HCC stock: buy or sell?
August 19th, 2019
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports metallurgical coal for the steel industry. It operates two underground mines located in Alabama.
Should I buy HCC stock?You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
None of our preferred buy setups matches with Warrior Met Coal stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Warrior Met Coal stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.At Stocks2.com, we gathered 2 ratings published for HCC stock in the last 30 days.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-8-6||Jefferies Financial Group||Buy||Hold|
|2019-3-13||Jefferies Financial Group||n/a||Buy|
HCC stock analysis
Warrior Met Coal shares appreciated 0.44% to $20.77 today.
Warrior Met Coal shares appreciated 0.44% to $20.77 today. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on Aug 1st, HCC fell $-3.92 per share (-15.88%). On May, HCC hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $28.94 recorded on May. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.
Warrior Met Coal shares stayed constant 0.44% this week, ending at $20.77. Early August HCC plunged a dreadful -7.81% in just one week.
Since late July, when HCC stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-4.27 per share (-17.05%). Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Far behind is the all-time high Warrior Met Coal marked late April and since then the price is -29.33% below that top. Since SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up late March, HCC price slid a -14.42%.
HCC stock price history
HCC IPO was on April 13th, 2017 at $7.28 per share1. Since then, HCC stock surged a 185.30%, with an average of 92.70% per year. If you had invested right after HCC's IPO a $1,000 in HCC stock in 2017, it would worth $1,853.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
HCC stock historical price chart
HCC stock reached all-time highs on May with a price of $29.39.
HCC stock price target is $22.00Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. Currently, only 1 price prediction for Warrior Met Coal stock was published in the last 30 days:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-8-6||Jefferies Financial Group||Downgrades||$38.00||$22.00||-42.1%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareOn February, Warrior Met Coal reported its latest financial data, posting a fine growth for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Analyst expected $2.16 per share, but Warrior Met Coal posted $2.38.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsIn 2018, Warrior Met Coal annual revenues skyrocketed an extraordinary 17.87% to $1,378.01 M dollars from $1,169.09 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in line, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) rocketed a 11.64% to 50.56%.
|2015||$545 M||-||$-310.58 M-57.0%||-|
|2016||$298 M||-45.36%||$-49.67 M-16.7%||-84.01%|
|2017||$1,169 M||292.79%||$455 M38.9%||-1,016.08%|
|2018||$1,378 M||17.87%||$697 M50.6%||53.12%|
Quarterly financial resultsWarrior Met Coal posted $360.36 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a 31.85% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $374.19 M with a profit margin of 103.84%. Profit margin skyrocketed a 84.60% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 19.24%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Warrior Met Coal sales marked a super good gain and boosted a 50.27%.
|2017-Q2||$363 M||-||$130 M35.7%||-|
|2017-Q3||$312 M||-14.15%||$120 M38.4%||-7.82%|
|2017-Q4||$240 M||-23.13%||$97 M40.5%||-18.85%|
|2018-Q1||$422 M||75.89%||$179 M42.4%||83.92%|
|2018-Q2||$323 M||-23.53%||$91 M28.3%||-48.90%|
|2018-Q3||$273 M||-15.27%||$53 M19.2%||-42.41%|
|2018-Q4||$360 M||31.85%||$374 M103.8%||611.51%|
|2019-Q1||$378 M||4.98%||$110 M29.2%||-70.48%|
Warrior Met Coal ownershipWhen you are planning to buy a company, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Warrior Met Coal, 0.47% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
Bearish positions for HCC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:
|Market cap||$1.1 B|
|Total shares||51.6 M|
|Float shares||47.7 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||113.5%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.5%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Monday, August 19th, 2019|
|Day range||$20.61 - $21.13|
|Average true range||$1.26|
|50d mov avg||$24.46|
|100d mov avg||$25.73|
|200d mov avg||$24.09|
Warrior Met Coal performanceTo better understand Warrior Met Coal performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. For Warrior Met Coal, the comparison is made against .
|HCCWarrior Met Coal||-21.44%||-17.87%||3.44%|