ASML stock: buy or sell?
January 17th, 2020
ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, markets, sells, and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems consisting of lithography related systems primarily in the Netherlands, the United States, and Asia.
Should I buy ASML stock?You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
Currently, 2 buy setups are elegible for ASML stock now:
|New all-time high||Yes|
|New 52 week high||Yes|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is ASML stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.At Stocks2.com, we detected 12 ratings published for ASML stock in the last month. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for ASML stock, with 8 positive ratings.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-9-19||Wells Fargo & Co||n/a||Outperform|
|2019-7-18||New Street Research||Buy||Neutral|
|2019-7-16||Royal Bank of Canada||n/a||Buy|
|2019-4-18||Royal Bank of Canada||n/a||Buy|
|2019-4-15||Royal Bank of Canada||Outperform||Positive|
|2019-4-15||Goldman Sachs Group||Conviction-Buy||Buy|
|2019-2-25||Royal Bank of Canada||n/a||Buy|
ASML stock analysis
After several days of continuous hikes in past weeks, ASML depreciated -0.35% to $300.04.
ASML depreciated -0.35% yesterday to $300.04 after marking all time highs on Tuesday. From a daily perspective, ASML is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($295.56, on January/10) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($305.90, on Tuesday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top ASML might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $305.90 or down under $295.56. On Tuesday, ASML hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $303.91 recorded on Jan/9. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences. Since August when ASML stock price broke up the SMA50d line, it gained $86.90 (40.77%).
ASML inched 1.30% this week and set a new all time high at $305.90.
ASML shows a strong mid-term uptrend with several rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last bottom early December, ASML climbed unceasignly breaking out to new all time highs. Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up late April 2019, ASML price climbed $93.74 per share (45.44%). Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up by mid March 2019, ASML climbed $124.03 (70.47%).
ASML stock price history
ASML IPO was on March 15th, 1995 at $1.21 per share1. Since then, ASML stock surged a 24,696.70%, with an average of 1,029.00% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in ASML stock in 1995, it would worth $246,967.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
ASML stock historical price chart
ASML stock reached all-time highs on Tuesday with a price of $305.90.
ASML stock price target is $250.50Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we found 2 price targets for ASML stock:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-9-19||Wells Fargo & Co||Reiterates||$240.00||$276.00||15%|
|2019-4-15||Royal Bank of Canada||Raises Target||n/a||$225.00||-|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareASML reported slightly good results for 2018-Q4 . ASML raised Earnings per Share (EPS) by 3.90%, beating analysts of $2.04. ASML posted $2.12.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a super good growth of 20.89% to $10,944.00 M USD. On the other hand, its profit margin (compared to revenues) stayed constant to 23.62%, that is $2,585.40 million.
|2013||$5,250 M||-||$1,190 M22.7%||-|
|2014||$7,085 M||34.95%||$1,448 M20.4%||21.65%|
|2015||$6,287 M||-11.25%||$1,387 M22.1%||-4.18%|
|2016||$6,795 M||8.07%||$1,472 M21.7%||6.11%|
|2017||$9,053 M||33.23%||$2,135 M23.6%||45.07%|
|2018||$10,944 M||20.89%||$2,585 M23.6%||21.08%|
Quarterly financial resultsASML posted $3,142.50 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 13.20% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $768.30 million with a profit margin of 24.45%. Profit margin remained steady a -0.05% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 24.50%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, ASML sales marked a tiny gain and grew a 2.24%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, ASML posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$2,100 M||-||$476 M22.6%||-|
|2017-Q3||$2,450 M||16.67%||$575 M23.5%||20.86%|
|2017-Q4||$3,074 M||25.46%||$792 M25.8%||37.78%|
|2018-Q1||$2,285 M||-25.66%||$557 M24.4%||-29.63%|
|2018-Q2||$2,740 M||19.93%||$580 M21.2%||4.02%|
|2018-Q3||$2,776 M||1.30%||$680 M24.5%||17.32%|
|2018-Q4||$3,143 M||13.20%||$768 M24.4%||12.97%|
|2019-Q1||$2,229 M||-29.07%||$343 M15.4%||-55.30%|
ASML ownershipWhen you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's worth to review its ownership structure.
ASML shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.00% of all shares.
In case of ASML stock, 17.26% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ASML stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to ASML:
|Market cap||$126.4 B|
|Total shares||421.1 M|
|Float shares||420.8 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||17.3%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.0%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Friday, January 17th, 2020|
|Day range||$299.27 - $301.05|
|Average true range||$4.64|
|50d mov avg||$283.93|
|100d mov avg||$265.78|
|200d mov avg||$235.37|
ASML performancePerformance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We selected as the bechmarking frame for ASML stock.
ASML competitorsUnfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as ASML competitor. This doesn't mean ASML does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.
Latest ASML stock news
- Seeking AlphaASML Holding: At The Top Of The Semiconductor Food ChainJuly 31, 2019
- Seeking AlphaThe Last Thing That ASML Has To Worry About Is CompetitionJuly 29, 2019
- Investors.comStocks Open Mixed; Caterpillar Drags On Dow Jones: ASML Breaks OutJuly 17, 2019
- Investors.comDow Jones Futures: Chips Rally On ASML, Qualcomm As EU Probes Amazon; Here Comes NetflixJuly 17, 2019
- Seeking AlphaASML Is More Than Lithography With Its Advanced Metrology/Inspection SystemsMarch 5, 2019