CAI stock: buy or sell?

CAI stock price: $22.58 -1.14% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

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CAI International shares slightly fell -1.14% to $22.58 today.

CAI International, Inc. operates as transportation finance and logistics company in the United States and internationally.

Should I buy CAI stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with CAI International stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is CAI International stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 3 ratings published for CAI stock in the last month.

Is CAI a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-8CowenOutperformOutperform
2019-8-8Cowenn/aOutperform
2019-2-21Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsOutperformMarket Perform

CAI stock analysis

Daily outlook

CAI International slightly fell a bad -1.14% and closed at $22.58.

CAI International shares slightly fell -1.14% to $22.58 today. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on Tuesday, CAI fell $-0.75 per share (-3.21%). From a daily outlook perspective, CAI is drawing an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top on September 13th at $24.18, price slid and found support around $22.34. Breaking down under $22.34 would cancel the current uptrend and it might slide further to test lower supports. Note that $24.18 might act as a resistance line. If CAI International breakouts over $24.18 with average or higher volume, this would be a signal that the uptrend resumes.

CAI stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting a dazzling 5.71% in a week last week, CAI International closed this week at $22.58 and fell a godawful -3.79%. Early August CAI plunged a frightening -13.49% in just one week. This week broke a streak of 4 green weeks.

The downtrend marked by CAI has left successive declining peaks and bottoms. If the support holds the price, this might mark a double bottom pattern and create a flat-base to reverse this downtrend. This week, CAI International stock undercut the significant level of the 40-weeks moving average. Stocks below the 40-weeks moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.

CAI stock chart (weekly)

CAI stock price history

CAI stock went public on February 12th, 2002 with a price of $37.001. Since then, CAI stock lost a -39.00%, with a yearly average of -2.30%.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

CAI stock historical price chart

CAI stock reached 52-week highs at $26.96, and all-time highs 2017-10-23 with a price of 40.11.

CAI stock price target is $25.70

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' CAI stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we found 3 price predictions for CAI stock:
CAI stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-8-8CowenReiterates$28.00$24.00-14.3%
2019-8-8CowenLowers Target$28.00$24.00-14.3%
2019-2-21Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngrades$34.00$29.00-14.7%
(in average)$30.00$25.70-14.0%
Moving in a range from $29.00 and $24.00, the price target for CAI International stock is $25.70. In average, analysts' outlook on CAI price forecast is negative, downsizing the target by a -14.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, CAI International failed to meet the forecasts of the experts and posted a horrible EPS of $0.89 per share when experts were expecting $1.06.
CAI earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.59n/a
2017-Q32017-10-190.70.928.6%
2017-Q42018-02-140.861.0319.8%
2018-Q12018-04-260.840.83-1.2%
2018-Q22018-07-310.910.9-1.1%
2018-Q32018-10-300.971.036.2%
2018-Q42019-02-201.060.89-16.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, CAI International annual turnover skyrocketed a super good 24.03% to $432.10 M USD from $348.39 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, instead, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) depreciated a -2.49% to 18.19%.

CAI annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$212 M-$64 M30.1%-
2014$228 M7.15%$60 M26.5%-5.72%
2015$250 M9.70%$27 M10.7%-55.47%
2016$294 M17.90%$6.00 M2.0%-77.65%
2017$348 M18.36%$72 M20.7%1,101.60%
2018$432 M24.03%$79 M18.2%9.07%

Quarterly financial results

CAI International reported $115.57 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 0.10% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $19.41 M with a profit margin of 16.79%. Profit margin decreased a -2.05% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 18.84%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, CAI International sales marked an amazing growth and boosted a 22.90%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, CAI International posted 6 positive quarters in a row.
CAI quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$83 M-$13 M15.3%-
2017-Q3$90 M9.03%$18 M19.5%39.14%
2017-Q4$94 M4.30%$37 M38.9%107.90%
2018-Q1$95 M1.43%$17 M18.0%-53.13%
2018-Q2$106 M10.83%$20 M19.2%18.43%
2018-Q3$115 M9.22%$22 M18.8%7.18%
2018-Q4$116 M0.10%$19 M16.8%-10.79%
2019-Q1$111 M-3.86%$19 M16.7%-4.29%

CAI International ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For CAI International, 13.75% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for CAI stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to CAI International:

CAIACYAERALAYR
Market cap$393.3 M$9.9 M$7.5 B$4.8 B$1.7 B
Total shares17.4 M1.6 M136.6 M111.7 M75.0 M
Float shares12.3 M1.2 M130.4 M104.1 M51.7 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)89.0%18.6%99.0%0.1%60.7%
  - Insider holdings (%)13.8%21.2%12.2%28.5%30.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

CAI summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$22.87
Close$22.58
Day range$22.28 - $22.96
Previous close$22.84
Session gain-1.14%
Average true range$0.70
50d mov avg$21.72
100d mov avg$22.63
200d mov avg$23.25
Daily patternlb03a
Weekly pattern lt02a

CAI International performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For CAI International, the benchmark is made against AeroCentury, Aercap, Air Lease, Aircastle, General Finance, Mobile Mini, Textainer and Willis Lease Finance.
Stock3m6m12m
CAICAI International-7.23%1.76%-14.73%
ACYAeroCentury-14.50%-47.31%-62.86%
AERAercap9.58%22.76%-4.24%
ALAir Lease6.30%31.44%-6.22%
AYRAircastle11.85%18.37%14.61%
GFNGeneral Finance21.29%3.92%-32.41%
MINIMobile Mini11.66%4.21%-19.37%
TGHTextainer6.08%6.30%-24.62%
WLFCWillis Lease Fina...1.88%42.57%62.57%

CAI International competitors

We picked a few stocks to conform a list of CAI International competitors to review if you are interested in investing in CAI: