-n/a-0.02n/a
2017-Q32017-11-06-0.1-0.09n/a
2017-Q42018-02-26-0.11-0.1n/a
2018-Q12018-05-07-0.13-0.06n/a
2018-Q22018-08-06n/a-0.09n/a
2018-Q32018-11-05-0.14-0.23n/a
2018-Q42019-02-250.05-0.09n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a super good gain of 53.37% to $886.67 million dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in line, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) climbed a 27.94% to -10.60%.

KOS annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$858 M-$-91.04 M-10.6%-
2014$856 M-0.29%$279 M32.6%-406.87%
2015$447 M-47.81%$-69.84 M-15.6%-125.00%
2016$310 M-30.52%$-283.78 M-91.4%306.35%
2017$578 M86.27%$-222.79 M-38.5%-21.49%
2018$887 M53.37%$-93.99 M-10.6%-57.81%

Quarterly financial results

Kosmos Energy reported $301.45 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 24.14% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $185.57 M with a profit margin of 61.56%. Profit margin rocketed a 113.47% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -51.91%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Kosmos Energy sales marked an outstanding gain and boosted a 61.11%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Kosmos Energy posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
KOS quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$103 M-$-28.84 M-27.9%-
2017-Q2$141 M36.23%$-8.47 M-6.0%-70.63%
2017-Q3$151 M7.32%$-63.41 M-41.9%648.58%
2017-Q4$187 M23.71%$-122.08 M-65.2%92.54%
2018-Q1$127 M-32.02%$-50.23 M-39.5%-58.86%
2018-Q2$215 M69.18%$-103.27 M-48.0%105.62%
2018-Q3$243 M12.85%$-126.06 M-51.9%22.06%
2018-Q4$301 M24.14%$185.57 M61.6%-247.21%

Kosmos Energy ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Kosmos Energy shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 3.86% of all shares.

Bearish positions for KOS stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

KOS
Market cap$2.5 B
Total shares401.3 M
Float shares323.1 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)93.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)3.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%

KOS summary

Monday, August 19th, 2019
Open$6.29
Close$6.35
Day range$6.11 - $6.38
Previous close$6.26
Session gain1.44%
Average true range$0.34
50d mov avg$5.99
100d mov avg$6.20
200d mov avg$5.76
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern

Kosmos Energy performance

To better understand Kosmos Energy performance you must compare its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We chose as the bechmarking frame for Kosmos Energy stock.
Stock3m6m12m
KOSKosmos Energy3.93%11.01%-25.21%

Kosmos Energy competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Kosmos Energy competitor. This doesn't mean Kosmos Energy does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.