GPK stock: buy or sell?
August 19th, 2019
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides paper-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, and other consumer products companies.
Should I buy GPK stock?You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
None of our preferred buy setups matches with Graphic Packaging stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Graphic Packaging stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday.At Stocks2.com, we gathered 4 ratings published for GPK stock in the last month.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
GPK stock analysis
Shares of Graphic Packaging grew a slightly fine 0.54% and closed at $13.01.
Graphic Packaging ended yesterday at $13.01 and grew a slightly fine 0.54%. Since May when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, GPK price gained $0.24 per share (1.88%). GPK marked a lower low and a lower high in the short term, defining a downward trend. Climbing above $14.65 would break this short term down trend and open possibilities for reversing this situation. Since last April when GPK stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $0.44 (3.50%).
Shares of Graphic Packaging closed this week at $13.01 and stepped up a slightly fine 0.54%. Early August GPK plummed a frightening -9.22% in just one week. Late July GPK rocketed an amazing 6.00% in just one week.
Since SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up by mid May, GPK price slid a -4.27%. Since price and 20-weeks moving average lines crossed down early August, GPK fell $-1.68 per share (-11.44%).
GPK stock price history
GPK IPO was on December 10th, 1992 at $2.71 per share1. Since then, GPK stock grew a 380.10%, with a yearly average of 14.60%. If you had invested $1,000 in GPK stock in 1992, it would worth $3,801.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
GPK stock historical price chart
GPK stock reached 52-week highs on July 23rd at $15.58, and all-time highs 2018-01-16 with a price of 16.11.
GPK stock price target is $15.00How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. We have 2 price predictions for Graphic Packaging stock posted in the last 30 days:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-4-24||UBS Group||Raises Target||$12.50||$13.00||4%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareAfter publishing its last earnings report on April, Graphic Packaging remained stable a neutral 0.77%. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a dazzling increase of 36.77% to $6,023.00 M USD. In contrast, its income margin (compared to sales) declined to 3.67%, that is $221.10 million. Graphic Packaging fiscal year ends in December, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Graphic Packaging TTM sales up to March 2019 were $6,052.90 and earnings $249.10 million dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Graphic Packaging business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, stayed stable a neutral 0.50%. Regarding profit margin, Graphic Packaging remained stable 0.44% to 3.67%
|2013||$4,480 M||-||$147 M3.3%||-|
|2014||$4,241 M||-5.35%||$90 M2.1%||-38.81%|
|2015||$4,160 M||-1.89%||$230 M5.5%||156.52%|
|2016||$4,298 M||3.31%||$228 M5.3%||-0.91%|
|2017||$4,404 M||2.46%||$300 M6.8%||31.67%|
|2018||$6,023 M||36.77%||$221 M3.7%||-26.35%|
|TTM||$6,053 M||0.50%||$249 M4.1%||12.66%|
Quarterly financial resultsGraphic Packaging reported $1,505.90 M in sales for 2019-Q1, a -0.12% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $57.90 M with a profit margin of 3.84%. Profit margin remained constant a 0.69% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 3.15%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Graphic Packaging sales marked a tiny gain and raised a 2.03%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Graphic Packaging posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$1,090 M||-||$42 M3.9%||-|
|2017-Q3||$1,140 M||4.59%||$47 M4.1%||12.62%|
|2017-Q4||$1,110 M||-2.64%||$174 M15.7%||267.65%|
|2018-Q1||$1,476 M||32.98%||$30 M2.0%||-82.81%|
|2018-Q2||$1,509 M||2.26%||$49 M3.3%||65.22%|
|2018-Q3||$1,530 M||1.37%||$94 M6.2%||90.89%|
|2018-Q4||$1,508 M||-1.46%||$48 M3.2%||-49.63%|
|2019-Q1||$1,506 M||-0.12%||$58 M3.8%||21.89%|
Graphic Packaging ownershipWhen you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's worth to review its ownership structure.
Graphic Packaging shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.76% of all shares.
Bearish positions for GPK stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Graphic Packaging:
|Market cap||$3.8 B||$9.7 B||$0.0 M|
|Total shares||295.3 M||94.5 M||0.0 M|
|Float shares||275.3 M||92.5 M||253.5 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||118.9%||89.6%||90.1%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.8%||1.2%||1.4%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Monday, August 19th, 2019|
|Day range||$12.95 - $13.13|
|Average true range||$0.41|
|50d mov avg||$14.05|
|100d mov avg||$13.62|
|200d mov avg||$12.62|
Graphic Packaging performancePerformance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We compared Graphic Packaging against and Westrock in the following table: