IVR stock: buy or sell?

IVR stock price: $18.23 -0.16% At close on February 21st, 2020

Updated on:
February 21st, 2020

5

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL remained stable -0.16% today to $18.23 after topping to all time highs yesterday.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on investing in, financing, and managing residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and mortgage loans.

Should I buy IVR stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

These 2 buy setups are elegible for INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for IVR stock for the last month.

IVR stock analysis

Daily outlook

After reaching all time highs yesterday, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL remained steady -0.16% to $18.23.

After yesterday all time highs, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL remained constant to $18.23. From a daily perspective, IVR is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($17.61, on Feb/11) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($18.30, yesterday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top IVR might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $18.30 or down under $17.61. Since SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up on November, IVR price climbed $2.60 per share (16.63%). Since last October when IVR stock price broke up the SMA100d line, it gained $3.47 (23.51%). Yesterday, IVR hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $18.28 recorded on Feb 19th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

IVR stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL ended this week at $18.23 after topping to a new all time high ($18.30) and appreciated a tiny 1.33%. Counting this, it's been 5 green weeks in a row, gaining $1.05 or 6.19%.

Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up by mid September 2019, IVR climbed $3.79 (26.25%). Since SMA10d and SMA20w crossed up by mid November 2019, IVR price climbed $2.48 per share (15.75%).

IVR stock chart (weekly)

IVR stock price history

IVR stock went public on July 1st, 2009 with a price of $4.771. Since then, IVR stock grew a 282.20%, with an average of 28.20% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in IVR stock in 2009, it would worth $2,822.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

IVR stock historical price chart

IVR stock reached all-time highs yesterday with a price of $18.30.

IVR stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' IVR stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price target for INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report , INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
IVR earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.77n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.42n/a
2017-Q32017-11-060.40.4410.0%
2017-Q42018-02-20n/a0.47n/a
2018-Q12018-05-03n/a0.45n/a
2018-Q22018-08-07n/a0.41n/a
2018-Q32018-11-07n/a0.41n/a
2018-Q42019-02-20n/a0.46n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL annual revenues plunged a dreadful -118.14% to $-66.84 million USD from $368.39 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, by contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) boosted a 11.28% to 105.91%.

IVR annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$373 M-$142 M37.9%-
2014$-193.41 M-151.80%$-199.45 M103.1%-240.83%
2015$108 M-156.02%$104 M96.0%-152.13%
2016$263 M142.32%$254 M96.9%144.70%
2017$368 M40.30%$349 M94.6%37.03%
2018$-66.84 M-118.14%$-70.79 M105.9%-120.31%

Quarterly financial results

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL posted $-160.52 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a 200.23% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-161.11 M with a profit margin of 100.37%. Profit margin stayed stable a 0.54% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 99.83%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL sales marked a spooky decrease and plummed a -211.16%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
IVR quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$120.61 M-$92.85 M77.0%-
2017-Q2$71.40 M-40.80%$52.55 M73.6%-43.40%
2017-Q3$75.68 M5.99%$62.69 M82.8%19.29%
2017-Q4$144.40 M90.80%$140.52 M97.3%124.16%
2018-Q1$54.14 M-62.51%$52.58 M97.1%-62.58%
2018-Q2$93.00 M71.80%$91.11 M98.0%73.29%
2018-Q3$-53.47 M-157.49%$-53.37 M99.8%-158.58%
2018-Q4$-160.52 M200.23%$-161.11 M100.4%201.85%

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a stock, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL, 0.22% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL stock, 62.11% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for IVR stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL:

IVR
Market cap$2.6 B
Total shares144.3 M
Float shares142.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)62.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.2%
Shares in short selling0.0%

IVR summary

Friday, February 21st, 2020
Open$18.28
Close$18.23
Day range$18.01 - $18.28
Previous close$18.26
Session gain-0.16%
Average true range$0.23
50d mov avg$17.13
100d mov avg$16.23
200d mov avg$15.57
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
IVRINVESCO MORTGAGE ...16.63%25.90%28.47%

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL competitor. This doesn't mean INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.