FedEx stock: buy or sell?

FDX stock price: $148.78 -2.41% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

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The US delivery leader ended today at $148.78 and eased a rough -2.41%. On Sep 18th FDX plummed a dreadful -14.84%.

FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services worldwide. The company's FedEx Express segment provides various shipping services for the delivery of packages and freight; international trade services specializing in customs brokerage, and ocean and air freight forwarding services; assistance with the customs-trade partnership against terrorism program; and customs clearance services, as well as an information tool that allows customers to track and manage imports.

Should I buy FedEx stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. That's why is so important to define your own trading strategy that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, FedEx stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean FDX will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is FedEx stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we collected 15 ratings published for FDX stock in the last month.

Is FDX a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-19Standpoint ResearchHoldBuy
2019-9-18UBS Groupn/aSell
2019-9-18Stifel NicolausBuyHold
2019-9-18Robert W. Bairdn/aOutperform
2019-9-18Raymond Jamesn/aOutperform
2019-9-18Morgan Stanleyn/aEqual Weight
2019-9-18JPMorgan Chase & Co.n/aNeutral
2019-9-18Edward JonesBuyHold
2019-9-18DZ Bankn/aSell
2019-9-18Credit Suisse Groupn/aOutperform
2019-9-18Cowenn/aOutperform
2019-9-18BMO Capital MarketsOutperformMarket Perform
2019-7-10Goldman Sachs Groupn/aConviction-Buy
2019-6-28Berenberg Bankn/aHold
2019-6-27Oppenheimern/aOutperform

FedEx stock analysis

Daily outlook

The US delivery leader shares eased -2.41% to $148.78 today.

The US delivery leader shares eased -2.41% to $148.78 today. FDX is retaking the upward trend marking a new rising bottom heading to break out over $176.25.

FDX stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting an astounding 7.02% in a week last week, FedEx closed this week at $148.78 and collapsed a dreadful -14.54%.

This week, the US delivery leader stock crossed down the significant level of the 40-weeks moving average. Stocks below the 200d moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.

FDX stock chart (weekly)

FedEx stock price history

FedEx stock historical price chart

FDX stock reached 52-week highs at $247.31, and all-time highs 2018-01-18 with a price of 268.69.

FedEx stock price target is $163.00

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we found 11 price forecasts for FDX stock:
FDX stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-18UBS GroupLowers Target$136.00$132.00-2.9%
2019-9-18Stifel NicolausDowngrades$185.00$171.00-7.6%
2019-9-18Robert W. BairdLowers Target$180.00$175.00-2.8%
2019-9-18Raymond JamesLowers Target$190.00$175.00-7.9%
2019-9-18Morgan StanleyLowers Target$131.00$120.00-8.4%
2019-9-18JPMorgan Chase & Co.Lowers Target$168.00$146.00-13.1%
2019-9-18Credit Suisse GroupReiterates$175.00$168.00-4%
2019-9-18CowenLowers Target$206.00$190.00-7.8%
2019-9-18BMO Capital MarketsDowngrades$190.00$165.00-13.2%
2019-6-28Berenberg BankSet Price Targetn/a$175.00-
2019-6-27OppenheimerLowers Target$192.00$176.00-8.3%
(in average)$175.30$163.00-7.0%
Moving in a range from $190.00 and $120.00, the price target for FDX stock is $163.00. In average, analysts' outlook on FDX price forecast is negative, reducing the forecast by a -7.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On March, the US delivery leader presented its financial report, in line with analysts' consensus and posted a $3.03 Earnings per Share. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
FDX earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a4.24n/a
2017-Q3-n/a2.44n/a
2017-Q42018-03-203.113.7219.6%
2018-Q12018-03-203.083.7220.8%
2018-Q22018-06-195.725.913.3%
2018-Q32018-09-173.783.46-8.5%
2018-Q42018-12-184.054.03-0.5%
2019-Q12019-03-193.13.03-2.3%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, FedEx annual revenues rose a very good 8.51% to $65,450.00 M dollars from $60,319.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrary, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) raised a 2.02% to 6.99%.

To have an updated picture of the financial situation of FedEx, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2019-Q1 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual FedEx TTM sales up to February 2019 were $69,200.00 and earnings were $3,636.00 million dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem FedEx business evolution since May 2018: Annual turnover up to February, compared to lastest yearly report, jumped a nice 5.73%. Regarding profit margin, FedEx decreased -1.73% to 6.99%

FDX annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$44,290 M-$1,560 M3.5%-
2014$45,570 M2.89%$2,090 M4.6%33.97%
2015$47,453 M4.13%$1,050 M2.2%-49.76%
2016$50,365 M6.14%$1,820 M3.6%73.33%
2017$60,319 M19.76%$2,997 M5.0%64.67%
2018$65,450 M8.51%$4,572 M7.0%52.55%
TTM $69,200 M5.73%$3,636 M5.3%-20.47%

Quarterly financial results

FedEx reported $17,010.00 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -4.57% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $739.00 million with a profit margin of 4.34%. Profit margin stayed stable a -0.90% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.25%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, FedEx sales marked a slightly fine growth and inched a 2.93%.
FDX quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$15,730 M-$1,020 M6.5%-
2017-Q3$15,300 M-2.73%$595 M3.9%-41.67%
2017-Q4$16,313 M6.62%$775 M4.8%30.25%
2018-Q1$16,526 M1.31%$2,074 M12.5%167.61%
2018-Q2$17,314 M4.77%$1,127 M6.5%-45.66%
2018-Q3$17,052 M-1.51%$835 M4.9%-25.91%
2018-Q4$17,824 M4.53%$935 M5.2%11.98%
2019-Q1$17,010 M-4.57%$739 M4.3%-20.96%

FedEx ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For FedEx, 5.94% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of FedEx stock, 72.75% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for FDX stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

FDXAIRTATSGCHRWEXPD
Market cap$38.8 B$42.1 M$1.3 B$11.4 B$12.7 B
Total shares260.9 M3.0 M59.4 M135.4 M170.7 M
Float shares240.4 M1.2 M57.1 M134.8 M169.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)72.8%29.5%92.0%89.3%98.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)5.9%42.0%2.6%0.5%0.6%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

FedEx summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$153.36
Close$148.78
Day range$148.45 - $153.36
Previous close$152.45
Session gain-2.41%
Average true range$5.75
50d mov avg$162.67
100d mov avg$163.75
200d mov avg$171.05
Daily patternlb02a
Weekly pattern

FedEx performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared FedEx against Air T, Air Transport Services, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Expeditors International of Washington and United Parcel Service in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
FDXFedEx-9.67%-13.82%-38.96%
AIRTAir T-26.95%-32.85%-37.48%
ATSGAir Transport Ser...-5.47%3.69%-0.50%
CHRWC.H. Robinson Wor...2.39%1.02%-11.31%
EXPDExpeditors Intern...-1.06%1.36%2.57%
UPSUnited Parcel Ser...19.11%14.44%5.46%

FedEx competitors

One check before trading any stock is to have a look a list of its competitors, in this case for FedEx. We chose 5 companies as FedEx competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest FedEx stock news