At Home stock: buy or sell?

HOME stock price: $6.64 3.27% At close on July 16th, 2019

Updated on:
July 16th, 2019

1

Shares of At Home ended today at $6.64 and jumped a superb 3.27%. On Thursday HOME plummed a dreadful -5.78%.

At Home Group Inc. operates home decor superstores in the United States. The company's stores offer approximately 50,000 items, such as accent furniture, frames, pottery, bar stools, garden décor, rugs and mats, bedding and bath products, Halloween decorations, sculptures, beds and mattresses, harvest decorations, silk flowers, candles, home organization products, sofas, chairs, kitchenware, stands, Christmas decorations, lamps, storage products, consumables, mirrors, tables, Easter decorations, patio products, vases, floor plants and trees, pet items, wall arts, food preparation items, pillows and cushions, and window treatments.

Should I buy At Home stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best time to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, At Home stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean HOME will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is At Home stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we collected 15 ratings published for HOME stock in the last month.

Is HOME a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-6-7Monness Crespi & HardtBuyBuy
2019-6-7Monness Crespi & Hardtn/aBuy
2019-6-7Loop Capitaln/aHold
2019-6-7KeyCorpn/aOverweight
2019-6-7KeyCorpn/aOverweight
2019-6-7Gordon HaskettHoldAccumulate
2019-6-7Buckingham ResearchBuyUnderperform
2019-6-6Wells Fargo & CoOutperformMarket Perform
2019-6-6Bank of AmericaBuyUnderperform
2019-6-10Morgan StanleyOverweightEqual Weight
2019-3-28Loop CapitalHoldIn-Line
2019-3-28Buckingham ResearchBuyBuy
2019-3-15Wells Fargo & Con/aBuy
2019-1-9Bank of AmericaBuyBuy
2019-1-8Monness Crespi & HardtBuyBuy

At Home stock analysis

Daily outlook

At Home closed today at $6.64 and jumped a superb 3.27%.

At Home shares jumped 3.27% to $6.64 today. Since price and SMA100d lines crossed down on May, HOME fell $-16.26 per share (-71.00%).

HOME stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After sliding a dreadful -5.63% in a week last week, At Home closed this week at $6.64 and decreased an unpleasant -1.63%. Early July HOME climbed a super good 6.59% in just one week.

Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down early September, HOME fell $-27.77 per share (-80.70%). Stocks under the 200d moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.

HOME stock chart (weekly)

At Home stock price history

At Home stock went public on August 4th, 2016 with a price of $16.251. Since then, HOME stock lost a -59.10%, with a yearly average of -29.60%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

At Home stock historical price chart

HOME stock reached 52-week highs at $39.50, and all-time highs 2018-07-09 with a price of 40.97.

At Home stock price target is $16.30

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we found 13 price predictions for HOME stock:
HOME stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-6-7Monness Crespi & HardtReiterates$30.00$10.00-66.7%
2019-6-7Monness Crespi & HardtLowers Target$30.00$10.00-66.7%
2019-6-7Loop CapitalRaises Targetn/a$8.00-
2019-6-7KeyCorpReiterates$35.00$14.00-60%
2019-6-7KeyCorpLowers Target$35.00$14.00-60%
2019-6-6Wells Fargo & CoDowngradesn/a$9.00-
2019-6-6Bank of AmericaDowngrades$24.00$8.00-66.7%
2019-6-10Morgan StanleyDowngrades$30.00$8.00-73.3%
2019-3-28Loop CapitalLowers Targetn/a$19.00-
2019-3-28Buckingham ResearchLowers Target$28.00$24.00-14.3%
2019-3-15Wells Fargo & CoReiteratesn/a$27.00-
2019-1-9Bank of AmericaReiterates$36.00$31.00-13.9%
2019-1-8Monness Crespi & HardtInitiatesn/a$30.00-
(in average)$31.00$16.30-47.0%
Moving in a range from $31.00 and $8.00, the price forecast for HOME stock is $16.30. In average, analysts' outlook on HOME price forecast is negative, reducing the prediction by a -47.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

At Home failed analysts on March when it published an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.45 when the market consensus was $0.48.
HOME earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/an/an/a
2017-Q3-n/an/an/a
2017-Q42018-03-220.350.542.9%
2018-Q12018-03-220.340.4120.6%
2018-Q22018-06-070.250.2916.0%
2018-Q32018-08-290.32-0.16n/a
2018-Q42018-12-060.150.1713.3%
2019-Q12019-03-270.480.45-6.3%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2018, last anual sales report draw an astounding increase of 22.66% to $1,165.90 million USD. In contrary, its income margin (compared to revenues) remained steady to 4.20%, that is $49.00 million.

HOME annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2014$404 M-$-22.28 M-5.5%-
2014$498 M23.21%$-0.44 M-0.1%-98.04%
2015$498 M0.00%$-0.44 M-0.1%0.00%
2015$622 M25.00%$3.57 M0.6%-918.81%
2016$622 M0.00%$3.57 M0.6%0.11%
2016$766 M23.06%$27 M3.5%657.41%
2017$766 M0.00%$27 M3.5%-0.01%
2017$951 M24.15%$32 M3.3%17.53%
2018$951 M0.00%$32 M3.3%0.01%
2019$1,166 M22.66%$49 M4.2%54.02%

Quarterly financial results

At Home posted $354.07 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 32.52% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $29.61 million with a profit margin of 8.36%. Profit margin grew a 4.21% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 4.15%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, At Home sales marked an amazing increase and rocketed a 20.57%.
HOME quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$212 M-$10 M4.7%-
2017-Q3$232 M9.55%$10 M4.1%-5.14%
2017-Q4$213 M-8.24%$2 M1.1%-75.09%
2018-Q1$294 M37.90%$10 M3.4%314.95%
2018-Q2$256 M-12.77%$18 M7.2%86.31%
2018-Q3$288 M12.62%$-10 M-3.5%-154.83%
2018-Q4$267 M-7.39%$11 M4.2%-210.15%
2019-Q1$354 M32.52%$30 M8.4%167.02%

At Home ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

At Home shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.49% of all shares.

Bearish positions for HOME stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to At Home:

HOMEKIRKTCSWSM
Market cap$425.2 M$24.7 M$335.0 M$5.5 B
Total shares64.0 M14.3 M48.9 M78.5 M
Float shares43.0 M11.1 M16.8 M77.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)117.2%106.8%27.8%113.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.5%4.4%30.7%0.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

At Home summary

Tuesday, July 16th, 2019
Open$6.43
Close$6.64
Day range$6.43 - $6.77
Previous close$6.43
Session gain3.27%
Average true range$0.32
50d mov avg$13.27
100d mov avg$17.73
200d mov avg$21.04
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

At Home performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. We selected Kirkland's, Container Store and Williams-Sonoma as the bechmarking frame for At Home stock.
Stock3m6m12m
HOMEAt Home-71.26%-69.25%-82.49%
KIRKKirkland's-70.53%-84.06%-84.76%
TCSContainer Store-21.26%13.22%-11.27%
WSMWilliams-Sonoma23.59%32.55%16.89%

At Home competitors

We chose a few stocks to conform a list of At Home competitors to review if you are interested in investing in HOME: