AINV stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
August 19th, 2019
0
Should I buy AINV stock?
Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. That's why is so important to define your own trading strategy that fits your character as inversor. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.None of our preferred buy setups matches with Apollo Investment stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Apollo Investment stock a buy?
Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday.
At Stocks2.com, we detected 3 ratings published for AINV stock in the last 30 days.| Date | Analyst / Broker | Previous rating | Current rating |
| 2019-8-7 | Wells Fargo & Co | Outperform | Market Perform |
| 2019-2-8 | National Securities | n/a | Neutral |
| 2019-1-22 | Citigroup | Sell | Neutral |
AINV stock analysis
Daily outlook
Apollo Investment raised a nice 1.62% and closed at $16.31.
Shares of Apollo Investment ended today at $16.31 and raised a nice 1.62%. On May, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 5.98%. AINV is soaring again after a 3.36% correction from its last top on Aug 9th at $16.36. Today AINV price bounced up over the SMA of 50 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock.
Weekly outlook
Shares of Apollo Investment ended this week at $16.31 and raised a good 1.62%.
Price pattern shows an uptrend with two rising tops and bottoms, and now trading upwards to the $16.65 resistance. Since mid May when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, AINV price gained $0.96 per share (6.25%). Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up early March, AINV climbed $1.99 (13.90%).
AINV stock price history
AINV stock went public on April 6th, 2004 with a price of $8.501. Since then, AINV stock surged a 91.90%, with an average of 6.10% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in AINV stock in 2004, it would worth $919.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
AINV stock historical price chart
AINV stock reached 52-week highs on July/30 at $16.65, and all-time highs 2007-06-20 with a price of 16.69.
AINV stock price target is $16.00
Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' AINV stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we found 2 price predictions for Apollo Investment stock:| Date | Analyst / Broker | Action | Previous target | Current target | Diff |
| 2019-2-8 | National Securities | Reiterates | n/a | $18.00 | - |
| 2019-1-22 | Citigroup | Upgrades | $15.00 | $14.00 | -6.7% |
| (in average) | $15.00 | $16.00 | 7.0% |
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
Since last February, when Apollo Investment presented its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | - | n/a | 0.04 | n/a |
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.13 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-11-03 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.0% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-02-07 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 6.7% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-05-18 | 0.48 | 0.45 | -6.3% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-08-08 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.0% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-10-30 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.0% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-02-06 | 0.46 | 0.45 | -2.2% |
| 2019-Q1 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
In 2018, Apollo Investment annual revenues rocketed a super good 375.29% to $83.24 million USD from $17.51 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) remained steady a -0.34% to 104.55%. To have an updated picture of the financial situation of Apollo Investment, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2018-Q4 that can be compared to 2018 fiscal year results. Annual Apollo Investment TTM sales up to December 2018 were $68.69 and income was $60.73 M USD. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem Apollo Investment business evolution since March 2018: Annual revenues up to December, compared to lastest yearly report, plunged a chilling -17.48%. Similarly, profit margin (net income/sales) collapsed at 104.55%.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $257 M | - | $104 M40.6% | - |
| 2014 | $272 M | 5.80% | $271 M99.5% | 159.28% |
| 2015 | $75 M | -72.46% | $75 M100.6% | -72.16% |
| 2016 | $-49.01 M | -165.37% | $-44.53 M90.9% | -159.04% |
| 2017 | $18 M | -135.74% | $18 M104.9% | -141.26% |
| 2018 | $83 M | 375.29% | $87 M104.5% | 373.76% |
| TTM | $69 M | -17.48% | $61 M88.4% | -30.22% |
Quarterly financial results
Apollo Investment posted $1.03 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -96.72% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-1.18 million with a profit margin of -114.37%. Profit margin collapsed a -203.69% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 89.32%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Apollo Investment sales marked a scary slide and plummed a -97.19%.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | $-26 M | - | $8 M-30.4% | - |
| 2017-Q2 | $-170 M | 542.85% | $29 M-16.9% | 257.52% |
| 2017-Q3 | $59 M | -134.80% | $32 M53.7% | 10.46% |
| 2017-Q4 | $37 M | -38.09% | $6 M15.9% | -81.65% |
| 2018-Q1 | $21 M | -43.03% | $21 M98.9% | 253.63% |
| 2018-Q2 | $15 M | -26.08% | $13 M85.9% | -35.76% |
| 2018-Q3 | $31 M | 103.49% | $28 M89.3% | 111.54% |
| 2018-Q4 | $1 M | -96.72% | $-1 M-114.4% | -104.20% |
Apollo Investment ownership
When you are planning to buy shares of a stock, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Apollo Investment, 0.51% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of Apollo Investment stock, 46.10% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions).
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Apollo Investment:
| AINV | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $1.1 B |
| Total shares | 68.1 M |
| Float shares | 0.0 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 46.1% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 0.5% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% |
AINV summary
| Monday, August 19th, 2019 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $16.15 |
| Close | $16.31 |
| Day range | $16.11 - $16.34 |
| Previous close | $16.05 |
| Session gain | 1.62% |
| Average true range | $0.30 |
| 50d mov avg | $16.11 |
| 100d mov avg | $15.64 |
| 200d mov avg | $14.83 |
| Daily pattern | lb01a |
| Weekly pattern | lb02a |
Apollo Investment performance
Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare Apollo Investment performance to :| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| AINVApollo Investment | 4.62% | 9.54% | 8.95% |