EFOI stock: buy or sell?

EFOI stock price: $0.59 -4.84% At close on January 24th, 2020

Updated on:
January 24th, 2020

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Energy Focus ended yesterday at $0.59 and plunged a chilling -4.84%. Friday was the 3rd red session in a row, sliding in full a -9.68%.

Energy Focus, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells energy-efficient lighting systems in the United States and internationally.

Should I buy EFOI stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Energy Focus stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean EFOI will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Energy Focus stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we found 1 rating published for EFOI stock in the last month.

Is EFOI a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-16HC Wainwrightn/aBuy

EFOI stock analysis

Daily outlook

Energy Focus plunged a chilling -4.84% and closed at $0.59.

Energy Focus shares plunged -4.84% to $0.59 yesterday. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on January/2, EFOI climbed $0.12 (25.53%). In the last 16 days when SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up, EFOI price slipped $-0.16 per share (-21.33%).

EFOI stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting an amazing 6.45% in a week last week, Energy Focus closed this week at $0.59 and collapsed a horrible -4.84%.

Energy Focus stock is trading in the range of its last top and last bottom. Loosing would mean breaking the current uptrend. Breakdowns under last bottom are selling point signals for some trading strategies. Since late December 2019 when EFOI stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $0.13 (28.26%). Early January, SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up triggering a rise of 13.46%.

EFOI stock chart (weekly)

EFOI stock price history

EFOI stock went public on August 18th, 1994 with a price of $47.501. Since then, EFOI stock sliced a -98.80%, with a yearly average of -4.00%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

EFOI stock historical price chart

EFOI stock reached 52-week highs on February at $1.45, and all-time highs 2005-07-20 with a price of 155.

EFOI stock price target is $2.80

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we only found 1 price prediction for Energy Focus stock:
EFOI stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-16HC WainwrightUpgradesn/a$2.75-
(in average)$0.00$2.800.0%

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Energy Focus reported astounding results for 2018-Q4 on April. Energy Focus boosted Earnings per Share (EPS) by 60.00%, beating analysts of $-0.15. Energy Focus posted $-0.24.
EFOI earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a-0.33n/a
2017-Q2-n/a-0.17n/a
2017-Q3-n/a-0.17n/a
2017-Q42018-02-22-0.15-0.13n/a
2018-Q12018-05-02-0.17-0.2n/a
2018-Q22018-08-08-0.18-0.15n/a
2018-Q32018-11-07-0.16-0.15n/a
2018-Q42019-04-01-0.15-0.24n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Energy Focus annual sales eased a godawful -8.76% to $18.11 M USD from $19.85 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, by contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) soared a 6.45% to -50.32%.

EFOI annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$22 M-$-6.95 M-32.3%-
2014$29 M34.52%$-5.85 M-20.2%-15.90%
2015$64 M122.37%$8.78 M13.6%-250.21%
2016$31 M-51.87%$-16.89 M-54.5%-292.33%
2017$20 M-35.98%$-11.27 M-56.8%-33.28%
2018$18 M-8.76%$-9.11 M-50.3%-19.14%

Quarterly financial results

Energy Focus reported $3.12 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -39.55% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-3.00 million with a profit margin of -96.12%. Profit margin collapsed a -58.90% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -37.22%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Energy Focus sales marked a hair-raising loss and plummed a -34.04%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Energy Focus posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
EFOI quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$4 M-$-4.52 M-110.0%-
2017-Q2$6 M46.23%$-3.11 M-51.7%-31.19%
2017-Q3$5 M-16.77%$-1.77 M-35.4%-42.99%
2017-Q4$5 M-5.50%$-1.86 M-39.3%4.79%
2018-Q1$5 M-1.44%$-2.39 M-51.3%28.63%
2018-Q2$5 M11.01%$-1.80 M-34.9%-24.52%
2018-Q3$5 M-0.27%$-1.92 M-37.2%6.43%
2018-Q4$3 M-39.55%$-3.00 M-96.1%56.09%

Energy Focus ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Energy Focus shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 26.50% of all shares.

In case of Energy Focus stock, 12.77% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for EFOI stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Energy Focus:

EFOI
Market cap$7.3 M
Total shares12.4 M
Float shares8.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)12.8%
  - Insider holdings (%)26.5%
Shares in short selling0.0%

EFOI summary

Friday, January 24th, 2020
Open$0.63
Close$0.59
Day range$0.59 - $0.63
Previous close$0.62
Session gain-4.84%
Average true range$0.12
50d mov avg$0.50
100d mov avg$0.48
200d mov avg$0.49
Daily patternlt01a
Weekly pattern lt06a

Energy Focus performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare Energy Focus performance to :
Stock3m6m12m
EFOIEnergy Focus37.21%47.50%-19.18%

Energy Focus competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Energy Focus competitor. This doesn't mean Energy Focus does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.