CTRP stock: buy or sell?

CTRP stock price: $33.08 -0.36% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

1

Shares of Ctrip.com International closed today at $33.08 and declined an ugly -0.36%. With Friday it's been 5 red days in a row. On Sep 11th CTRP climbed a super good 5.40%.

Ctrip.com International, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides travel service for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, and corporate travel management in the People's Republic of China.

Should I buy CTRP stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Ctrip.com International stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Ctrip.com International stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we detected 15 ratings published for CTRP stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for CTRP stock, with 12 positive ratings.
Is CTRP a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-13Cowenn/aOutperform
2019-9-11Barclaysn/aOverweight
2019-9-11Bank of American/aBuy
2019-9-10Oppenheimern/aOutperform
2019-9-10Morgan StanleyOverweightEqual Weight
2019-9-10Benchmarkn/aBuy
2019-8-5Jefferies Financial Groupn/aBuy
2019-5-22Barclaysn/aOverweight
2019-3-7NomuraNeutralNeutral
2019-3-6Barclaysn/aBuy
2019-3-5Morgan StanleyEqual WeightOverweight
2019-3-5Mizuhon/aHold
2019-3-5JPMorgan Chase & Co.NeutralOverweight
2019-3-5Deutsche BankHoldBuy
2019-3-5CLSAUnderperformBuy

CTRP stock analysis

Daily outlook

Ctrip.com International shares declined -0.36% to $33.08 today.

Ctrip.com International declined an ugly -0.36% and closed at $33.08. In the last 4 days when CTRP stock price broke down the SMA200d line, it slid $-2.93 per share (-8.14%).

CTRP stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Ctrip.com International closed this week at $33.08 and plummed a frightening -8.14%. Early September CTRP skyrocketed an amazing 7.30% in just one week.

CTRP stock chart (weekly)

CTRP stock price history

CTRP IPO was on December 9th, 2003 at $1.48 per share1. Since then, CTRP stock grew a 2,135.10%, with an average of 142.30% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in CTRP stock in 2003, it would worth $21,351.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

CTRP stock historical price chart

CTRP stock reached 52-week highs on April at $46.50, and all-time highs 2017-07-27 with a price of 60.65.

CTRP stock price target is $43.40

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. We detected 13 price forecasts for CTRP stock posted in the last month:
CTRP stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-13CowenReiterates$36.00$40.0011.1%
2019-9-11BarclaysLowers Target$45.00$41.00-8.9%
2019-9-11Bank of AmericaReiterates$49.00$43.00-12.2%
2019-9-10OppenheimerLowers Target$46.00$44.00-4.3%
2019-9-10Morgan StanleyDowngrades$43.00$35.00-18.6%
2019-9-10BenchmarkLowers Target$48.00$46.00-4.2%
2019-5-22BarclaysLowers Target$48.00$45.00-6.3%
2019-3-7NomuraRaises Target$36.00$44.0022.2%
2019-3-6BarclaysReiteratesn/a$48.00-
2019-3-5Morgan StanleyUpgrades$32.00$43.0034.4%
2019-3-5JPMorgan Chase & Co.Upgrades$33.00$45.0036.4%
2019-3-5Deutsche BankUpgradesn/a$48.00-
2019-3-5CLSAUpgrades$31.00$42.0035.5%
(in average)$40.60$43.407.0%
Moving in a range from $48.00 and $35.00, the price target for CTRP stock is $43.40. In average, analysts' outlook on CTRP price forecast is positive, increasing the prediction by a 7.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After presenting its last earnings report on March, Ctrip.com International . As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
CTRP earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a1.2n/a
2017-Q2-n/a4.71n/a
2017-Q32017-11-010.250.4372.0%
2017-Q42018-03-140.020.14600.0%
2018-Q12018-05-220.010.454,400.0%
2018-Q22018-09-050.050.18260.0%
2018-Q32018-11-070.260.3119.2%
2018-Q42019-03-04-0.180.01n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a dazzling gain of 15.56% to $30,965.00 M USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, on the other hand, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) depreciated a -4.45% to 3.59%.

CTRP annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2012$660 M-$113 M17.2%-
2013$877 M32.91%$163 M18.5%43.39%
2014$7,347 M737.62%$243 M3.3%49.32%
2015$10,898 M48.33%$2,508 M23.0%933.06%
2016$19,228 M76.45%$-1,430.70 M-7.4%-157.05%
2017$26,796 M39.36%$2,155 M8.0%-250.63%
2018$30,965 M15.56%$1,112 M3.6%-48.40%

Quarterly financial results

Ctrip.com International posted $7,560.00 M in sales for 2018-Q4, a -19.19% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-1,190.00 million with a profit margin of -15.74%. Profit margin slightly fell a -3.57% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -12.18%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Ctrip.com International sales marked an amazing growth and skyrocketed a 22.47%.
CTRP quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$883 M-$12 M1.4%-
2017-Q2$935 M5.85%$48 M5.1%297.99%
2017-Q3$1,187 M26.97%$185 M15.6%287.76%
2017-Q4$6,173 M419.93%$350 M5.7%89.47%
2018-Q1$6,731 M9.04%$1,060 M15.7%202.86%
2018-Q2$7,319 M8.74%$2,381 M32.5%124.62%
2018-Q3$9,355 M27.82%$-1,139 M-12.2%-147.84%
2018-Q4$7,560 M-19.19%$-1,190 M-15.7%4.48%

Ctrip.com International ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Ctrip.com International shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 5.25% of all shares.

In case of Ctrip.com International stock, 69.02% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for CTRP stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Ctrip.com International:

CTRPEXPETRIP
Market cap$18.3 B$18.9 B$5.1 B
Total shares553.0 M141.0 M126.5 M
Float shares421.9 M114.6 M107.6 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)69.0%89.1%101.6%
  - Insider holdings (%)5.2%13.0%15.1%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%

CTRP summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$33.32
Close$33.08
Day range$32.82 - $33.63
Previous close$33.20
Session gain-0.36%
Average true range$1.42
50d mov avg$35.22
100d mov avg$36.19
200d mov avg$35.96
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lt03a

Ctrip.com International performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Ctrip.com International against Expedia and TripAdvisor in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
CTRPCtrip.com Interna...-8.24%-17.83%-16.06%
EXPEExpedia3.10%10.90%1.40%
TRIPTripAdvisor-14.82%-20.61%-19.42%

Ctrip.com International competitors

Choosing a list of competitors for Ctrip.com International it's tough. We selected 2 public companies that are related to and can be considered as competitors of Ctrip.com International: