DNKN stock: buy or sell?

DNKN stock price: $79.56 -0.50% At close on June 26th, 2019

Updated on:
June 26th, 2019

4

After climbing to all-time highs several times in past weeks, Dunkin' Brands depreciated -0.50% to $79.56.

Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, franchises, and licenses quick service restaurants under the Dunkin' Donuts and Baskin-Robbins brands worldwide.

Should I buy DNKN stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

These 2 buy setups are elegible for Dunkin' Brands stock right now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is Dunkin' Brands stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 13 ratings published for DNKN stock in the last month.

Is DNKN a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-6-25Credit Suisse Groupn/aUnderperform
2019-6-24WedbushNeutralOutperform
2019-4-3BMO Capital MarketsOutperformMarket Perform
2019-3-26Oppenheimern/aMarket Perform
2019-2-8UBS Groupn/aHold
2019-2-8Mizuhon/aSell
2019-2-8Maxim GroupBuyBuy
2019-2-8Maxim Groupn/aBuy
2019-2-8BMO Capital Marketsn/aOutperform
2019-2-14CitigroupBuyBuy
2019-2-14ArgusBuyHold
2019-1-9Maxim Groupn/aBuy
2019-1-25OTR Globaln/aPositive

DNKN stock analysis

Daily outlook

After marking all time highs on June 24th, Dunkin' Brands depreciated -0.50% today to $79.56.

After marking all time highs on June 24th, Dunkin' Brands depreciated -0.50% to $79.56. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on May 22nd, DNKN price climbed $5.21 per share (7.01%). Since last February when DNKN stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $10.77 (15.66%). On Jun 24th, DNKN hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on June/12 tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

DNKN stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Dunkin' Brands shares peaked new all time highs again this week, setting highs to $83.22. Shares closed at $79.56 and stayed stable 0.03% during the week. Early June DNKN skyrocketed an impressive 5.46% in just one week.

Dunkin' Brands stock is drawing an uptrend with rising tops and bottoms. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top, DNKN might consolidate in a flat-base, waiting to break out over or down under . By mid May, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 7.67%. Since mid February when DNKN stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $10.52 (15.24%).

DNKN stock chart (weekly)

DNKN stock price history

DNKN stock went public on July 27th, 2011 with a price of $21.201. Since then, DNKN stock grew a 275.30%, with an average of 39.30% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in DNKN stock in 2011, it would worth $2,753.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

DNKN stock historical price chart

DNKN stock reached all-time highs on Jun 24th with a price of $83.22.

DNKN stock price target is $77.00

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we found 9 price forecasts for Dunkin' Brands stock:
DNKN stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-6-25Credit Suisse GroupInitiatesn/a$70.00-
2019-6-24WedbushUpgradesn/a$92.00-
2019-2-8UBS GroupSet Price Targetn/a$72.00-
2019-2-8MizuhoSet Price Targetn/a$61.00-
2019-2-8Maxim GroupReiterates$83.00$79.00-4.8%
2019-2-8Maxim GroupLowers Target$83.00$79.00-4.8%
2019-2-8BMO Capital MarketsLowers Targetn/a$75.00-
2019-2-14CitigroupLowers Target$87.00$82.00-5.7%
2019-1-9Maxim GroupReiteratesn/a$83.00-
(in average)$84.30$77.00-9.0%
Moving in a range from $92.00 and $61.00, the price forecast for DNKN stock is $77.00. In average, analysts' outlook on DNKN price target is negative, downgrading the prediction by a -9.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Dunkin' Brands presented good results for 2018-Q4 on February. Dunkin' Brands gained Earnings per Share (EPS) by 9.70%, beating analysts of $0.62. Dunkin' Brands posted $0.68.
DNKN earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.51n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.6n/a
2017-Q32017-10-260.630.61-3.2%
2017-Q42018-02-060.630.641.6%
2018-Q12018-04-260.520.6219.2%
2018-Q22018-07-260.740.774.1%
2018-Q32018-10-250.730.8313.7%
2018-Q42019-02-070.620.689.7%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a tiny growth of 2.92% to $828.03 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, on the other hand, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) fell a -5.94% to 27.77%.

DNKN annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$714 M-$147 M20.6%-
2014$749 M4.88%$176 M23.6%20.05%
2015$811 M8.31%$105 M13.0%-40.33%
2016$829 M2.21%$196 M23.6%85.86%
2017$805 M-2.93%$271 M33.7%38.67%
2018$828 M2.92%$230 M27.8%-15.23%

Quarterly financial results

Dunkin' Brands reported $201.05 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -7.58% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $53.19 M with a profit margin of 26.46%. Profit margin slightly fell a -3.91% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 30.37%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Dunkin' Brands sales marked a dreadful decrease and collapsed a -21.19%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Dunkin' Brands posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
DNKN quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$191 M-$47 M24.9%-
2017-Q2$219 M14.61%$56 M25.5%17.34%
2017-Q3$224 M2.59%$52 M23.3%-6.19%
2017-Q4$255 M13.81%$214 M84.0%310.25%
2018-Q1$190 M-25.39%$50 M26.3%-76.60%
2018-Q2$219 M15.11%$60 M27.6%20.63%
2018-Q3$218 M-0.71%$66 M30.4%9.21%
2018-Q4$201 M-7.58%$53 M26.5%-19.49%

Dunkin' Brands ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Dunkin' Brands, 0.37% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for DNKN stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

DNKNDFMCDSBUXSJM
Market cap$6.6 B$89.9 M$156.2 B$100.9 B$13.2 B
Total shares82.7 M91.7 M763.6 M1,210.0 M113.8 M
Float shares82.3 M90.4 M763.1 M1,170.0 M109.2 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)94.7%91.2%70.0%75.3%80.5%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.4%11.5%0.1%3.2%4.5%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

DNKN summary

Wednesday, June 26th, 2019
Open$80.00
Close$79.56
Day range$79.03 - $80.17
Previous close$79.96
Session gain-0.50%
Average true range$1.49
50d mov avg$75.90
100d mov avg$73.63
200d mov avg$71.84
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lt06a

Dunkin' Brands performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. In the following table, we compare Dunkin' Brands performance to Dean Foods, McDonald's, Starbucks, J.M. Smucker and Wendy's:
Stock3m6m12m
DNKNDunkin' Brand...6.48%26.75%17.52%
DFDean Foods-67.66%-74.35%-90.53%
MCDMcDonald's8.35%17.94%33.79%
SBUXStarbucks12.68%32.83%74.51%
SJMJ.M. Smucker0.21%25.34%11.17%
WENWendy's9.61%26.13%15.86%

Dunkin' Brands competitors

One check before trading any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Dunkin' Brands. We selected 5 companies as Dunkin' Brands competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.