AVB stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
February 21st, 2020
0
As of December 31, 2017, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 288 apartment communities containing 84,158 apartment homes in 12 states and the District of Columbia, of which 21 communities were under development and nine communities were under redevelopment.
Should I buy AVB stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.These 2 buy setups work for AvalonBay Communities stock right now:
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | Yes |
| New 52 week high | Yes |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is AvalonBay Communities stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday.
Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AVB stock for the last 30 days.AVB stock analysis
Daily outlook
AvalonBay Communities inched 0.37% to $228.00 after topping to all time highs on Feb 19th.
After climbing to all-time highs several times in past weeks, AvalonBay Communities inched 0.37% to $228.00. On January/8 AVB price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. AVB is retaking the upward trend marking a new rising bottom heading to break out over $229.40. Since today when SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up, AVB price gained $0.85 per share (0.37%). On February 19th, AVB hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on Tuesday tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.
Weekly outlook
AvalonBay Communities set new all time highs back again this week, setting highs to $229.40. Shares closed at $228.00 and stayed steady 0.21% during the week. For 3 weeks in a row, price climbed and marked a profit of 5.16%.
AVB shows a strong mid-term uptrend with several rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last bottom early January, AVB climbed unceasignly breaking out to new all time highs. This week, SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up triggering a rise of 0.21%. Since mid January when AVB stock price broke up the SMA20w line, it gained $19.55 (9.38%).
AVB stock price history
AVB stock went public on March 11th, 1994 with a price of $6.501. Since then, AVB stock surged a 3,407.70%, with a yearly average of 136.30%. If you had invested $1,000 in AVB stock in 1994, it would worth $34,077.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
AVB stock historical price chart
AVB stock reached all-time highs on February/19 with a price of $229.40.
AVB stock price target
How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price prediction for AvalonBay Communities stock by any trusted analyst.Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
After presenting its last earnings report on April, AvalonBay Communities . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 1.07 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-10-30 | 1.22 | 1.72 | 41.0% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-01-31 | 1.19 | 1.72 | 44.5% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-04-25 | 2.18 | 2.18 | 0.0% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-07-30 | 2.2 | 2.21 | 0.5% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-10-29 | 2.26 | 2.28 | 0.9% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-02-04 | 2.32 | 2.31 | -0.4% |
| 2019-Q1 | 2019-04-23 | 1.15 | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q3 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a good increase of 5.83% to $2,284.53 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in line, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) inched a 2.03% to 42.66%. AvalonBay Communities fiscal year ends in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, AvalonBay Communities TTM sales up to March 2019 were $2,289.93 and earnings $1,003.25 million dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem AvalonBay Communities business evolution since December 2018: Annual turnover up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained constant a neutral 0.24%. Regarding profit margin, AvalonBay Communities appreciated 1.15% to 42.66%| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $1,400 M | - | $58 M4.1% | - |
| 2014 | $1,685 M | 20.36% | $684 M40.6% | 1,086.13% |
| 2015 | $1,856 M | 10.15% | $742 M40.0% | 8.55% |
| 2016 | $2,045 M | 10.20% | $1,034 M50.6% | 39.35% |
| 2017 | $2,159 M | 5.54% | $877 M40.6% | -15.19% |
| 2018 | $2,285 M | 5.83% | $975 M42.7% | 11.13% |
| TTM | $2,290 M | 0.24% | $1,003 M43.8% | 2.95% |
Quarterly financial results
AvalonBay Communities posted $566.18 M in sales for 2019-Q1, a -2.13% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $170.37 million with a profit margin of 30.09%. Profit margin plunged a -36.59% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 66.68%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, AvalonBay Communities sales marked a tiny movement and stayed steady a 0.96%.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q2 | $529 M | - | $165 M31.2% | - |
| 2017-Q3 | $551 M | 4.12% | $238 M43.3% | 44.60% |
| 2017-Q4 | $555 M | 0.87% | $238 M42.8% | -0.28% |
| 2018-Q1 | $561 M | 0.99% | $142 M25.3% | -40.38% |
| 2018-Q2 | $569 M | 1.51% | $255 M44.7% | 79.79% |
| 2018-Q3 | $576 M | 1.18% | $192 M33.4% | -24.42% |
| 2018-Q4 | $579 M | 0.44% | $386 M66.7% | 100.40% |
| 2019-Q1 | $566 M | -2.13% | $170 M30.1% | -55.83% |
AvalonBay Communities ownership
When you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For AvalonBay Communities, 0.25% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
Bearish positions for AVB stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:
| AVB | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $31.8 B |
| Total shares | 139.7 M |
| Float shares | 139.9 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 95.4% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 0.2% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% |
AVB summary
| Friday, February 21st, 2020 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $226.95 |
| Close | $228.00 |
| Day range | $226.89 - $229.06 |
| Previous close | $227.15 |
| Session gain | 0.37% |
| Average true range | $2.66 |
| 50d mov avg | $214.30 |
| 100d mov avg | $214.28 |
| 200d mov avg | $209.04 |
| Daily pattern | lb02a |
| Weekly pattern | lb03c |
AvalonBay Communities performance
To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. For AvalonBay Communities, the comparison is made against .| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVBAvalonBay Communi... | 8.71% | 12.19% | 19.79% |