Express stock: buy or sell?

EXPR stock price: $2.72 3.03% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

1

Express shares crossed up the simple moving average line of 100d today and closed at $2.72, soared a 3.03%. Yesterday EXPR plummed a scary -8.71%.

Express, Inc. operates as a specialty apparel and accessories retailer. It offers apparel and accessories for women and men between 20 and 30 years across various aspects of lifestyles, including work, casual, jeanswear, and going-out occasions.

Should I buy Express stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Express stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean EXPR will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Express stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we collected 4 ratings published for EXPR stock in the last month.

Is EXPR a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-27Wedbushn/aNeutral
2019-3-18Deutsche BankHoldHold
2019-3-14WedbushNeutralNeutral
2019-1-8WedbushNeutralNeutral

Express stock analysis

Daily outlook

After sliding a scary -8.71% yesterday, Express closed today at $2.72 and soared a great 3.03%.

Express broke up the SMA line of 100 days today and closed at $2.72. From a daily outlook perspective, EXPR is drawing an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top on September/13 at $3.49, price slid and found support around $2.62. Breaking down under $2.62 would cancel the current uptrend and it might slide further to test lower supports. Note that $3.49 might act as a resistance line. If Express breakouts over $3.49 with average or higher volume, this would be a clear signal that the uptrend resumes.

EXPR stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting a dazzling 27.83% in a week last week, Express closed this week at $2.72 and plummed a dreadful -11.97%.

Since mid November 2018, when EXPR stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-6.48 per share (-70.43%). Stocks below the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.

EXPR stock chart (weekly)

Express stock price history

Express stock went public on May 13th, 2010 with a price of $16.441. Since then, EXPR stock sliced a -83.50%, with a yearly average of -9.30%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Express stock historical price chart

EXPR stock reached 52-week highs on September at $11.32, and all-time highs 2012-03-14 with a price of 26.27.

Express stock price target is $4.50

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. We detected 4 price targets for Express stock posted in the last month:
EXPR stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-8-27WedbushLowers Target$4.00$2.00-50%
2019-3-18Deutsche BankLowers Target$7.00$5.00-28.6%
2019-3-14WedbushLowers Target$6.00$5.00-16.7%
2019-1-8WedbushLowers Target$10.00$6.00-40%
(in average)$6.80$4.50-34.0%
Moving in a range from $6.00 and $2.00, the price target for EXPR stock is $4.50. In average, analysts' outlook on EXPR price target is negative, downgrading the forecast by a -34.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Express reported impressive results for 2019-Q1 on March. Express escalated Earnings per Share (EPS) by 18.80%, beating analysts consensus of $0.16. Express posted $0.19.
EXPR earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/an/an/a
2017-Q3-n/an/an/a
2017-Q42018-03-140.320.3715.6%
2018-Q12018-03-140.320.346.3%
2018-Q22018-05-31-0.010.01n/a
2018-Q32018-08-29-0.010.03n/a
2018-Q42018-11-290.110.110.0%
2019-Q12019-03-130.160.1918.8%
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2018, last anual sales report draw an ugly correction of -1.01% to $2,116.34 M USD. When comparing 2019 vs 2018, in line, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) stayed steady a -0.45% to 0.46%.

EXPR annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2014$2,220 M-$117 M5.2%-
2014$2,170 M-2.25%$68 M3.1%-41.37%
2015$2,165 M-0.21%$68 M3.2%-0.01%
2015$2,350 M8.52%$117 M5.0%70.52%
2016$2,350 M0.01%$117 M5.0%0.00%
2016$2,190 M-6.81%$57 M2.6%-50.72%
2017$2,193 M0.12%$57 M2.6%-0.01%
2017$2,140 M-2.40%$19 M0.9%-66.26%
2018$2,138 M-0.09%$19 M0.9%-0.02%
2019$2,116 M-1.01%$9.63 M0.5%-50.27%

Quarterly financial results

Express posted $628.43 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 22.03% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-1.09 million with a profit margin of -0.17%. Profit margin decreased a -1.72% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 1.55%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Express sales marked an awful decrease and fell a -7.48%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Express posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
EXPR quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$467 M-$-4.53 M-1.0%-
2017-Q3$479 M2.46%$-11.80 M-2.5%160.49%
2017-Q4$499 M4.20%$6.27 M1.3%-153.14%
2018-Q1$679 M36.21%$27.89 M4.1%344.88%
2018-Q2$479 M-29.43%$0.52 M0.1%-98.15%
2018-Q3$494 M2.97%$2.23 M0.5%332.11%
2018-Q4$515 M4.33%$7.97 M1.5%256.62%
2019-Q1$628 M22.03%$-1.09 M-0.2%-113.66%

Express ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Express, 2.71% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for EXPR stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

EXPRAEOANFBKEGPS
Market cap$182.9 M$2.9 B$1.0 B$977.0 M$6.5 B
Total shares67.3 M172.2 M63.2 M49.2 M375.8 M
Float shares60.5 M152.6 M62.4 M28.0 M211.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)128.0%94.6%115.6%76.1%60.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)2.7%5.9%1.1%41.7%35.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Express summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$2.64
Close$2.72
Day range$2.68 - $2.98
Previous close$2.64
Session gain3.03%
Average true range$0.29
50d mov avg$2.37
100d mov avg$2.71
200d mov avg$3.80
Daily patternlb03a
Weekly pattern lt03a

Express performance

To better understand Express performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. For Express, the benchmark is made against American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie & Fitch, Buckle, Gap, Tailored Brands, Urban Outfitters and Zumiez.
Stock3m6m12m
EXPRExpress-2.16%-30.79%-75.07%
AEOAmerican Eagle Ou...-7.41%-15.68%-28.21%
ANFAbercrombie & Fit...0.06%-33.46%-18.08%
BKEBuckle15.21%15.95%-7.85%
GPSGap-4.34%-28.27%-35.58%
TLRDTailored Brands-21.87%-42.90%-81.69%
URBNUrban Outfitters2.89%-13.29%-40.55%
ZUMZZumiez17.21%36.16%9.07%

Express competitors

We selected a few stocks to conform a list of Express competitors to review if you are interested in investing in EXPR: