AHL stock: buy or sell?

AHL stock price: $42.74 0.54% At close on February 14th, 2019

Updated on:
February 14th, 2019

4

Aspen Insurance raised a slightly fine 0.54% and closed at $42.74.

Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in insurance and reinsurance businesses in the United States and internationally.

Should I buy AHL stock?

Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best time to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Aspen Insurance stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Aspen Insurance stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AHL stock for the last 30 days.

AHL stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Aspen Insurance closed on February at $42.74 and raised a slightly fine 0.54%.

Shares of Aspen Insurance raised a slightly fine 0.54% and closed at $42.74. Since last January when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, AHL price gained $0.49 per share (1.16%). AHL shows a sign of strength in the short-term after finally breaking out above $42.56 on February and marking a new rising bottom. On February AHL price bounced up over the SMA of 100 days demonstrating to be a significant support for this stock.

AHL stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Aspen Insurance ended this week at $42.74 and stayed stable a slightly good 0.42%.

Weekly chart tells us that price finally broke over the resistance at $42.16 and continued climbing. Late December 2018, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 2.10%. Since price and SMA20w lines crossed up early February, AHL climbed $0.89 (2.13%). Far behind is the all-time high Aspen Insurance recorded late March 2018 but price is just -6.17% below that top.

AHL stock chart (weekly)

AHL stock price history

AHL stock went public on January 4th, 2018 with a price of $39.971. Since then, AHL stock grew a 6.90%, with an average of 6.90% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in AHL stock in 2018, it would worth $69.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AHL stock historical price chart

AHL stock reached all-time highs with a price of $45.55.

AHL stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we have not found any price target for Aspen Insurance stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Aspen Insurance reported its latest financial data, posting a super good growth for the Earnings per Share (EPS). Experts were expecting $-1.07 per share, but Aspen Insurance posted $-2.23.
AHL earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a1.36n/a
2017-Q2-n/a1.07n/a
2017-Q32017-10-25-4.99-4.78n/a
2017-Q42018-02-07-3.56-3.14n/a
2018-Q12018-05-020.920.91-1.1%
2018-Q22018-08-010.790.81.3%
2018-Q32018-10-240.190.49157.9%
2018-Q42019-02-06-1.07-2.23n/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a hair-raising drop down of -12.55% to $2,317.50 M USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, however, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) appreciated a 3.77% to -6.33%.

AHL annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$2,400 M-$323 M13.4%-
2014$2,604 M8.48%$355 M13.6%10.01%
2015$2,642 M1.46%$322 M12.2%-9.21%
2016$2,835 M7.34%$203 M7.2%-36.92%
2017$2,650 M-6.54%$-267.70 M-10.1%-231.68%
2018$2,318 M-12.55%$-146.80 M-6.3%-45.16%

Quarterly financial results

Aspen Insurance reported $577.80 M in sales for 2018-Q4, a -13.46% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-147.60 M with a profit margin of -25.55%. Profit margin plummed a -23.30% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -2.25%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Aspen Insurance sales marked a disappointing slide and slightly fell a -2.81%.
AHL quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$677 M-$94.00 M13.9%-
2017-Q2$656 M-3.15%$75.70 M11.5%-19.47%
2017-Q3$714 M8.90%$-260.00 M-36.4%-443.46%
2017-Q4$595 M-16.77%$-185.40 M-31.2%-28.69%
2018-Q1$565 M-4.96%$30.60 M5.4%-116.50%
2018-Q2$507 M-10.27%$-14.80 M-2.9%-148.37%
2018-Q3$668 M31.70%$-15.00 M-2.2%1.35%
2018-Q4$578 M-13.46%$-147.60 M-25.5%884.00%

Aspen Insurance ownership

When you are planning to buy shares of a company, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Aspen Insurance shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a of all shares.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

AHL
Market cap$0.0 M
Total shares0.0 M
Float shares0.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)0.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

AHL summary

Thursday, February 14th, 2019
Open$42.74
Close$42.74
Day range$42.73 - $42.75
Previous close$42.51
Session gain0.54%
Average true range$0.18
50d mov avg$42.03
100d mov avg$41.89
200d mov avg$41.33
Daily patternlb02c
Weekly pattern lb01c

Aspen Insurance performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. In the following table, we compare Aspen Insurance to :
Stock3m6m12m
AHLAspen Insurance3.59%17.10%0.00%

Aspen Insurance competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Aspen Insurance competitor. This doesn't mean Aspen Insurance does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.