AHL stock: buy or sell?
February 14th, 2019
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in insurance and reinsurance businesses in the United States and internationally.
Should I buy AHL stock?Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Following a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
Currently, Aspen Insurance stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Aspen Insurance stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday.Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for AHL stock for the last month.
AHL stock analysis
Aspen Insurance closed on February at $42.74 and grew a slightly good 0.54%.
Aspen Insurance shares grew 0.54% to $42.74 on February. On January, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 1.18%. On December AHL price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. AHL shows a sign of strength in the short-term after finally breaking out above $42.56 on February and marking a new rising bottom.
Aspen Insurance closed this week at $42.74 and stayed constant a tiny 0.42%.
Price finally broke over the resistance at $42.16 and continued climbing. Since late December 2018 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, AHL price gained $0.88 per share (2.10%). Since early February when AHL stock price broke up the SMA20w line, it gained $0.89 (2.13%). Far behind is the all-time high Aspen Insurance hit late March 2018 but price is just -7.29% below that top.
AHL stock price history
AHL IPO was on January 4th, 2018 at $40.45 per share1. Since then, AHL stock grew a 5.70%, with an average of 5.70% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in AHL stock in 2018, it would worth $57.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
AHL stock historical price chart
AHL stock reached all-time highs with a price of $46.10.
AHL stock price targetHow much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not found any price target for Aspen Insurance stock by any trusted analyst.
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareOn February, Aspen Insurance reported its latest financial data, posting an extraordinary growth for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Experts were expecting $-1.07 per share, but Aspen Insurance posted $-2.23.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsIn 2018, Aspen Insurance annual sales plunged a frightening -12.55% to $2,317.50 million USD from $2,650.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, by contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) grew a 3.77% to -6.33%.
|2013||$2,400 M||-||$323 M13.4%||-|
|2014||$2,604 M||8.48%||$355 M13.6%||10.01%|
|2015||$2,642 M||1.46%||$322 M12.2%||-9.21%|
|2016||$2,835 M||7.34%||$203 M7.2%||-36.92%|
|2017||$2,650 M||-6.54%||$-267.70 M-10.1%||-231.68%|
|2018||$2,318 M||-12.55%||$-146.80 M-6.3%||-45.16%|
Quarterly financial resultsAspen Insurance posted $577.80 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -13.46% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-147.60 million with a profit margin of -25.55%. Profit margin plummed a -23.30% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -2.25%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Aspen Insurance sales marked a disappointing slide and declined a -2.81%.
|2017-Q1||$677 M||-||$94.00 M13.9%||-|
|2017-Q2||$656 M||-3.15%||$75.70 M11.5%||-19.47%|
|2017-Q3||$714 M||8.90%||$-260.00 M-36.4%||-443.46%|
|2017-Q4||$595 M||-16.77%||$-185.40 M-31.2%||-28.69%|
|2018-Q1||$565 M||-4.96%||$30.60 M5.4%||-116.50%|
|2018-Q2||$507 M||-10.27%||$-14.80 M-2.9%||-148.37%|
|2018-Q3||$668 M||31.70%||$-15.00 M-2.2%||1.35%|
|2018-Q4||$578 M||-13.46%||$-147.60 M-25.5%||884.00%|
Aspen Insurance ownershipWhen you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.
Aspen Insurance shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a of all shares.
For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
|Market cap||$0.0 M|
|Total shares||0.0 M|
|Float shares||0.0 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||0.0%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.0%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Thursday, February 14th, 2019|
|Day range||$42.73 - $42.75|
|Average true range||$0.18|
|50d mov avg||$42.03|
|100d mov avg||$41.89|
|200d mov avg||$41.44|
Aspen Insurance performanceStocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Aspen Insurance against in the following table: