ASML stock: buy or sell?

ASML stock price: $210.50 -2.21% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

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ASML shares slipped -2.21% to $210.50 today. On August/14 ASML collapsed a frightening -5.02%.

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, markets, sells, and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems consisting of lithography related systems primarily in the Netherlands, the United States, and Asia.

Should I buy ASML stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with ASML stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is ASML stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 11 ratings published for ASML stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for ASML stock, with 7 positive ratings.
Is ASML a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-8Societe Generalen/aBuy
2019-7-29ABN Amron/aHold
2019-7-18New Street ResearchBuyNeutral
2019-7-16Royal Bank of Canadan/aBuy
2019-7-15SantanderBuyHold
2019-6-19Morgan Stanleyn/aOverweight
2019-4-18Royal Bank of Canadan/aBuy
2019-4-15Royal Bank of CanadaOutperformPositive
2019-4-15Goldman Sachs GroupConviction-BuyBuy
2019-2-4Liberum CapitalHoldBuy
2019-2-25Royal Bank of Canadan/aBuy

ASML stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of ASML slipped an awful -2.21% and closed at $210.50.

ASML ended today at $210.50 and slipped an awful -2.21%. On May, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 6.29%. On June ASML price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On Jul 24th, ASML hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $231.33 recorded on July 23rd. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

ASML stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

ASML decreased a lame -1.10% this week. With this, it's been 4 red weeks in a row, sliding $-20.35 or a -9.10%. By mid July ASML rocketed an exceptional 6.90% in just one week.

ASML stock is trading in the range of its last top and last bottom. Loosing would mean breaking the current uptrend. Breakdowns under last bottom are selling point signals for some trading strategies. Not so far away is the last all-time high ASML marked late July. Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up late April, ASML price climbed $3.30 per share (1.59%). By mid March ASML price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.

ASML stock chart (weekly)

ASML stock price history

ASML stock went public on March 15th, 1995 with a price of $1.211. Since then, ASML stock surged a 17,296.70%, with a yearly average of 720.70%. If you had invested $1,000 in ASML stock in 1995, it would worth $172,967.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

ASML stock historical price chart

ASML stock reached all-time highs on July 24th with a price of $234.50.

ASML stock price target is $225.00

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we only found 1 price target for ASML stock:
ASML stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-4-15Royal Bank of CanadaRaises Targetn/a$225.00-
(in average)$0.00$225.000.0%

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On January, ASML presented its financial report, posting a slightly good gain for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Experts expected $2.04 per share, but ASML posted $2.12.
ASML earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.08n/a
2017-Q3-n/a1.29n/a
2017-Q4-n/a1.5n/a
2018-Q12018-04-181.381.5512.3%
2018-Q22018-07-181.431.6314.0%
2018-Q32018-10-171.91.86-2.1%
2018-Q42019-01-232.042.123.9%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a dazzling growth of 20.89% to $10,944.00 million dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, instead, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) remained constant a 0.04% to 23.62%.

ASML annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$5,250 M-$1,190 M22.7%-
2014$7,085 M34.95%$1,448 M20.4%21.65%
2015$6,287 M-11.25%$1,387 M22.1%-4.18%
2016$6,795 M8.07%$1,472 M21.7%6.11%
2017$9,053 M33.23%$2,135 M23.6%45.07%
2018$10,944 M20.89%$2,585 M23.6%21.08%

Quarterly financial results

ASML posted $3,142.50 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a 13.20% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $768.30 million with a profit margin of 24.45%. Profit margin stayed stable a -0.05% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 24.50%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, ASML sales marked a slightly fine increase and inched a 2.24%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, ASML posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
ASML quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$2,100 M-$476 M22.6%-
2017-Q3$2,450 M16.67%$575 M23.5%20.86%
2017-Q4$3,074 M25.46%$792 M25.8%37.78%
2018-Q1$2,285 M-25.66%$557 M24.4%-29.63%
2018-Q2$2,740 M19.93%$580 M21.2%4.02%
2018-Q3$2,776 M1.30%$680 M24.5%17.32%
2018-Q4$3,143 M13.20%$768 M24.4%12.97%
2019-Q1$2,229 M-29.07%$343 M15.4%-55.30%

ASML ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a company, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For ASML, 0.00% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of ASML stock, 16.34% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ASML stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

ASMLCAJINTCKLACPLAB
Market cap$88.6 B$27.6 B$202.3 B$0.0 M$631.8 M
Total shares421.1 M1,080.0 M4,500.0 M0.0 M67.1 M
Float shares420.9 M1,050.0 M4,430.0 M161.4 M65.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)16.3%1.2%68.8%95.6%98.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%0.0%0.1%0.3%2.5%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

ASML summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$213.63
Close$210.50
Day range$209.60 - $215.47
Previous close$215.26
Session gain-2.21%
Average true range$5.16
50d mov avg$213.24
100d mov avg$205.67
200d mov avg$188.23
Daily patternlt03a
Weekly pattern lt06a

ASML performance

To better understand ASML performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We chose Canon, Intel, KLA-Tencor, Photronics and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing as the bechmarking frame for ASML stock.
Stock3m6m12m
ASML 10.91%15.18%4.92%
CAJCanon-9.21%-12.99%-16.79%
INTCIntel1.56%-13.24%-3.23%
KLACKLA-Tencor34.81%23.07%23.92%
PLABPhotronics14.18%-9.86%-12.78%
TSMTaiwan Semiconduc...10.68%7.34%2.53%

ASML competitors

One check before trading any stock is to have a look a list of its competitors, in this case for ASML. We picked 5 companies as ASML competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest ASML stock news