DNKN stock: buy or sell?

DNKN stock price: $80.91 -0.55% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

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Shares of Dunkin' Brands closed yesterday at $80.91 and depreciated an unpleasant -0.55%.

Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, franchises, and licenses quick service restaurants under the Dunkin' Donuts and Baskin-Robbins brands worldwide.

Should I buy DNKN stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Dunkin' Brands stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Dunkin' Brands stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 15 ratings published for DNKN stock in the last month.

Is DNKN a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-7ArgusHoldBuy
2019-8-2Wedbushn/aOutperform
2019-8-2Morgan Stanleyn/aEqual Weight
2019-8-15Citigroupn/aBuy
2019-7-30Maxim Groupn/aHold
2019-7-29Goldman Sachs Groupn/aNeutral
2019-7-15Wells Fargo & Con/aMarket Perform
2019-6-28JPMorgan Chase & Co.n/aNeutral
2019-6-25Credit Suisse Groupn/aUnderperform
2019-6-24WedbushNeutralOutperform
2019-4-3BMO Capital MarketsOutperformMarket Perform
2019-3-26Oppenheimern/aMarket Perform
2019-2-8UBS Groupn/aHold
2019-2-8Mizuhon/aSell
2019-2-8Maxim GroupBuyBuy

DNKN stock analysis

Daily outlook

Dunkin' Brands closed yesterday at $80.91 and depreciated an unpleasant -0.55%.

Dunkin' Brands depreciated an unpleasant -0.55% and closed at $80.91. From a daily perspective, DNKN is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($79.42, on Tuesday) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($81.81, on September 19th) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top DNKN might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $81.81 or down under $79.42. Since May when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, DNKN price gained $6.89 per share (9.31%). In this session, Dunkin' Brands stock crossed down the SMA50d line. If you are using SMA50d line as stop loss trigger, double check your position in this stock. On September/5, DNKN hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $84.39 recorded on September/4. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

DNKN stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Dunkin' Brands shares raised 0.55% this week, ending at $80.91.

Not so far away is the last price record Dunkin' Brands marked early September. Since mid May when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, DNKN price gained $7.35 per share (9.99%). Since mid February when DNKN stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $12.18 (17.72%).

DNKN stock chart (weekly)

DNKN stock price history

DNKN IPO was on July 27th, 2011 at $21.10 per share1. Since then, DNKN stock grew a 283.50%, with a yearly average of 35.40%. If you had invested $1,000 in DNKN stock in 2011, it would worth $2,835.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

DNKN stock historical price chart

DNKN stock reached all-time highs on September 5th with a price of $84.74.

DNKN stock price target is $80.00

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. We detected 12 price predictions for DNKN stock released in the last 30 days:
DNKN stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-8-2WedbushReiteratesn/a$92.00-
2019-8-2Morgan StanleyRaises Target$74.00$77.004.1%
2019-8-15CitigroupRaises Target$90.00$102.0013.3%
2019-7-30Maxim GroupReiteratesn/a$79.00-
2019-7-29Goldman Sachs GroupInitiatesn/a$85.00-
2019-7-15Wells Fargo & CoReiterates$68.00$78.0014.7%
2019-6-28JPMorgan Chase & Co.Lowers Target$74.00$73.00-1.4%
2019-6-25Credit Suisse GroupInitiatesn/a$70.00-
2019-6-24WedbushUpgradesn/a$92.00-
2019-2-8UBS GroupSet Price Targetn/a$72.00-
2019-2-8MizuhoSet Price Targetn/a$61.00-
2019-2-8Maxim GroupReiterates$83.00$79.00-4.8%
(in average)$77.80$80.003.0%
Moving in a range from $102.00 and $61.00, the price prediction for DNKN stock is $80.00. In average, analysts' outlook on DNKN price forecast is positive, improving the prediction by a 3.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Dunkin' Brands reported its latest financial data, posting a fine climb for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Analyst were expecting $0.62 per share, but Dunkin' Brands posted $0.68.
DNKN earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.51n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.6n/a
2017-Q32017-10-260.630.61-3.2%
2017-Q42018-02-060.630.641.6%
2018-Q12018-04-260.520.6219.2%
2018-Q22018-07-260.740.774.1%
2018-Q32018-10-250.730.8313.7%
2018-Q42019-02-070.620.689.7%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Dunkin' Brands annual sales stepped up a tiny 2.92% to $828.03 M USD from $804.57 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nevertheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) eased a -5.94% to 27.77%.

DNKN annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$714 M-$147 M20.6%-
2014$749 M4.88%$176 M23.6%20.05%
2015$811 M8.31%$105 M13.0%-40.33%
2016$829 M2.21%$196 M23.6%85.86%
2017$805 M-2.93%$271 M33.7%38.67%
2018$828 M2.92%$230 M27.8%-15.23%

Quarterly financial results

Dunkin' Brands reported $201.05 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -7.58% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $53.19 M with a profit margin of 26.46%. Profit margin slightly fell a -3.91% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 30.37%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Dunkin' Brands sales marked a bloodcurdling loss and collapsed a -21.19%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Dunkin' Brands posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
DNKN quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$191 M-$47 M24.9%-
2017-Q2$219 M14.61%$56 M25.5%17.34%
2017-Q3$224 M2.59%$52 M23.3%-6.19%
2017-Q4$255 M13.81%$214 M84.0%310.25%
2018-Q1$190 M-25.39%$50 M26.3%-76.60%
2018-Q2$219 M15.11%$60 M27.6%20.63%
2018-Q3$218 M-0.71%$66 M30.4%9.21%
2018-Q4$201 M-7.58%$53 M26.5%-19.49%

Dunkin' Brands ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Dunkin' Brands shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.37% of all shares.

Bearish positions for DNKN stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Dunkin' Brands:

DNKNDFMCDSBUXSJM
Market cap$6.7 B$129.6 M$159.0 B$109.0 B$12.3 B
Total shares82.7 M91.9 M759.4 M1,210.0 M114.1 M
Float shares82.4 M90.3 M758.5 M1,160.0 M109.4 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)94.7%91.2%70.0%75.3%80.5%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.4%11.5%0.1%3.2%4.5%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

DNKN summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$81.55
Close$80.91
Day range$80.44 - $81.59
Previous close$81.36
Session gain-0.55%
Average true range$1.64
50d mov avg$81.14
100d mov avg$78.94
200d mov avg$74.35
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern

Dunkin' Brands performance

To better understand Dunkin' Brands performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We compared Dunkin' Brands against Dean Foods, McDonald's, Starbucks, J.M. Smucker and Wendy's in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
DNKNDunkin' Brand...2.18%13.83%12.58%
DFDean Foods30.56%-52.20%-81.35%
MCDMcDonald's3.05%13.34%29.70%
SBUXStarbucks7.87%26.22%59.78%
SJMJ.M. Smucker-10.58%-4.30%0.88%
WENWendy's7.68%27.28%23.42%

Dunkin' Brands competitors

We chose a few stocks to conform a list of Dunkin' Brands competitors to watch if you are interested in investing in DNKN: