AOBC stock: buy or sell?
May 21st, 2019
American Outdoor Brands Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells firearms worldwide. It operates in two segments, Firearms, and Outdoor Products & Accessories.
Should I buy AOBC stock?Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
Currently, American Outdoor Brands stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is American Outdoor Brands stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.At Stocks2.com, we collected 2 ratings published for AOBC stock in the last 30 days.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
AOBC stock analysis
Shares of American Outdoor Brands fell an awful -2.10% and closed at $8.87.
Shares of American Outdoor Brands closed today at $8.87 and fell an awful -2.10%. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on March, AOBC fell $-4.09 per share (-31.56%).
Shares of American Outdoor Brands ended this week at $8.87 and dropped a terrifying -3.69%. For 4 weeks in a row, price slid and lost a -11.28%. Early May AOBC collapsed a hair-raising -5.35% in just one week.
Since early March, when AOBC stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-4.09 per share (-31.56%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average mark is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support.
AOBC stock price history
AOBC stock went public on August 17th, 1999 with a price of $1.221. Since then, AOBC stock grew a 627.00%, with an average of 33.00% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in AOBC stock in 1999, it would worth $6,270.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
AOBC stock historical price chart
AOBC stock reached 52-week highs on September at $15.95, and all-time highs 2016-08-11 with a price of 31.19.
AOBC stock price target is $13.50How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. Currently, only 1 price prediction for American Outdoor Brands stock was published in the last month:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareOn March, American Outdoor Brands presented its financial report, posting an astounding gain for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Analyst were expecting $0.12 per share, but American Outdoor Brands posted $0.16.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2018, last anual revenues report draw a tight movement of 0.00% to $606.85 million USD. In the same way, its profit margin (compared to revenues) remained constant to 3.32%, that is $20.13 million. American Outdoor Brands presents anual results in April, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, American Outdoor Brands TTM sales up to January 2019 were $634.57 and earnings $16.25 M USD. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem American Outdoor Brands business evolution since April 2018: Annual sales up to January, compared to lastest yearly report, raised a fine 4.57%. Regarding profit margin, American Outdoor Brands stayed stable -0.76% to 3.32%
|2014||$627 M||-||$89 M14.1%||-|
|2014||$627 M||0.00%||$89 M14.1%||0.00%|
|2015||$552 M||-11.93%||$50 M9.0%||-43.78%|
|2015||$552 M||0.00%||$50 M9.0%||-0.44%|
|2016||$723 M||30.99%||$94 M13.0%||89.39%|
|2016||$723 M||0.00%||$94 M13.0%||0.00%|
|2017||$903 M||24.94%||$128 M14.2%||36.07%|
|2017||$903 M||0.00%||$128 M14.2%||0.00%|
|2018||$607 M||-32.81%||$20 M3.3%||-84.26%|
|2018||$607 M||0.00%||$20 M3.3%||-0.01%|
|TTM||$635 M||4.57%||$16 M2.6%||-19.27%|
Quarterly financial resultsAmerican Outdoor Brands posted $162.01 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 0.19% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-5.73 million with a profit margin of -3.53%. Profit margin eased a -7.66% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 4.12%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, American Outdoor Brands sales marked a slightly fine increase and inched a 2.94%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, American Outdoor Brands posted 2 negative quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$229 M||-||$28 M12.1%||-|
|2017-Q3||$129 M||-43.71%||$-2 M-1.7%||-107.84%|
|2017-Q4||$148 M||15.04%||$3 M2.2%||-249.03%|
|2018-Q1||$157 M||6.03%||$11 M7.2%||252.35%|
|2018-Q2||$172 M||9.31%||$8 M4.5%||-32.74%|
|2018-Q3||$139 M||-19.29%||$8 M5.5%||-0.25%|
|2018-Q4||$162 M||16.47%||$7 M4.1%||-12.82%|
|2019-Q1||$162 M||0.19%||$-6 M-3.5%||-185.90%|
American Outdoor Brands ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For American Outdoor Brands, 2.35% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of American Outdoor Brands stock, 74.06% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AOBC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to American Outdoor Brands:
|Market cap||$483.9 M||$49.4 B||$709.0 M||$900.4 M|
|Total shares||54.6 M||288.2 M||7.0 M||17.5 M|
|Float shares||50.0 M||277.8 M||5.0 M||15.6 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||74.1%||87.8%||67.0%||78.6%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||2.4%||6.0%||29.6%||4.5%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Tuesday, May 21st, 2019|
|Day range||$8.82 - $9.11|
|Average true range||$0.26|
|50d mov avg||$9.55|
|100d mov avg||$11.02|
|200d mov avg||$12.06|
American Outdoor Brands performanceTo measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. We picked General Dynamics, National Presto Industries and Sturm, Ruger as the bechmarking frame for American Outdoor Brands stock.
|AOBCAmerican Outdoor ...||-30.81%||-33.06%||-29.21%|
|NPKNational Presto I...||-18.07%||-19.57%||-8.11%|