AVB stock: buy or sell?

AVB stock price: $228.00 0.37% At close on February 21st, 2020

Updated on:
February 21st, 2020

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After several days of continuous rises in past weeks, AvalonBay Communities inched 0.37% to $228.00.

As of December 31, 2017, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 288 apartment communities containing 84,158 apartment homes in 12 states and the District of Columbia, of which 21 communities were under development and nine communities were under redevelopment.

Should I buy AVB stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

These 2 buy setups work for AvalonBay Communities stock right now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is AvalonBay Communities stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AVB stock for the last 30 days.

AVB stock analysis

Daily outlook

AvalonBay Communities inched 0.37% to $228.00 after topping to all time highs on Feb 19th.

After climbing to all-time highs several times in past weeks, AvalonBay Communities inched 0.37% to $228.00. On January/8 AVB price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. AVB is retaking the upward trend marking a new rising bottom heading to break out over $229.40. Since today when SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up, AVB price gained $0.85 per share (0.37%). On February 19th, AVB hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on Tuesday tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

AVB stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

AvalonBay Communities set new all time highs back again this week, setting highs to $229.40. Shares closed at $228.00 and stayed steady 0.21% during the week. For 3 weeks in a row, price climbed and marked a profit of 5.16%.

AVB shows a strong mid-term uptrend with several rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last bottom early January, AVB climbed unceasignly breaking out to new all time highs. This week, SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up triggering a rise of 0.21%. Since mid January when AVB stock price broke up the SMA20w line, it gained $19.55 (9.38%).

AVB stock chart (weekly)

AVB stock price history

AVB stock went public on March 11th, 1994 with a price of $6.501. Since then, AVB stock surged a 3,407.70%, with a yearly average of 136.30%. If you had invested $1,000 in AVB stock in 1994, it would worth $34,077.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AVB stock historical price chart

AVB stock reached all-time highs on February/19 with a price of $229.40.

AVB stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price prediction for AvalonBay Communities stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After presenting its last earnings report on April, AvalonBay Communities . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
AVB earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.07n/a
2017-Q32017-10-301.221.7241.0%
2017-Q42018-01-311.191.7244.5%
2018-Q12018-04-252.182.180.0%
2018-Q22018-07-302.22.210.5%
2018-Q32018-10-292.262.280.9%
2018-Q42019-02-042.322.31-0.4%
2019-Q12019-04-231.15n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a good increase of 5.83% to $2,284.53 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in line, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) inched a 2.03% to 42.66%.

AvalonBay Communities fiscal year ends in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, AvalonBay Communities TTM sales up to March 2019 were $2,289.93 and earnings $1,003.25 million dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem AvalonBay Communities business evolution since December 2018: Annual turnover up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained constant a neutral 0.24%. Regarding profit margin, AvalonBay Communities appreciated 1.15% to 42.66%

AVB annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,400 M-$58 M4.1%-
2014$1,685 M20.36%$684 M40.6%1,086.13%
2015$1,856 M10.15%$742 M40.0%8.55%
2016$2,045 M10.20%$1,034 M50.6%39.35%
2017$2,159 M5.54%$877 M40.6%-15.19%
2018$2,285 M5.83%$975 M42.7%11.13%
TTM $2,290 M0.24%$1,003 M43.8%2.95%

Quarterly financial results

AvalonBay Communities posted $566.18 M in sales for 2019-Q1, a -2.13% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $170.37 million with a profit margin of 30.09%. Profit margin plunged a -36.59% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 66.68%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, AvalonBay Communities sales marked a tiny movement and stayed steady a 0.96%.
AVB quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$529 M-$165 M31.2%-
2017-Q3$551 M4.12%$238 M43.3%44.60%
2017-Q4$555 M0.87%$238 M42.8%-0.28%
2018-Q1$561 M0.99%$142 M25.3%-40.38%
2018-Q2$569 M1.51%$255 M44.7%79.79%
2018-Q3$576 M1.18%$192 M33.4%-24.42%
2018-Q4$579 M0.44%$386 M66.7%100.40%
2019-Q1$566 M-2.13%$170 M30.1%-55.83%

AvalonBay Communities ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For AvalonBay Communities, 0.25% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for AVB stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

AVB
Market cap$31.8 B
Total shares139.7 M
Float shares139.9 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)95.4%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.2%
Shares in short selling0.0%

AVB summary

Friday, February 21st, 2020
Open$226.95
Close$228.00
Day range$226.89 - $229.06
Previous close$227.15
Session gain0.37%
Average true range$2.66
50d mov avg$214.30
100d mov avg$214.28
200d mov avg$209.04
Daily patternlb02a
Weekly pattern lb03c

AvalonBay Communities performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. For AvalonBay Communities, the comparison is made against .
Stock3m6m12m
AVBAvalonBay Communi...8.71%12.19%19.79%

AvalonBay Communities competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as AvalonBay Communities competitor. This doesn't mean AvalonBay Communities does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.