CTRP stock: buy or sell?
September 20th, 2019
Ctrip.com International, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides travel service for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, and corporate travel management in the People's Republic of China.
Should I buy CTRP stock?Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
Currently, Ctrip.com International stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Ctrip.com International stock a buy?
Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday.At Stocks2.com, we detected 15 ratings published for CTRP stock in the last 30 days. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for CTRP stock, with 12 positive ratings.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-9-11||Bank of America||n/a||Buy|
|2019-9-10||Morgan Stanley||Overweight||Equal Weight|
|2019-8-5||Jefferies Financial Group||n/a||Buy|
|2019-3-5||Morgan Stanley||Equal Weight||Overweight|
|2019-3-5||JPMorgan Chase & Co.||Neutral||Overweight|
CTRP stock analysis
Ctrip.com International shares declined -0.36% to $33.08 today.
Ctrip.com International declined an ugly -0.36% and closed at $33.08. In the last 4 days when CTRP stock price broke down the SMA200d line, it slid $-2.93 per share (-8.14%).
Ctrip.com International closed this week at $33.08 and plummed a frightening -8.14%. Early September CTRP skyrocketed an amazing 7.30% in just one week.
CTRP stock price history
CTRP IPO was on December 9th, 2003 at $1.48 per share1. Since then, CTRP stock grew a 2,135.10%, with an average of 142.30% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in CTRP stock in 2003, it would worth $21,351.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
CTRP stock historical price chart
CTRP stock reached 52-week highs on April at $46.50, and all-time highs 2017-07-27 with a price of 60.65.
CTRP stock price target is $43.40Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. We detected 13 price forecasts for CTRP stock posted in the last month:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-9-11||Bank of America||Reiterates||$49.00||$43.00||-12.2%|
|2019-3-5||JPMorgan Chase & Co.||Upgrades||$33.00||$45.00||36.4%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareAfter presenting its last earnings report on March, Ctrip.com International . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a dazzling gain of 15.56% to $30,965.00 M USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, on the other hand, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) depreciated a -4.45% to 3.59%.
|2012||$660 M||-||$113 M17.2%||-|
|2013||$877 M||32.91%||$163 M18.5%||43.39%|
|2014||$7,347 M||737.62%||$243 M3.3%||49.32%|
|2015||$10,898 M||48.33%||$2,508 M23.0%||933.06%|
|2016||$19,228 M||76.45%||$-1,430.70 M-7.4%||-157.05%|
|2017||$26,796 M||39.36%||$2,155 M8.0%||-250.63%|
|2018||$30,965 M||15.56%||$1,112 M3.6%||-48.40%|
Quarterly financial resultsCtrip.com International posted $7,560.00 M in sales for 2018-Q4, a -19.19% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-1,190.00 million with a profit margin of -15.74%. Profit margin slightly fell a -3.57% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -12.18%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Ctrip.com International sales marked an amazing growth and skyrocketed a 22.47%.
|2017-Q1||$883 M||-||$12 M1.4%||-|
|2017-Q2||$935 M||5.85%||$48 M5.1%||297.99%|
|2017-Q3||$1,187 M||26.97%||$185 M15.6%||287.76%|
|2017-Q4||$6,173 M||419.93%||$350 M5.7%||89.47%|
|2018-Q1||$6,731 M||9.04%||$1,060 M15.7%||202.86%|
|2018-Q2||$7,319 M||8.74%||$2,381 M32.5%||124.62%|
|2018-Q3||$9,355 M||27.82%||$-1,139 M-12.2%||-147.84%|
|2018-Q4||$7,560 M||-19.19%||$-1,190 M-15.7%||4.48%|
Ctrip.com International ownershipWhen you are planning to buy a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.
Ctrip.com International shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 5.25% of all shares.
In case of Ctrip.com International stock, 69.02% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for CTRP stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Ctrip.com International:
|Market cap||$18.3 B||$18.9 B||$5.1 B|
|Total shares||553.0 M||141.0 M||126.5 M|
|Float shares||421.9 M||114.6 M||107.6 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||69.0%||89.1%||101.6%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||5.2%||13.0%||15.1%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Friday, September 20th, 2019|
|Day range||$32.82 - $33.63|
|Average true range||$1.42|
|50d mov avg||$35.22|
|100d mov avg||$36.19|
|200d mov avg||$35.96|
Ctrip.com International performanceStocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Ctrip.com International against Expedia and TripAdvisor in the following table: