Amphenol stock: buy or sell?

APH stock price: $93.82 -0.45% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

4

Amphenol shares declined -0.45% to $93.82 today. With Friday it's been 3 red days in a row.

Amphenol Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of electrical, electronic, and fiber optic connectors worldwide.

Should I buy Amphenol stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Amphenol stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean APH will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Amphenol stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we detected 8 ratings published for APH stock in the last month.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for APH stock, with 7 positive ratings.
Is APH a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-16Wells Fargo & Con/aBuy
2019-7-25Wells Fargo & Con/aOutperform
2019-7-25Morgan Stanleyn/aOverweight
2019-6-17Longbow ResearchBuyNeutral
2019-6-10Morgan Stanleyn/aOverweight
2019-4-2SunTrust BanksHoldBuy
2019-3-5Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweight
2019-2-7Bank of AmericaBuyBuy

Amphenol stock analysis

Daily outlook

Amphenol shares declined -0.45% to $93.82 today.

Shares of Amphenol closed today at $93.82 and declined an unpleasant -0.45%. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on Sep/11, APH climbed $4.46 (4.99%). From a daily outlook perspective, APH is drawing an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top on Monday at $95.95, price slid and found support around $93.08. Breaking down under $93.08 would cancel the current uptrend and it might slide further to test lower supports. Note that $95.95 might act as a resistance line. Trading the long side, we should wait to a new breakout over $95.95 to find the next buy point.

APH stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After boosting an outstanding 5.70% in a week last week, Amphenol closed this week at $93.82 and declined a disappointing -0.68%. Late July APH plummed a bloodcurdling -6.96% in just one week.

Since last week when APH stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $4.74 (5.32%). Since SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up late April, APH price slid a -9.82%. Far behind is the all-time high Amphenol hit late April and since then the price is -10.62% below that top.

APH stock chart (weekly)

Amphenol stock price history

Amphenol IPO was on November 8th, 1991 at $0.51 per share1. Since then, APH stock surged a 18,296.10%, with a yearly average of 677.60%. If you had invested $1,000 in Amphenol stock in 1991, it would worth $182,961.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Amphenol stock historical price chart

APH stock reached all-time highs on April with a price of $104.97.

Amphenol stock price target is $106.80

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we found 5 price targets for APH stock:
APH stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-7-25Wells Fargo & CoReiterates$115.00$105.00-8.7%
2019-7-25Morgan StanleyLowers Target$108.00$104.00-3.7%
2019-6-10Morgan StanleyLowers Target$110.00$108.00-1.8%
2019-3-5Morgan StanleyRaises Target$100.00$110.0010%
2019-2-7Bank of AmericaReiterates$103.00$107.003.9%
(in average)$107.20$106.800.0%
Moving in a range from $110.00 and $104.00, the price prediction for Amphenol stock is $106.80. In average, analysts' outlook on APH price target is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report on April, Amphenol . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
APH earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.81n/a
2017-Q32017-10-250.790.8811.4%
2017-Q42018-01-240.820.9313.4%
2018-Q12018-04-250.80.833.7%
2018-Q22018-07-250.850.95.9%
2018-Q32018-10-240.961.015.2%
2018-Q42019-01-230.981.057.1%
2019-Q12019-04-240.88n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Amphenol annual revenues skyrocketed a super good 16.98% to $8,202.00 million USD from $7,011.30 marked in 2017. Nevertheless, its income margin (compared to revenues) rose to 14.69%, that is $1,205.00 million.

Amphenol fiscal year ends in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Amphenol TTM sales up to March 2019 were $8,293.60 and income $1,207.00 million USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Amphenol business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, appreciated a tiny 1.12%. Regarding profit margin, Amphenol remained steady -0.14% to 14.69%

APH annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$4,610 M-$636 M13.8%-
2014$5,346 M15.95%$709 M13.3%11.55%
2015$5,569 M4.18%$764 M13.7%7.67%
2016$6,286 M12.89%$823 M13.1%7.78%
2017$7,011 M11.53%$651 M9.3%-20.95%
2018$8,202 M16.98%$1,205 M14.7%85.24%
TTM $8,294 M1.12%$1,207 M14.6%0.17%

Quarterly financial results

Amphenol posted $1,958.50 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -11.97% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $267.50 million with a profit margin of 13.66%. Profit margin slightly fell a -1.54% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 15.20%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Amphenol sales marked a decent gain and grew a 4.91%.
APH quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$1,670 M-$252 M15.1%-
2017-Q3$1,840 M10.18%$278 M15.1%10.34%
2017-Q4$1,944 M5.65%$-103 M-5.3%-137.26%
2018-Q1$1,867 M-3.96%$266 M14.2%-356.87%
2018-Q2$1,981 M6.13%$285 M14.4%7.23%
2018-Q3$2,129 M7.45%$317 M14.9%11.17%
2018-Q4$2,225 M4.50%$338 M15.2%6.79%
2019-Q1$1,959 M-11.97%$268 M13.7%-20.88%

Amphenol ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

Amphenol shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.42% of all shares.

Bearish positions for APH stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

APHAVXBDCCOMMITT
Market cap$27.9 B$2.7 B$2.3 B$2.3 B$5.2 B
Total shares297.5 M169.1 M45.5 M194.1 M88.0 M
Float shares295.8 M47.1 M44.8 M159.1 M87.5 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)99.0%26.5%121.7%99.8%92.5%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.4%72.2%1.9%1.7%0.5%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Amphenol summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$94.56
Close$93.82
Day range$93.64 - $94.85
Previous close$94.24
Session gain-0.45%
Average true range$1.90
50d mov avg$90.66
100d mov avg$92.18
200d mov avg$91.12
Daily patternlb03a
Weekly pattern

Amphenol performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We selected AVX, Belden, CommScope, ITT, Methode Electronics, Optical Cable, RF Industries and TE Connectivity as the bechmarking frame for Amphenol stock.
Stock3m6m12m
APHAmphenol-1.51%-0.26%-0.60%
AVX -3.41%-6.54%-15.06%
BDCBelden-13.78%-4.97%-29.68%
COMMCommScope-24.86%-43.36%-60.58%
ITT -7.50%6.74%-1.65%
MEIMethode Electroni...33.36%25.71%-3.36%
OCCOptical Cable-14.94%-29.11%-24.49%
RFILRF Industries-0.25%16.62%2.21%
TELTE Connectivity-1.62%15.25%2.80%

Amphenol competitors

One check before trading any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Amphenol. We picked 8 companies as Amphenol competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest Amphenol stock news