Aphria stock: buy or sell?

APHA stock price: $6.56 0.77% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

2

Aphria ended today at $6.56 and inched a slightly good 0.77%. On August 15th APHA plunged a scary -7.21%. On Aug 21st APHA skyrocketed an amazing 5.02%.

Should I buy Aphria stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Aphria stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Aphria stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we detected 4 ratings published for APHA stock in the last month.

Is APHA a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-26CIBCNeutralUnderperform
2019-5-24Jefferies Financial Groupn/aBuy
2019-2-21Seaport Global Securitiesn/aBuy
2019-1-18CIBCn/aNeutral

Aphria stock analysis

Daily outlook

Aphria ended today at $6.56 and inched a slightly good 0.77%.

Aphria inched a slightly good 0.77% and closed at $6.56. APHA is retaking the upward trend marking a new rising bottom heading to break out over $7.60. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on April, APHA fell $-3.54 per share (-35.05%).

APHA stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Aphria shares rocketed 6.15% this week, ending at $6.56. Early August APHA plummed a scary -15.62% in just one week.

Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down by mid April, APHA fell $-3.54 per share (-35.05%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average line is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support.

APHA stock chart (weekly)

Aphria stock price history

Aphria IPO was on March 18th, 2015 at $0.71 per share1. Since then, APHA stock grew a 823.90%, with a yearly average of 206.00%. If you had invested $1,000 in Aphria stock in 2015, it would worth $8,239.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Aphria stock historical price chart

APHA stock reached 52-week highs on September at $16.86, and all-time highs 2018-01-09 with a price of 19.87.

Aphria stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not found any price prediction for Aphria stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since January, when Aphria published its last earnings report, it . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
APHA earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2018-Q12018-04-16n/a0.06n/a
2018-Q22018-08-01n/a-0.03n/a
2018-Q32018-10-12n/a0.07n/a
2018-Q42019-01-11n/a-0.01n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Aphria annual turnover boosted an outstanding 80.62% to $36.92 million dollars from $20.44 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in the same way, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) skyrocketed a 59.23% to 79.77%.

To have an updated picture of the financial situation of Aphria, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2018-Q4 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Aphria TTM sales up to November 2018 were $57.25 and income was $83.90 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Aphria business evolution since May 2018: Annual sales up to November, compared to lastest yearly report, climbed an extraordinary 55.09%. Regarding profit margin, Aphria rocketed 66.78% to 79.77%

APHA annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2015$0.55 M-$-6.54 M-1186.6%-
2016$8.43 M1,429.47%$0.40 M4.7%-106.08%
2017$20 M142.34%$4.20 M20.5%954.99%
2018$37 M80.62%$29 M79.8%601.40%
TTM $57 M55.09%$84 M146.5%184.92%

Quarterly financial results

Aphria posted $21.67 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a 63.02% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $54.77 million with a profit margin of 252.79%. Profit margin climbed a 93.47% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 159.31%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Aphria sales marked and a . Looking back to recent quarterly results, Aphria posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
APHA quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2018-Q1$10 M-$13 M126.1%-
2018-Q2$12 M17.13%$-5 M-41.5%-138.57%
2018-Q3$13 M10.53%$21 M159.3%-524.20%
2018-Q4$22 M63.02%$55 M252.8%158.66%
2019-Q1$74 M239.59%$-108 M-147.1%-297.56%

Aphria ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

Aphria shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 6.92% of all shares.

In case of Aphria stock, 15.24% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for APHA stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Aphria:

APHA
Market cap$996.3 M
Total shares151.9 M
Float shares250.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)15.2%
  - Insider holdings (%)6.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%

Aphria summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$6.44
Close$6.56
Day range$6.42 - $6.80
Previous close$6.51
Session gain0.77%
Average true range$0.42
50d mov avg$6.50
100d mov avg$7.06
200d mov avg$7.72
Daily patternlb02a
Weekly pattern lt11a

Aphria performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Aphria against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
APHAAphria-10.75%-35.56%-38.98%

Aphria competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Aphria competitor. This doesn't mean Aphria does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.