DLTR stock: buy or sell?

DLTR stock price: $111.07 -0.60% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019


Dollar Tree shares slightly fell -0.60% to $111.07 today.

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates variety retail stores in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar.

Should I buy DLTR stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Check the only buy setup that matches with Dollar Tree stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is Dollar Tree stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we detected 15 ratings published for DLTR stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for DLTR stock, with 9 positive ratings.
Is DLTR a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-11JPMorgan Chase & Co.n/aOverweight
2019-8-5Deutsche BankBuyHold
2019-8-30Royal Bank of Canadan/aOutperform
2019-8-30Credit Suisse Groupn/aOutperform
2019-8-23OTR GlobalMixedPositive
2019-6-3Morgan Stanleyn/aEqual Weight
2019-6-21Credit Suisse Groupn/aOutperform
2019-6-21Credit Suisse Groupn/aOutperform
2019-6-11JPMorgan Chase & Co.NeutralOverweight
2019-6-11JPMorgan Chase & Co.NeutralOverweight
2019-4-8Loop CapitalBuyHold
2019-4-8Jefferies Financial Groupn/aHold
2019-4-25Piper Jaffray Companiesn/aOverweight
2019-4-24Morgan StanleyEqual WeightEqual Weight

DLTR stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Dollar Tree ended today at $111.07 and slightly fell an ugly -0.60%.

Dollar Tree closed today at $111.07 and slightly fell an ugly -0.60%. On August/30 DLTR price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. DLTR shows a short term strength with several rising tops and rising bottoms. In the very short term, on Tuesday it marked a new bottom at $109.25 that should act a support if Dollar Tree starts a trading flat base in the range of $109.25 - $113.12 If Dollar Tree breakouts over $113.12 with average or higher volume, this would be a signal that the uptrend resumes.

DLTR stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After climbing for 4 weeks, this week Dollar Tree decreased a bad -1.59%, closing at $111.07. Early September DLTR climbed an astounding 7.38% in just one week. Early August DLTR plummed a scary -7.53% in just one week.

Since late August when DLTR stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $15.91 (16.72%). Since mid February when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, DLTR price gained $13.42 per share (13.74%).

DLTR stock chart (weekly)

DLTR stock price history

DLTR IPO was on March 7th, 1995 at $1.12 per share1. Since then, DLTR stock surged a 9,817.00%, with a yearly average of 409.00%. If you had invested $1,000 in DLTR stock in 1995, it would worth $98,170.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

DLTR stock historical price chart

DLTR stock reached 52-week highs today at $113.67, and all-time highs 2018-01-31 with a price of 116.65.

DLTR stock price target is $112.60

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. We have 14 price targets for Dollar Tree stock released in the last 30 days:
DLTR stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-11JPMorgan Chase & Co.Raises Target$116.00$125.007.8%
2019-8-5Deutsche BankDowngrades$106.00$99.00-6.6%
2019-8-30Royal Bank of CanadaLowers Target$113.00$108.00-4.4%
2019-8-30Credit Suisse GroupLowers Target$122.00$110.00-9.8%
2019-6-3Morgan StanleyLowers Target$101.00$100.00-1%
2019-6-21Credit Suisse GroupReiterates$112.00$122.008.9%
2019-6-21Credit Suisse GroupRaises Target$112.00$122.008.9%
2019-6-11JPMorgan Chase & Co.Upgradesn/a$122.00-
2019-6-11JPMorgan Chase & Co.Initiatesn/a$122.00-
2019-4-8Loop CapitalDowngrades$115.00$105.00-8.7%
2019-4-8Jefferies Financial GroupRaises Target$94.00$100.006.4%
2019-4-25Piper Jaffray CompaniesReiterates$113.00$125.0010.6%
2019-4-24Morgan StanleyRaises Target$92.00$101.009.8%
(in average)$108.70$112.604.0%
The price target for Dollar Tree stock is $112.60, moving in a range between $125.00 and $99.00. In average, analysts' outlook on DLTR price forecast is positive, upgrading the prediction by a 4.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After publishing its last earnings report on March, Dollar Tree . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
DLTR earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise

Annual financial results

Compared to 2018, last anual turnover report draw a slightly fine gain of 2.60% to $22,823.30 million USD. When comparing 2019 vs 2018, nevertheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) plunged a -14.68% to -6.97%.

DLTR annual Sales and Income evolution
2014$7,840 M-$597 M7.6%-
2014$8,600 M9.69%$599 M7.0%0.42%
2015$8,602 M0.03%$599 M7.0%0.00%
2015$15,500 M80.19%$282 M1.8%-52.87%
2016$15,498 M-0.01%$282 M1.8%0.00%
2016$20,720 M33.69%$896 M4.3%217.35%
2017$20,719 M0.00%$896 M4.3%0.00%
2017$22,250 M7.39%$1,710 M7.7%90.81%
2018$22,246 M-0.02%$1,714 M7.7%0.25%
2019$22,823 M2.60%$-1,590.80 M-7.0%-192.80%

Quarterly financial results

Dollar Tree posted $6,205.20 million in sales for 2019-Q1, a 12.03% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-2,307.00 M with a profit margin of -37.18%. Profit margin collapsed a -42.27% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.09%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Dollar Tree sales marked a bad loss and declined a -2.44%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Dollar Tree posted 2 positive quarters in a row.
DLTR quarterly Sales and Income evolution
2017-Q2$5,290 M-$200.50 M3.8%-
2017-Q3$5,280 M-0.19%$233.80 M4.4%16.61%
2017-Q4$5,317 M0.69%$239.90 M4.5%2.61%
2018-Q1$6,361 M19.64%$1,040.10 M16.4%333.56%
2018-Q2$5,554 M-12.69%$160.50 M2.9%-84.57%
2018-Q3$5,526 M-0.51%$273.90 M5.0%70.65%
2018-Q4$5,539 M0.24%$281.80 M5.1%2.88%
2019-Q1$6,205 M12.03%$-2,307.00 M-37.2%-918.67%

Dollar Tree ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Dollar Tree shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 2.81% of all shares.

Bearish positions for DLTR stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

Market cap$26.3 B
Total shares236.6 M
Float shares233.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)96.6%
  - Insider holdings (%)2.8%
Shares in short selling0.0%

DLTR summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Day range$111.04 - $113.67
Previous close$111.74
Session gain-0.60%
Average true range$2.48
50d mov avg$102.64
100d mov avg$104.00
200d mov avg$100.86
Daily patternlb03a
Weekly pattern

Dollar Tree performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We selected as the bechmarking frame for Dollar Tree stock.
DLTRDollar Tree-1.00%9.50%30.56%

Dollar Tree competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Dollar Tree competitor. This doesn't mean Dollar Tree does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.

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