DLTR stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
September 20th, 2019
5
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates variety retail stores in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar.
Should I buy DLTR stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.Check the only buy setup that matches with Dollar Tree stock now:
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | Yes |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Dollar Tree stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday.
At Stocks2.com, we detected 15 ratings published for DLTR stock in the last 30 days. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for DLTR stock, with 9 positive ratings.| Date | Analyst / Broker | Previous rating | Current rating |
| 2019-9-11 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | n/a | Overweight |
| 2019-8-5 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold |
| 2019-8-30 | Royal Bank of Canada | n/a | Outperform |
| 2019-8-30 | Credit Suisse Group | n/a | Outperform |
| 2019-8-23 | OTR Global | Mixed | Positive |
| 2019-6-3 | Morgan Stanley | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-6-21 | Credit Suisse Group | n/a | Outperform |
| 2019-6-21 | Credit Suisse Group | n/a | Outperform |
| 2019-6-11 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Neutral | Overweight |
| 2019-6-11 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Neutral | Overweight |
| 2019-5-31 | KeyCorp | n/a | Overweight |
| 2019-4-8 | Loop Capital | Buy | Hold |
| 2019-4-8 | Jefferies Financial Group | n/a | Hold |
| 2019-4-25 | Piper Jaffray Companies | n/a | Overweight |
| 2019-4-24 | Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight |
DLTR stock analysis
Daily outlook
Shares of Dollar Tree ended today at $111.07 and slightly fell an ugly -0.60%.
Dollar Tree closed today at $111.07 and slightly fell an ugly -0.60%. On August/30 DLTR price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. DLTR shows a short term strength with several rising tops and rising bottoms. In the very short term, on Tuesday it marked a new bottom at $109.25 that should act a support if Dollar Tree starts a trading flat base in the range of $109.25 - $113.12 If Dollar Tree breakouts over $113.12 with average or higher volume, this would be a signal that the uptrend resumes.
Weekly outlook
After climbing for 4 weeks, this week Dollar Tree decreased a bad -1.59%, closing at $111.07. Early September DLTR climbed an astounding 7.38% in just one week. Early August DLTR plummed a scary -7.53% in just one week.
Since late August when DLTR stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $15.91 (16.72%). Since mid February when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, DLTR price gained $13.42 per share (13.74%).
DLTR stock price history
DLTR IPO was on March 7th, 1995 at $1.12 per share1. Since then, DLTR stock surged a 9,817.00%, with a yearly average of 409.00%. If you had invested $1,000 in DLTR stock in 1995, it would worth $98,170.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
DLTR stock historical price chart
DLTR stock reached 52-week highs today at $113.67, and all-time highs 2018-01-31 with a price of 116.65.
DLTR stock price target is $112.60
Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. We have 14 price targets for Dollar Tree stock released in the last 30 days:| Date | Analyst / Broker | Action | Previous target | Current target | Diff |
| 2019-9-11 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Raises Target | $116.00 | $125.00 | 7.8% |
| 2019-8-5 | Deutsche Bank | Downgrades | $106.00 | $99.00 | -6.6% |
| 2019-8-30 | Royal Bank of Canada | Lowers Target | $113.00 | $108.00 | -4.4% |
| 2019-8-30 | Credit Suisse Group | Lowers Target | $122.00 | $110.00 | -9.8% |
| 2019-6-3 | Morgan Stanley | Lowers Target | $101.00 | $100.00 | -1% |
| 2019-6-21 | Credit Suisse Group | Reiterates | $112.00 | $122.00 | 8.9% |
| 2019-6-21 | Credit Suisse Group | Raises Target | $112.00 | $122.00 | 8.9% |
| 2019-6-11 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Upgrades | n/a | $122.00 | - |
| 2019-6-11 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Initiates | n/a | $122.00 | - |
| 2019-5-31 | KeyCorp | Reiterates | $108.00 | $115.00 | 6.5% |
| 2019-4-8 | Loop Capital | Downgrades | $115.00 | $105.00 | -8.7% |
| 2019-4-8 | Jefferies Financial Group | Raises Target | $94.00 | $100.00 | 6.4% |
| 2019-4-25 | Piper Jaffray Companies | Reiterates | $113.00 | $125.00 | 10.6% |
