GPK stock: buy or sell?

GPK stock price: $13.05 1.87% At close on May 21st, 2019

Updated on:
May 21st, 2019

3

Graphic Packaging shares jumped 1.87% to $13.05 today.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, and other consumer products companies.

Should I buy GPK stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Graphic Packaging stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean GPK will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Graphic Packaging stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we collected 3 ratings published for GPK stock in the last 30 days.

Is GPK a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-4-24UBS Groupn/aNeutral
2019-4-24KeyCorpn/aHold
2019-1-4UBS Groupn/aNeutral

GPK stock analysis

Daily outlook

Graphic Packaging shares jumped 1.87% to $13.05 today.

Graphic Packaging ended today at $13.05 and jumped a decent 1.87%. Since April/10 when GPK stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $0.41 (3.24%). GPK marked a lower low and a lower high in the short term, defining a downward trend. Climbing above $13.68 would break this short term down trend and open possibilities for reversing this situation. Since March when SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up, GPK price gained $0.94 per share (7.76%).

GPK stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Graphic Packaging shares remained stable -0.46% this week, ending at $13.05. Late April GPK skyrocketed a dazzling 7.11% in just one week. With this, it's been 3 sliding weeks in a row, loosing $-1.02 (-7.33%).

Graphic Packaging stock is trading in the range of its last top and last bottom. Loosing would mean breaking the current uptrend. Breakdowns under last bottom are selling point signals for some trading strategies. Since last week when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, GPK price slipped $-0.61 per share (-4.47%). Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down late May 2018, GPK fell $-1.60 per share (-10.92%). Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.

GPK stock chart (weekly)

GPK stock price history

GPK stock went public on December 10th, 1992 with a price of $2.721. Since then, GPK stock surged a 379.80%, with an average of 14.60% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in GPK stock in 1992, it would worth $3,798.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

GPK stock historical price chart

GPK stock reached 52-week highs at $14.90, and all-time highs 2018-01-16 with a price of 16.19.

GPK stock price target is $13.00

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' GPK stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we only found 1 price target for Graphic Packaging stock:
GPK stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-4-24UBS GroupRaises Target$12.50$13.004%
(in average)$12.50$13.004.0%

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since April 23rd, when Graphic Packaging published its last earnings report, it remained steady a tight 0.54%. As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will update this review.
GPK earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.15n/a
2017-Q32017-10-240.180.180.0%
2017-Q42018-02-060.190.17-10.5%
2018-Q12018-04-240.170.1911.8%
2018-Q22018-07-240.20.18-10.0%
2018-Q32018-10-230.250.22-12.0%
2018-Q42019-01-290.190.2321.1%
2019-Q12019-04-230.18n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw an astounding increase of 36.77% to $6,023.00 M dollars. Nevertheless, its income margin (compared to revenues) slightly fell to 3.67%, that is $221.10 million.

To have an updated picture of the financial situation of Graphic Packaging, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Graphic Packaging TTM sales up to March 2019 were $6,052.90 and income was $249.10 M dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Graphic Packaging business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained constant a tight 0.50%. Regarding profit margin, Graphic Packaging stayed stable 0.44% to 3.67%

GPK annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$4,480 M-$147 M3.3%-
2014$4,241 M-5.35%$90 M2.1%-38.81%
2015$4,160 M-1.89%$230 M5.5%156.52%
2016$4,298 M3.31%$228 M5.3%-0.91%
2017$4,404 M2.46%$300 M6.8%31.67%
2018$6,023 M36.77%$221 M3.7%-26.35%
TTM $6,053 M0.50%$249 M4.1%12.66%

Quarterly financial results

Graphic Packaging reported $1,505.90 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -0.12% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $57.90 M with a profit margin of 3.84%. Profit margin stayed constant a 0.69% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 3.15%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Graphic Packaging sales marked a tiny gain and appreciated a 2.03%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Graphic Packaging posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
GPK quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$1,090 M-$42 M3.9%-
2017-Q3$1,140 M4.59%$47 M4.1%12.62%
2017-Q4$1,110 M-2.64%$174 M15.7%267.65%
2018-Q1$1,476 M32.98%$30 M2.0%-82.81%
2018-Q2$1,509 M2.26%$49 M3.3%65.22%
2018-Q3$1,530 M1.37%$94 M6.2%90.89%
2018-Q4$1,508 M-1.46%$48 M3.2%-49.63%
2019-Q1$1,506 M-0.12%$58 M3.8%21.89%

Graphic Packaging ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Graphic Packaging shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.76% of all shares.

Bearish positions for GPK stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

GPKPKGWRK
Market cap$3.9 B$8.9 B$9.2 B
Total shares295.3 M93.8 M257.0 M
Float shares261.1 M92.6 M253.3 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)118.9%89.6%90.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.8%1.2%1.4%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%

GPK summary

Tuesday, May 21st, 2019
Open$12.85
Close$13.05
Day range$12.87 - $13.09
Previous close$12.81
Session gain1.87%
Average true range$0.28
50d mov avg$13.07
100d mov avg$12.48
200d mov avg$12.53
Daily patternlb06a
Weekly pattern lt06a

Graphic Packaging performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We chose and Westrock as the bechmarking frame for Graphic Packaging stock.
Stock3m6m12m
GPKGraphic Packaging3.41%12.31%-10.92%
PKG-3.01%0.56%-18.70%
WRKWestrock-7.37%-18.80%-37.54%

Graphic Packaging competitors

Choosing a list of competitors for Graphic Packaging it's difficult. We selected 2 public companies that are related to and can be considered as competitors of Graphic Packaging: