Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI)

ARI stock forecast: buy or sell

ARI stock outlook

  • Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock scarcely moved 0.64% to close at $9.49 on the stock market on Friday.
  • On July 30, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance presented its Q2 earnings report
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Please read:
The opinions written in this article are personal and should not be followed as recommendations for you to buy or sell shares. The author of this document does not have an understanding of the specific conditions of the reader, his or her financial statements or his or her own best interests at any given time. All users should speak with their financial advisor before buying or selling any securities Viewpoints are expressed for educative reasons only

ARI stock chart overview

Should I buy Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best moment to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best

Is ARI stock a buy?

Currently, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy now. This doesn't mean ARI will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems

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Should I sell Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock?

"To sell or not to sell", if you are holding Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance shares?. Trading strategies allow us to avoid impetuous decisions based on our personal feelings or the buzz that surrounds the market. When selling, as well as buying, detailed strategies are very simple to use but are only applicable for selling stocks in your porfolio, not for shorting Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock

As a golden rule, you must never mantain an open trade that results in losses greater than those expected at the time of purchase. The timing to sell your stock should always be dictated by the stop-loss (automatic or manual)

Is it time to sell Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock?

Currently, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock doesn't match any of our preferred sell setups, so if you own Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock and your operation is in profit probably is not time to sell now

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Analysts' recommendations to buy or sell Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock

Brokerage firms and financial institutions post stock ratings based on their views of the market and the fundamental and technical situation of the analyzed stock. Unfortunately, the accuracy of these predictions is not very high, and certainly not a direct buy or sell signal

In the last month we couldn't find any rating for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance

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Technical analysis

SMAs overview

Moving averages are simple indicators for investors to measure market momentum. A moving average is the average price of a stock over a set period of time. Moving averages are usually calculated on different periods depending on the trading timeframe 21, 50, 100 and 200 days are the most usual moving averages

Supports and resistances

Technical analysts use supports and resistances as a way to identify price points on a chart that may act as obstacles, containing the price of shares to move up or down. Supports are levels where the price tends to stop as it falls. This means that the price is more likely to "rebound" this level rather than break through it. Nevertheless, if the price breaks down the support, it is likely to continue declining until finding another support level. On the other hand, resistance levels are where the price tends to find opposition as it rises. Likewise, this means that the price is more liable to "rebound" at this level, and if it finally breaks this level, the price will rally easily until it approaches the next resistance

The current resistances are:

  • R1: $9.49 (0% above)
  • R2: $9.50 (0.11% above)
  • R3: $9.53 (0.42% above)
  • The current supports are:

  • S1: $9.39 (-1.05% below)
  • S2: $9.35 (-1.48% below)
  • S3: $9.18 (-3.27% below)
  • Bollinger bands

    This is an indicator that was designed in the 1980s by John Bollinger. It is made up of three lines that are outlined superimposed on the price evolution chart:

    • The central band is a moving average, usually a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods
    • The upper band is calculated by adding to the value of the simple moving average 2 times the standard deviation of the moving average
    • The lower band is calculated by subtracting from the simple moving average 2 times the standard deviation of the moving average

    The price is trading near to the upper Bollinger band, poiting some level of overbought in recent sessions. This is not a bearish indicator, as price can trade in these levels for many days and weeks

    Relative strength index

    The relative strength index (RSI) is a technical indicator used in the analysis of stock markets. Its objective is to chart the current and historical strength or weakness of a stock or market based on the closing prices of a recent trading period. Like other oscillation indicators, the RSI fluctuates between 0% and 100%. J. Welles Wilder introduced the relative strength indicator in 1978 and since then it has been widely used by stock traders

    The RSI dropped below the overbought level of 70 in early June after just crossing to the overbough zone for 1 day (weak signal). The RSI reading on Friday was 53.53. Since RSI lost the overbought zone, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance price dropped a 19.1%

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    Earnings and financials

    Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) came out with Q2 earnings of $-0.07 per share, poorly failing to match the analysts consensus estimate of $0.29 per share. This quarterly report means an earnings surprise of -124.14%. Company's revenue was $92.1 million in contrast to $86.9 million predicted by market consensus.

    Compared to the same quarter last year, EPS was $0.38, so reported EPS is a loss of -118.42%. Looking at revenues, figures moved up a 6.01% compared to $86.9M same quarter 12 months ago.

    ARI is presenting Q3 financial report next October. Wall Street analysts forecast a per-share earnings of %s of $0.29, that is a 514.29% more than Q2. If you hold or you are thinking of buying ARI stock, be on your toes as the financial reporting day usually has a higher than usual volatility, and price can jump up or down with exceptionally low liquidity and not respecting your buy or stop-loss orders. You can probably uncover more details about the earnings call and the financial reports on the Investor Relations section of its website: http://www.apolloreit.com.

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