At Home stock: buy or sell?
September 20th, 2019
At Home Group Inc. operates home decor superstores in the United States. The company's stores offer approximately 50,000 items, such as accent furniture, frames, pottery, bar stools, garden décor, rugs and mats, bedding and bath products, Halloween decorations, sculptures, beds and mattresses, harvest decorations, silk flowers, candles, home organization products, sofas, chairs, kitchenware, stands, Christmas decorations, lamps, storage products, consumables, mirrors, tables, Easter decorations, patio products, vases, floor plants and trees, pet items, wall arts, food preparation items, pillows and cushions, and window treatments.
Should I buy At Home stock?Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
None of our preferred buy setups matches with At Home stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is At Home stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.At Stocks2.com, we collected 15 ratings published for HOME stock in the last month.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-9-6||Morgan Stanley||n/a||Equal Weight|
|2019-9-5||Wells Fargo & Co||n/a||Market Perform|
|2019-8-20||Bank of America||n/a||Underperform|
|2019-6-7||Monness Crespi & Hardt||Buy||Buy|
|2019-6-7||Monness Crespi & Hardt||n/a||Buy|
|2019-6-6||Wells Fargo & Co||Outperform||Market Perform|
|2019-6-6||Bank of America||Buy||Underperform|
|2019-6-10||Morgan Stanley||Overweight||Equal Weight|
At Home stock analysis
Shares of At Home ended today at $9.09 and slightly fell a disappointing -1.09%.
Shares of At Home closed today at $9.09 and slightly fell a disappointing -1.09%. Since last May when HOME stock price broke down the SMA100d line, it slid $-13.81 per share (-60.31%).
After boosting a super good 21.39% in a week last week, At Home closed this week at $9.09 and slightly fell a disappointing -1.30%. Early August HOME plunged a chilling -15.27% in just one week. This week broke a green streak of 4 weeks.
Since price and 20-weeks moving average lines crossed down late May, HOME fell $-13.91 per share (-60.48%).
At Home stock price history
At Home IPO was on August 4th, 2016 at $16.25 per share1. Since then, HOME stock sliced a -44.10%, with a yearly average of -14.70%.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
At Home stock historical price chart
HOME stock reached 52-week highs at $33.97, and all-time highs 2018-07-09 with a price of 40.97.
At Home stock price target is $10.80Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. You should not follow the analysts' HOME stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we found 13 price predictions for HOME stock:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-9-6||Morgan Stanley||Lowers Target||$8.00||$6.00||-25%|
|2019-9-5||Wells Fargo & Co||Lowers Target||$9.00||$6.00||-33.3%|
|2019-8-20||Bank of America||Lowers Target||$8.00||$5.00||-37.5%|
|2019-6-7||Monness Crespi & Hardt||Reiterates||$30.00||$10.00||-66.7%|
|2019-6-7||Monness Crespi & Hardt||Lowers Target||$30.00||$10.00||-66.7%|
|2019-6-7||Loop Capital||Raises Target||n/a||$8.00||-|
|2019-6-6||Wells Fargo & Co||Downgrades||n/a||$9.00||-|
|2019-6-6||Bank of America||Downgrades||$24.00||$8.00||-66.7%|
|2019-3-28||Loop Capital||Lowers Target||n/a||$19.00||-|
|2019-3-28||Buckingham Research||Lowers Target||$28.00||$24.00||-14.3%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareOn March, At Home didn't meet the forecasts of the analysts and reported a lame EPS of $0.45 per share when experts were expecting $0.48.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsIn 2019, At Home annual sales skyrocketed an extraordinary 22.66% to $1,165.90 M dollars from $950.53 marked in 2018. When comparing 2019 vs 2018, in contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) remained stable a 0.86% to 4.20%.
|2014||$404 M||-||$-22.28 M-5.5%||-|
|2014||$498 M||23.21%||$-0.44 M-0.1%||-98.04%|
|2015||$498 M||0.00%||$-0.44 M-0.1%||0.00%|
|2015||$622 M||25.00%||$3.57 M0.6%||-918.81%|
|2016||$622 M||0.00%||$3.57 M0.6%||0.11%|
|2016||$766 M||23.06%||$27 M3.5%||657.41%|
|2017||$766 M||0.00%||$27 M3.5%||-0.01%|
|2017||$951 M||24.15%||$32 M3.3%||17.53%|
|2018||$951 M||0.00%||$32 M3.3%||0.01%|
|2019||$1,166 M||22.66%||$49 M4.2%||54.02%|
Quarterly financial resultsAt Home reported $354.07 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 32.52% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $29.61 million with a profit margin of 8.36%. Profit margin grew a 4.21% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 4.15%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, At Home sales marked an outstanding growth and climbed a 20.57%.
|2017-Q2||$212 M||-||$10 M4.7%||-|
|2017-Q3||$232 M||9.55%||$10 M4.1%||-5.14%|
|2017-Q4||$213 M||-8.24%||$2 M1.1%||-75.09%|
|2018-Q1||$294 M||37.90%||$10 M3.4%||314.95%|
|2018-Q2||$256 M||-12.77%||$18 M7.2%||86.31%|
|2018-Q3||$288 M||12.62%||$-10 M-3.5%||-154.83%|
|2018-Q4||$267 M||-7.39%||$11 M4.2%||-210.15%|
|2019-Q1||$354 M||32.52%||$30 M8.4%||167.02%|
At Home ownershipWhen you are planning to buy a company, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For At Home, 0.49% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
Bearish positions for HOME stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to At Home:
|Market cap||$582.1 M||$19.1 M||$222.0 M||$5.1 B|
|Total shares||64.0 M||14.2 M||49.2 M||78.2 M|
|Float shares||32.2 M||10.0 M||17.4 M||77.3 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||117.2%||106.8%||27.8%||113.3%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.5%||4.4%||30.7%||0.9%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
At Home summary
|Friday, September 20th, 2019|
|Day range||$8.97 - $9.40|
|Average true range||$0.66|
|50d mov avg||$6.49|
|100d mov avg||$10.41|
|200d mov avg||$16.00|
At Home performanceTo measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. We compared At Home against Kirkland's, Container Store and Williams-Sonoma in the following table: