HCA stock: buy or sell?

HCA stock price: $138.81 1.48% At close on November 19th, 2019

Updated on:
November 19th, 2019

4

Shares of HCA Healthcare closed yesterday at $138.81 and gained a good 1.48%.

HCA Healthcare, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health care services in the United States and England. The company operates general, acute care hospitals that offer medical and surgical services, including inpatient care, intensive care, cardiac care, diagnostic, and emergency services; and outpatient services, such as outpatient surgery, laboratory, radiology, respiratory therapy, cardiology, and physical therapy services.

Should I buy HCA stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with HCA Healthcare stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is HCA Healthcare stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 7 ratings published for HCA stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for HCA stock, with 6 positive ratings.
Is HCA a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-6Bank of AmericaUnderperformNeutral
2019-7-10Goldman Sachs GroupNeutralBuy
2019-6-24UBS Groupn/aBuy
2019-5-1UBS GroupBuyBuy
2019-5-1Deutsche BankBuyBuy
2019-4-23Raymond JamesMarket PerformOutperform
2019-4-17BarclaysOverweightOverweight

HCA stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of HCA Healthcare gained a good 1.48% and closed at $138.81.

Shares of HCA Healthcare ended yesterday at $138.81 and gained a good 1.48%. On July, HCA hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $146.03 recorded on December. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences. In the last 22 days when HCA stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $11.94 (9.41%). From a daily perspective, HCA is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($133.41, on Nov/6) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($140.04, on Friday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top HCA might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $140.04 or down under $133.41.

HCA stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

HCA Healthcare closed this week at $138.81 and inched a slightly good 0.55%. For 5 weeks in a row, price climbed and marked a profit of 12.60%. Late October HCA climbed a brilliant 5.52% in just one week.

Far behind is the all-time high HCA Healthcare hit late July but price is just -5.23% below that top. Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up last week, HCA price climbed $1.97 per share (1.44%). Since late October when HCA stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $12.54 (9.93%).

HCA stock chart (weekly)

HCA stock price history

HCA IPO was on March 10th, 2011 at $24.48 per share1. Since then, HCA stock surged a 467.00%, with a yearly average of 58.40%. If you had invested right after HCA's IPO a $1,000 in HCA stock in 2011, it would worth $4,670.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

HCA stock historical price chart

HCA stock reached all-time highs on July with a price of $146.47.

HCA stock price target is $155.80

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we found 6 price targets for HCA stock:
HCA stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-6Bank of AmericaUpgrades$130.00$137.005.4%
2019-6-24UBS GroupRaises Target$172.00$181.005.2%
2019-5-1UBS GroupRaises Target$164.00$172.004.9%
2019-5-1Deutsche BankRaises Target$160.00$165.003.1%
2019-4-23Raymond JamesUpgradesn/a$135.00-
2019-4-17BarclaysLowers Target$155.00$145.00-6.5%
(in average)$156.20$155.800.0%
Moving in a range from $181.00 and $135.00, the price target for HCA Healthcare stock is $155.80. In average, analysts' outlook on HCA price forecast is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since April, when HCA Healthcare published its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
HCA earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.75n/a
2017-Q32017-10-311.571.21-22.9%
2017-Q42018-01-301.872.1313.9%
2018-Q12018-05-012.072.3312.6%
2018-Q22018-07-252.142.297.0%
2018-Q32018-10-301.932.1611.9%
2018-Q42019-01-292.592.9915.4%
2019-Q12019-04-292.33n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw an excellent gain of 7.02% to $46,677.00 million USD. Similarly, its earnings margin (compared to sales) stepped up to 8.11%, that is $3,787.00 million.

To have an updated picture of the financial situation of HCA Healthcare, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual HCA Healthcare TTM sales up to March 2019 were $47,771.00 and income was $3,682.00 million dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem HCA Healthcare business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, appreciated a slightly good 2.34%. Regarding profit margin, HCA Healthcare stayed steady -0.41% to 8.11%

HCA annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$34,180 M-$1,560 M4.6%-
2014$36,918 M8.01%$1,875 M5.1%20.19%
2015$39,678 M7.48%$2,129 M5.4%13.55%
2016$41,490 M4.57%$2,890 M7.0%35.74%
2017$43,614 M5.12%$2,216 M5.1%-23.32%
2018$46,677 M7.02%$3,787 M8.1%70.89%
TTM $47,771 M2.34%$3,682 M7.7%-2.77%

Quarterly financial results

HCA Healthcare posted $12,517.00 M in sales for 2019-Q1, a 1.98% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $1,039.00 M with a profit margin of 8.30%. Profit margin stayed constant a -0.37% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 8.67%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, HCA Healthcare sales marked a wonderful growth and escalated a 9.58%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, HCA Healthcare posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
HCA quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$10,730 M-$657 M6.1%-
2017-Q3$10,700 M-0.28%$426 M4.0%-35.16%
2017-Q4$11,562 M8.06%$474 M4.1%11.27%
2018-Q1$11,423 M-1.20%$1,144 M10.0%141.35%
2018-Q2$11,529 M0.93%$820 M7.1%-28.32%
2018-Q3$11,451 M-0.68%$759 M6.6%-7.44%
2018-Q4$12,274 M7.19%$1,064 M8.7%40.18%
2019-Q1$12,517 M1.98%$1,039 M8.3%-2.35%

HCA Healthcare ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For HCA Healthcare, 21.21% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of HCA Healthcare stock, 72.69% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for HCA stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

HCACYHTHCUHS
Market cap$47.1 B$360.6 M$3.3 B$11.5 B
Total shares339.2 M117.8 M103.9 M81.2 M
Float shares264.7 M101.0 M76.2 M78.3 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)72.7%103.8%104.4%101.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)21.2%4.2%2.5%2.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

HCA summary

Tuesday, November 19th, 2019
Open$137.12
Close$138.81
Day range$136.24 - $138.84
Previous close$136.78
Session gain1.48%
Average true range$2.66
50d mov avg$126.55
100d mov avg$128.39
200d mov avg$128.76
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern

HCA Healthcare performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. For HCA Healthcare, the benchmark is made against Community Health Systems, Tenet Healthcare and Universal Health Services.
Stock3m6m12m
HCAHCA Healthcare16.28%12.83%4.11%
CYHCommunity Health ...62.77%-2.55%-14.76%
THCTenet Healthcare53.13%44.36%41.34%
UHSUniversal Health ...-1.04%15.45%7.95%

HCA Healthcare competitors

One check before trading any stock is to have a look a list of its competitors, in this case for HCA Healthcare. We picked 3 companies as HCA Healthcare competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest HCA stock news