HCA stock: buy or sell?

HCA stock price: $124.28 -2.00% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

2

HCA Healthcare shares dropped -2.00% to $124.28 yesterday.

HCA Healthcare, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health care services in the United States and England. The company operates general, acute care hospitals that offer medical and surgical services, including inpatient care, intensive care, cardiac care, diagnostic, and emergency services; and outpatient services, such as outpatient surgery, laboratory, radiology, respiratory therapy, cardiology, and physical therapy services.

Should I buy HCA stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Following a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with HCA Healthcare stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean HCA will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is HCA Healthcare stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 11 ratings published for HCA stock in the last month.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for HCA stock, with 10 positive ratings.
Is HCA a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-6Bank of AmericaUnderperformNeutral
2019-7-10Goldman Sachs GroupNeutralBuy
2019-6-24UBS Groupn/aBuy
2019-5-1UBS GroupBuyBuy
2019-5-1Deutsche BankBuyBuy
2019-4-23Raymond JamesMarket PerformOutperform
2019-4-17BarclaysOverweightOverweight
2019-1-30SunTrust Banksn/aBuy
2019-1-30Leerink Swannn/aOutperform
2019-1-3Deutsche Bankn/aBuy
2019-1-14Stephensn/aOverweight

HCA stock analysis

Daily outlook

HCA Healthcare shares dropped -2.00% to $124.28 yesterday.

Shares of HCA Healthcare dropped a tragic -2.00% and closed at $124.28. On July, HCA hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $146.03 recorded on December. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences. HCA is retaking the upward trend marking a new rising bottom heading to break out over $132.49. Since SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up on July, HCA price slid a -10.74%.

HCA stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

HCA Healthcare shares eased -3.71% this week, ending at $124.28. Late July HCA plummed a chilling -14.09% in just one week.

HCA Healthcare is in a clear downtrend, marking consecutive falling tops and bottoms. Now is trading in between the - range. There is a chance to rebound and reverse this situation if price can hold above the level. Not so far away is the last price record HCA Healthcare marked late July, but since then it dropped a 15.15%. Since late July, when HCA stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-20.30 per share (-14.04%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average line is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support.

HCA stock chart (weekly)

HCA stock price history

HCA IPO was on March 10th, 2011 at $24.48 per share1. Since then, HCA stock surged a 407.70%, with an average of 51.00% per year. If you had invested right after HCA's IPO a $1,000 in HCA stock in 2011, it would worth $4,077.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

HCA stock historical price chart

HCA stock reached all-time highs on July with a price of $146.47.

HCA stock price target is $160.60

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we found 8 price forecasts for HCA stock:
HCA stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-6Bank of AmericaUpgrades$130.00$137.005.4%
2019-6-24UBS GroupRaises Target$172.00$181.005.2%
2019-5-1UBS GroupRaises Target$164.00$172.004.9%
2019-5-1Deutsche BankRaises Target$160.00$165.003.1%
2019-4-23Raymond JamesUpgradesn/a$135.00-
2019-4-17BarclaysLowers Target$155.00$145.00-6.5%
2019-1-30SunTrust BanksRaises Targetn/a$175.00-
2019-1-30Leerink SwannReiterates$160.00$175.009.4%
(in average)$156.80$160.602.0%
Moving in a range from $181.00 and $135.00, the price target for HCA Healthcare stock is $160.60.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After publishing its last earnings report on April, HCA Healthcare . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
HCA earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.75n/a
2017-Q32017-10-311.571.21-22.9%
2017-Q42018-01-301.872.1313.9%
2018-Q12018-05-012.072.3312.6%
2018-Q22018-07-252.142.297.0%
2018-Q32018-10-301.932.1611.9%
2018-Q42019-01-292.592.9915.4%
2019-Q12019-04-292.33n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a more than good increase of 7.02% to $46,677.00 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, aligned with this, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) grew a 3.03% to 8.11%.

HCA Healthcare presents anual results in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, HCA Healthcare TTM sales up to March 2019 were $47,771.00 and income $3,682.00 million dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review HCA Healthcare business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, appreciated a slightly fine 2.34%. Regarding profit margin, HCA Healthcare remained stable -0.41% to 8.11%

HCA annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$34,180 M-$1,560 M4.6%-
2014$36,918 M8.01%$1,875 M5.1%20.19%
2015$39,678 M7.48%$2,129 M5.4%13.55%
2016$41,490 M4.57%$2,890 M7.0%35.74%
2017$43,614 M5.12%$2,216 M5.1%-23.32%
2018$46,677 M7.02%$3,787 M8.1%70.89%
TTM $47,771 M2.34%$3,682 M7.7%-2.77%

Quarterly financial results

HCA Healthcare posted $12,517.00 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 1.98% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $1,039.00 M with a profit margin of 8.30%. Profit margin remained steady a -0.37% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 8.67%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, HCA Healthcare sales marked a superb gain and jumped a 9.58%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, HCA Healthcare posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
HCA quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$10,730 M-$657 M6.1%-
2017-Q3$10,700 M-0.28%$426 M4.0%-35.16%
2017-Q4$11,562 M8.06%$474 M4.1%11.27%
2018-Q1$11,423 M-1.20%$1,144 M10.0%141.35%
2018-Q2$11,529 M0.93%$820 M7.1%-28.32%
2018-Q3$11,451 M-0.68%$759 M6.6%-7.44%
2018-Q4$12,274 M7.19%$1,064 M8.7%40.18%
2019-Q1$12,517 M1.98%$1,039 M8.3%-2.35%

HCA Healthcare ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.

HCA Healthcare shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 21.21% of all shares.

In case of HCA Healthcare stock, 72.69% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for HCA stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

HCACYHTHCUHS
Market cap$42.4 B$419.1 M$2.6 B$12.2 B
Total shares341.0 M118.1 M103.5 M81.2 M
Float shares266.4 M101.0 M76.1 M78.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)72.7%103.8%104.4%101.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)21.2%4.2%2.5%2.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

HCA summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$127.39
Close$124.28
Day range$124.09 - $127.59
Previous close$126.82
Session gain-2.00%
Average true range$2.82
50d mov avg$128.81
100d mov avg$128.24
200d mov avg$129.29
Daily patternlb02a
Weekly pattern lt02a

HCA Healthcare performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We picked Community Health Systems, Tenet Healthcare and Universal Health Services as the bechmarking frame for HCA Healthcare stock.
Stock3m6m12m
HCAHCA Healthcare-2.76%-6.95%-5.70%
CYHCommunity Health ...31.00%-17.82%4.11%
THCTenet Healthcare22.66%-13.04%-9.86%
UHSUniversal Health ...19.95%11.18%18.87%

HCA Healthcare competitors

We selected a few stocks to conform a list of HCA Healthcare competitors to review if you are interested in investing in HCA:

Latest HCA stock news