GPK stock: buy or sell?

GPK stock price: $11.82 -5.74% At close on March 27th, 2020

Updated on:
March 27th, 2020

2

Shares of Graphic Packaging plummed a chilling -5.74% and closed at $11.82. On Tuesday GPK rocketed an astounding 10.12%.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, and other consumer products companies.

Should I buy GPK stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Graphic Packaging stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean GPK will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Graphic Packaging stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for GPK stock for the last 30 days.

GPK stock analysis

Daily outlook

Graphic Packaging ended yesterday at $11.82 and plummed a chilling -5.74%.

Graphic Packaging shares plummed -5.74% to $11.82 yesterday. Since last Feb/24 when GPK stock price broke down the SMA200d line, it slid $-4.17 per share (-26.08%). On December, GPK hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on December tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

GPK stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After sliding a dreadful -18.65% in a week last week, Graphic Packaging closed this week at $11.82 and boosted an amazing 8.04%.

After diving below the previous support, we should expect price will slice down to find new supports. Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down late February, GPK fell $-4.17 per share (-26.08%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average mark is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support. Not so far away is the last all-time high Graphic Packaging marked by mid December 2019, but since then it dropped a 29.85%. Since SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up by mid May 2019, GPK price slid a -11.66%.

GPK stock chart (weekly)

GPK stock price history

GPK IPO was on December 10th, 1992 at $2.66 per share1. Since then, GPK stock surged a 344.40%, with a yearly average of 12.80%. If you had invested $1,000 in GPK stock in 1992, it would worth $3,444.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

GPK stock historical price chart

GPK stock reached all-time highs on December with a price of $16.85.

GPK stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' GPK stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price target for Graphic Packaging stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since last April, when Graphic Packaging presented its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
GPK earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.15n/a
2017-Q32017-10-240.180.180.0%
2017-Q42018-02-060.190.17-10.5%
2018-Q12018-04-240.170.1911.8%
2018-Q22018-07-240.20.18-10.0%
2018-Q32018-10-230.250.22-12.0%
2018-Q42019-01-290.190.2321.1%
2019-Q12019-04-230.18n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a dazzling growth of 36.77% to $6,023.00 M USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) decreased a -3.15% to 3.67%.

To have an up to date picture of the financial situation of Graphic Packaging, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Graphic Packaging TTM sales up to March 2019 were $6,052.90 and earnings were $249.10 M dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Graphic Packaging business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained stable a neutral 0.50%. In line, profit margin (net income/revenues) stayed steady at 3.67%.

GPK annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$4,480 M-$147 M3.3%-
2014$4,241 M-5.35%$90 M2.1%-38.81%
2015$4,160 M-1.89%$230 M5.5%156.52%
2016$4,298 M3.31%$228 M5.3%-0.91%
2017$4,404 M2.46%$300 M6.8%31.67%
2018$6,023 M36.77%$221 M3.7%-26.35%
TTM $6,053 M0.50%$249 M4.1%12.66%

Quarterly financial results

Graphic Packaging posted $1,505.90 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -0.12% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $57.90 million with a profit margin of 3.84%. Profit margin stayed steady a 0.69% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 3.15%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Graphic Packaging sales marked a tiny increase and appreciated a 2.03%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Graphic Packaging posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
GPK quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$1,090 M-$42 M3.9%-
2017-Q3$1,140 M4.59%$47 M4.1%12.62%
2017-Q4$1,110 M-2.64%$174 M15.7%267.65%
2018-Q1$1,476 M32.98%$30 M2.0%-82.81%
2018-Q2$1,509 M2.26%$49 M3.3%65.22%
2018-Q3$1,530 M1.37%$94 M6.2%90.89%
2018-Q4$1,508 M-1.46%$48 M3.2%-49.63%
2019-Q1$1,506 M-0.12%$58 M3.8%21.89%

Graphic Packaging ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Graphic Packaging, 27.94% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of Graphic Packaging stock, 0.00% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for GPK stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

GPK
Market cap$3.4 B
Total shares290.3 M
Float shares279.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)0.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)27.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%

GPK summary

Friday, March 27th, 2020
Open$12.18
Close$11.82
Day range$11.79 - $12.37
Previous close$12.54
Session gain-5.74%
Average true range$1.04
50d mov avg$14.44
100d mov avg$15.36
200d mov avg$14.69
Daily patternlt03a
Weekly pattern lt02c

Graphic Packaging performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Graphic Packaging against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
GPKGraphic Packaging-28.75%-18.60%-4.45%

Graphic Packaging competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Graphic Packaging competitor. This doesn't mean Graphic Packaging does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.