GPK stock: buy or sell?
October 18th, 2019
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, and other consumer products companies.
Should I buy GPK stock?Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. That's why is so important to choose your own trading strategy that matches with your character as inversor. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
Currently, Graphic Packaging stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Graphic Packaging stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday.At Stocks2.com, we gathered 5 ratings published for GPK stock in the last month.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
GPK stock analysis
Graphic Packaging shares remained steady 0.27% to $14.67 on Oct 18th.
Shares of Graphic Packaging remained constant a slightly good 0.27% and closed at $14.67. On Sep/10 GPK price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock.
Shares of Graphic Packaging closed this week at $14.67 and grew a slightly fine 0.62%.
The downtrend marked by GPK has left consecutive declining peaks and bottoms. If the support holds the price, this might mark a double bottom pattern and create a flat-base to reverse this downtrend. Since mid May when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, GPK price gained $1.16 per share (8.59%). Since late March when GPK stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $2.49 (20.44%).
GPK stock price history
GPK IPO was on December 10th, 1992 at $2.69 per share1. Since then, GPK stock grew a 445.40%, with a yearly average of 17.10%. If you had invested right after GPK's IPO a $1,000 in GPK stock in 1992, it would worth $4,454.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
GPK stock historical price chart
GPK stock reached 52-week highs on July at $15.50, and all-time highs 2018-01-16 with a price of 16.02.
GPK stock price target is $15.00How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we found 2 price forecasts for Graphic Packaging stock:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-4-24||UBS Group||Raises Target||$12.50||$13.00||4%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareAfter publishing its last earnings report on April, Graphic Packaging . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsIn 2018, Graphic Packaging annual revenues climbed a super good 36.77% to $6,023.00 M USD from $4,403.70 marked in 2017. Instead, its income margin (compared to revenues) declined to 3.67%, that is $221.10 million. Graphic Packaging presents anual results in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Graphic Packaging TTM sales up to March 2019 were $6,052.90 and earnings $249.10 million USD. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Graphic Packaging business evolution since December 2018: Annual turnover up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained steady a tight 0.50%. Regarding profit margin, Graphic Packaging stayed steady 0.44% to 3.67%
|2013||$4,480 M||-||$147 M3.3%||-|
|2014||$4,241 M||-5.35%||$90 M2.1%||-38.81%|
|2015||$4,160 M||-1.89%||$230 M5.5%||156.52%|
|2016||$4,298 M||3.31%||$228 M5.3%||-0.91%|
|2017||$4,404 M||2.46%||$300 M6.8%||31.67%|
|2018||$6,023 M||36.77%||$221 M3.7%||-26.35%|
|TTM||$6,053 M||0.50%||$249 M4.1%||12.66%|
Quarterly financial resultsGraphic Packaging posted $1,505.90 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -0.12% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $57.90 million with a profit margin of 3.84%. Profit margin remained constant a 0.69% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 3.15%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Graphic Packaging sales marked a slightly fine increase and raised a 2.03%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Graphic Packaging posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$1,090 M||-||$42 M3.9%||-|
|2017-Q3||$1,140 M||4.59%||$47 M4.1%||12.62%|
|2017-Q4||$1,110 M||-2.64%||$174 M15.7%||267.65%|
|2018-Q1||$1,476 M||32.98%||$30 M2.0%||-82.81%|
|2018-Q2||$1,509 M||2.26%||$49 M3.3%||65.22%|
|2018-Q3||$1,530 M||1.37%||$94 M6.2%||90.89%|
|2018-Q4||$1,508 M||-1.46%||$48 M3.2%||-49.63%|
|2019-Q1||$1,506 M||-0.12%||$58 M3.8%||21.89%|
Graphic Packaging ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in a stock, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Graphic Packaging, 0.76% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
Bearish positions for GPK stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Graphic Packaging:
|Market cap||$4.3 B||$10.2 B||$9.4 B|
|Total shares||294.0 M||94.7 M||257.3 M|
|Float shares||291.3 M||92.5 M||253.6 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||118.9%||89.6%||90.1%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.8%||1.2%||1.4%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Friday, October 18th, 2019|
|Day range||$14.58 - $14.74|
|Average true range||$0.25|
|50d mov avg||$13.89|
|100d mov avg||$13.97|
|200d mov avg||$13.21|
Graphic Packaging performanceTo better understand Graphic Packaging performance you must compare its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. For Graphic Packaging, the benchmark is made against and Westrock.