| 2019-4-24 | Morgan Stanley | Raises Target | $92.00 | $101.00 | 9.8% |
| (in average) | $108.70 | $112.60 | 4.0% |
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
After publishing its last earnings report on March, Dollar Tree . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.98 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | - | n/a | 0.99 | n/a |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-03-07 | 1.9 | 1.89 | -0.5% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-03-07 | 1.9 | 1.89 | -0.5% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-05-31 | 1.23 | 1.19 | -3.3% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-08-30 | 1.16 | 1.15 | -0.9% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2018-11-29 | 1.15 | 1.18 | 2.6% |
| 2019-Q1 | 2019-03-06 | 1.92 | 1.93 | 0.5% |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q3 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2018, last anual turnover report draw a slightly fine gain of 2.60% to $22,823.30 million USD. When comparing 2019 vs 2018, nevertheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plunged a -14.68% to -6.97%.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $7,840 M | - | $597 M7.6% | - |
| 2014 | $8,600 M | 9.69% | $599 M7.0% | 0.42% |
| 2015 | $8,602 M | 0.03% | $599 M7.0% | 0.00% |
| 2015 | $15,500 M | 80.19% | $282 M1.8% | -52.87% |
| 2016 | $15,498 M | -0.01% | $282 M1.8% | 0.00% |
| 2016 | $20,720 M | 33.69% | $896 M4.3% | 217.35% |
| 2017 | $20,719 M | 0.00% | $896 M4.3% | 0.00% |
| 2017 | $22,250 M | 7.39% | $1,710 M7.7% | 90.81% |
| 2018 | $22,246 M | -0.02% | $1,714 M7.7% | 0.25% |
| 2019 | $22,823 M | 2.60% | $-1,590.80 M-7.0% | -192.80% |
Quarterly financial results
Dollar Tree posted $6,205.20 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a 12.03% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-2,307.00 M with a profit margin of -37.18%. Profit margin collapsed a -42.27% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.09%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Dollar Tree sales marked a bad loss and declined a -2.44%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Dollar Tree posted 2 positive quarters in a row.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | $5,290 M | - | $200.50 M3.8% | - |
| 2017-Q3 | $5,280 M | -0.19% | $233.80 M4.4% | 16.61% |
| 2017-Q4 | $5,317 M | 0.69% | $239.90 M4.5% | 2.61% |
| 2018-Q1 | $6,361 M | 19.64% | $1,040.10 M16.4% | 333.56% |
| 2018-Q2 | $5,554 M | -12.69% | $160.50 M2.9% | -84.57% |
| 2018-Q3 | $5,526 M | -0.51% | $273.90 M5.0% | 70.65% |
| 2018-Q4 | $5,539 M | 0.24% | $281.80 M5.1% | 2.88% |
| 2019-Q1 | $6,205 M | 12.03% | $-2,307.00 M-37.2% | -918.67% |
Dollar Tree ownership
When you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.Dollar Tree shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 2.81% of all shares.
Bearish positions for DLTR stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:
| DLTR | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $26.3 B |
| Total shares | 236.6 M |
| Float shares | 233.0 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 96.6% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 2.8% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% |
DLTR summary
| Friday, September 20th, 2019 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $111.96 |
| Close | $111.07 |
| Day range | $111.04 - $113.67 |
| Previous close | $111.74 |
| Session gain | -0.60% |
| Average true range | $2.48 |
| 50d mov avg | $102.64 |
| 100d mov avg | $104.00 |
| 200d mov avg | $100.86 |
| Daily pattern | lb03a |
| Weekly pattern | |
Dollar Tree performance
Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We selected as the bechmarking frame for Dollar Tree stock.| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLTRDollar Tree | -1.00% | 9.50% | 30.56% |
Dollar Tree competitors
Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Dollar Tree competitor. This doesn't mean Dollar Tree does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.Latest DLTR stock news
- Seeking AlphaConsistency Will Keep Dollar Tree Stock On The Right TrackJune 2, 2019
- InvestorPlaceDollar Tree Earnings: DLTR Stock Surges Despite Lower GuidanceMay 30, 2019
- Seeking AlphaDollar Tree Gets It Right: Investors Get It TooApril 7, 2019
- InvestorPlacePotential for Improvement Seems Already Priced Into Dollar Tree StockApril 4, 2019
- InvestorPlace3 Big Stock Charts for Friday: Dollar Tree, Tyson Foods and OracleMarch 8, 2019