HCC stock: buy or sell?

HCC stock price: $20.77 0.44% At close on August 19th, 2019

Updated on:
August 19th, 2019

1

Shares of Warrior Met Coal appreciated a tiny 0.44% and closed at $20.77.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports metallurgical coal for the steel industry. It operates two underground mines located in Alabama.

Should I buy HCC stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Warrior Met Coal stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean HCC will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Warrior Met Coal stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 2 ratings published for HCC stock in the last 30 days.

Is HCC a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-6Jefferies Financial GroupBuyHold
2019-3-13Jefferies Financial Groupn/aBuy

HCC stock analysis

Daily outlook

Warrior Met Coal shares appreciated 0.44% to $20.77 today.

Warrior Met Coal shares appreciated 0.44% to $20.77 today. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on Aug 1st, HCC fell $-3.92 per share (-15.88%). On May, HCC hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $28.94 recorded on May. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

HCC stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Warrior Met Coal shares stayed constant 0.44% this week, ending at $20.77. Early August HCC plunged a dreadful -7.81% in just one week.

Since late July, when HCC stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-4.27 per share (-17.05%). Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Far behind is the all-time high Warrior Met Coal marked late April and since then the price is -29.33% below that top. Since SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up late March, HCC price slid a -14.42%.

HCC stock chart (weekly)

HCC stock price history

HCC IPO was on April 13th, 2017 at $7.28 per share1. Since then, HCC stock surged a 185.30%, with an average of 92.70% per year. If you had invested right after HCC's IPO a $1,000 in HCC stock in 2017, it would worth $1,853.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

HCC stock historical price chart

HCC stock reached all-time highs on May with a price of $29.39.

HCC stock price target is $22.00

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. Currently, only 1 price prediction for Warrior Met Coal stock was published in the last 30 days:
HCC stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-8-6Jefferies Financial GroupDowngrades$38.00$22.00-42.1%
(in average)$38.00$22.00-42.0%

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Warrior Met Coal reported its latest financial data, posting a fine growth for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Analyst expected $2.16 per share, but Warrior Met Coal posted $2.38.
HCC earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/an/an/a
2017-Q3-n/an/an/a
2017-Q42018-02-1411.1616.0%
2018-Q12018-05-023.173.427.9%
2018-Q22018-08-011.931.81-6.2%
2018-Q32018-10-311.251.06-15.2%
2018-Q42019-02-212.162.3810.2%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Warrior Met Coal annual revenues skyrocketed an extraordinary 17.87% to $1,378.01 M dollars from $1,169.09 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in line, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) rocketed a 11.64% to 50.56%.

HCC annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2015$545 M-$-310.58 M-57.0%-
2016$298 M-45.36%$-49.67 M-16.7%-84.01%
2017$1,169 M292.79%$455 M38.9%-1,016.08%
2018$1,378 M17.87%$697 M50.6%53.12%

Quarterly financial results

Warrior Met Coal posted $360.36 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a 31.85% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $374.19 M with a profit margin of 103.84%. Profit margin skyrocketed a 84.60% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 19.24%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Warrior Met Coal sales marked a super good gain and boosted a 50.27%.
HCC quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$363 M-$130 M35.7%-
2017-Q3$312 M-14.15%$120 M38.4%-7.82%
2017-Q4$240 M-23.13%$97 M40.5%-18.85%
2018-Q1$422 M75.89%$179 M42.4%83.92%
2018-Q2$323 M-23.53%$91 M28.3%-48.90%
2018-Q3$273 M-15.27%$53 M19.2%-42.41%
2018-Q4$360 M31.85%$374 M103.8%611.51%
2019-Q1$378 M4.98%$110 M29.2%-70.48%

Warrior Met Coal ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Warrior Met Coal, 0.47% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for HCC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

HCC
Market cap$1.1 B
Total shares51.6 M
Float shares47.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)113.5%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.5%
Shares in short selling0.0%

HCC summary

Monday, August 19th, 2019
Open$21.04
Close$20.77
Day range$20.61 - $21.13
Previous close$20.68
Session gain0.44%
Average true range$1.26
50d mov avg$24.46
100d mov avg$25.73
200d mov avg$24.09
Daily patternlt02a
Weekly pattern lb06a

Warrior Met Coal performance

To better understand Warrior Met Coal performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. For Warrior Met Coal, the comparison is made against .
Stock3m6m12m
HCCWarrior Met Coal-21.44%-17.87%3.44%

Warrior Met Coal competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Warrior Met Coal competitor. This doesn't mean Warrior Met Coal does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.