GWR stock: buy or sell?

GWR stock price: $111.88 -0.05% At close on December 27th, 2019

Updated on:
December 27th, 2019

4

Genesee & Wyoming remained constant -0.05% to $111.88 after reaching all time highs on Dec/27.

Genesee & Wyoming Inc. owns and leases freight railroads. It operates through three segments: North American Operations, Australian Operations, and U.

Should I buy GWR stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, 2 buy setups are elegible for Genesee & Wyoming stock right now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is Genesee & Wyoming stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we detected 7 ratings published for GWR stock in the last month.

Is GWR a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-2CowenOutperformOutperform
2019-7-2Cowenn/aOutperform
2019-7-1Stifel NicolausBuyHold
2019-7-1Credit Suisse GroupUnderperformNeutral
2019-4-15Raymond JamesOutperformMarket Perform
2019-2-8Morgan Stanleyn/aSell
2019-2-7CowenOutperformOutperform

GWR stock analysis

Daily outlook

Despite of closing lower ($111.88, -0.05%), Genesee & Wyoming reached new all time high at $111.97.

Genesee & Wyoming remained steady -0.05% on December 27th to $111.88 after topping to all time highs on December/27. GWR broke out again over $111.45 after a 0.53% correction started on Dec 16th. On December GWR price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock.

GWR stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Genesee & Wyoming shares appreciated 0.62% late December 2019 and topped a new all time high at $111.97.

By mid May 2019, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 29.48%. Since mid March 2019 when GWR stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $31.60 (39.36%).

GWR stock chart (weekly)

GWR stock price history

GWR stock went public on June 25th, 1996 with a price of $3.781. Since then, GWR stock grew a 2,859.80%, with an average of 124.30% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in GWR stock in 1996, it would worth $28,598.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

GWR stock historical price chart

GWR stock reached all-time highs on Dec/27 with a price of $111.97.

GWR stock price target is $95.00

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we found 4 price forecasts for GWR stock:
GWR stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-7-2CowenReiterates$96.00$112.0016.7%
2019-7-2CowenRaises Target$96.00$112.0016.7%
2019-2-8Morgan StanleySet Price Targetn/a$69.00-
2019-2-7CowenReiterates$92.00$87.00-5.4%
(in average)$94.70$95.000.0%
The price forecast for Genesee & Wyoming stock is $95.00, moving in a range between $112.00 and $69.00. In average, analysts' outlook on GWR price forecast is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Genesee & Wyoming presented its financial report, posting a nice climb for the Earnings per Share (EPS). Analyst were expecting $0.90 per share, but Genesee & Wyoming posted $1.00.
GWR earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.76n/a
2017-Q32017-10-310.830.81-2.4%
2017-Q42018-02-080.750.772.7%
2018-Q12018-05-010.740.7-5.4%
2018-Q22018-07-270.920.942.2%
2018-Q32018-10-301.151.237.0%
2018-Q42019-02-060.9111.1%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Genesee & Wyoming annual turnover rose a shining 6.36% to $2,348.55 million dollars from $2,208.04 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, instead, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) collapsed a -14.46% to 10.41%.

GWR annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,570 M-$271 M17.3%-
2014$1,639 M4.40%$261 M15.9%-3.89%
2015$2,000 M22.05%$225 M11.2%-13.70%
2016$2,002 M0.06%$141 M7.1%-37.28%
2017$2,208 M10.32%$549 M24.9%289.02%
2018$2,349 M6.36%$244 M10.4%-55.48%

Quarterly financial results

Genesee & Wyoming posted $575.60 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -4.59% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $55.56 million with a profit margin of 9.65%. Profit margin depreciated a -1.88% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 11.53%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Genesee & Wyoming sales marked a slightly fine move and stayed stable a 0.70%.
GWR quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$540 M-$46 M8.5%-
2017-Q3$577 M6.75%$50 M8.7%9.19%
2017-Q4$572 M-0.93%$427 M74.6%749.06%
2018-Q1$575 M0.54%$75 M13.1%-82.39%
2018-Q2$595 M3.54%$44 M7.4%-41.19%
2018-Q3$603 M1.40%$70 M11.5%57.56%
2018-Q4$576 M-4.59%$56 M9.7%-20.16%
2019-Q1$558 M-3.04%$39 M6.9%-30.34%

Genesee & Wyoming ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Genesee & Wyoming, of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Genesee & Wyoming:

GWR
Market cap$0.0 M
Total shares0.0 M
Float shares0.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)0.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

GWR summary

Friday, December 27th, 2019
Open$111.95
Close$111.88
Day range$111.88 - $111.97
Previous close$111.94
Session gain-0.05%
Average true range$0.41
50d mov avg$111.26
100d mov avg$110.86
200d mov avg$103.14
Daily patternlb01c
Weekly pattern

Genesee & Wyoming performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We compared Genesee & Wyoming against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
GWRGenesee & Wyoming1.09%11.88%51.60%

Genesee & Wyoming competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Genesee & Wyoming competitor. This doesn't mean Genesee & Wyoming does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.