GPK stock: buy or sell?
May 21st, 2019
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, and other consumer products companies.
Should I buy GPK stock?Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
None of our preferred buy setups matches with Graphic Packaging stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Graphic Packaging stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.At Stocks2.com, we collected 3 ratings published for GPK stock in the last 30 days.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
GPK stock analysis
Graphic Packaging shares jumped 1.87% to $13.05 today.
Graphic Packaging ended today at $13.05 and jumped a decent 1.87%. Since April/10 when GPK stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $0.41 (3.24%). GPK marked a lower low and a lower high in the short term, defining a downward trend. Climbing above $13.68 would break this short term down trend and open possibilities for reversing this situation. Since March when SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up, GPK price gained $0.94 per share (7.76%).
Graphic Packaging shares remained stable -0.46% this week, ending at $13.05. Late April GPK skyrocketed a dazzling 7.11% in just one week. With this, it's been 3 sliding weeks in a row, loosing $-1.02 (-7.33%).
Graphic Packaging stock is trading in the range of its last top and last bottom. Loosing would mean breaking the current uptrend. Breakdowns under last bottom are selling point signals for some trading strategies. Since last week when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, GPK price slipped $-0.61 per share (-4.47%). Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down late May 2018, GPK fell $-1.60 per share (-10.92%). Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.
GPK stock price history
GPK stock went public on December 10th, 1992 with a price of $2.721. Since then, GPK stock surged a 379.80%, with an average of 14.60% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in GPK stock in 1992, it would worth $3,798.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
GPK stock historical price chart
GPK stock reached 52-week highs at $14.90, and all-time highs 2018-01-16 with a price of 16.19.
GPK stock price target is $13.00How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' GPK stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we only found 1 price target for Graphic Packaging stock:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-4-24||UBS Group||Raises Target||$12.50||$13.00||4%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareSince April 23rd, when Graphic Packaging published its last earnings report, it remained steady a tight 0.54%. As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will update this review.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw an astounding increase of 36.77% to $6,023.00 M dollars. Nevertheless, its income margin (compared to revenues) slightly fell to 3.67%, that is $221.10 million. To have an updated picture of the financial situation of Graphic Packaging, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Graphic Packaging TTM sales up to March 2019 were $6,052.90 and income was $249.10 M dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Graphic Packaging business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained constant a tight 0.50%. Regarding profit margin, Graphic Packaging stayed stable 0.44% to 3.67%
|2013||$4,480 M||-||$147 M3.3%||-|
|2014||$4,241 M||-5.35%||$90 M2.1%||-38.81%|
|2015||$4,160 M||-1.89%||$230 M5.5%||156.52%|
|2016||$4,298 M||3.31%||$228 M5.3%||-0.91%|
|2017||$4,404 M||2.46%||$300 M6.8%||31.67%|
|2018||$6,023 M||36.77%||$221 M3.7%||-26.35%|
|TTM||$6,053 M||0.50%||$249 M4.1%||12.66%|
Quarterly financial resultsGraphic Packaging reported $1,505.90 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -0.12% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $57.90 M with a profit margin of 3.84%. Profit margin stayed constant a 0.69% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 3.15%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Graphic Packaging sales marked a tiny gain and appreciated a 2.03%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Graphic Packaging posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$1,090 M||-||$42 M3.9%||-|
|2017-Q3||$1,140 M||4.59%||$47 M4.1%||12.62%|
|2017-Q4||$1,110 M||-2.64%||$174 M15.7%||267.65%|
|2018-Q1||$1,476 M||32.98%||$30 M2.0%||-82.81%|
|2018-Q2||$1,509 M||2.26%||$49 M3.3%||65.22%|
|2018-Q3||$1,530 M||1.37%||$94 M6.2%||90.89%|
|2018-Q4||$1,508 M||-1.46%||$48 M3.2%||-49.63%|
|2019-Q1||$1,506 M||-0.12%||$58 M3.8%||21.89%|
Graphic Packaging ownershipWhen you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.
Graphic Packaging shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.76% of all shares.
Bearish positions for GPK stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:
|Market cap||$3.9 B||$8.9 B||$9.2 B|
|Total shares||295.3 M||93.8 M||257.0 M|
|Float shares||261.1 M||92.6 M||253.3 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||118.9%||89.6%||90.1%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.8%||1.2%||1.4%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Tuesday, May 21st, 2019|
|Day range||$12.87 - $13.09|
|Average true range||$0.28|
|50d mov avg||$13.07|
|100d mov avg||$12.48|
|200d mov avg||$12.53|
Graphic Packaging performanceStocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We chose and Westrock as the bechmarking frame for Graphic Packaging stock.