ARI stock: buy or sell?

ARI stock price: $17.56 -2.17% At close on February 25th, 2020

Updated on:
February 25th, 2020

2

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance shares fell -2.17% to $17.56 today. Tuesday was the third red session in a row, sliding in full a -4.96%.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States.

Should I buy ARI stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. That's why is so important to choose your own trading strategy that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean ARI will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for ARI stock for the last month.

ARI stock analysis

Daily outlook

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance ended today at $17.56 and fell a fatal -2.17%.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance fell a fatal -2.17% and closed at $17.56. In this session, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock crossed down the SMA200d line. If you are using SMA200d line as stop loss trigger, double check your position in this stock. For the last 20 days when SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up, ARI price slipped $-0.89 per share (-4.82%).

ARI stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance shares slipped -3.89% this week, ending at $17.56. For 3 weeks in a row, price slid and lost a -5.09%.

This week, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock dived below the significant level of the 40-weeks moving average. Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Far behind is the all-time high Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance recorded by mid September 2019 but price is just -6.74% below that top. Since SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up early May, ARI price slid a -0.79%.

ARI stock chart (weekly)

ARI stock price history

ARI stock went public on September 25th, 2009 with a price of $6.851. Since then, ARI stock surged a 156.40%, with an average of 15.60% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in ARI stock in 2009, it would worth $1,564.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

ARI stock historical price chart

ARI stock reached all-time highs on September with a price of $18.83.

ARI stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price target for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance reported its latest financial data, posting a slightly good growth for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Experts expected $0.43 per share, but Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance posted $0.45.
ARI earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.27n/a
2017-Q32017-11-010.460.472.2%
2017-Q42018-02-140.10.1220.0%
2018-Q12018-05-020.410.38-7.3%
2018-Q22018-07-250.410.410.0%
2018-Q32018-10-240.460.41-10.9%
2018-Q42019-02-130.430.454.7%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a dazzling gain of 17.34% to $299.45 M dollars. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) depreciated a -2.18% to 73.46%.

ARI annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$77 M-$52 M66.9%-
2014$89 M15.18%$83 M92.9%60.07%
2015$126 M41.39%$103 M82.0%24.80%
2016$181 M44.02%$158 M87.1%52.90%
2017$255 M40.75%$193 M75.6%22.27%
2018$299 M17.34%$220 M73.5%13.96%

Quarterly financial results

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance reported $81.77 M in sales for 2018-Q4, a 2.03% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $52.99 million with a profit margin of 64.80%. Profit margin plunged a -12.82% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 77.63%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance sales marked an extraordinary growth and boosted a 68.94%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance posted 4 positive quarters in a row.
ARI quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$81 M-$36 M43.7%-
2017-Q3$87 M6.58%$68 M78.0%90.20%
2017-Q4$48 M-44.26%$41 M85.4%-39.00%
2018-Q1$54 M12.46%$49 M90.8%19.64%
2018-Q2$75 M37.81%$55 M73.8%11.96%
2018-Q3$80 M6.85%$62 M77.6%12.41%
2018-Q4$82 M2.03%$53 M64.8%-14.83%
2019-Q1$84 M2.14%$68 M81.1%27.87%

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a company, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, 0.00% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock, 0.08% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for ARI stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

ARI
Market cap$2.7 B
Total shares153.5 M
Float shares153.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)0.1%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

ARI summary

Tuesday, February 25th, 2020
Open$18.05
Close$17.56
Day range$17.37 - $18.02
Previous close$17.95
Session gain-2.17%
Average true range$0.28
50d mov avg$18.30
100d mov avg$18.13
200d mov avg$17.94
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance performance

To better understand Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. For Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, the comparison is made against .
Stock3m6m12m
ARI-1.51%-0.68%7.14%

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance competitor. This doesn't mean Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.