Aphria stock: buy or sell?

APHA stock price: $4.31 12.83% At close on November 19th, 2019

Updated on:
November 19th, 2019

1

After sliding a scary -11.26% yesterday, Aphria closed today at $4.31 and boosted an amazing 12.83%. Last session broke a streak of 4 red sessions in a row.

Should I buy Aphria stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Aphria stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Aphria stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we collected 3 ratings published for APHA stock in the last 30 days.

Is APHA a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-26CIBCNeutralUnderperform
2019-5-24Jefferies Financial Groupn/aBuy
2019-2-21Seaport Global Securitiesn/aBuy

Aphria stock analysis

Daily outlook

After sliding a scary -11.26% yesterday, Aphria closed today at $4.31 and boosted an amazing 12.83%.

After sliding a scary -11.26% yesterday, Aphria closed today at $4.31 and boosted an amazing 12.83%.

APHA stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After sliding a hair-raising -19.29% in a week last week, Aphria closed this week at $4.31 and appreciated a good 1.41%. Late October APHA boosted a dazzling 15.18% in just one week.

APHA stock chart (weekly)

Aphria stock price history

Aphria IPO was on March 18th, 2015 at $0.71 per share1. Since then, APHA stock surged a 507.00%, with an average of 126.80% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in Aphria stock in 2015, it would worth $5,070.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Aphria stock historical price chart

APHA stock reached 52-week highs on February at $10.95, and all-time highs 2018-01-09 with a price of 19.87.

Aphria stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we have not detected any price target for Aphria stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since last January, when Aphria published its last earnings report, it . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
APHA earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2018-Q12018-04-16n/a0.06n/a
2018-Q22018-08-01n/a-0.03n/a
2018-Q32018-10-12n/a0.07n/a
2018-Q42019-01-11n/a-0.01n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a super good growth of 80.62% to $36.92 million USD. Similarly, its earnings margin (compared to sales) rocketed to 79.77%, that is $29.45 million.

Aphria fiscal year ends in May, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Aphria TTM sales up to November 2018 were $57.25 and income $83.90 M dollars. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Aphria business evolution since May 2018: Annual revenues up to November, compared to lastest yearly report, boosted a dazzling 55.09%. Aligned with this, profit margin (net income/sales) rocketed at 79.77%.

APHA annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2015$0.55 M-$-6.54 M-1186.6%-
2016$8.43 M1,429.47%$0.40 M4.7%-106.08%
2017$20 M142.34%$4.20 M20.5%954.99%
2018$37 M80.62%$29 M79.8%601.40%
TTM $57 M55.09%$84 M146.5%184.92%

Quarterly financial results

Aphria posted $21.67 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 63.02% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $54.77 million with a profit margin of 252.79%. Profit margin climbed a 93.47% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 159.31%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Aphria sales marked and a . Looking back to recent quarterly results, Aphria posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
APHA quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2018-Q1$10 M-$13 M126.1%-
2018-Q2$12 M17.13%$-5 M-41.5%-138.57%
2018-Q3$13 M10.53%$21 M159.3%-524.20%
2018-Q4$22 M63.02%$55 M252.8%158.66%
2019-Q1$74 M239.59%$-108 M-147.1%-297.56%

Aphria ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Aphria, 6.92% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of Aphria stock, 15.24% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for APHA stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Aphria:

APHA
Market cap$1.1 B
Total shares251.6 M
Float shares250.9 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)15.2%
  - Insider holdings (%)6.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%

Aphria summary

Tuesday, November 19th, 2019
Open$3.76
Close$4.31
Day range$3.76 - $4.44
Previous close$3.82
Session gain12.83%
Average true range$0.32
50d mov avg$5.26
100d mov avg$5.84
200d mov avg$7.11
Daily patternlt01c
Weekly pattern lt03a

Aphria performance

To better understand Aphria performance you must compare its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. We compared Aphria against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
APHAAphria-34.30%-41.36%-51.24%

Aphria competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Aphria competitor. This doesn't mean Aphria does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.