ASML stock: buy or sell?

ASML stock price: $300.04 -0.35% At close on January 17th, 2020

Updated on:
January 17th, 2020

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After several days of continuous hikes in past weeks, ASML depreciated -0.35% to $300.04.

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, markets, sells, and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems consisting of lithography related systems primarily in the Netherlands, the United States, and Asia.

Should I buy ASML stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, 2 buy setups are elegible for ASML stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is ASML stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we detected 12 ratings published for ASML stock in the last month.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for ASML stock, with 8 positive ratings.
Is ASML a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-19Wells Fargo & Con/aOutperform
2019-7-8Societe Generalen/aBuy
2019-7-29ABN Amron/aHold
2019-7-18New Street ResearchBuyNeutral
2019-7-16Royal Bank of Canadan/aBuy
2019-7-15SantanderBuyHold
2019-6-19Morgan Stanleyn/aOverweight
2019-4-18Royal Bank of Canadan/aBuy
2019-4-15Royal Bank of CanadaOutperformPositive
2019-4-15Goldman Sachs GroupConviction-BuyBuy
2019-2-4Liberum CapitalHoldBuy
2019-2-25Royal Bank of Canadan/aBuy

ASML stock analysis

Daily outlook

After several days of continuous hikes in past weeks, ASML depreciated -0.35% to $300.04.

ASML depreciated -0.35% yesterday to $300.04 after marking all time highs on Tuesday. From a daily perspective, ASML is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($295.56, on January/10) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($305.90, on Tuesday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top ASML might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $305.90 or down under $295.56. On Tuesday, ASML hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $303.91 recorded on Jan/9. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences. Since August when ASML stock price broke up the SMA50d line, it gained $86.90 (40.77%).

ASML stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

ASML inched 1.30% this week and set a new all time high at $305.90.

ASML shows a strong mid-term uptrend with several rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last bottom early December, ASML climbed unceasignly breaking out to new all time highs. Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up late April 2019, ASML price climbed $93.74 per share (45.44%). Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up by mid March 2019, ASML climbed $124.03 (70.47%).

ASML stock chart (weekly)

ASML stock price history

ASML IPO was on March 15th, 1995 at $1.21 per share1. Since then, ASML stock surged a 24,696.70%, with an average of 1,029.00% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in ASML stock in 1995, it would worth $246,967.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

ASML stock historical price chart

ASML stock reached all-time highs on Tuesday with a price of $305.90.

ASML stock price target is $250.50

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we found 2 price targets for ASML stock:
ASML stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-19Wells Fargo & CoReiterates$240.00$276.0015%
2019-4-15Royal Bank of CanadaRaises Targetn/a$225.00-
(in average)$240.00$250.504.0%
Moving in a range from $276.00 and $225.00, the price prediction for ASML stock is $250.50. In average, analysts' outlook on ASML price forecast is positive, upgrading the forecast by a 4.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

ASML reported slightly good results for 2018-Q4 . ASML raised Earnings per Share (EPS) by 3.90%, beating analysts of $2.04. ASML posted $2.12.
ASML earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.08n/a
2017-Q3-n/a1.29n/a
2017-Q4-n/a1.5n/a
2018-Q12018-04-181.381.5512.3%
2018-Q22018-07-181.431.6314.0%
2018-Q32018-10-171.91.86-2.1%
2018-Q42019-01-232.042.123.9%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a super good growth of 20.89% to $10,944.00 M USD. On the other hand, its profit margin (compared to revenues) stayed constant to 23.62%, that is $2,585.40 million.

ASML annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$5,250 M-$1,190 M22.7%-
2014$7,085 M34.95%$1,448 M20.4%21.65%
2015$6,287 M-11.25%$1,387 M22.1%-4.18%
2016$6,795 M8.07%$1,472 M21.7%6.11%
2017$9,053 M33.23%$2,135 M23.6%45.07%
2018$10,944 M20.89%$2,585 M23.6%21.08%

Quarterly financial results

ASML posted $3,142.50 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 13.20% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $768.30 million with a profit margin of 24.45%. Profit margin remained steady a -0.05% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 24.50%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, ASML sales marked a tiny gain and grew a 2.24%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, ASML posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
ASML quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$2,100 M-$476 M22.6%-
2017-Q3$2,450 M16.67%$575 M23.5%20.86%
2017-Q4$3,074 M25.46%$792 M25.8%37.78%
2018-Q1$2,285 M-25.66%$557 M24.4%-29.63%
2018-Q2$2,740 M19.93%$580 M21.2%4.02%
2018-Q3$2,776 M1.30%$680 M24.5%17.32%
2018-Q4$3,143 M13.20%$768 M24.4%12.97%
2019-Q1$2,229 M-29.07%$343 M15.4%-55.30%

ASML ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

ASML shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.00% of all shares.

In case of ASML stock, 17.26% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ASML stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to ASML:

ASML
Market cap$126.4 B
Total shares421.1 M
Float shares420.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)17.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

ASML summary

Friday, January 17th, 2020
Open$300.90
Close$300.04
Day range$299.27 - $301.05
Previous close$301.08
Session gain-0.35%
Average true range$4.64
50d mov avg$283.93
100d mov avg$265.78
200d mov avg$235.37
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern lb03c

ASML performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We selected as the bechmarking frame for ASML stock.
Stock3m6m12m
ASML 18.44%34.76%87.38%

ASML competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as ASML competitor. This doesn't mean ASML does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.

    Latest ASML stock news