Aircastle stock: buy or sell?

AYR stock price: $32.01 0.31% At close on March 27th, 2020

Updated on:
March 27th, 2020

5

After climbing to all-time highs several times in past weeks, Aircastle remained steady 0.31% to $32.01. With Friday, it's been 5 climbing days in a row, soaring $2.96 or 9.91%. On March 19th AYR boosted a super good 5.56%.

Aircastle Limited, through its subsidiaries, leases, finances, sells, and manages commercial flight equipment to airlines worldwide.

Should I buy Aircastle stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

These 2 buy setups are elegible for Aircastle stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is Aircastle stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AYR stock for the last 30 days.

Aircastle stock analysis

Daily outlook

After several days of continuous hikes in past weeks, Aircastle remained constant 0.31% to $32.01.

Shares of Aircastle closed on Friday at $32.01 after reaching a new all time high ($32.01) and remained stable a slightly good 0.31%. Since price and SMA100d lines crossed up on Wednesday, AYR climbed $1.34 (4.37%).

AYR stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After sliding a dreadful -9.09% in a week by mid March, Aircastle closed this week at $32.01 and rocketed a dazzling 10.19%. After 4 weeks sliding, last week raised a 9.34%.

AYR touched new all-time highs again this week, setting highs to $32.01. Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up late April 2019, AYR price climbed $13.07 per share (69.01%). Since price and SMA20w lines crossed up last week, AYR climbed $2.96 (10.19%).

AYR stock chart (weekly)

Aircastle stock price history

Aircastle IPO was on August 8th, 2006 at $13.35 per share1. Since then, AYR stock grew a 139.80%, with an average of 10.80% per year. If you had invested right after AYR's IPO a $1,000 in Aircastle stock in 2006, it would worth $1,398.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Aircastle stock historical price chart

AYR stock reached all-time highs on Friday with a price of $32.01.

Aircastle stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' AYR stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we have not detected any price forecast for Aircastle stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Aircastle let down experts when it reported an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $1.35 when the analysts' forecast was $1.42.
AYR earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.54n/a
2017-Q2-n/a1.21n/a
2017-Q32017-11-020.670.8222.4%
2017-Q42018-02-130.580.7224.1%
2018-Q12018-05-030.430.7369.8%
2018-Q22018-08-070.510.6425.5%
2018-Q32018-11-010.430.467.0%
2018-Q42019-02-121.421.35-4.9%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a good growth of 4.53% to $890.35 M USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, slightly better, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) rocketed a 10.48% to 27.85%.

AYR annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$709 M-$30 M4.2%-
2014$819 M15.52%$101 M12.3%241.33%
2015$819 M0.07%$122 M14.9%20.73%
2016$773 M-5.65%$151 M19.6%24.42%
2017$852 M10.20%$148 M17.4%-2.36%
2018$890 M4.53%$248 M27.8%67.66%

Quarterly financial results

Aircastle reported $292.57 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 53.31% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $103.84 M with a profit margin of 35.49%. Profit margin skyrocketed a 16.45% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 19.04%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Aircastle sales marked an outstanding growth and climbed a 106.80%.
AYR quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$204 M-$42 M20.6%-
2017-Q2$224 M9.43%$-7 M-3.2%-116.88%
2017-Q3$191 M-14.37%$57 M30.0%-906.62%
2017-Q4$141 M-26.09%$55 M39.0%-4.02%
2018-Q1$197 M39.18%$58 M29.2%4.40%
2018-Q2$204 M3.74%$50 M24.6%-12.76%
2018-Q3$191 M-6.58%$36 M19.0%-27.63%
2018-Q4$293 M53.31%$104 M35.5%185.80%

Aircastle ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's worth to check its ownership structure.

Aircastle shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 31.32% of all shares.

In case of Aircastle stock, 59.90% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AYR stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

AYR
Market cap$2.4 B
Total shares75.0 M
Float shares51.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)59.9%
  - Insider holdings (%)31.3%
Shares in short selling0.0%

Aircastle summary

Friday, March 27th, 2020
Open$31.93
Close$32.01
Day range$31.75 - $32.01
Previous close$31.91
Session gain0.31%
Average true range$1.68
50d mov avg$31.44
100d mov avg$31.47
200d mov avg$26.42
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

Aircastle performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. We compared Aircastle against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
AYRAircastle1.04%44.58%66.03%

Aircastle competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Aircastle competitor. This doesn't mean Aircastle does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.