AMH stock: buy or sell?

AMH stock price: $25.25 -1.56% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

4

American Homes 4 Rent shares depreciated -1.56% to $25.25 today.

American Homes 4 Rent (NYSE: AMH) is a leader in the single-family home rental industry and \"American Homes 4 Rent\" is fast becoming a nationally recognized brand for rental homes, known for high quality, good value and tenant satisfaction.

Should I buy AMH stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. That's why is so important to choose your own trading strategy that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with American Homes 4 Rent stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean AMH will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is American Homes 4 Rent stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we detected 4 ratings published for AMH stock in the last month.

Is AMH a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-1BTIG ResearchBuyNeutral
2019-6-11CitigroupBuyNeutral
2019-3-14Wells Fargo & Con/aHold
2019-2-26MizuhoNeutralBuy

AMH stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of American Homes 4 Rent depreciated a tragic -1.56% and closed at $25.25.

American Homes 4 Rent shares depreciated -1.56% to $25.25 today. From a daily perspective, AMH is in a short term uptrend after plotting its last bottom ($24.20, on Aug/14) higher than the previous bottom, and its last top ($25.79, yesterday) also over the previous top. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top AMH might consolidate in a plain range, waiting to break out over $25.79 or down under $24.20. Since last April when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, AMH price gained $2.38 per share (10.41%). On Aug/6 AMH price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On July 11th, AMH hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on Jul 10th tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

AMH stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

American Homes 4 Rent closed this week at $25.25 and gained a tiny 1.36%. With this, it's been 3 climbing weeks in a row, soaring a 4.16%.

AMH marked an uptrend of rising tops and rising bottoms. Since its last top early July at $26.00, price slid and bounced up back from $23.75. Breaking down under $23.75 would cancel the current uptrend and it might test lower supports. Note that $26.00 might act as a resistance line. Not so far away is the last all-time high American Homes 4 Rent marked early July. Since early April when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, AMH price gained $2.24 per share (9.73%). Since mid January when AMH stock price broke up the SMA40w line, it gained $4.56 (22.04%).

AMH stock chart (weekly)

AMH stock price history

AMH IPO was on August 1st, 2013 at $14.67 per share1. Since then, AMH stock surged a 72.10%, with an average of 12.00% per year. If you had invested right after AMH's IPO a $1,000 in AMH stock in 2013, it would worth $721.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AMH stock historical price chart

AMH stock reached all-time highs on July 11th with a price of $26.00.

AMH stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' AMH stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not found any price forecast for American Homes 4 Rent stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, American Homes 4 Rent presented its financial report, in line with analysts' consensus and posted a $0.28 Earnings per Share. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
AMH earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a-0.01n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.02n/a
2017-Q32017-11-02-0.01n/an/a
2017-Q42018-02-220.260.260.0%
2018-Q12018-05-030.270.25-7.4%
2018-Q22018-08-020.270.270.0%
2018-Q32018-11-010.270.270.0%
2018-Q42019-02-210.280.280.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, American Homes 4 Rent annual sales climbed a phenomenal 11.71% to $1,072.85 M dollars from $960.40 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, on the other hand, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) appreciated a 1.66% to 10.09%.

AMH annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$139 M-$-43.78 M-31.5%-
2014$399 M186.90%$-48.06 M-12.0%9.77%
2015$631 M58.09%$-62.30 M-9.9%29.64%
2016$879 M39.38%$6.70 M0.8%-110.75%
2017$960 M9.27%$81 M8.4%1,109.84%
2018$1,073 M11.71%$108 M10.1%33.67%

Quarterly financial results

American Homes 4 Rent reported $270.32 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -3.48% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $31.41 M with a profit margin of 11.62%. Profit margin grew a 1.84% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 9.78%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, American Homes 4 Rent sales marked a brilliant growth and boosted a 11.33%.
AMH quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$234 M-$12 M5.2%-
2017-Q2$237 M1.39%$15 M6.4%24.79%
2017-Q3$247 M4.15%$19 M7.6%24.42%
2017-Q4$243 M-1.63%$35 M14.4%86.38%
2018-Q1$258 M6.26%$20 M7.9%-41.71%
2018-Q2$264 M2.51%$29 M11.0%42.32%
2018-Q3$280 M5.89%$27 M9.8%-5.67%
2018-Q4$270 M-3.48%$31 M11.6%14.65%

American Homes 4 Rent ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For American Homes 4 Rent, 14.00% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for AMH stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

AMHEQRUDR
Market cap$7.6 B$30.7 B$13.5 B
Total shares299.1 M370.5 M281.2 M
Float shares258.8 M365.1 M281.8 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)89.8%94.1%98.8%
  - Insider holdings (%)14.0%1.9%1.2%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%

AMH summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$25.69
Close$25.25
Day range$25.21 - $25.77
Previous close$25.65
Session gain-1.56%
Average true range$0.44
50d mov avg$24.89
100d mov avg$24.35
200d mov avg$22.78
Daily patternlt06a
Weekly pattern lb03a

American Homes 4 Rent performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. We compared American Homes 4 Rent against and UDR in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
AMH3.70%15.77%10.75%
EQR8.01%13.19%26.63%
UDR 7.11%8.98%25.14%

American Homes 4 Rent competitors

Creating a list of competitors for American Homes 4 Rent it's not an easy task. We selected 2 public companies that are related to and can be considered as competitors of American Homes 4 Rent:

Latest AMH stock news