Aphria stock: buy or sell?

APHA stock price: $3.29 -0.90% At close on March 27th, 2020

Updated on:
March 27th, 2020

1

After boosting an amazing 11.75% on March/26, Aphria closed yesterday at $3.29 and depreciated a lame -0.90%. Friday session broke a green streak of 4 days in a row.

Should I buy Aphria stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Aphria stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Aphria stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for APHA stock for the last month.

Aphria stock analysis

Daily outlook

After boosting an amazing 11.75% on Mar 26th, Aphria closed yesterday at $3.29 and depreciated a lame -0.90%.

After boosting an amazing 11.75% on Mar/26, Aphria closed yesterday at $3.29 and depreciated a lame -0.90%. Since price and SMA100d lines crossed down on January, APHA fell $-1.98 per share (-37.57%).

APHA stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Aphria shares rocketed 31.08% this week, ending at $3.29. Early March APHA collapsed a chilling -40.00% in just one week.

APHA stock chart (weekly)

Aphria stock price history

Aphria stock went public on March 18th, 2015 with a price of $0.711. Since then, APHA stock surged a 363.40%, with a yearly average of 72.70%. If you had invested $1,000 in Aphria stock in 2015, it would worth $3,634.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Aphria stock historical price chart

APHA stock reached 52-week highs at $10.17, and all-time highs 2018-01-09 with a price of 19.87.

Aphria stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' APHA stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we have not found any price target for Aphria stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After presenting its last earnings report , Aphria . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this report.
APHA earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2018-Q12018-04-16n/a0.06n/a
2018-Q22018-08-01n/a-0.03n/a
2018-Q32018-10-12n/a0.07n/a
2018-Q42019-01-11n/a-0.01n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Aphria annual turnover rocketed a dazzling 80.62% to $36.92 M USD from $20.44 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, similarly, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) climbed a 59.23% to 79.77%.

To have an updated view of the financial situation of Aphria, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2018-Q4 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Aphria TTM sales up to November 2018 were $57.25 and income was $83.90 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Aphria business evolution since May 2018: Annual sales up to November, compared to lastest yearly report, rocketed an outstanding 55.09%. Regarding profit margin, Aphria skyrocketed 66.78% to 79.77%

APHA annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2015$0.55 M-$-6.54 M-1186.6%-
2016$8.43 M1,429.47%$0.40 M4.7%-106.08%
2017$20 M142.34%$4.20 M20.5%954.99%
2018$37 M80.62%$29 M79.8%601.40%
TTM $57 M55.09%$84 M146.5%184.92%

Quarterly financial results

Aphria reported $21.67 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 63.02% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $54.77 M with a profit margin of 252.79%. Profit margin boosted a 93.47% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 159.31%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Aphria sales marked and a . Looking back to recent quarterly results, Aphria posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
APHA quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2018-Q1$10 M-$13 M126.1%-
2018-Q2$12 M17.13%$-5 M-41.5%-138.57%
2018-Q3$13 M10.53%$21 M159.3%-524.20%
2018-Q4$22 M63.02%$55 M252.8%158.66%
2019-Q1$74 M239.59%$-108 M-147.1%-297.56%

Aphria ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Aphria shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 2.85% of all shares.

In case of Aphria stock, 14.69% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for APHA stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Aphria:

APHA
Market cap$878.9 M
Total shares267.1 M
Float shares252.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)14.7%
  - Insider holdings (%)2.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%

Aphria summary

Friday, March 27th, 2020
Open$3.41
Close$3.29
Day range$3.23 - $3.52
Previous close$3.32
Session gain-0.90%
Average true range$0.36
50d mov avg$3.83
100d mov avg$4.34
200d mov avg$5.23
Daily patternlt03a
Weekly pattern lb06a

Aphria performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We compared Aphria against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
APHAAphria-32.86%-39.85%-64.70%

Aphria competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Aphria competitor. This doesn't mean Aphria does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.