AHL stock: buy or sell?

AHL stock price: $42.74 0.54% At close on February 14th, 2019

Updated on:
February 14th, 2019

4

Aspen Insurance shares grew 0.54% to $42.74 on February.

Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in insurance and reinsurance businesses in the United States and internationally.

Should I buy AHL stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Following a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Aspen Insurance stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean AHL will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Aspen Insurance stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for AHL stock for the last month.

AHL stock analysis

Daily outlook

Aspen Insurance closed on February at $42.74 and grew a slightly good 0.54%.

Aspen Insurance shares grew 0.54% to $42.74 on February. On January, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 1.18%. On December AHL price bounced up over the SMA of 200 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock. AHL shows a sign of strength in the short-term after finally breaking out above $42.56 on February and marking a new rising bottom.

AHL stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Aspen Insurance closed this week at $42.74 and stayed constant a tiny 0.42%.

Price finally broke over the resistance at $42.16 and continued climbing. Since late December 2018 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, AHL price gained $0.88 per share (2.10%). Since early February when AHL stock price broke up the SMA20w line, it gained $0.89 (2.13%). Far behind is the all-time high Aspen Insurance hit late March 2018 but price is just -7.29% below that top.

AHL stock chart (weekly)

AHL stock price history

AHL IPO was on January 4th, 2018 at $40.45 per share1. Since then, AHL stock grew a 5.70%, with an average of 5.70% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in AHL stock in 2018, it would worth $57.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AHL stock historical price chart

AHL stock reached all-time highs with a price of $46.10.

AHL stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not found any price target for Aspen Insurance stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Aspen Insurance reported its latest financial data, posting an extraordinary growth for the Earnings per Share (EPS) ratio. Experts were expecting $-1.07 per share, but Aspen Insurance posted $-2.23.
AHL earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a1.36n/a
2017-Q2-n/a1.07n/a
2017-Q32017-10-25-4.99-4.78n/a
2017-Q42018-02-07-3.56-3.14n/a
2018-Q12018-05-020.920.91-1.1%
2018-Q22018-08-010.790.81.3%
2018-Q32018-10-240.190.49157.9%
2018-Q42019-02-06-1.07-2.23n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Aspen Insurance annual sales plunged a frightening -12.55% to $2,317.50 million USD from $2,650.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, by contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) grew a 3.77% to -6.33%.

AHL annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$2,400 M-$323 M13.4%-
2014$2,604 M8.48%$355 M13.6%10.01%
2015$2,642 M1.46%$322 M12.2%-9.21%
2016$2,835 M7.34%$203 M7.2%-36.92%
2017$2,650 M-6.54%$-267.70 M-10.1%-231.68%
2018$2,318 M-12.55%$-146.80 M-6.3%-45.16%

Quarterly financial results

Aspen Insurance posted $577.80 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -13.46% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-147.60 million with a profit margin of -25.55%. Profit margin plummed a -23.30% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -2.25%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Aspen Insurance sales marked a disappointing slide and declined a -2.81%.
AHL quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$677 M-$94.00 M13.9%-
2017-Q2$656 M-3.15%$75.70 M11.5%-19.47%
2017-Q3$714 M8.90%$-260.00 M-36.4%-443.46%
2017-Q4$595 M-16.77%$-185.40 M-31.2%-28.69%
2018-Q1$565 M-4.96%$30.60 M5.4%-116.50%
2018-Q2$507 M-10.27%$-14.80 M-2.9%-148.37%
2018-Q3$668 M31.70%$-15.00 M-2.2%1.35%
2018-Q4$578 M-13.46%$-147.60 M-25.5%884.00%

Aspen Insurance ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Aspen Insurance shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a of all shares.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

AHL
Market cap$0.0 M
Total shares0.0 M
Float shares0.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)0.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

AHL summary

Thursday, February 14th, 2019
Open$42.74
Close$42.74
Day range$42.73 - $42.75
Previous close$42.51
Session gain0.54%
Average true range$0.18
50d mov avg$42.03
100d mov avg$41.89
200d mov avg$41.44
Daily patternlb02c
Weekly pattern lb01c

Aspen Insurance performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Aspen Insurance against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
AHLAspen Insurance3.59%17.10%0.00%

Aspen Insurance competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Aspen Insurance competitor. This doesn't mean Aspen Insurance does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.