AIV stock: buy or sell?

AIV stock price: $51.12 -0.74% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

5

Apartment Investment and Management decreased -0.74% to $51.12 after topping to all time highs on Sep 18th. With Friday it's been 3 sliding days in a row, loosing $-1.06 (-2.06%).

Aimco is a real estate investment trust focused on the ownership and management of quality apartment communities located in select markets in the United States.

Should I buy AIV stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, 2 buy setups work for Apartment Investment and Management stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is Apartment Investment and Management stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 8 ratings published for AIV stock in the last 30 days.

Is AIV a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-9-6BMO Capital MarketsMarket PerformOutperform
2019-8-6MizuhoNeutralBuy
2019-8-29SunTrust Banksn/aHold
2019-8-12Zelman & AssociatesSellHold
2019-4-16Barclaysn/aHold
2019-3-25BMO Capital Marketsn/aHold
2019-2-4BarclaysOverweightEqual Weight
2019-2-25SunTrust BanksBuyHold

AIV stock analysis

Daily outlook

Apartment Investment and Management decreased -0.74% today to $51.12 after topping to all time highs on Sep/18.

After marking all time highs on September 18th, Apartment Investment and Management decreased -0.74% to $51.12. On Aug/15 AIV price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. On Sep 18th, AIV hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $52.29 recorded on Tuesday. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

AIV stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Apartment Investment and Management shares appreciated 0.69% this week and marked a new all time high at $52.43.

If you observe the weekly chart, price is in a simple uptrend, tested $49.86 level and now climbing back aiming its last top at $52.12. Early August AIV price bounced up over the SMA of 20 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.

AIV stock chart (weekly)

AIV stock price history

AIV stock went public on July 22nd, 1994 with a price of $4.771. Since then, AIV stock grew a 971.70%, with an average of 38.90% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in AIV stock in 1994, it would worth $9,717.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AIV stock historical price chart

AIV stock reached all-time highs on September/18 with a price of $52.43.

AIV stock price target is $52.40

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we found 5 price forecasts for AIV stock:
AIV stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-9-6BMO Capital MarketsUpgrades$56.00$58.003.6%
2019-8-29SunTrust BanksRaises Target$49.00$50.002%
2019-4-16BarclaysReiteratesn/a$51.00-
2019-3-25BMO Capital MarketsReiteratesn/a$54.00-
2019-2-4BarclaysDowngradesn/a$49.00-
(in average)$52.50$52.400.0%
The price forecast for Apartment Investment and Management stock is $52.40, moving in a range between $58.00 and $49.00. In average, analysts' outlook on AIV price forecast is stable from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

After posting its last earnings report on May, Apartment Investment and Management inched a good 4.37%. As soon as we get its actual EPS from the earnings report, we will update this report.
AIV earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.09n/a
2017-Q32017-10-260.090.1122.2%
2017-Q42018-02-010.071.92,614.3%
2018-Q12018-05-070.620.620.0%
2018-Q22018-08-020.640.63-1.6%
2018-Q32018-11-010.630.653.2%
2018-Q42019-02-040.660.65-1.5%
2019-Q12019-05-060.02n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a disappointing decrease of -3.29% to $972.41 M USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, however, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) rocketed a 37.13% to 69.31%.

Apartment Investment and Management presents anual results in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Apartment Investment and Management TTM sales up to March 2019 were $954.93 and income $864.30 million USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Apartment Investment and Management business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, decreased an ugly -1.80%. Regarding profit margin, Apartment Investment and Management climbed 21.20% to 69.31%

AIV annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$973 M-$44 M4.6%-
2014$984 M1.19%$316 M32.1%612.10%
2015$981 M-0.31%$256 M26.1%-19.03%
2016$996 M1.48%$438 M43.9%71.19%
2017$1,005 M0.96%$324 M32.2%-26.07%
2018$972 M-3.29%$674 M69.3%108.31%
TTM $955 M-1.80%$864 M90.5%28.24%

Quarterly financial results

Apartment Investment and Management posted $230.24 M in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -0.77% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $276.07 million with a profit margin of 119.91%. Profit margin climbed a 115.88% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 4.03%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Apartment Investment and Management sales marked a tragic slide and dropped a -7.06%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Apartment Investment and Management posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
AIV quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$249 M-$16 M6.6%-
2017-Q3$255 M2.38%$22 M8.5%30.90%
2017-Q4$255 M0.23%$266 M104.3%1,134.54%
2018-Q1$248 M-2.94%$86 M34.6%-67.81%
2018-Q2$250 M1.00%$7 M2.8%-91.87%
2018-Q3$242 M-3.08%$572 M235.9%8,104.35%
2018-Q4$232 M-4.31%$9 M4.0%-98.37%
2019-Q1$230 M-0.77%$276 M119.9%2,855.43%

Apartment Investment and Management ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Apartment Investment and Management, 0.92% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for AIV stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Apartment Investment and Management:

AIV
Market cap$7.6 B
Total shares148.9 M
Float shares147.4 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)101.8%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.9%
Shares in short selling0.0%

AIV summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$51.59
Close$51.12
Day range$51.10 - $51.79
Previous close$51.50
Session gain-0.74%
Average true range$0.84
50d mov avg$50.45
100d mov avg$50.25
200d mov avg$48.74
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lb01a

Apartment Investment and Management performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. For Apartment Investment and Management, the benchmark is made against .
Stock3m6m12m
AIVApartment Investm...0.69%3.90%18.31%

Apartment Investment and Management competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Apartment Investment and Management competitor. This doesn't mean Apartment Investment and Management does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.