Dean Foods stock: buy or sell?

DF stock price: $1.41 2.17% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

1

After boosting an astounding 5.80% yesterday, Dean Foods closed today at $1.41 and escalated a great 2.17%. On Tuesday DF collapsed a chilling -8.27%.

Dean Foods Company, a food and beverage company, processes and distributes milk, and other dairy and dairy case products in the United States.

Should I buy Dean Foods stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Dean Foods stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean DF will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Dean Foods stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we found 1 rating published for DF stock in the last month.

Is DF a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-3-8JPMorgan Chase & Co.UnderweightNeutral

Dean Foods stock analysis

Daily outlook

After boosting an astounding 5.80% yesterday, Dean Foods closed today at $1.41 and escalated a great 2.17%.

After boosting an astounding 5.80% yesterday, Dean Foods closed today at $1.41 and escalated a great 2.17%. From a daily outlook perspective, DF is drawing an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top on Sep 12th at $2.15, price slid and found support around $1.19. Breaking down under $1.19 would cancel the current uptrend and it might slide further to test lower supports. Note that $2.15 might act as a resistance line. Trading the long side, we should wait to a new breakout over $2.15 to find the next buy point. Since price and SMA100d lines crossed up on Sep 10th, DF climbed $0.24 (20.51%).

DF stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting an extraordinary 27.67% in a week last week, Dean Foods closed this week at $1.41 and collapsed a hair-raising -11.32%.

Since price and SMA20w lines crossed up last week, DF climbed $0.26 (22.61%).

DF stock chart (weekly)

Dean Foods stock price history

Dean Foods IPO was on April 17th, 1996 at $1.46 per share1. Since then, DF stock sliced a -3.40%, with a yearly average of -0.10%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Dean Foods stock historical price chart

DF stock reached 52-week highs on November at $8.11, and all-time highs 2007-04-26 with a price of 29.44.

Dean Foods stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we have not found any price target for Dean Foods stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Dean Foods presented its financial report, posting an exceptional gain for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Experts expected $-0.27 per share, but Dean Foods posted $-0.50.
DF earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a-0.04n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.23n/a
2017-Q32017-11-070.210.2-4.8%
2017-Q42018-02-260.260.25-3.8%
2018-Q12018-05-080.120.1416.7%
2018-Q22018-08-070.140.1614.3%
2018-Q32018-11-07-0.06-0.28n/a
2018-Q42019-02-27-0.27-0.5n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Dean Foods annual turnover remained steady a tight -0.51% to $7,755.28 million dollars from $7,795.02 marked in 2017. Instead, its earnings margin (compared to revenues) fell to -4.22%, that is $-326.90 million.

DF annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$9,020 M-$319 M3.5%-
2014$9,503 M5.36%$-20.30 M-0.2%-106.36%
2015$8,122 M-14.54%$-8.51 M-0.1%-58.08%
2016$7,710 M-5.07%$120 M1.6%-1,509.60%
2017$7,795 M1.10%$62 M0.8%-48.65%
2018$7,755 M-0.51%$-326.90 M-4.2%-630.79%

Quarterly financial results

Dean Foods reported $1,929.48 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 1.87% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-260.12 million with a profit margin of -13.48%. Profit margin plunged a -12.09% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -1.40%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Dean Foods sales marked a neutral movement and stayed steady a -0.29%.
DF quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$2,000 M-$-9.76 M-0.5%-
2017-Q2$1,930 M-3.50%$17.65 M0.9%-280.84%
2017-Q3$1,938 M0.39%$1.38 M0.1%-92.17%
2017-Q4$1,935 M-0.14%$52.32 M2.7%3,685.67%
2018-Q1$1,981 M2.35%$-0.27 M-0.0%-100.51%
2018-Q2$1,951 M-1.48%$-40.09 M-2.1%15,029.81%
2018-Q3$1,894 M-2.93%$-26.42 M-1.4%-34.09%
2018-Q4$1,929 M1.87%$-260.12 M-13.5%884.40%

Dean Foods ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Dean Foods shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 11.45% of all shares.

Bearish positions for DF stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

DFCAGHAINKHCLWAY
Market cap$129.6 M$14.5 B$2.2 B$34.3 B$38.8 M
Total shares91.9 M486.6 M104.2 M1,220.0 M15.8 M
Float shares90.3 M484.2 M80.6 M620.9 M4.2 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)91.2%90.7%102.6%85.5%11.2%
  - Insider holdings (%)11.5%0.9%2.7%0.1%73.1%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Dean Foods summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$1.38
Close$1.41
Day range$1.36 - $1.54
Previous close$1.38
Session gain2.17%
Average true range$0.21
50d mov avg$1.20
100d mov avg$1.24
200d mov avg$2.46
Daily patternlb03a
Weekly pattern

Dean Foods performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We compared Dean Foods against ConAgra Brands, The Hain Celestial, The Kraft Heinz Co., Lifeway Foods and J.M. Smucker in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
DFDean Foods30.56%-52.20%-81.35%
CAGConAgra Brands4.49%14.23%-18.02%
HAINThe Hain Celestia...1.21%-10.26%-20.41%
KHCThe Kraft Heinz C...-9.20%-10.21%-48.00%
LWAYLifeway Foods-35.09%14.42%-20.90%
SJMJ.M. Smucker-10.58%-4.30%0.88%

Dean Foods competitors

We chose a few stocks to conform a list of Dean Foods competitors to watch if you are interested in investing in DF: