FedEx stock: buy or sell?

FDX stock price: $163.25 -1.01% At close on February 21st, 2020

Updated on:
February 21st, 2020

3

FedEx decreased a disappointing -1.01% and closed at $163.25.

FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services worldwide. The company's FedEx Express segment provides various shipping services for the delivery of packages and freight; international trade services specializing in customs brokerage, and ocean and air freight forwarding services; assistance with the customs-trade partnership against terrorism program; and customs clearance services, as well as an information tool that allows customers to track and manage imports.

Should I buy FedEx stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with FedEx stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is FedEx stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for FDX stock for the last 30 days.

FedEx stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of the US delivery leader ended on Feb/21 at $163.25 and decreased a disappointing -1.01%.

Shares of the US delivery leader closed on February/21 at $163.25 and decreased a disappointing -1.01%. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on February 12th, FDX climbed $5.25 (3.32%). From a daily perspective, FDX is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($156.39, on Tuesday) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($165.25, on Thursday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top FDX might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $165.25 or down under $156.39. Since last December when SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up, FDX price gained $0.02 per share (0.01%).

FDX stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

The US delivery leader shares escalated 2.92% this week, ending at $163.25. Early February FDX skyrocketed a super good 7.08% in just one week. Late January FDX plunged a dreadful -6.52% in just one week. With this, it's been 3 green weeks in a row, gaining $18.61 or 12.08%.

Last week FDX price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.

FDX stock chart (weekly)

FedEx stock price history

FedEx stock historical price chart

FDX stock reached 52-week highs on April at $196.93, and all-time highs 2018-01-18 with a price of 267.55.

FedEx stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' FDX stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we have not detected any price prediction for the US delivery leader stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After presenting its last earnings report on March, FedEx . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
FDX earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a4.24n/a
2017-Q3-n/a2.44n/a
2017-Q42018-03-203.113.7219.6%
2018-Q12018-03-203.083.7220.8%
2018-Q22018-06-195.725.913.3%
2018-Q32018-09-173.783.46-8.5%
2018-Q42018-12-184.054.03-0.5%
2019-Q12019-03-193.13.03-2.3%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, FedEx annual turnover soared a great 8.51% to $65,450.00 M dollars from $60,319.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nonetheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) stepped up a 2.02% to 6.99%.

FedEx presents anual results in May, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, FedEx TTM sales up to February 2019 were $69,200.00 and income $3,636.00 million dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review FedEx business evolution since May 2018: Annual sales up to February, compared to lastest yearly report, escalated a decent 5.73%. Nonetheless, profit margin (net income/sales) depreciated at 6.99%.

FDX annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$44,290 M-$1,560 M3.5%-
2014$45,570 M2.89%$2,090 M4.6%33.97%
2015$47,453 M4.13%$1,050 M2.2%-49.76%
2016$50,365 M6.14%$1,820 M3.6%73.33%
2017$60,319 M19.76%$2,997 M5.0%64.67%
2018$65,450 M8.51%$4,572 M7.0%52.55%
TTM $69,200 M5.73%$3,636 M5.3%-20.47%

Quarterly financial results

FedEx reported $17,010.00 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a -4.57% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $739.00 million with a profit margin of 4.34%. Profit margin remained constant a -0.90% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.25%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, FedEx sales marked a slightly fine growth and gained a 2.93%.
FDX quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$15,730 M-$1,020 M6.5%-
2017-Q3$15,300 M-2.73%$595 M3.9%-41.67%
2017-Q4$16,313 M6.62%$775 M4.8%30.25%
2018-Q1$16,526 M1.31%$2,074 M12.5%167.61%
2018-Q2$17,314 M4.77%$1,127 M6.5%-45.66%
2018-Q3$17,052 M-1.51%$835 M4.9%-25.91%
2018-Q4$17,824 M4.53%$935 M5.2%11.98%
2019-Q1$17,010 M-4.57%$739 M4.3%-20.96%

FedEx ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For FedEx, 7.72% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of FedEx stock, 74.69% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for FDX stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to FedEx:

FDX
Market cap$42.6 B
Total shares261.1 M
Float shares240.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)74.7%
  - Insider holdings (%)7.7%
Shares in short selling0.0%

FedEx summary

Friday, February 21st, 2020
Open$163.26
Close$163.25
Day range$161.69 - $164.14
Previous close$164.91
Session gain-1.01%
Average true range$4.35
50d mov avg$155.20
100d mov avg$154.14
200d mov avg$157.63
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern

FedEx performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. In the following table, we compare FedEx performance to :
Stock3m6m12m
FDXFedEx4.72%8.31%-8.11%

FedEx competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as FedEx competitor. This doesn't mean FedEx does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.

    Latest FedEx stock news