DLTR stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
February 27th, 2020
1
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates variety retail stores in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar.
Should I buy DLTR stock?
Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.None of our preferred buy setups matches with Dollar Tree stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Dollar Tree stock a buy?
Financial institutions and banks post stock ratings everyday.
Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for DLTR stock for the last 30 days.DLTR stock analysis
Daily outlook
Dollar Tree dropped a terrifying -2.79% and closed at $85.30.
Dollar Tree dropped a terrifying -2.79% and closed at $85.30. Since last November when DLTR stock price broke down the SMA200d line, it slid $-27.09 per share (-24.10%). On October, DLTR hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $118.04 recorded on October. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.
Weekly outlook
After boosting an impressive 5.55% in a week last week, Dollar Tree closed this week at $85.30 and plummed a spooky -9.15%.
Since late November 2019, when DLTR stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-23.74 per share (-21.77%). Stocks under the 200 days moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Far behind is the all-time high Dollar Tree hit late October 2019 and since then the price is -28.74% below that top.
DLTR stock price history
DLTR IPO was on March 7th, 1995 at $1.12 per share1. Since then, DLTR stock surged a 7,516.10%, with a yearly average of 313.20%. If you had invested right after DLTR's IPO a $1,000 in DLTR stock in 1995, it would worth $75,161.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
DLTR stock historical price chart
DLTR stock reached all-time highs on October with a price of $119.71.
DLTR stock price target
Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we have not detected any price prediction for Dollar Tree stock by any trusted analyst.Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
On March, Dollar Tree was in line with the forecasts of the analysts and posted an EPS of $1.93 per share. As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.98 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | - | n/a | 0.99 | n/a |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-03-07 | 1.9 | 1.89 | -0.5% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-03-07 | 1.9 | 1.89 | -0.5% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-05-31 | 1.23 | 1.19 | -3.3% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-08-30 | 1.16 | 1.15 | -0.9% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2018-11-29 | 1.15 | 1.18 | 2.6% |
| 2019-Q1 | 2019-03-06 | 1.92 | 1.93 | 0.5% |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q3 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2018, last anual turnover report draw a slightly good gain of 2.60% to $22,823.30 million USD. When comparing 2019 vs 2018, on the other hand, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plummed a -14.68% to -6.97%.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $7,840 M | - | $597 M7.6% | - |
| 2014 | $8,600 M | 9.69% | $599 M7.0% | 0.42% |
| 2015 | $8,602 M | 0.03% | $599 M7.0% | 0.00% |
| 2015 | $15,500 M | 80.19% | $282 M1.8% | -52.87% |
| 2016 | $15,498 M | -0.01% | $282 M1.8% | 0.00% |
| 2016 | $20,720 M | 33.69% | $896 M4.3% | 217.35% |
| 2017 | $20,719 M | 0.00% | $896 M4.3% | 0.00% |
| 2017 | $22,250 M | 7.39% | $1,710 M7.7% | 90.81% |
| 2018 | $22,246 M | -0.02% | $1,714 M7.7% | 0.25% |
| 2019 | $22,823 M | 2.60% | $-1,590.80 M-7.0% | -192.80% |
Quarterly financial results
Dollar Tree posted $6,205.20 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 12.03% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-2,307.00 million with a profit margin of -37.18%. Profit margin collapsed a -42.27% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.09%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Dollar Tree sales marked a bad slide and slightly fell a -2.44%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Dollar Tree posted 2 positive quarters in a row.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | $5,290 M | - | $200.50 M3.8% | - |
| 2017-Q3 | $5,280 M | -0.19% | $233.80 M4.4% | 16.61% |
| 2017-Q4 | $5,317 M | 0.69% | $239.90 M4.5% | 2.61% |
| 2018-Q1 | $6,361 M | 19.64% | $1,040.10 M16.4% | 333.56% |
| 2018-Q2 | $5,554 M | -12.69% | $160.50 M2.9% | -84.57% |
| 2018-Q3 | $5,526 M | -0.51% | $273.90 M5.0% | 70.65% |
| 2018-Q4 | $5,539 M | 0.24% | $281.80 M5.1% | 2.88% |
| 2019-Q1 | $6,205 M | 12.03% | $-2,307.00 M-37.2% | -918.67% |
Dollar Tree ownership
When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Dollar Tree, 1.45% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
Bearish positions for DLTR stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
| DLTR | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $20.2 B |
| Total shares | 236.7 M |
| Float shares | 233.5 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 97.7% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 1.5% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% |
DLTR summary
| Thursday, February 27th, 2020 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $86.76 |
| Close | $85.30 |
| Day range | $84.82 - $88.19 |
| Previous close | $87.75 |
| Session gain | -2.79% |
| Average true range | $2.06 |
| 50d mov avg | $90.35 |
| 100d mov avg | $98.74 |
| 200d mov avg | $101.68 |
| Daily pattern | lt06c |
| Weekly pattern | |
Dollar Tree performance
To better understand Dollar Tree performance you must compare its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We picked as the bechmarking frame for Dollar Tree stock.| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLTRDollar Tree | -6.74% | -15.99% | -11.48% |
Dollar Tree competitors
Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Dollar Tree competitor. This doesn't mean Dollar Tree does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.Latest DLTR stock news
- Seeking AlphaConsistency Will Keep Dollar Tree Stock On The Right TrackJune 2, 2019
- InvestorPlaceDollar Tree Earnings: DLTR Stock Surges Despite Lower GuidanceMay 30, 2019
- Seeking AlphaDollar Tree Gets It Right: Investors Get It TooApril 7, 2019
- InvestorPlacePotential for Improvement Seems Already Priced Into Dollar Tree StockApril 4, 2019
- InvestorPlace3 Big Stock Charts for Friday: Dollar Tree, Tyson Foods and OracleMarch 8, 2019